Oscar Prognosticators - Post Your Nomination Predictions Here! (1 Viewer)

[Craig S]

OK, folks, Oscar season is upon us, and it's time to test our prognosticating skills. Please use this thread to post your predictions for the Oscar nominations. The Academy will announce the nominees on January 27, so you've got 3 weeks to get your picks in.

To keep things clean, let's use this thread for predictions only. We have a lively discussion going in this thread, so join us there to talk about all things Oscar.

The preliminary HTF consensus was posted on Jan. 20 (see next post).

The final consensus was posted early Tuesday morning, January 27. It can be found here:

http://www.hometheaterforum.com/htfo...93#post2004193

Following is the list of categories. The number in parens after each category is the maximum number of nominees for each category, Note that some categories have already been pared down to a list of eligible films. For those categories, a link to the list appears after the category name:

• Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role (5)
• Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role (5)
• Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role (5)
• Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role (5)
• Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year (3) - Eligible films
• Achievement In Art Direction (5)
• Achievement In Cinematography (5)
• Achievement In Costume Design (5)
• Achievement In Directing (5)
• Best Documentary Feature (5) - Eligible films
• Best Documentary Short Subject (3)
• Achievement In Film Editing (5)
• Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year (5) - Eligible films
• Achievement In Makeup (3) - Eligible films
• Achievement In Music - Original Score (5)
• Achievement In Music - Original Song (5)
• Best Motion Picture Of The Year (5)
• Best Animated Short Film (5)
• Best Live Action Short Film (5)
• Achievement In Sound (5)
• Achievement In Sound Editing (3) - Eligible films
• Achievement In Visual Effects (3) - Eligible films
• Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published (5)
• Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen (5)

Here are our esteemed participants, with links to their picks:

• Adam_S
• Arman
• Brian W
• Craig S
• Dana Fillhart
• Dome Vongvises
• Kristian
• Marc_Savoie
• NickNC
• Nick Sievers
• Nicholas Vargo
• Ray H
• Seth Paxton
• Travis S
• ZacharyTait

Here are some useful links for Oscar watchers:

• Official Site of the 76th Annual Academy Awards
• Official Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences site
• Official Rules for the 76th Academy Awards
• 2004 Guild (DGA, PGA, ASC, etc.) Nominees & Winners (Thanks, Vickie!)
• Movie City News' Oscar City Center
• Gold Derby
• Oscar Watch
• Sijmen's Oscar Experiment

So let's get those predictions posted! As the Oscar climate will be changing often please feel free to edit your picks up until January 27. Most importantly - have fun!

 

[Craig S]

HTF Consensus
The first pass, based on the 8 complete or near complete lists posted thus far (and the few snippets some have put up). Listed in order of votes received. Nominees are separated from also-rans by a horizontal line; ties are indicated with italics.

In those categories where there is a predetermined list of eligible films (Animated Feature, Documentary Feature, Foreign Language Film, Makeup, Sound Editing & Visual Effects) any votes for non-eligible films have NOT been counted.

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Ben Kingsley - House Of Sand And Fog - 8
Sean Penn - Mystic River - 8
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 7
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation - 7
Russell Crowe - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 5
----------
Jude Law - Cold Mountain - 4
Paul Giamatti - American Splendor - 1
Tom Cruise - The Last Samurai - .5

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams - 8
Tim Robbins - Mystic River - 8
Albert Finney - Big Fish - 6
Ken Watenabe - The Last Samurai - 5
Sean Astin - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 4.5
----------
Alec Baldwin - The Cooler - 4
Peter Sarsgaard - Shattered Glass - 2
Paul Bettany - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World - 1
Chris Cooper - Seabiscuit - 1
Djimon Honsou - In America - 1

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give - 8
Charlize Theron - Monster - 8
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams - 8
Jennifer Connolly - House Of Sand And Fog - 6
Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain - 6
----------
Samantha Morton - In America - 2.5
Evan Rachel Wood - Thirteen - 2

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Scarlett Johansson - Lost In Translation - 8
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain - 8
Holly Hunter - Thirteen - 7
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House Of Sand And Fog - 4
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River - 4
----------
Sarah Bolger - In America - 2.5
Keisha Castle-Hughes -Whale Rider - 3
Patricia Clarkson - Pieces Of April - 2
Maria Bello - The Cooler - 1

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Brother Bear - 7
Finding Nemo - 7
The Triplets of Belleville - 7

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 6
The Last Samurai - 5
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 5
Seabiscuit - 5
Girl With A Pearl Earring - 3
----------
Cold Mountain - 2
Down With Love - 1.5
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 1

Achievement In Cinematography
Andrew Lesnie - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 6
John Toll - The Last Samurai - 6
Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 5
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit - 4
John Seale - Cold Mountain - 4
----------
Roger Deakins - House Of Sand And Fog - 3
Lance Acord - Lost In Translation - 1

Achievement In Costume Design
The Last Samurai - 5
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 5
Seabiscuit - 5
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 4
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 2.5
----------
Down With Love - 2
Cold Mountain - 1

Achievement In Directing
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River - 8
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 8
Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 8
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation - 7
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit - 4.5
----------
Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain - 3
Jim Sheridan - In America - 2

Best Documentary Feature
Capturing The Friedmans - 7
The Fog Of War - 7
Bus 174 - 2
My Architect: A Son’s Journey - 2
My Flesh and Blood - 2
----------
Charlie: The Life And Art Of Charlie Chaplin - 1

Best Documentary Short Subject

Achievement In Film Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 6
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 6
Mystic River - 5
Seabiscuit - 5
Cold Mountain - 2
Kill Bill: Vol. 1 - 2
----------
21 Grams - 1
Finding Nemo - 1
House Of Sand And Fog - 1
Lost In Translation - 1

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada) - 4
Good Bye, Lenin! (Germany) - 3
Osama (Afghanistan) - 3
Spring,Summer,Fall,Winter,and...Spring (Korea) - 2
Bon Voyage (France) - 1
Divine Intervention (Palestine) - 1
Infernal Affairs - Hong Kong - 1

Achievement In Makeup
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 6
Monster - 5
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 3
----------
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 2.5
Cold Mountain - 1.5
Peter Pan - 1

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 6
Danny Elfman - Big Fish - 4
Randy Newman - Seabiscuit - 4
Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo - 3
James Newton Howard - Peter Pan - 3
Gabriel Yared - Cold Mountain - 3
Hans Zimmer - The Last Samurai - 3
----------
Klaus Badelt - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 2
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River - 1
James Horner - House Of Sand And Fog - 1

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Philippa Boyens, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 6
Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, "A Mighty Wind" - A Mighty Wind - 6
Sammy James, Jr. & Mike White, "School of Rock" - School Of Rock - 6
Bono, "Time Enough for Tears", In America - 5
Eddie Vedder, "Man of the Hour", Big Fish - 4
----------
Sting, "You Will Be My Own True Love" - Cold Mountain - 2
Mark Shaiman, "Here's To Love" - Down With Love - 1

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 10
Mystic River - 10
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 9
Lost In Translation - 8
Seabiscuit - 5.5
----------
Cold Mountain - 5
In America - 2
Finding Nemo - 1

Best Animated Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film

Achievement In Sound
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 7
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 6
The Last Samurai - 5
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 5
Kill Bill: Vol. 1 - 4
----------
Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines - 2
Finding Nemo - 2
Cold Mountain - 1.5
Seabiscuit - 1

Achievement In Sound Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 7
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 5
Kill Bill: Vol. 1 - 4
----------
Finding Nemo - 2
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 2

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 7
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl - 6
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 5

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 7
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River - 7
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit - 6
Shari Springer Berman & Robert Pulcini - American Splendor - 5.5
Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain - 4
Peter Weir & John Collee - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World - 4
----------
John August - Big Fish - 2

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America - 8
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation - 8
Andrew Stanton & Bob Peterson - Finding Nemo - 6
Richard Curtis - Love Actually - 5
Guillermo Arriaga - 21 Grams - 4
----------
Patty Jenkins - Monster - 3
Catherine Hardwicke, Nikki Reed - Thirteen - 1
Steven Knight - Dirty Pretty Things - 1
Thomas McCarthy - The Station Agent - 1

Final Counts
These are the predicted number of nominations for each film. A range has been shown for films involved in a tie.

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King: 14
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World: 10 - 11
Seabiscuit: 8
Mystic River: 7
The Last Samurai: 5 - 6
Lost In Translation: 5
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl: 5
Cold Mountain: 3 - 6
21 Grams: 3
Big Fish: 3
House Of Sand And Fog: 3
Finding Nemo: 2 - 3
Kill Bill: Vol. 1: 2 - 3
In America: 2
Monster: 2
American Splendor: 1
Girl With A Pearl Earring: 1
Love Actually: 1
A Mighty Wind: 1
School Of Rock: 1
Thirteen: 1
Peter Pan: 0 - 1

 

[Craig S]

Craig's Picks
It's the night after the Globes, and the night before the nominations are announced. That means this is my final cut.

After some categories I have listed a "Wild Card" entry in red. This would be the most likely "upset" entry to sneak in and grab a nomination. Consider this a "CYA"...

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley - House Of Sand And Fog
Jude Law - Cold Mountain
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River
Russell Crowe - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Alec Baldwin - The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Albert Finney - Big Fish
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Ken Watenabe - The Last Samurai
Sean Astin - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Jennifer Connolly - House Of Sand And Fog
Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give
Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain
Charlize Theron - Monster
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams
Evan Rachel Wood - Thirteen

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House Of Sand And Fog
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River
Holly Hunter - Thirteen
Scarlett Johansson - Lost In Translation
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain
Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville
Millennium Actress

Achievement In Art Direction
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit
Cold Mountain

Achievement In Cinematography
Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Andrew Lesnie - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit
John Seale - Cold Mountain
John Toll - The Last Samurai
Roger Deakins - House Of Sand And Fog

Achievement In Costume Design
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Seabiscuit
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Directing
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain
Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit

Best Documentary Feature
Bus 174
Capturing The Friedmans
The Fog Of War
The Lost Boys of the Sudan
The Weather Underground

Best Documentary Short Subject

Achievement In Film Editing
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit
Kill Bill: Vol. 1

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Good Bye, Lenin! (Germany)
Osama (Afghanistan)
The Return (Russia)
Spring,Summer,Fall,Winter,and...Spring (Korea)

Achievement In Makeup
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Monster
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Cold Mountain

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Danny Elfman - Big Fish
Randy Newman - Seabiscuit
Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Gabriel Yared - Cold Mountain
Hans Zimmer - The Last Samurai
Klaus Badelt - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Philippa Boyens, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Eddie Vedder, "Man of the Hour", Big Fish
Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, "A Mighty Wind" - A Mighty Wind
Sammy James, Jr. & Mike White, "School of Rock" - School Of Rock
Sting, "You Will Be My Own True Love" - Cold Mountain
Bono, "Time Enough for Tears", In America

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Lost In Translation
Mystic River
Seabiscuit
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Best Animated Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film

Achievement In Sound
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Seabiscuit
Cold Mountain

Achievement In Sound Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Kill Bill: Vol. 1

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Shari Springer Berman & Robert Pulcini - American Splendor
Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain
Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit
Peter Weir & John Collee - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Guillermo Arriaga - 21 Grams
Andrew Stanton & Bob Peterson - Finding Nemo
Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
Patty Jenkins - Monster
Richard Curtis - Love Actually

Final Counts
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The Kings: 13
Cold Mountain: 11
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World: 7
Seabiscuit: 8
Mystic River: 7
The Last Samurai: 6
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl: 6
Lost In Translation: 5
21 Grams: 3
Monster: 3
Big Fish: 2
Finding Nemo: 2
House Of Sand And Fog: 2
In America: 2
American Splendor: 1
The Cooler: 1
Girl With A Pearl Earring: 1
A Mighty Wind: 1
School Of Rock: 1
Thirteen: 1

Might sneak in with a nom or two:

Kill Bill Vol. 1
Love Actually
The Station Agent
Whale Rider

 

[Dome Vongvises]

bold = who I think should win
* = who will probably win

Best Picture
*The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Cold Mountain
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

Achievement in Sound
The Last Samurai

Achievement in Sound Editing
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

I'll be editing this as I go.

 

[Dana Fillhart]

Okay, this is my not-so-comfortable list of choices. So many potential candidates, it's still pretty hard to narrow things down, especially for the big categories.

Oh, I must ask something: Have there ever been any other years that have had more films with two-part names for titles (colons separating the names: LOTR:ROTK, M&C:TFSOTW, POTC:TCOTBP, KB:V1, T3:ROTM)...yikes!

Note: I'm bowing out of the Foreign Film category this year -- I think I've not seen a single title in the eligible films list, and since there are too many to simply guess, I'd rather not make a total fool of myself The other categories I'm not providing my guesses for are the Shorts categories (live action, animated, documentary).

Best Picture
• Cold Mountain
• Finding Nemo
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
• Mystic River

Yes, I think FN will beat out Seabiscuit. If Cold Mountain doesn't make it, I think Lost in Translation will make it.


Best Director
• Clint Eastwood, Mystic River
• Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain
• Gary Ross, Seabiscuit
• Peter Weir, Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Very tough field this year. I can see Sofia Coppola (Lost in Translation) getting in in plcae of Minghella or Ross, or perhaps Inarritu for 21 Grams.


Best Actor
• Russel Crowe, Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
• Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
• Ben Kingsley, House of Sand of Fog
• Jude Law, Cold Mountain
• Sean Penn, Mystic River

I know CM got killed at the SAGs, but I still think Law will get nommed here over Bill Murray. I can see the potential for Peter Dinklage making the list, but only in place of Law or Crowe -- Penn, Kingsley, and Depp are near-locks, Depp mainly for extraordinary popularity and a snub of him will NOT go well with the Awards viewing audience.


Best Actress
• Diane Keaton, Something's Gotta Give
• Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain
• Chalize Theron, Monster
• Naomi Watts, 21 Grams
• Evan Rachel Wood, Thirteen

I'm pretty much in perfect agreement with Sijmen on this category. I haven't seen Thirteen, so I'm going on faith for Wood's performance there (I thought she was the weakest part of The Missing, so I have some reservations).


Best Supporting Actor
• Chris Cooper, Seabiscuit
• Albert Finney, Big Fish
• Benicio del Toro, 21 Grams
• Tim Robbins, Mystic River
• Peter Saarsgard, Shattered Glass

I'm a little unsure on Cooper, primarily because of his strong win last year -- I think his Seabiscuit performance wasn't nearly as strong as that, but if Crowe can get nommed again for M&C, I think Cooper can pull off a nom here. However, I can see Watanabe getting a nom for The Last Samurai. Eugene Levy was pretty damned great in A Mighty Wind, but I don't see him making it in this large crowd.


Best Supporting Actress
• Keisha Castle-Hughes, Whale Rider
• Patricia Clarkson, Pieces of April
• Holly Hunter, Thirteen
• Scarlett Johansson, Lost in Translation
• Renee Zellweger, Cold Mountain

Another tough category. The only locks I can see are Zellweger and Castle-Hughes (though I do find it a crime that Castle-Hughes is considered for Supporting instead of the main Best Actress).


Best Animated Feature
• Finding Nemo
• Sennen joyu (Millennium Actress)
• Les triplettes de Belleville (The Triplettes of Belleville)

I haven't seen Tokyo Godfathers, which is the other animated title by the director of Millennium Actress; Entertainment Weekly is calling for TG over MA, but I think MA has a little more visibility, so I'll go with that.


Best Foreign-Language Film
(No full predictions, but I'd bet any money that Canada's Les invasions barbares (The Barbarian Invasions) makes the cut.)


Best Cinematography
• Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel, Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
• Roger Deakins, House of Sand and Fog
• Andrew Lesnie, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• John Seale, Cold Mountain
• John Toll, The Last Samurai

Man oh man, how I'd love to see Winged Migration make this list.


Best Film Editing
Kill Bill: Vol. 1
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Mystic River


Best Adapted Screenplay
• American Splendor
• Cold Mountain
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Mystic River
• Seabiscuit

About the only field I can feel comfortable with all 5.


Best Original Screenplay
• Dirty Pretty Things
• In America
• Lost in Translation
• The Station Agent
• 21 Grams

The Magdalene Sisters might make it in place of either In America or The Station Agent; I don't see Love Actually, The Last Samurai, or Kill Bill: Vol. 1 making the cut.


Best Original Score
• Danny Elfman, Big Fish
• Howard Shore, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Randy Newman, Seabiscuit
• James Newton Howard, Peter Pan
• Hans Zimmer, The Last Samurai

I don't see Pirates of the Caribbean making this -- the score sounds too much like other films of the action genre (though that never stopped the Academy before for recognizing John Williams over and over and over again ). *Maybe* Finding Nemo will get the nom, but I personally wasn't too inspired by the score.


Best Original Song
• "Into the West", The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
• "Man of the Hour", Big Fish
• "A Mighty Wind", A Mighty Wind
• "School of Rock", School of Rock
• "Time Enough for Tears", In America

I'm just going with the consensus on "Man of the Hour" and "Time Enough for Tears"; I've not seen the films they came from.


Best Sound
• Kill Bill: Vol. 1
• The Last Samurai
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
• Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines


Best Sound Editing
• Kill Bill: Vol. 1
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World


Best Visual Effects
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
• Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Art Direction
• Down with Love
• The Last Samurai
• Girl with a Pearl Earring
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Costume Design
• Down with Love
• The Last Samurai
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
• Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Makeup
• The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
• Monster
• Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Documentary Feature
• The Argronomist
• Balseros
• Capturing the Friedmans
• The Fog of War
• Ônibus 174 (Bus 174)

Well, only 2 people on HTF saw Balseros, but both rated it relatively high (Scott Weinberg 4.5/5, NickNC 3/4), so I'll go with that one for the 4th slot. The 5th one is totally open, but I'll take a stab for The Argronomist (I admit I'm just judging by description and not by actual quality -- I've not seen a single documentary in this list, sadly).

 

[Nick Sievers]

I will write some predictions down and edit this post later.

 

[Nick C.]

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
Mystic River
LOTR:ROTK
Lost in Translation
Master and Commander
Cold Mountain

 

[Kristian]

Best Actor - Leading Role

Russell Crowe - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley - House of Sand and Fog
Bill Murray - Lost in Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River


Best Actor - Supporting Role

Paul Bettany - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Albert Finney - Big Fish
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Benicio del Toro - 21 Grams
Ken Watanabe - The Last Samurai


Best Actress - Leading Role

Jennifer Connelly - House of Sand and Fog
Diane Keaton - Something's Gotta Give
Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain
Charlize Theron - Monster
Naomi Watts 21 Grams


Best Actress - Supporting Role

Shohreh Aghdashloo - House of Sand and Fog
Holly Hunter - Thirteen
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River
Scarlett Johansson - Lost in Translation
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain


Best Animated Feature Film

Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville


Best Art Direction

Cold Mountain
Down With Love
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit


Best Cinematography

Russell Boyd - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Roger Deakins - House of Sand and Fog
Andrew Lesnie - The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit
John Toll - The Last Samurai


Best Costume Design

The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit
Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Documentary - Feature

My Architect: A Son's Journey
Bus 174
Capturing the Friedmans
My Flesh and Blood
The Fog of War


Best Documentary - Short Subject


Best Director

Sofia Coppola - Lost in Translation
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit
Peter Weir - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World


Best Film Editing

House of Sand and Fog
Kill Bill: Volume 1
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit


Best Foreign Language Film

The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Bon Voyage (France)
Divine Intervention (Palestine)
Good Bye, Lenin! (Germany)
Osama (Afghanistan)


Best Makeup

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Monster
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Music - Original Score

Danny Elfman - Big Fish
Randy Newman - Seabiscuit
Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo
Howard Shore - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Hans Zimmer - The Last Samurai


Best Music - Original Song

"Into the West" - Annie Lennox, Howard Shore, Fran Walsh - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
"Man of the Hour" - Eddie Vedder - Big Fish
"A Mighty Wind" - Christopher Guest, Eugene Levy, Michael McKean - A Mighty Wind
"School of Rock" - Sammy James Jr., Mike White - School of Rock
"Time Enough for Tears" - Bono, Gavin Friday, Maurice Seezer - In America


Best Picture

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Lost in Translation
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit


Best Screenplay - Adapted

Shari Springer Berman, Robert Pulcini - American Splendor
Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
John Collee, Peter Weir - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit


Best Screenplay - Original

Sofia Coppola - Lost in Translation
Richard Curtis - Love Actually
Catherine Hardwicke, Nikki Reed - Thirteen
Jim Sheridan, Kirsten Sheridan, Naomi Sheridan - In America
Andrew Stanton - Finding Nemo


Best Short Film - Animated


Best Short Film - Live Action


Best Sound

Finding Nemo
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Sound Editing

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Visual Effects

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

 

[Arman]

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley – House Of Sand And Fog (Winner)
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River
Sean Penn – 21 Grams

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Sean Astin - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Alec Baldwin – The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Peter Sarsgaard – Shattered Glass

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Jennifer Connolly - House Of Sand And Fog
Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give
Cate Blanchett – The Missing
Charlize Theron – Monster (Winner)
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Maria Bello – The Cooler
Sarah Bolger - In America
Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider
Scarlett Johansson - Lost In Translation (Winner)
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo (Winner)
Millenium Actress
The Triplets of Belleville

Achievement In Art Direction
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Cinematography
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Directing
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
Alejandro Gonzales Inarritu – 21 Grams
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Best Documentary Feature
My Architect: A Son’s Journey
My Flesh and Blood
Bus 174
Capturing The Friedmans
The Fog Of War (Winner)

Best Documentary Short Subject

Achievement In Film Editing
Kill Bill Volume 1
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Mystic River
21 Grams

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions
Divine Intervention
Goodbye, Lenin!
Osama
Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter, and...Spring (Winner)


Achievement In Makeup
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Mystic River
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Bono, "Time Enough for Tears", In America
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Philippa Boyens, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Sammy James, Jr. & Mike White, "School of Rock" - School Of Rock
Sting, "You Will Be My Own True Love" - Cold Mountain
Eddie Vedder, "Man of the Hour” – Big Fish

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
In America
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Lost In Translation
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Mystic River

Best Animated Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film

Achievement In Sound
Cold Mountain
Kill Bill Volume 1
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Sound Editing
Kill Bill Volume 1
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
American Splendor
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (Winner)
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Mystic River

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Dirty Pretty Things
In America
Lost In Translation (Winner)
The Station Agent
21 Grams

Total Nominations (Oscar wins!):
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – 14 (14)
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – 11 (0)
Cold Mountain – 8 (0)
Mystic River – 7 (0)
Pirates of the Carribean: Curse of the Black Pearl – 6 (0)
21 Grams – 6 (0)
Lost in Translation – 5 (2)
In America – 4(0)
The Last Samurai – 4 (0)
Kill Bill Volume 1 – 3 (0)
The Cooler – 2 (0)
House of Sand and Fog – 2(1)
Seabiscuit – 2 (0)
American Splendor - 1 (0)
The Barbarian Invasions – 1 (0)
Bus 174 – 1 (0)
Big Fish – 1 (0)
Capturing the Firedmans – 1 (0)
Dirty Pretty Things – 1 (0)
Divine Intervention – 1 (0)
Finding Nemo – 1 (1)
The Fog of War – 1 (1)
Goodbye, Lenin! – 1 (0)
Millenium Actress – 1 (0)
The Missing – 1 (0)
Monster – 1(1)
My Architect: A Son’s Journey – 1 (0)
M Flesh and Blood – 1 (0)
Osama – 1 0)
School of Rock – 1 (0)
Shattered Glass – 1 (0)
Something’s Gotta Give – 1 (0)
Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter, and...Spring – 1 (0)
The Station Agent - 1 (0)
The Triplets of Belleville – 1 (0)
Whale Rider – 1 (0)

 

[ZacharyTait]

Best Picture
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Lost in Translation
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

Best Director
Sofia Coppola for Lost in Translation
Clint Eastwood for Mystic River
Peter Jackson for The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Gary Ross for Seabiscuit
Peter Weir for Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Best Actor
Russel Crowe for Master and Commander: Far Side of the World
Johnny Depp for Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley for House of Sand and Fog
Bill Murray for Lost in Translation
Sean Penn for Mystic River

Best Actress
Diane Keaton for Something’s Gotta Give
Nicole Kidman for Cold Mountain
Charlize Theron for Monster
Naomi Watts for 21 Grams
Evan Rachel Wood for Thirteen

Best Supporting Actor
Sean Astin for The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Alec Baldwin for The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro for 21 Grams
Tim Robbins for Mystic River
Ken Watanabe for The Last Samurai

Best Supporting Actress
Maria Bello for The Cooler
Keisha Castle-Hughes for Whale Rider
Holly Hunter for Thirteen
Scarlett Johannson for Lost in Translation
Renee Zelwegger for Cold Mountain

Best Adapted Screenplay
American Splendor
Cold Mountain
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Mystic River

Best Original Screenplay
21 Grams
Finding Nemo
In America
Lost in Translation
Monster

Best Art Direction
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit

Best Cinematography
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit

Best Costume Design
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit

Best Film Editing
21 Grams
Cold Mountain
Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Mystic River

Best Original Score
Big Fish
Cold Mountain
Finding Nemo
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Original Song
A Mighty Wind
Cold Mountain
In America
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
School of Rock

Best Sound
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

Best Visual Effects
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

Best Animated Feature
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
Triplets of Belleville

Best Foreign Film
Barbarian Invasions
Goodbye Lenin
Osama
Spring,Summer,Fall,Winter,and...Spring
Uzak

Best Documentary
Bus 174
Capturing the Friedmans
The Fog of War
My Architect: A Son’s Journey
My Flesh and Blood

Best Sound Editing
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

Best Makeup
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Monster
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

 

[Marc_Savoie]

MUCH editing to be made...

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Russell Crowe - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean
Ben Kingsley - House of Sand & Fog
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Alec Baldwin - The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Albert Finney - Big Fish
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Ken Watanabe - The Last Samurai

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Jenifer Connelly - House of Sand & Fog
Diane Keaton - Something's Gotta Give
Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain
Charlize Theron - Monster
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House of Sand & Fog
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River
Scarlett Johansson - Lost In Translation
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville

Achievement In Art Direction
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
Russell Boyd - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Andrew Lesnie - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit
John Toll - The Last Samurai

Achievement In Costume Design
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Directing
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain
Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Best Documentary Feature
Bus 174
Capturing the Friedmans
The Fog of War
Osama

Best Documentary Short Subject

Achievement In Film Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year

Achievement In Makeup
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Monster

Achievement In Music (Original Score)

Achievement In Music (Original Song)

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
Cold Mountain
In America
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Lost In Translation
Mystic River

Best Animated Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film

Achievement In Sound
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Sound Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation

 

[Dana Fillhart]

Updated my list with most of the categories. Still need the art/fx categories, best song category, the animated category, and foreign film.

 

[Ray H]

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
- Lost in Translation
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
- Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
- Mystic River
- Seabicuit

Achievement In Directing
- Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation
- Clint Eastwood, Mystic River
- Peter Jackson, The Return of the King
- Gary Ross, Seabiscuit
- Peter Weir, Master and Commander

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
- Russel Crowe, Master and Commander
- Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean
- Ben Kinglsey, The House of Sand and Fog
- Bill Murray, Lost in Translation
- Sean Penn, Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
- Sean Astin, The Return of the King
- Alec Baldwin, The Cooler
- Benicio Del Toro, 21 Grams
- Tim Robbins, Mystic River
- Ken Watanabe, The Last Samurai

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
- Jennifer Connelly, The House of Sand and Fog
- Diane Keaton, Something's Gotta Give
- Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain
- Charlize Theron, Monster
- Naomi Watts, 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
- Keisha Castle-Hughes, Whale Rider
- Patricia Clarkson, Pieces of April
- Holly Hunter, Thirteen
- Scarlett Johansson, Lost in Translation
- Renee Zellweger, Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
- Brother Bear
- Finding Nemo
- The Triplets of Belleville

Achievement In Art Direction
- Girl With A Pearl Earring
- The Last Samurai
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
- Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
- Seabiscuit

Achievement In Cinematography
- Cold Mountain
- The Last Samurai
- The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
- Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
- Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
- Down With Love
- The Last Samurai
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
- Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
- Seabiscuit

Best Documentary Feature
- Capturing the Friedmans
- The Fog of War

Best Documentary Short Subject

Achievement In Film Editing
- Cold Mountain
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
- Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
- Mystic River
- Seabiscuit

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year

Achievement In Makeup
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
- Monster
- Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Achievement In Music - Original Score
- Klaus Badelt, Pirates Of The Caribbean
- Randy Newman, Seabiscuit
- James Newton Howard, Peter Pan
- Howard Shore, The Return Of The King
- Gabriel Yared, Cold Mountain

Achievement In Music - Original Song
- "A Mighty Wind," A Mighty Wind
- "Into the West," The Return of the King
- "Man of the Hour," Big Fish
- "School of Rock," School of Rock
- "Time Enough for Tears," In America

Best Animated Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film

Achievement In Sound
- Kill Bill: Volume 1
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
- Master and Commander
- Pirates of the Caribbean
- Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines

Achievement In Sound Editing
- Finding Nemo
- Kill Bill: Vol. 1
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Achievement In Visual Effects
- The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
- Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
- Pirates of the Caribbean

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
- Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain
- Fran Walsh, Philipa Boyens, Peter Jackson, The Return of the King
- Peter Weir, John Collee, Master and Commander
- Brian Helgeland, Mystic River
- Gary Ross, Seabiscuit

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
- Andrew Stanton, Finding Nemo
- Jim, Naomi, & Kristen Sheridan, In America
- Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation
- Richard Curtis, Love Actually
- Guillermo Arriaga, 21 Grams

 

[Adam_S]

Bold is what I would pick if these were the nominees (not who I think should win), I think my biggest longshot is in supporting actor.
* signifies a film I've not YET seen

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role (5)
Sean Penn - Mystic River*
Bill Murry - Lost in Translation
Ben Kingsley - House of Sand and Fog
Jude Law - Cold Mountain*
Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Carribean

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role (5)
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Tim Robbins - Mystic River*
Sean Astin - Return of the King
Djimon Honsou - In America
Albert Finney - Big Fish

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role (5)
Charlize Theron - Monster*
Diane Keaton - Something's Gotta Give*
Jennifer Connelly - House of Sand and Fog
Samantha Mortan - In America
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role (5)
Sarah Bolger - In America
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain*
Scarlett Johannson - Lost in Translation
Holly Hunter - Thirteen*
Shorheh Agdashaloo - House of Sand and Fog

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year (3) - Eligible films
Finding Nemo
Tripletts of Belleville*
Brother Bear*

Achievement In Art Direction (5)
Lord of the Rings The Return of the King
Pirates of the Caribbean
Seabiscuit
The Last Samurai
Master and Commander


Achievement In Cinematography (5)
The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
The Last Samurai
Master and Commander
The House of Sand and Fog
Lost in Translation

Achievement In Costume Design (5)
Lord of the Rings Return of the King
Kill Bill
Pirates of the Carribbean
Seabiscuit
Cold Mountain*

Achievement In Directing (5)
Peter Jackson - Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River*
Sophia Coppola - Lost in Translation
Peter Weir - Master and Commander
Jim Sheridan - In America

Best Documentary Feature (5)
Capturing the Friedmans*
The Fog of War*
My Architect*
Charlie: the life and art of charlie chaplin*
My Flesh and Blood*

Best Documentary Short Subject (3)
no clue

Achievement In Film Editing (5)
THe Lord of the Rings: Return of hte King
Finding Nemo
Mystic River*
Lost in Translation
Master and Commander

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year (5) - Eligible films
Goodbye Lenin - Germany
Barbarian Invasions - Canada
Infernal Affairs - Hong Kong
Osama - Afghanistan
Spring Summer Winter Fall... and Spring - South Korea

Achievement In Makeup (3) - Eligible films
Peter Pan
Master and Commander
Lord of the Rings: Return of the King


Achievement In Music - Original Score (5)
Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
House of Sand and Fog
Peter Pan
Finding Nemo
Big Fish

Achievement In Music - Original Song (5)
Into the West - Return of the King
Time Enough for Tears - In America
A Mighty Wind- A Mighty Wind*
Man of the Hour - Big Fish
School of Rock - School of Rock*



Best Motion Picture Of The Year (5)
The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
Seabiscuit
Mystic River*
Cold Mountain*
Lost in Translation

Best Animated Short Film (5)
no clue

Best Live Action Short Film (5)
no clue

Achievement In Sound (5)
Lord of the Rings Return of hte King
Kill Bill
The Last Samurai
Pirates of the Carribbean
Finding Nemo



Achievement In Sound Editing (3) - Eligible films
Lord of the Rings - Return of hte King
Kill Bill
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Visual Effects (3) - Eligible films
Lord of the Rings - Return of the King
Pirates of the Carribbean
Kill Bill

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published (5)
Lord of the Rings - Return of the King
Mystic River*
American Splendor*
Seabiscuit
Big Fish


Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen (5)
In America
Lost in Translation
Monster*
Finding Nemo
Love Actually*



Lord of the Rings: Return of the King - 14
Lost in Translation - 7
In America - 6
Mystic River - 6
MAster and Commander - 5
Finding Nemo - 5
Big Fish - 4
Kill Bill - 3
Seabiscuit - 4
Last Samurai - 3
House of Sand and Fog - 3
Cold Mountain - 4
21 Grams - 2

 

[Dana Fillhart]

For those keeping score, I've updated my list to include Original Score, Original Song, and Cinematography.

I still need Art Direction, Costume, Foreign Language Film, and Makeup. I will not be filling in details for Short/Live, Short/Animated, and Documentary/Short, as I've not seen a single one of these (except Short/Animated, where I've seen the 9 Animatrix shorts, but I've not seen enough to know what else could/would qualify).

 

[Nicholas Vargo]

My Picks:
(Please note that I'm abstaining from Best Live Action Short, Best Animated Short, and Best Documentary Short Subject because I do not know what is eligible.)

Best Picture
Lost in Translation
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Mystic River
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit

Best Director
Peter Jackson The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Sofia Coppela Lost in Translation
Clint Eastwood Mystic River
Peter Weir Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Gary Ross Seabiscuit

Best Actor
Bill Murray Lost in Translation
Sean Penn Mystic River
Ben Kingsley House of Sand and Fog
Jude Law Cold Mountain
Paul Giamatti American Splendor

Best Supporting Actor
Alec Baldwin The Cooler
Albert Finney Big Fish
Benicio Del Toro 21 Grams
Tim Robbins Mystic River
Sean Astin The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Actress
Charlize Theron Monster
Diane Keaton Something's Gotta Give
Naomi Watts 21 Grams
Jennifer Connally House of Sand and Fog
Samantha Morton In America

Best Supporting Actress
Renee Zellweger Cold Mountain
Scarlett Johannson Lost in Translation
Marcia Gay Harden Mystic River
Holly Hunter Thirteen
Sarah Bolger In America

Best Animated Feature
Finding Nemo
Brother Bear
Tripletts of Belleville

Best Original Screenplay
Lost in Translation
Love Actually
Finding Nemo
Monster
In America

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Mystic River
Big Fish
Seabiscuit
American Splendor

Best Original Score
Peter Pan
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Cold Mountain
Big Fish
Mystic River

Best Original Song
"A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" A Mighty Wind
"Man of the Hour" Big Fish
"A Mighty Wind" A Mighty Wind
"School of Rock" The School of Rock
"Into The West" The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Cinematography
Lost in Translation
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Mystic River
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit

Best Makeup
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Peter Pan
Monster

Best Art Direction/Set Decoration
Down With Love
Cold Mountain
Mystic River
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Best Film Editing
Lost in Translation
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Kill Bill: Volume 1
Mystic River
Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Best Costume Design
Down With Love
Cold Mountain
Peter Pan
Seabiscuit
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Best Foreign Language Film
Osama (Afghanistan)
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Goodbye Lenin (Germany)
The Return (Russia)
Spring, Summer, Fall , Winter...and Spring (Korea)

Best Sound
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Kill Bill Vol. 1
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
Finding Nemo

Best Sound Effects Editing
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Best Visual Effects
Peter Pan
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Best Documentary Feature
Capturing the Friedmans
Bus 174
Charlie: The Life and Art of Charles Chaplin
The Fog of War
The Lost Boys of Sudan

Nominations Tally
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - 14
Mystic River - 10
Lost in Translation - 7
Cold Mountain - 5
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World - 5
Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl - 5
Seabiscuit - 5
Big Fish - 4
Finding Nemo - 3
In America - 3
Monster - 3
21 Grams - 2
American Splendor - 2
A Mighty Wind - 2
Down With Love - 2
House of Sand & Fog - 2
Kill Bill: Volume 1 - 2
Peter Pan - 2
The Cooler - 1
Love Actually - 1
The School of Rock - 1
Something's Gotta Give - 1
Thirteen - 1

 

[Seth Paxton]

Not fully decided on a few still...

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role 4 of 5
Sean Penn (winner)
Bill Murray
Russell Crowe (wrong)
Jude Law

Ben Kingsley
Johnny Depp (well, I was choosing between the right two guys I guess ).


Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role 3 of 5
Tim Robbins (winner)
Willam H Macy (wrong)

Alec Baldwin
Ken Watanabe
Albert Finney (wrong)

(I wasn't really done looking at this category, but I also hadn't seen enough of the films either)


Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role 3 of 5
Charleze Theron (winner)
Nicole Kidman (wrong)
Evan Rachel Wood (wrong)
Naomi Watts
Diane Keaton

(Whale Rider suprise, still hadn't seen In America which made me forget about Morton who was an early favorite here)

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role 3 of 5
Renee Zellweger (winner)
Holly Hunter
Marsha Gay Harden

(I hadn't finished looking into this one. If you only guess 3 then you definitely can't get them all right. At least I called the Harden thing)

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year 2 of 3
Finding Nemo (winner)
Triplets of Bellville

(Again I was unfinished on research, mainly because I wasn't sure they would really give it to Brother Bear)

Achievement In Art Direction 3 of 5
ROTK (winner)
Seabiscuit
Mystic River
Cold Mountain (wrong)
Lost in Translation (wrong)

(well, the other 2 were a big period piece and a small, intimate film at least )

Achievement In Cinematography 2 of 5
ROTK (winner) (wrong, so its not going to win I guess )
Seabiscuit (possible upset, but not likely) (the new fav to win)
Cold Mountain
Mystic River (wrong)
Last Samurai (wrong)

(If I'd known that City of God actually had anyone's attention then I would have put it down for many categories, especially direction and editing. The nom here is a nice surprise though. I should have put M&C on there, not sure what I was thinking on that one).

Achievement In Costume Design
ROTK (winner)
Cold Mountain (wrong)
Big Fish (wrong)
Master and Commander
Kill Bill (wrong, I thought some Bill love might sneak in)


Achievement In Directing 4 of 5
Jackson
Weir
Coppola
Eastwood
Minghella (wrong, but City of God does deserve it more that's for sure)

Best Documentary Feature 2 of 5
The Fog of War
Capturing the Friedmans

(I guessed 2 and got them right. Now if only I get to see them ).

Best Documentary Short Subject[/b] no guesses made
???

Achievement In Film Editing 3 of 5
ROTK (winner)
Mystic River (wrong)
Master and Commander
Seabiscuit
Lost in Translation (wrong)

(again, if I'd know CoG was in the running...and Cold Mountain made sense since it cut between 2 storylines so often and well)

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year 1 of 5 (I had no idea on this one)
Barbarian Invasions
Osama


Achievement In Makeup 2 of 3
ROTK (winner)
Pirates of the Carribean
Monster (wrong)
(I thought the Theron transformation would open up some more love for that film here)

Achievement In Music - Original Score 3 of 5
ROTK (winner) I think they let Shore in this time
Cold Mountain
Big Fish

In America (I didn't finish my guesses here because I was kind of stumped after the first 3)

Achievement In Music - Original Song 1 of 5
ROTK
Big Fish (wrong)
(needed to research more here too, but man only 1 of 2 is not good)

Best Motion Picture Of The Year 4 of 5
ROTK (winner)
Mystic River
Cold Mountain (wrong)
Lost in Translation
Master and Commander

Best Animated Short Film no guesses

Best Live Action Short Film no guesses

Achievement In Sound 4 of 5
ROTK (winner)
Pirates of the Carribean
Master and Commander
Seabiscuit
Cold Mountain (wrong)

Achievement In Sound Editing 2 of 3
ROTK (winner) (wrong, another one it won't win)
Master and Commander
Pirates of the Carribean

Achievement In Visual Effects 3 of 3
ROTK (winner)
Pirates of the Carribean
Master and Commander

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published 2 of 5
ROTK (winner)
Mystic River
Cold Mountain (wrong)

(wasn't sure about the rest, never would have guessed CoG)

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen 3 of 5
Lost in Translation (winner)
21 Grams (wrong)
In America
Finding Nemo
The Station Agent (wrong)

 

[Dana Fillhart]

Updated my list to now include Costume, Makeup, Foreign-Language Film, and Animated. I also corrected my mistake for the Documentary category (bummer Winged Migration isn't considered, and I'm guessing Spellbound was considered last year).

Excepting glaring errors, I won't be making any further updates

 

[Craig S]

Dana, hopefully it will make you feel better to know that both Winged Migration & Spellbound were nominated for Best Documentary Feature last year.

 

[Brian W.]

Best Motion Picture of the Year

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King,
Lost in Translation
Master and Commander
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

Wild card: Cold Mountain

Achievement in Directing

Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Sophia Coppola - Lost in Translation
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
Peter Weir - Master and Commander
Jim Sheridan - In America

Wild card: Tim Burton. I predict Gary Ross will NOT be nominated.

Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Carribean
Bill Murray - Lost in Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River
Ben Kingsley - The House of Sand and Fog
Peter Dinklage - The Station Agent

Wild cards: Tom Cruise and Paul Giamatti

Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Charlize Theron - Monster
Evan Rachel Wood - Thirteen
Diane Keaton - Something's Gotta Give
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams
Nicole Kidman – Cold Mountain

Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Alec Baldwin - The Cooler
Ken Watanabe - The Last Samurai
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Peter Sarsgaard - Shattered Glass
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams

Wild Cards: Albert Finney and Sean Astin

Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Maria Bellow - The Cooler
Patricia Clarkson - Pieces of April
Holly Hunter - Thirteen
Rene Zellwegger - Cold Mountain
Shohreh Aghdashloo - The House of Sand and Fog

Wild card: Keisha Castle Hughes (Whale Rider)

Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen

In America
Lost in Translation
The Station Agent
Dirty Pretty Things
The Barbarian Invasions

Screenplay based on Material Previously Produced or Published

Mystic River
Cold Mountain
Return of the King
American Splendor
Seabiscuit

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year

The Barbarian Invasions
Goodbye, Lenin!
Osama
Bon Voyage
The Return
Monsieu Ibriham

Achievement in Art Direction
Girl with Pearl Earring
Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
Big Fish
Master and Commander
The Last Samurai

Achievement in Visual Effects
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Achievement in Costume Design
Girl with Pearl Earring
Master and Commander
The Last Samurai
Pirates of the Carribean
Seabiscuit

Achievement in Makeup
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl Monster

Achievement in Editing
Seabiscuit
Master and Commander
Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
Mystic River
Lost in Translation

Achievement in Cinematography
Girl with Pearl Earring
Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
Master and Commander
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai

Achievement in Sound
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander
Pirates of the Caribbean
Cold Mountain
Kill Bill

Achievement in Sound Editing
Kill Bill: Vol. 1
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Achievement in Music: Original Score
Howard Shore - The Return of the King
Gabriel Yared - Cold Mountain
Eduardo Serra - Girl with a Pearl Earring
Danny Elfman - Big Fish
Hans Zimmer - The Last Samurai

Achievement in Music: Original Song
Into the West - Return of the King
Time Enough for Tears - In America
The Heart of Every Girl - Mona Lisa Smile
You Will Be My Own True Love - Cold Mountain
Man of the Hour - Big Fish

Documentary Feature

Capturing The Friedmans
The Fog Of War
My Architect
Bus 174
The Weather Underground