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*** Official "OSCAR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS ONLY" Thread

Discussion in 'Archived Threads 2001-2004' started by Craig S, Jan 20, 2003.

  1. Craig S

    Craig S Producer
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    OK, folks, Oscar season is upon us, and it's time to test our prognosticating skills. Please use this thread to post your predictions for the Oscar nominations. The Academy will announce the nominees on February 11, so you've got three weeks to get your picks in.

    To keep things clean, let's use this thread for predictions only. We have a lively discussion going in this thread, so join us there to talk about all things Oscar.

    Following is the list of categories. The number in parens after each category is the maximum number of nominees for each category:
    • Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role (5)
    • Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role (5)
    • Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role (5)
    • Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role (5)
    • Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year (5)
    • Achievement In Art Direction (5)
    • Achievement In Cinematography (5)
    • Achievement In Costume Design (5)
    • Achievement In Directing (5)
    • Best Documentary Feature (5)
    • Best Documentary Short Subject (3)
    • Achievement In Film Editing (5)
    • Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year (5)
    • Achievement In Makeup (2)
    • Achievement In Music - Original Score(5)
    • Achievement In Music - Original Song (5)
    • Best Motion Picture Of The Year (5)
    • Best Animated Short Film (5)
    • Best Live Action Short Film (5)
    • Achievement In Sound (5)
    • Achievement In Sound Editing (3)
    • Achievement In Visual Effects (3)
    • Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published (5)
    • Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen (5)

    Here are some useful links for Oscar watchers:

    Official Academy site
    Official Rules for the 75th Academy Awards

    Several categories have announced lists of eligible films. Be sure to check these before making your picks in these categories:

    Eligible films for Best Foreign Language Feature
    Eligible films for Best Animated Feature
    Eligible films for Visual Effects
    Eligible films for Sound Editing
    Eligible films for Documentary Feature

    And only two films are eligible for the Makeup Oscar: Frida & The Time Machine!

    Other random notes:
    • Remember, successful Oscar pickers choose what they think the Academy will do, NOT their own personal favorites.
    • You don't have to fill in all 24 categories. However, you should at the very least predict the Big Six (Picture, Director, and the four Acting categories).
    • As the Oscar climate will be changing often please feel free to edit your picks up until February 10.
    • I will be tabulating the posts to come up with the HTF Consensus picks (see 2 posts below). To keep my sanity [​IMG], I will be updating these three times - the next two weekends, and the final update on the evening of February 10th.
    • You may include one (and only one) Wild Card pick per category if you wish. Wild Cards will count 1/2 point when totaling the consensus.
    • Don't worry about projecting the eventual winner (although you may if you wish). After the noms are announced on Feb 11, I'll start another thread to gather predictions for the winners.

    So let's get those predictions posted! Most importantly - have fun!
     
  2. Dana Fillhart

    Dana Fillhart Supporting Actor

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    Dana's 2003 Oscars
    Last Updated: 1 Feb 2003


    Updates:
    • (1 Feb 2003) Added two more Animated titles; apparently five films are indeed eligible this year. Also fixed some additional minor inconsistencies.
    • (24 Jan 2003) Added the 2 remaining categories I accidentally skipped -- Short Films (Live and Animated),
    • (24 Jan 2003) For some reason I had About Schmidt in my "Perfect World" BP noms; I've changed it to what it should've been -- The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers.
    • (22 Jan 2003) Changed Foreign Film selections to match eligible-films list.

    CategoryPredicted NominationsIn a Perfect World...Best Picture
    About Schmidt
    Chicago
    Far from Heaven1a
    The Hours1a
    Gangs of New York

    Adaptation.
    Far from Heaven
    Hable con Ella (Talk to Her)1b
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away)1bActor in a Leading Role
    Adrian Brody (The Pianist)2a
    Nicolas Cage (Adaptation.)2a
    Michael Caine (The Quiet American)
    Daniel Day-Lewis (Gangs of New York)
    Jack Nicholson (About Schmidt)

    Nicolas Cage (Adaptation.)
    Daniel Day-Lewis (Gangs of New York)
    Darío Grandinetti (Hable con Ella (Talk to Her))2b
    Jack Nicholson (About Schmidt)
    Sam Rockwell (Confessions of a Dangerous Mind)2bActor in a Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper (Adaptation.)
    Paul Newman (Road to Perdition)3a
    Dennis Quaid (Far from Heaven)3a
    John C. Reilly (Chicago)
    Christopher Walken (Catch Me If You Can)3a
    Chris Cooper (Adaptation.)
    Dennis Haysbert (Far from Heaven)
    Alfred Molina (Frida)
    Viggo Mortensen (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    Andy Serkis (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)3bActress in a Leading Role
    Salma Hayek (Frida)
    Diane Lane (Unfaithful)
    Nicole Kidman (The Hours)4a
    Julianne Moore (Far from Heaven)
    Renée Zellweger (Chicago)4a
    Salma Hayek (Frida)
    Diane Lane (Unfaithful)
    Julianne Moore (Far from Heaven)
    Emily Mortimer (lovely and amazing)
    Everlyn Sampi (Rabbit-Proof Fence)4bActress in a Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates (About Schmidt)5a
    Meryl Streep (Adaptation.)5a
    Julianne Moore (The Hours)
    Susan Sarandon (Igby Goes Down)5a
    Catherine Zeta-Jones (Chicago)

    Kathy Bates (About Schmidt)5b
    Samantha Morton (Minority Report)5b
    Meryl Streep (Adaptation.)5b
    Maribel Verdú (Y Tu Mamá También (And Your Mother Too))5b
    Emily Watson (Punch-Drunk Love)
    Best Animated Feature Film6
    Ice Age
    Lilo & Stitch
    Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away)
    Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
    Treasure Planet

    Ice Age
    Lilo & Stitch
    Metropolis (2001, Japan)6b
    Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away)
    Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
    Art Direction
    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    Hable con Ella (Talk to Her)
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    Hable con Ella (Talk to Her)
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Cinematography
    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Road to Perdition

    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Road to Perdition
    Costume Design
    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    Frida
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    Frida
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Directing
    Todd Haynes (Far from Heaven)
    Peter Jackson (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    Rob Marshall (Chicago)
    Martin Scorsese (Gangs of New York)
    Roman Polanski (The Pianist)7a
    Pedro Almodóvar (Hable con Ella (Talk to Her))7b
    Todd Haynes (Far from Heaven)
    Peter Jackson (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    Spike Jonze (Adaptation.)
    Martin Scorsese (Gangs of New York)
    Documentary - Feature8
    Bowling for Columbine
    The Kid Stays In The Picture
    Standing In The Shadows Of Motown
    ?
    ?

    Bowling for Columbine
    The Kid Stays In The Picture
    Standing In The Shadows Of Motown
    ?
    ?
    Documentary - Short Subject8
    ?
    ?
    ?

    ?
    ?
    ?
    Film Editing
    Peter Boyle (The Hours)
    D. Michael Horton and Jabez Olssen (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    Thelma Schoonmaker (Gangs of New York)
    Martin Walsh (Chicago)
    Eric Zumbrunnen (Adaptation.)

    Peter Boyle (The Hours)
    Stefan Ciupek, Sergei Ivanov, and Betina Kuntzsch (Russkij kovcheg (Russian Ark))
    Thelma Schoonmaker (Gangs of New York)
    Martin Walsh (Chicago)
    Eric Zumbrunnen (Adaptation.)
    Foreign Language Film
    Brazil (Cidade de Deus (City of God))
    China (Ying Xiong (Hero))
    Croatia (Fine mrtve djevojke (Nice Dead Girls))
    India (Devdas)
    Mexico (El Crimen del Padre Amaro (The Crime of Father Amaro))9a
    Brazil (Cidade de Deus (City of God))
    France (The Pianist)
    Japan (Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away))
    Mexico (Y Tu Mamá También (And Your Mother Too))
    Spain (Hable con Ella (Talk to Her))9bMakeup
    Ivana Primorac (The Hours)
    Jordan Samuel (Chicago)
    Jeremy Woodhead (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)

    Ivana Primorac (The Hours)
    Jordan Samuel (Chicago)
    Jeremy Woodhead (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    Music - Original Score
    Elmer Bernstein (Far from Heaven)
    Danny Elfman (Chicago)
    Peter Gabriel (Rabbit-Proof Fence)
    Howard Shore (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    John Williams (Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones)

    Elmer Bernstein (Far from Heaven)
    Danny Elfman (Chicago)
    Peter Gabriel (Rabbit-Proof Fence)
    Howard Shore (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    John Williams (Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones)
    Music Original Song
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" (Gangs Of New York)
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" (8 Mile)
    Elliot Goldenthal and Julie Taymor, "Burn This House" (Frida)
    John Kander, "I Move On" (Chicago)10a
    Emiliana Torrini, "Gollum's Song" (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)

    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" (Gangs Of New York)
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" (8 Mile)
    Elliot Goldenthal and Julie Taymor, "Burn This House" (Frida)
    John Kander, "I Move On" (Chicago)10b
    Emiliana Torrini, "Gollum's Song" (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    Short Films - Animated11
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?

    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    Short Films - Live Action11
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?

    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    Sound
    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Spider-Man
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones

    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Spider-Man
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones
    Sound Editing
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones

    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones
    Visual Effects
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones

    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones
    Writing - Adapted
    Louis Begley (About Schmidt)
    Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson, Stephen Sinclair, and Fran Walsh (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    David Hare (The Hours)
    Charlie Kaufman (Confessions of a Dangerous Mind)
    Charlie and Donald Kaufman (Adaptation.)

    Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson, Stephen Sinclair, and Fran Walsh (The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers)
    Jon Cohen and Scott Frank (Minority Report)
    Charlie Kaufman (Confessions of a Dangerous Mind)
    Charlie and Donald Kaufman (Adaptation.)
    Christine Olsen(Rabbit-Proof Fence)
    Writing - Original
    Pedro Almodóvar (Hable con Ella (Talk to Her))7b
    Paul Thomas Anderson (Punch-Drunk Love)
    Jay Cocks, Steven Zaillian, and Kenneth Lonergan (Gangs of New York)
    Antwone Fisher (Antwone Fisher)
    Todd Haynes (Far from Heaven)

    Pedro Almodóvar (Hable con Ella (Talk to Her))7b
    Paul Thomas Anderson (Punch-Drunk Love)
    Stéphane Cabel and Christophe Gans (Le Pacte de Loups (The Brotherhood of the Wolf))
    Charlie and Donald Kaufman (Adaptation.)
    Hayao Miyazaki (Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away))
    TOTALS (112 positions)
    01 - 8 Mile
    04 - About Schmidt
    05 - Adaptation.
    01 - Antwone Fisher
    01 - Bowling for Columbine
    01 - Catch Me If You Can
    13 - Chicago
    01 - Cicade de Deus (City of God)
    01 - Confessions of a Dangerous Mind
    01 - El Crimen del Padre Amaro (The Crime of Father Amaro)
    01 - Devdas
    10 - Far from Heaven
    01 - Fine mrtve djevojke (Nice Dead Girls)
    03 - Frida
    09 - Gangs of New York
    02 - Hable con Ella (Talk to Her)
    01 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets
    06 - The Hours
    01 - Ice Age
    01 - Igby Goes Down
    01 - The Kid Stays in the Picture
    01 - Lilo & Stitch
    12 - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    01 - Minority Report
    02 - The Pianist
    01 - Punch-Drunk Love
    01 - The Quiet American
    01 - Rabbit-Proof Fence
    02 - Road to Perdition
    01 - Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away)
    01 - Spider-Man
    01 - Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
    01 - Standing in the Shadows of Motown
    04 - Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones
    01 - Treasure Planet
    01 - Unfaithful
    01 - Ying Xiong (Hero)
    15 - ?

    01 - 8 Mile
    03 - About Schmidt
    08 - Adaptation.
    01 - Bowling for Columbine
    08 - Chicago
    01 - Cicade de Deus (City of God)
    02 - Confessions of a Dangerous Mind
    09 - Far from Heaven
    04 - Frida
    07 - Gangs of New York
    06 - Hable con Ella (Talk to Her)
    02 - The Hours
    01 - Ice Age
    01 - Lilo & Stitch
    01 - The Kid Stays in the Picture
    13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    01 - lovely and amazing
    04 - Minority Report
    01 - Le Pacte de Loups (The Brotherhood of the Wolf)
    01 - Metropolis (2001, Japan)
    01 - The Pianist
    02 - Punch-Drunk Love
    03 - Rabbit-Proof Fence
    01 - Road to Perdition
    01 - Russkij kovcheg (Russian Ark)
    04 - Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away)
    01 - Spider-Man
    01 - Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
    01 - Standing in the Shadows of Motown
    04 - Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones
    01 - Unfaithful
    02 - Y Tu Mamá También (And Your Mother Too)
    15 - ?


    • 1a - I must concede Far from Heaven over The Two Towers at the moment (FFH I think is technically better, though only barely) -- the latter title has lost significant momentum, and this is the only other title the Academy could award that is actually better than other possibles; My Big Fat Greek Wedding has the high popularity that could ideally replace Towers, but it has nowhere near the quality of FFH, Towers, Pianist, or most any other title nominated by the Guilds and the GG's. Adaptation. is about the only one that gives me worries about being wrong, but I can see The Hours losing to Adaptation. if not enough of the Academy back it (from lack of knowledge about the film, though after the GG's it's less likely to miss a nom now).
    • 1b - I haven't seen Chicago nor The Hours, but I know enough about the former to have a severe problem giving my recommendation for it after having read Entertainment Weekly's explanation of Harvey Weinstein's meddling with the process (essentially Joe Sixpacking aspects of the film to broaden its appeal; makes me sick to my stomach); Hours has on the surface a subject matter that turns me off from extreme boredom. In an ideal situation, these foreign films released in the U.S. this year would be nominated instead.
    • 2a - In any other year, Tom Hanks would've had a shoe-in for his role in Road to Perdition. Personally, I don't think his performance there was Oscar level, so I'm very happy that these other two films are so strong in their lead performances (I'm only going on what I hear, though, for Brody in The Pianist, but I solidly back my prediction for Cage) to make this point moot. If Hanks does pull a nom out of his arse ([​IMG]), though, I'll be unsurprised. Irritated, but unsurprised. The only other dark horse (and I mean no disrespectful pun in it) is Derek Luke for Antwone Fisher -- if he is nominated, it will likely be over Cage.
    • 2b - You gotta wonder why I chose these two over the two expected nominations that aren't in my ideal-world list. Well, to be honest I really felt that Quaid's performance was uneven in Far from Heaven, while Grandinetti's Marco really defined the flavor and direction of the film (Talk to Her), far more than Quaid did for FFH. I also felt Rockwell's role as Chuck Barris was so damned great (the perceived lack of insight to his motives was the script's fault, imho) that, having not seen The Pianist, I don't have a problem putting Rockwell in Brody's place.
    • 3a - I think this is this year's weakest category for runners-up -- Chris Cooper all but has a lock on the first position, but all four other places are wide open. Newman (though undeserving in my opinion) is very likely to get his first Supporting Role nom, but beyond that...? Reilly has strong support now with his nomination from the GG's, but I really don't think Harris' win there will translate to a nom -- I think Walken is the most likely for 5th place. However, it would not surprise me in the least to see the Academy give a semi-unexpected nod to Andy Serkis in this category, only because of the relatively weak playing field.
    • 3b - Ideally, I'd love to see Hasybert over Quaid for the FFH role; there was far more quality support from the Prez than the Rookie [​IMG] Alfred Molina gave a tremendous performance, probably better than anybody except Cooper, but there's so little support right now for Frida that I really think Walken will win out. *Sigh* . . . if it weren't for the history of the Academy, I'd also expect Serkis to beat out Walken, but I guess I'll have to live with him here in my fantasy world of winners [​IMG]
    • 4a - I've not seen either of these two performances, so I'm only going right now on the buzz. If one of these doesn't make it, expect Streep (The Hours) but not Zeta-Jones (Chicago; she'll be considered for supporting actress) to take the place.
    • 4b - You've got to see this girl's performance. If you don't walk away with bittersweet tears, I disown knowledge of your existence [​IMG] -- but if you do come away affected by the film, you can thank the serene inner brilliance conveyed so effectively by Sampi.
    • 5a - A hard 5th spot to gauge on this category -- I expect the GG nom to carry over here, especially with other recognition elsewhere, and see Sarandon nom'd. If not her, then (at least I'd hope) Emily Watson (Punch-Drunk Love) would be recognized. As to who's on top, I expect Kathy Bates to win it, though I do believe Streep's performance is better (by a good margin).
    • 5b - Morton's performance is hands-down the best (in my opinion) for a supporting actress this year. But since the film she is in hasn't seen much in the way of accolades beyond some critics' circles, and the fact that she has a more prominent role in another film (Morvern Callar), I don't see the Academy giving her the credit due her for this role. Watch her actions in the room with Cruise and Binder (who plays Leo Crow) -- the scream she lets out is tremendously affecting. That one moment gives all her other scenes perfect definition, and reviewing them you see she has not only played the character consistently, but has given tremendous weight to the film as a whole -- without even the nuances she puts into her character, we'd be left with far less of a quality film, and I doubt as many critics would have found a way to put this film in their top 10. Bates' scenes in Schmidt practically steal the film she's in, too; I fully agree with my prediction in placing her in the top 5. Verdú, too, is phenomenal, and it's a shame that foreign films don't get as much weight in the heavy categories that Hollywood films do (though it is understandable -- it's the American Academy, after all), otherwise I'd expect Verdú to take her place in the Academy's top 5 for the year as well (Brody for The Pianist is happening only because of a huge groundswell for him combined with a relatively weak 5th-spot competition).
    • 6 - The 2002 Academy Awards for 2001 films was the first year this category was recognized. The rules state that if there are at least 8 but no more than 15 films tha meet the criteria for the category, 3 films can be nominated. If there are 16 or more, 5 films can be nominated. I am working under the assumption that there are less than 16 this year. Someone mentioned there were indeed over 16, so I've added two more eligible.
    • 6a/6b - I'm not 100% sure if Metropolis qualifies for the 2003 Oscars (for 2002 films) -- it *might* have been in the requisite theatres in 2001.
    • 7a - A tough one to call -- it could be this, Road to Perdition, or either one of Spielberg's two films, or even Alexandar Payne's About Schmidt. I doubt, though, Polanski will be recognized for The Pianist in place of Almodóvar, however.
    • 7b - Ideally, I'd like to see Talk to Her in place of Chicago or The Pianist, but that's my personal preference speaking.
    • 8 - Rules state there will be no less than three and no greater than five nominees for each Documentary Award category, whose outcome depends upon a particular weighted voting scheme that makes it impossible to determine ahead of time how many there will be; I'll therefore defer to last year's outcome and chooose 5 for Feature and 3 for Short. I also, having not seen ANY of them this year, have no frigging clue who to nominate at this point, except Moore's Columbine, which, at this point seems not only a shoe-in for nominee but winner as well.
    • 9a - If Y Tu isn't the film that is selected by Mexico, then I expect El Crimen del Padre Amaro to appear here, barely edging out India (Devdas) and China (Ying Xiong (Hero)). Well, since reading the actual list provided by Craig above, I found that all of my selections except Brazil's were not the ones submitted by their respective countries, so I've gone back and reworked them accordingly. The new result is now present.
    • 9b - It's a shame Spain did not enter this title, otherwise I would definitely have listed it in my predicted nominations.
    • 10a/10b - Too bad the rules are explicit on what qualifies for Best Song, otherwise I'd love to see "He Needs Me" (Punch-Drunk Love) put in here -- that song blended with and upheld the theme of the film more than any other this year, I felt (except maybe Bono's song for Gangs).
    • 11 - The rules allow anywhere between 3 and 5 nominations, but I'll go with the number from last year, and put down 5 for each
     
  3. Robert Crawford

    Robert Crawford Moderator
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    This thread is now officially designated as the Oscar Nomination Predictions thread. Only Nomination predictions are allowed in this thread, all other discussion comments will be deleted.





    Crawdaddy
     
  4. Craig S

    Craig S Producer
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    Contents deleted by author.
     
  5. Craig S

    Craig S Producer
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    Craig's Picks
    These are my final picks! Wild cards are in italics.

    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt
    Richard Gere - Chicago

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Dennis Quaid - Far From Heaven
    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition
    John C. Reilly - Chicago
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can
    Alfred Molina - Frida

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    Meryl Streep - The Hours
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago
    Salma Hayek - Frida

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Susan Sarandon - Igby Goes Down
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago
    Queen Latifah - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo And Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion Of The Cimarron
    Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet
    The Wild Thornberries Movie

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Frida

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Michael Ballhaus - Gangs Of New York
    Pawel Edelman - The Pianist
    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven
    Rodrigo Prieto - Frida
    Andrew Lesnie - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Directing
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours
    Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York
    Spike Jonze - Adaptation

    Best Documentary Feature
    Amandla! A Revolution In Four-Part Harmony
    Blind Spot: Hitler's Secretary
    Bowling For Columbine
    The Kid Stays In The Picture
    Standing In The Shadows Of Motown

    Best Documentary Short Subject

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Adaptation
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    8 Women - France
    City Of God - Brazil
    The Crime Of Father Amaro - Mexico
    Devdas - India
    Hero - China

    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida
    The Time Machine

    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    Elmer Bernstein - Far From Heaven
    Peter Gabriel - Rabbit-Proof Fence
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can
    Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile
    Elliot Goldenthal & Julie Taymor, "Burn It Blue" - Frida
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago
    Paul Simon, "Father & Daughter" - The Wild Thornberries Movie
    Bryan Adams, "Here I Am" - Spirit: Stallion Of The Cimarron

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist
    My Big Fat Greek Wedding

    Best Animated Short Film

    Best Live Action Short Film

    Achievement In Sound
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones
    Spider-Man

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Bill Condon - Chicago
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation
    David Hare - The Hours
    Ronald Harwood - The Pianist
    Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor - About Schmidt
    Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Stephen Sinclair & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
    Antwone Fisher - Antwone Fisher
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
    Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    P. T. Anderson - Punch-Drunk Love

    Final Counts
    Chicago: 11
    Gangs Of New York: 10
    The Hours: 9
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers: 8
    Far From Heaven: 7
    Adaptation: 5
    Frida: 5
    The Pianist: 5
    Road To Perdition: 4
    About Schmidt: 3
    Catch Me If You Can: 2
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones: 2
    8 Mile: 1
    Antwone Fisher: 1
    Igby Goes Down: 1
    Minority Report: 1
    The Quiet American: 1
    Rabbit-Proof Fence: 1
    Talk To Her: 1
    Unfaithful: 1
    The Wild Thornberries Movie: 1
     
  6. Arman

    Arman Screenwriter

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    Note: This was finalized after Craig S made the final tabulations of all the picks in this thread.

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year

    Adaptation.
    Chicago
    The Hours
    Lord of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist (Winner) - or like Talk To Her possibly One of 2002 Oscar's Sins of Omission

    Dream Pick: Talk To Her
    Darkhorses: About Schmidt & Gangs of New York
    Longshot/Wildcard: Antwone Fisher, Road To Perdition, Far From Heaven
    Bad Pick: MBFGW
    My Personal Best Picks: The Pianist, Talk To Her, Adaptation., Minority Report, LOTR:TTT

    Achievement In Directing
    Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Spike Jonze, Adaptation.
    Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York (Winner)
    Roman Polanski, The Pianist
    Pedro Almodovar, Talk To Her

    Darkhorses: Stephen Daldry, The Hours, Denzel Washington, Antwone Fisher
    & Rob Marshall, Chicago
    Longshot/Wildcard: George Clooney, Confessions of A Dangerous Mind, Sam Mendes, Road To Perdition, Todd Haynes, Far From Heaven

    Only The Pianist & The Lord of The Rings & their directors will be nominated for both Best Picture & Best Director!

    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Nicolas Cage, Adaptation
    Derek Luke, Antwone Fisher (Michael Caine 6th) / or My Dream Pick, Javier Camara, Talk To Her
    Daniel Day-Lewis, Gangs of New York (Winner)
    Adrien Brody, The Pianist
    Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt

    Dream Pick: Javier Camara, Talk To Her
    Darkhorses: Michael Caine, The Quiet American & Richard Gere, Chicago
    Longshot/Wildcard: Sam Rockwell, Confessions of A Dangerous Mind, Edward Norton, 25th Hour, Tom Hanks, Road To Perdition

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper, Adaptation - He'll win if Gere will not be nominated here
    Ed Harris, The Hours
    Paul Newman, Road to Perdition
    Dennis Quaid, Far From Heaven
    Richard Gere, Chicago (Winner) - If not replaced him with John C. Reiley

    Darkhorses: Denzel Washington, Antwone Fisher, John C. Reiley, Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Nicole Kidman, The Hours
    Diane Lane, Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven (Winner)
    Meryl Streep, The Hours
    Rene Zellweger, Chicago

    Darkhorse: Selma Hayek, Frida
    Longshot: My Big Fat Greek Wedding & Jennifer Anniston, The Good Girl, Evelyn Sampi, The Rabbit-Proof Fence

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates, About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore, The Hours
    Susan Sarandon, Moonlight Mile
    Meryl Streep, Adaptation (Winner)
    Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
    Darkhorses: Samantha Morton, Minority Report, Patricia Clarkson, Far From Heaven, Viola, Antwone Fisher

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo and Stitch
    Spirited Away (Winner)
    If more then 3 will be nominated -
    Stuart Little 2 ?
    Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron?

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Frida (Darkhorse: Talk To Her)
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Cinematography

    Far From Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Frida
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Best Documentary Feature
    Blind Spot: Hitler's Secretary
    Bowling For Columbine
    The Kid Stays In The Picture
    Standing In The Shadows Of Motown
    Winged Migration

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Adaptation
    Chicago
    Gangs of New York (Darkhorse: Talk To Her)
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year (toss-up beyween City of God vs. Nowhere in Africa)
    8 Women - France
    City of God - Brazil
    Nowhere in Africa
    Hero - China
    Crime of Father Amaro - Mexico
    Darkhorse: Mondays in the Sun


    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida
    Time Machine

    Achievement In Music - Original Score
    Catch Me If You Can
    Far From Heaven
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Rabbit-Proof Fence

    Achievement In Music - Original Song
    I Move On, Chicago
    The Hands That Built America, Gangs Of New York
    Lose Yourself, 8 Mile
    Die Another Day, Die Another Day

    Best Animated Short Film
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?

    Best Live Action Short Film
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?
    ?

    Achievement In Sound
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones
    We Were Soldiers

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    We Were Soldiers

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Adaptation.
    Chicago
    The Hours
    The Pianist
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Darkhorse: About Schmidt

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Antwone Fisher
    Far From Heaven
    Punch-Drunk Love
    Talk TO Her
    Confessions of A Dangerous Mind
    Darkhorse: My Big Fat Greek Wedding & GONY
     
  7. Paul_D

    Paul_D Cinematographer

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    Placeholder!
     
  8. Matt Stone

    Matt Stone Lead Actor

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    Placeholder...
     
  9. Adam_S

    Adam_S Producer

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    I'm not sure that I can pick five for every category right now, so I'm going to put (p) for placeholder in those spaces where I don't have enough noms. an asterix will mark what I believe will win


    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role (5)
    Daniel Day Lewis - Gangs of New York *
    Jack Nicholsen - About Shmidt
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation
    Micheal Caine - The Quiet American

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role (5)
    Paul Newman - Road to Perdition*
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me if you Can
    John C Rieley - Chicago
    Andy Serkis - The Two Towers

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role (5)
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven*
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago
    Selma Hayek - Frida
    Meryl Streep - The Hours


    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role (5)
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt*
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta Jones - Chicago
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Emily Watson - Punch Drunk Love

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year (5)
    Spirited Away*
    Lilo And Stitch
    Ice Age
    The Wild Thornberrys
    Spirit: Stallion of Cimarron


    Achievement In Art Direction (5)
    Gangs of New York*
    The Two Towers
    Chicago
    Catch Me if You Can
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones


    Achievement In Cinematography (5)
    Road to Perdition*
    Chicago
    The Two Towers
    Gangs of New York
    The Pianist

    Achievement In Costume Design (5)
    Chicago*
    Gangs of New York* (I can't decide which will take it right now)
    The Two Towers
    Catch Me if You Can
    Far From Heaven

    Achievement In Directing (5)
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York*
    Peter Jackson - The Two Towers
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist
    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours
    (one or both of the bottom two could be knocked off by Spike Jones or Alexander Payne vastly hurting their BP chances)

    Best Documentary Feature (5)
    Bowling For Columbine*
    Standing in the Shadows of Motown
    The Kid Stays in the Picture
    Nayqoyqatsi
    Blind Spot Hitler's Secretary


    Best Documentary Short Subject (3)
    (p)
    (p)
    (p)

    Achievement In Film Editing (5)
    The Two Towers*
    Adaptation
    Chicago
    Gangs of New York
    The Pianist

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year (5)
    City of God - Brazil
    Hero - China
    Crime of Father Amaro - Mexico
    Fine Dead Girls - Croatia
    Devdas - India
    I'm thinking Mondays in the Sun could pull off a nomination, but that would be three hispanic films and no asian films, tsk tsk, must respect diversity.
    I'm Taraneh, 15 - Iran could replace Dead Girls as the requisite film from a 3rd world country.

    Achievement In Makeup (3)
    Not presented


    Achievement In Music - Original Score(5)
    John Williams - Catch Me if you Can*
    Howard Shore - The Two Towers
    Far From Heaven - Elmer Bernstein
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    John Williams - Star Wars: Attack of the Clones

    Achievement In Music - Original Song (5)
    Gollum's Song - The Two Towers* (hey a guy can dream can't he?)
    The Hands that Built America - Gangs of New York
    Lose Yourself - 8 Mile
    I Move On - Chicago
    Father and Daughter - Wild Thornberries

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year (5)
    Gangs of New York*
    The Pianist*
    Chicago
    The Hours
    The Two Towers
    predicting that one of those two films will upset and win

    Best Animated Short Film (5)
    (p)x5

    Best Live Action Short Film (5)
    (p)x5

    Achievement In Sound (5)
    The Two Towers*
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones
    We Were Soldiers
    Gangs of New York
    Chicago
    (Signs as an upset for WWS)

    Achievement In Sound Editing (3)
    The Two Towers*
    Road to Perdition
    We Were Soldiers


    Achievement In Visual Effects (3)
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones*
    The Two Towers
    Minority Report

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published (5)
    Adaptation*
    About Schmidt
    The Two Towers
    Chicago
    The Hours

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen (5)
    Punch Drunk Love*
    Talk To Her
    Far From Heaven
    Confessions of a Dangerous Mind
    Gangs of New York

    ---
    well those are all my crazy picks, I tried to work in several upsets in the nominations, I also don't think/am hoping that neither Chicago or The Hours win, which I know will be a very unpopular prediction. however if you look at the number of nominations I gave it worked out so that my picks for best picture coincided with the top five nomination garnerers (not deliberate), of course Adaptation could upset The Pianist, but I'm Giving the Pianist an edge because of Roman Polanski...:

    The Two Towers (14)-- bordering on ridiculous, but I'm biased, I suppose, I expect it to win no more than five, all technical
    Chicago (13) -- which is clearly too many, maybe drop the sound awards
    Gangs of New York (10)
    The Hours (8)
    The Pianist (5)
    Adaptation (5)
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones (5)
    Far From Heaven (4)
    About Schmidt (3)
    Catch Me if You Can (3)
    Road to Perdition (2)
    Punch Drunk Love (2)
    The Wild Thornberries (2)
    The Quiet American (1)
    Minority Report (1)
    Spirited Away (1)
    Ice Age (1)
    Lilo and Stitch (1)
    Spirit (1)
    Standing in the Shadows of Motown (1)
    Bowling for Columbine (1)
    The Kid Stays in the Picture (1)
    City of God (1)
    Talk to Her (1)
    8 mile (1)
    Confessions of a Dangerous Mind (1)
    Frida (1)
    We Were Soldiers (2)
     
  10. Ray H

    Ray H Producer

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    Real Name:
    Ray
    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrien Brody, The Pianist
    Nicolas Cage, Adaptation
    Michael Cane, The Quiet American
    Daniel Day-Lewis, Gangs of New York
    Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper, Adaptation
    Paul Newman, Road to Perdition
    Dennis Quaid, Far From Heaven
    Andy Serkis, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers[​IMG]
    Christopher Walken, Catch Me If You Can

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Salma Hayek, Frida
    Nicole Kidman, The Hours
    Diane Lane, Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
    Rene Zellweger, Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates, About Schmidt
    Patricia Clarkson, Far From Heaven
    Julianne Moore, The Hours
    Meryl Streep, Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo and Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
    Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Frida

    Achievement In Directing
    Stephen Daldry, The Hours
    Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Rob Marshall, Chicago
    Roman Polanski, The Pianist
    Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York

    Best Documentary Feature
    Bowling For Columbine
    The Kid Stays In The Picture
    Standing In The Shadows Of Motown
    ---
    ---

    Best Documentary Short Subject

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Adaptation
    Chicago
    Gangs of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    City of God
    Hero
    ----
    ----
    ----

    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida
    The Time Machine

    Achievement In Music - Original Score
    Catch Me If You Can
    Far From Heaven
    Frida
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Music - Original Song
    I Move On, Chicago
    The Hands That Built America, Gangs Of New York
    Lose Yourself, 8 Mile
    Gollum's Song, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Father and Daughter, The Wild Thornberries

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago
    Gangs of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Best Animated Short Film (5)

    Best Live Action Short Film (5)

    Achievement In Sound
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Signs
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones
    We Were Soldiers

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    We Were Soldiers

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Star Wars: Attack of the Clones

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    About Schmidt
    Adaptation
    Chicago
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Antwone Fisher
    Far From Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    Punch-Drunk Love
    Talk To Her
     
  11. MichaelPe

    MichaelPe Screenwriter

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    Placeholder
     
  12. Bill J

    Bill J Producer

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    [c]2003 Oscar Nomination Predictions[/c]
    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation.
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation.
    Dennis Quaid - Far From Heaven
    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition
    John C. Reilly - Chicago
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    Meryl Streep - The Hours
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation.
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Susan Sarandon - Igby Goes Down
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo and Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
    Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Michael Ballhaus - Gangs of New York
    Dion Beebe - Chicago
    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven
    Andrew Lesnie - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    Far From Heaven
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Directing
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
    Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York

    Best Documentary Feature
    Blind Spot: Hitler's Secretary
    Bowling For Columbine
    The Kid Stays In The Picture
    Prisoner of Paradise
    Standing In The Shadows Of Motown

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    -
    -
    -

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Peter Boyle - The Hours
    D. Michael Horton and Jabez Olssen - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Thelma Schoonmaker - Gangs of New York
    Martin Walsh - Chicago
    Eric Zumbrunnen - Adaptation.

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    8 Women
    The Crime of Father Amaro
    City of God
    Spirited Away
    Y Tu Mamá También

    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida
    The Time Machine

    Achievement In Music - Original Score
    Elmer Bernstein - Far From Heaven
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida
    Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can

    Achievement In Music - Original Song
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile
    Elliot Goldenthal & Julie Taymor, "Burn This House" - Frida
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago
    Paul Simon, "Father & Daughter" - The Wild Thornberries Movie

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    About Schmidt
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Best Animated Short Film
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -

    Best Live Action Short Film
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -

    Achievement In Sound
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones
    We Were Soldiers

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    We Were Soldiers

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Bill Condon - Chicago
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation.
    David Hare - The Hours
    Alexander Payne - About Schmidt
    Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Stephen Sinclair & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    P. T. Anderson - Punch-Drunk Love
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
    Antwone Fisher - Antwone Fisher
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
     
  13. Nick Sievers

    Nick Sievers Producer

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    I may as well get in line as well.
     
  14. DaveGR

    DaveGR Stunt Coordinator

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    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Daniel Day-Lewis- Gangs of New York*
    Jack Nicholson- About Schmidt
    Adrian Brody- The Pianist
    Michael Caine-The Quiet American
    Tom Hanks-Road To Perdition

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Paul Newman-Road to Perdition
    Ed Harris-The Hours
    Chris Cooper-Adaptation*
    Christopher Walken-Catch Me If You Can
    Dennis Quaid-Far From Heaven

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Julianne Moore-Far From Heaven*
    Selma Hyack- Frida
    Nicole Kidman-The Hours
    Renee Zelwiger-Chicago
    Meryl Streep-The Hours

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates-About Schmidt*
    Meryl Streep-Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta Jones-Chicago
    Julia Roberts-Confessions of a Dangerous Mind
    Queen Latifah-Chicago

    Achievement In Directing
    Martin Scorsese-Gangs of New York*
    Stephen Daldry-The Hours
    Peter Jackson-Lord of the Rings Two Towers
    Roman Polanski-The Pianist
    Alexander Payne-About Schmidt

    Best Film
    Gangs of New York*
    The Hours
    The Pianist
    About Schmidt
    Chicago

    thoes with * are my predictions for winners
     
  15. Mark Zimmer

    Mark Zimmer Producer

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    I predict that Two Towers will win only for Best Visual Effects due to the already-begun backlash.
     
  16. Dana Fillhart

    Dana Fillhart Supporting Actor

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    Finally got my data correct in my table...argh, mistakes! [​IMG] Should be fine now.

    I have Chicago (13), Two Towers (12), Far from Heaven (10), and Gangs (9) leading the pack with number of awards -- yes, I know many don't have faith in FFH any more: I guess I'm somewhat holding out a little, expecting this one still to take away from The Hours in some of the non-major categories.

    I do expect Towers to pull more than just Visual Effects, but yeah, it's hard to see it winning anything other than the hard technical (i.e., I doubt it'll even win Costume or Makeup or Art Direction this year). Still, it'd be nice to see it upset Gangs for Best Song or (dare I say) Best Director. What would just make my day on February 11th would be to see Andy Serkis get the 5th-spot nomination for Best Supporting Actor.

    Other categories that'd tickle me silly to see a nomination: Miyazaki for Best Original Screenplay, Emily Watson for Best Supporting Actress, and Everlyn Sampi for Best Actress...and the biggest wish would go to: Samantha Morton, Best Supporting Actress for Minority Report. That last would have me on cloud nine 'til Oscar night! [​IMG]

    (Edit: D'oh, I had forgotten to include Best Costume Design! Altered my #'s I mentioned above to reflect that. There are actually an even 100 slots available for films to fill!)
     
  17. Craig S

    Craig S Producer
    Supporter

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    Craig Seanor
    HTF Consensus Picks

    Here is the first weekly tabulation of picks made by posters in this thread. Only the top 5 (or 3 when appropriate) picks are shown.

    The next tabulation will be a week from tonight (Sunday, February 2).

    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist (6.5)
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation (6)
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American (7)
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York (7)
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt (7)

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation (7)
    Dennis Quaid - Far From Heaven (6)
    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition (7)
    John C. Reilly - Chicago (4)
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can (6)

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours (7)
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful (5)
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven (7)
    Meryl Streep - The Hours (5)
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago (7)

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt (7)
    Julianne Moore - The Hours (5)
    Susan Sarandon - Igby Goes Down (2) or Moonlight Mile (2)
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation (7)
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago (7)

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age (6)
    Lilo And Stitch (5)
    Spirit: Stallion Of The Cimarron (5)
    Spirited Away (6)
    Treasure Planet (3)

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago (6)
    Far From Heaven (5)
    Frida (3)
    Gangs Of New York (6)
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Michael Ballhaus - Gangs Of New York (5)
    Dion Beebe - Chicago (5)
    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition (6)
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven (5)
    Andrew Lesnie - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago (6)
    Far From Heaven (6)
    Frida (5)
    Gangs Of New York (6)
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)

    Achievement In Directing
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours (6)
    Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (7)
    Rob Marshall - Chicago (6)
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist (4.5)
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York (7)

    Best Documentary Feature
    Blind Spot: Hitler's Secretary (4)
    Bowling For Columbine (6)
    The Kid Stays In The Picture (6)
    Standing In The Shadows Of Motown (5)
    Fifth Position Tie:
    Prisoner Of Paradise (1)
    Naqoyqatsi (1)

    Best Documentary Short Subject

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Adaptation (6)
    Chicago (6)
    Gangs Of New York (6)
    The Hours (5)
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    8 Women - France (3)
    City Of God - Brazil (6)
    The Crime Of Father Amaro - Mexico (4)
    Hero - China (3)
    Fifth Position Tie:
    Nice Dead Girls - Croatia (2)
    Devdas - India (2)

    Achievement In Makeup
    Chicago (5)
    The Hours (6)
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)

    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    Elmer Bernstein - Far From Heaven (6)
    Philip Glass - The Hours (5)
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida (3)
    Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can (5)

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York (6)
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile (6)
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago (6)
    Paul Simon, "Father & Daughter" - The Wild Thornberries Movie (4)
    Fifth Position Tie:
    Elliot Goldenthal & Julie Taymor, "Burn This House" - Frida (3)
    Emiliana Torrini, "Gollum's Song" - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (3)

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    About Schmidt (5)
    Chicago (7)
    Gangs Of New York (7)
    The Hours (7)
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (4)

    Best Animated Short Film

    Best Live Action Short Film

    Achievement In Sound
    Chicago (4)
    Gangs Of New York (5)
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones (6)
    We Were Soldiers (4)

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)
    Minority Report (5)
    We Were Soldiers (3.5)

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)
    Minority Report (4)
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones (6)

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Bill Condon - Chicago (5)
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation (6)
    David Hare - The Hours (6)
    Alexander Payne - About Schmidt (6)
    Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Stephen Sinclair & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers (6)

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    P. T. Anderson - Punch-Drunk Love (5)
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her (5)
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York (6)
    Antwone Fisher - Antwone Fisher (5)
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven (6)

    Final Counts
    Chicago: 13
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers: 12 (or 13)
    Gangs Of New York: 10
    The Hours: 9
    Far From Heaven: 7
    Adaptation: 5
    About Schmidt: 4
    Frida: 3 (or 4)
    Road To Perdition: 2
    Catch Me If You Can: 2
    Minority Report: 2
    The Pianist: 2
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones: 2
    We Were Soldiers: 2

    And 21 other films with a single nomination.

    Contributors
    Adam_S
    Arman
    Bill J
    Craig S
    Dana Fillhart
    DaveGR
    Ray H
     
  18. Seth Paxton

    Seth Paxton Lead Actor

    Joined:
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    Okay, I've put the template in and a few entries, but I don't have time to research enough now to finish it.

    Best Picture
    Chicago
    The Hours
    The Two Towers (I flip-flopped on GONY here)
    GONY (switched again and took out My Big Fat Greek Wedding at the last second)
    Adaptation (Pianist is really close for this spot right now)

    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Daniel Day-Lewis - GONY
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American (I think Gere is close here)
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Christopher Walken - CMIYC
    Ed Harris - The Hours
    Quaid - Far from Heaven
    Molina - Frida

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Kidman - Hours
    Zellweger - Chicago
    Hayek - Frida
    Moore - Far From Heaven
    Lane - Unfaithful (still suspect that Streep could get this spot)

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago
    Streep - Adaptation
    Moore - Hours
    Latifah - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Spirited Away
    Ice Age
    Treasure Planet
    Lilo and Stich
    Spirit

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Frida
    TTT
    Far From Heaven
    Chicago
    Catch Me if You Can

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Chicago
    Road to Perdition
    Far From Heaven
    Frida
    Rabbit-Proof Fence

    Achievement In Costume Design
    GONY
    TTT
    Chicago
    Minority Report
    Frida

    Achievement In Directing
    GONY - Scorsese
    TTT - Jackson
    Adaptation - Jonze
    Hours - Daldry
    Pianist - Polanski

    Best Documentary Feature
    Bowling for Columbine
    empty
    empty
    empty
    empty

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    empty
    empty
    empty

    Achievement In Film Editing
    The Hours
    TTT
    Chicago
    GONY
    Adaptation

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    City of God
    Crime of Father Amaro
    8 Women
    empty
    empty

    Achievement In Makeup (the one we all will get right and Frida will win)
    The Time Machine
    Frida

    Achievement In Music - Original Score
    The Hours
    Frida
    Far From Heaven
    Catch Me If You Can
    Rabbit-Proof Fence

    Achievement In Music - Original Song
    GONY - Hands that Built America
    8 Mile - Lose Yourself
    Chicago - I Move On
    DAD - Die Another Day
    Wild Thornberries - Father and Daughter

    Best Animated Short Film
    empty
    empty
    empty
    empty
    empty

    Best Live Action Short Film
    empty
    empty
    empty
    empty
    empty

    Achievement In Sound
    TTT
    AOTC
    Minority Report
    Signs
    Chicago

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    Minority Report
    We Were Soldiers
    TTT

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    AOTC

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Charlie Kaufman - Adaptation
    Bill Condon - Chicago
    David Hare - The Hours
    Payne - About Schmidt
    Hedges - About a Boy

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Vardalos - MBFGW
    Moore - Bowling for Columbine
    Fisher - Antwone Fisher
    Taylor/Tokien - Changing Lanes (the guild never matches all 10 noms)
    Lonergan, et al - GONY
     
  19. Brian W.

    Brian W. Screenwriter

    Joined:
    Jul 29, 1999
    Messages:
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    Location:
    Los Angeles
    Real Name:
    Brian
    All right, for the moment I'm only predicting the top six. I've read the pundits' predictions, tracked the guild nominees, considered the critics awards, and analyzed the formulas. After a while, you just have to take what you've learned and go with your feelings -- which is how I predicted 5/5 for BP last year, correctly choosing Gosford Park when most pundits were predicting Black Hawk Down, and also predicted David Lynch would get a director nom even though he did not get a DGA nom. My gut tells me that My Big Fat Greek Wedding is this year's Gosford Park.

    Here we go...


    Best Picture

    Chicago
    Gangs of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    (Wild card: About Schmidt could replace either Greek Wedding or TTT)


    Best Director

    Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her (total gut instinct)
    Stephen Daldry, The Hours
    Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Rob Marshall, Chicago
    Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York

    Best Actor

    Adrian Brody, The Pianist
    Nicolas Cage, Adaptation
    Michael Caine, The Quiet American (the Academy loves him, much more than they love Richard Gere)
    Daniel Day-Lewis, Gangs of New York
    Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt


    Best Actress

    Salma Hayek, Frida
    Nicole Kidman, The Hours
    Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
    Meryl Streep, The Hours
    Renee Zellweger, Chicago
    (edit: I think I was thinking of another actress when I said "another Diane Lane" snub...nonetheless, I think she will be snubbed)

    Best Supporting Actor

    Chris Cooper, Adaptation
    Ed Harris, The Hours
    Alfred Molina, Frida
    Dennis Quaid, Far From Heaven
    Christopher Walken, Catch Me If You Can
    (My third eye just doesn't see Paul Newman getting a nod)


    Best Supporting Actress

    Kathy Bates, About Schmidt
    Michelle Pfeiffer, White Orleander
    Susan Sarandon, Igby Goes Down
    Meryl Streep, Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
    (Queen Latifah can forget it, and I think Julianne Moore's role is too similar to her role in Far From Heaven to get a nod)

    I will be making Screenplay predictions after the WGAs next week.
     
  20. Dana Fillhart

    Dana Fillhart Supporting Actor

    Joined:
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    Messages:
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    Updated my list -- added two more eligible Animated titles to make 5. Didn't change any of my other predictions at all (I'm reasonably confident in my prognosticative abilities [​IMG])
     

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