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- Jake Lipson
This is where rationale for box office becomes a bit of a guessing game and there is not one answer. It's probably a little bit of everything you mentioned and any number of other reasons.The reasons why fewer people went to the opening weekend should be less related to quality (since most people haven’t seen it yet). Maybe a portion who were intending to see it on opening weekend (eg. on Sunday) changed their minds from reviews or word of mouth. But other reasons could be lack of interest (eg. title-related), lack of recognition (D+ heroes), poor marketing, etc., which is what I was offering.
I fully intended to see No Time to Die on opening weekend a couple years ago. I bought my ticket in advance and everything. Then I had to refund that purchase because something came up that doesn't have anything to do with the movie at all. But it stopped me from going on opening weekend. I ended up going during the second weekend instead. By that time, the film was already removed from the premium screen. So I paid less money to see it on the second weekend on a standard screen than I would have if I had been able to keep my original premium ticket.
Reviews and word of mouth don't take until Sunday to have an impact, though. I'm sure that's why Disney embargoed the reviews until the day before the movie opened. They expected that most reviews weren't going to be favorable, and they were right.
Like you, I usually make a point to go to Thursday night screenings of MCU movies so that I can be part of the discussion here and elsewhere. That also includes talking to my friends who are more casual moviegoers who want to know if they should go see this one or not. I'm often texting them as soon as I get out of the theater. Particularly in the age of cell phones and social media, word of mouth pretty much hits immediately. So I do think word of mouth hurt the opening last week, too. But we are really seeing the impact of it this weekend. It's only going to get worse from here as more big films arrive on Tuesday for the Thanksgiving stretch.
It is.The following interview is encouraging for Carol going forward.
But I think Marvel is going to be reassessing a lot after The Marvels -- and they should. They need to figure out why this movie didn't work and make sure their upcoming films are better. So technically we don't know if the "something" Larson referred to is going to change following these results. I think removing Carol altogether would be a mistake, but studio executives have been known to take the wrong lessons from things.
For example, the success of Barbie should be taken as "We should invest in more distinctive films made by talented women," such as but by no means limited to Greta Gerwig. But I'm sure at least some will think it means "We should make more movies based on toys."
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