Oscar Prognosticators - Post Your Winner Predictions Here!

Discussion in 'Archived Threads 2001-2004' started by Craig S, Feb 11, 2003.

  1. Craig S

    Craig S Producer
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    OK, the nominations are out! Please use this thread to post your predictions for the Oscar winners.

    To keep things clean, let's use this thread for predictions only. Join us in the Official Oscar Discussion thread to talk about all things Oscar.

    For easy reference, here is the list of nominees:

    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Ed Harris - The Hours
    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition
    John C. Reilly - Chicago
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Salma Hayek - Frida
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago
    Queen Latifah - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo And Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion Of The Cimarron
    Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Dion Beebe - Chicago
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven
    Michael Ballhaus - Gangs Of New York
    Pawel Edelman - The Pianist
    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Pianist

    Achievement In Directing
    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her

    Best Documentary Feature
    Bowling For Columbine
    Daughter From Danang
    Prisoner Of Paradise
    Spellbound
    Winged Migration

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    The Collector Of Bedford Street
    Mighty Times: The Legacy Of Rosa Parks
    Twin Towers
    Why Can't We Be A Family Again?

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    El Crimen Del Padre Amaro - Mexico
    Hero - China
    The Man Without A Past - Finland
    Nowhere In Africa - Germany
    Zus & Zo - The Netherlands

    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida
    The Time Machine

    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can
    Elmer Bernstein - Far From Heaven
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    Thomas Newman - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile
    Elliot Goldenthal & Julie Taymor, "Burn It Blue" - Frida
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago
    Paul Simon, "Father & Daughter" - The Wild Thornberries Movie

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Best Animated Short Film
    The Cathedral
    The Chubb-Chubbs!
    Das Rad
    Mike's New Car
    Mt. Head

    Best Live Action Short Film
    Fait D'Hiver
    I'll Wait For The Next One
    Inja
    Johnny Flinton
    This Charming Man

    Achievement In Sound
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition
    Spider-Man

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Spider-Man
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Peter Hedges, Chris & Paul Weitz - About A Boy
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation
    Bill Condon - Chicago
    David Hare - The Hours
    Ronald Harwood - The Pianist

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
    Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her
    Carlos & Alfonso Cuaron - Y Tu Mama Tambien

    Final Counts

    Chicago - 13
    Gangs Of New York - 10
    The Hours - 9
    The Pianist - 7
    Frida - 6
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers - 6
    Road To Perdition - 6
    Adaptation - 4
    Far From Heaven - 4
    About Schmidt - 2
    Spider-Man - 2
    Talk To Her - 2

    And the following films received one nomination each:

    8 Mile, About A Boy, Catch Me If You Can, Minority Report, My Big Fat Greek Wedding, The Quiet American, Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones, The Time Machine, Unfaithful, The Wild Thornberries Movie, Y Tu Mama Tambien (plus all the nominees in the Animated, Documentary, Foreign Language, & Short categories).

    Here are some useful links for Oscar watchers:

    Official Academy site
    Official Rules for the 75th Academy Awards
    Official site of the 75th Academy Awards

    So let's get those predictions posted! As the Oscar climate will be changing often please feel free to edit your picks up until the afternoon of the ceremony (March 23). Most importantly - have fun!
     
  2. Craig S

    Craig S Producer
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    Craig's Picks

    Here we go with my picks. Some notes:
    • My predicted winners are shown in red.
    • My preferred winners are shown in italics.
    • I attend an Oscar party every year. In categories with 5 nominees, we are required to choose 2 that won't win (we get 2 points for winners, 1 point for each non-winner we get correct). These are shown in strikethrough text.
    • For the pool there we are required to predict every category, even the shorts & documentaries. These predictions are included here, and are based solely on the synopses provided on the official Oscar web site and on this insightful post from, of all places, AICN.
    • Discounting the Documentary, Foreign Language & Short categories, I have seen all the major nominees except Talk To Her.
    • I have included a brief comment after each category, hopefully to explain my odder choices. [​IMG]
    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

    It feels like Nicholson has been fading, so Day-Lewis gets his 2nd golden boy.

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Ed Harris - The Hours
    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition
    John C. Reilly - Chicago
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

    Despite Walken's triumph at the SAGs, this is still Cooper's to lose.

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Salma Hayek - Frida
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago

    Kidman's momentum has continued unabated. She gets the big O for what is really a supporting role.

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago
    Queen Latifah - Chicago

    Zeta-Jones deserves it, and she'll get it.

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo And Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion Of The Cimarron
    Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet

    The safe bet is Lilo And Stitch, but Miyazaki's film is one of the most acclaimed of the year. I'll bet that Spirited Away sneaks through.

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition

    My one big gamble of the night. I'm guessing that Chicago & Gangs will split votes, and that Grant Major & team will get a much deserved Oscar here.

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Dion Beebe - Chicago
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven
    Michael Ballhaus - Gangs Of New York
    Pawel Edelman - The Pianist
    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition

    This one's a no-brainer. Hall in a runaway.

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Pianist

    No real standouts here, but I'll go with the most memorable costume of the year - Bill the Butcher & his top hat.

    Achievement In Directing
    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her

    Scorsese will have to continue living without that Oscar, as Marshall takes it for his excellent job of bringing Chicago to the big screen.

    Best Documentary Feature
    Bowling For Columbine
    Daughter From Danang
    Prisoner Of Paradise
    Spellbound
    Winged Migration

    I think the Academy is too conservative to give the award to Moore's pseudo-doc. Spellbound has received quite a bit of buzz recently and will surprise here.

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    The Collector Of Bedford Street
    Mighty Times: The Legacy Of Rosa Parks
    Twin Towers
    Why Can't We Be A Family Again?

    Going with the 9/11 doc here.

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Tough call here - could go to Chicago or The Hours. I'll go with the latter, just on a hunch.

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    El Crimen Del Padre Amaro - Mexico
    Hero - China
    The Man Without A Past - Finland
    Nowhere In Africa - Germany
    Zus & Zo - The Netherlands

    It's the story of Jews fleeing the Nazis to live in Africa, and it's been critically acclaimed. This one won't be close.

    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida
    The Time Machine

    The most ridiculous category of the year. Hell, even critics who don't like the LotR films are questioning TTT's absence here. And what about the nice work in The Hours & Chicago? Oh well, give it to Frida.

    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can
    Elmer Bernstein - Far From Heaven
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    Thomas Newman - Road To Perdition

    A really tough call here. Williams & Glass are both worthy (and Goldenthal won the Globes), but I'm guessing the Academy rewards Bernstein's lush, retro-score, which provided the proper 50s melodrama ambience for Todd Haynes' homage to Douglas Sirk.

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile
    Elliot Goldenthal & Julie Taymor, "Burn It Blue" - Frida
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago
    Paul Simon, "Father & Daughter" - The Wild Thornberries Movie

    Everyone says Bono, but this is the only chance the Academy has to honor the music in the the first musical to win BP in 30 years. I say Kander & Ebb get it.

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Well, duh!

    Best Animated Short Film
    The Cathedral
    The Chubb-Chubbs!
    Das Rad
    Mike's New Car
    Mt. Head

    The wide exposure of The Chubb-Chubbs! should help it beat the Pixar entry.

    Best Live Action Short Film
    Fait D'Hiver
    I'll Wait For The Next One
    Inja
    Johnny Flinton
    This Charming Man

    Simply going with the AICN analysis here.

    Achievement In Sound
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition
    Spider-Man

    Another tough call. Gotta go with the BP winner again here.

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Road To Perdition

    I would venture to guess 90% of Academy members don't even know what this award is really for. So they'll go for the biggest picture of the three.

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Spider-Man
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones

    Gollum was a breakthrough, and should take the LotR team to their 2nd straight Oscar.

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Peter Hedges, Chris & Paul Weitz - About A Boy
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation
    Bill Condon - Chicago
    David Hare - The Hours
    Ronald Harwood - The Pianist

    Gotta go with those wild & wacky Kaufman brothers. Can't wait to see Donald on stage! [​IMG]

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
    Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her
    Carlos & Alfonso Cuaron - Y Tu Mama Tambien

    Vardalos could surprise, but this gives the Academy a chance to give an award to the acclaimed Almodovar in a relatively weak category.

    Final Counts

    Chicago - 5
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers - 3
    Adaptation - 2
    Gangs Of New York - 2
    The Hours - 2

    One win each for the following films:

    The Chubb-Chubbs!, Far From Heaven, Frida, Nowhere In Africa, Road To Perdition, Spellbound, Spirited Away, Talk To Her, This Charming Man, Twin Towers
     
  3. Arman

    Arman Screenwriter

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    Count me in as one of those not riding in the Chicago bandwagon and hoping that they would lose in all the 13 categories they are nominated for? j/k [​IMG] But anyway, I'm predicting Chicago will win big but am really personally hoping that they would be shutout of the major awards. They should just give them the awards for the song categories!

    Anyway, I'm predicting just like in the past years, momentum will switch back and forth in favor of Chicago then to The Hours then back to Chicago ... then suddenly The Pianist will win Best Picture (WooHoo! Okay, I'm dreaming again. [​IMG]) & Martin Scorsese getting his lifetime achievement award err Best Director Award.

    I'll post my predictions later ...

    Here's my personal picks -

    Best Picture: The Pianist
    Best Director: Tie between Roman Polanski, The Pianist & Pedro Almodovar, Talk To Her
    Best Actor: Adrien Brody, The Pianist
    Best Actress: Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
    Best Supporting Actor: Chris Cooper, Adaptation.
    Best Supporting Actress: Meryl Streep, Adaptation.
     
  4. MichaelPe

    MichaelPe Screenwriter

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  5. Patrick Sun

    Patrick Sun Moderator
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    Here's my picks (*) and who I think the Academy will pick (**):

    ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
    Adrien Brody
    Nicolas Cage
    Michael Caine
    * Daniel Day-Lewis
    ** Jack Nicholson

    ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
    * Chris Cooper
    ** Ed Harris
    Paul Newman
    John C. Reilly
    Christopher Walken

    Best Actress is probably the toughest category this year.

    ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
    Salma Hayek
    * ** Nicole Kidman
    Diane Lane
    Julianne Moore
    Renée Zellweger

    ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
    Kathy Bates
    * Julianne Moore
    Queen Latifah
    Meryl Streep
    ** Catherine Zeta-Jones

    ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
    ICE AGE
    LILO & STITCH
    SPIRIT: STALLION OF THE CIMARRON
    * ** SPIRITED AWAY
    TREASURE PLANET

    ART DIRECTION
    ** CHICAGO
    FRIDA
    * GANGS OF NEW YORK
    THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE TWO TOWERS
    ROAD TO PERDITION

    CINEMATOGRAPHY
    CHICAGO
    * FAR FROM HEAVEN
    GANGS OF NEW YORK
    ** THE PIANIST
    ROAD TO PERDITION

    COSTUME DESIGN
    ** CHICAGO
    FRIDA
    * GANGS OF NEW YORK
    THE HOURS
    THE PIANIST

    DIRECTING
    CHICAGO
    * **GANGS OF NEW YORK
    THE HOURS
    THE PIANIST
    TALK TO HER

    FILM EDITING
    ** CHICAGO
    * GANGS OF NEW YORK
    THE HOURS
    THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE TWO TOWERS
    THE PIANIST

    MAKEUP
    * ** FRIDA
    THE TIME MACHINE

    MUSIC (SCORE)
    ** CATCH ME IF YOU CAN
    FAR FROM HEAVEN
    FRIDA
    * THE HOURS
    ROAD TO PERDITION

    MUSIC (SONG)
    * ** CHICAGO
    8 MILE
    FRIDA
    GANGS OF NEW YORK
    THE WILD THORNBERRYS MOVIE

    BEST PICTURE
    CHICAGO
    * GANGS OF NEW YORK
    ** THE HOURS
    THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE TWO TOWERS
    THE PIANIST

    SOUND
    ** CHICAGO
    GANGS OF NEW YORK
    * THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE TWO TOWERS
    ROAD TO PERDITION
    SPIDER-MAN

    SOUND EDITING
    * ** THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE TWO TOWERS
    MINORITY REPORT
    ROAD TO PERDITION

    VISUAL EFFECTS
    * ** THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE TWO TOWERS
    SPIDER-MAN
    STAR WARS EPISODE II ATTACK OF THE CLONES

    WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
    ABOUT A BOY
    * ** ADAPTATION
    CHICAGO
    THE HOURS
    THE PIANIST

    WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
    FAR FROM HEAVEN
    GANGS OF NEW YORK
    MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING
    ** TALK TO HER
    * Y TU MAMÁ TAMBIÉN

    All in all, a very tough year to predict because I'm not on the Chicago bandwagon, so it pains me to concede wins that Chicago will pick up over other films. Just one guy's opinion.
     
  6. Greg_M

    Greg_M Screenwriter

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    Best Picture: CHICAGO
    Bob Fosse won for directing "Cabaret" but the film lost (to a mob film) this is the Academy's chance to rectify.

    Best Director MARTIN SCORSESE (Should be Rob Marshal but Martin's never won and he's the sentimental favorite. He should have won for "Goodfellas" (a mob film)

    Hmm, we could see the opposite of 1972
    Best Picture: A Musical, Best Director: A Mob film


    Best Actor JACK NICHOLSON (Daniel Day Lewis was also good, both have won in the past but Jack will break the record - 4 Awards)

    Best Actress: RENE ZWELLWEGER She really hit a home run acting, singing, dancing.

    *Nicole may win - but by a nose. I always thought Nicole's makeup is what impressed audiences about her performance, She's been inconsistent in the past (where as Rene has never been off). I don't see what all the admiration is about for Nicole's performance in THE HOURS, she had less screen time than Streep or Moore, (ok so she survived her divocre from T Cruise, but is that any reason to give her an award?)

    Best Sup Actor Chris Cooper
    Best Sup Actress Julianne Moore (For Far From Heaven & The Hours in the past when an actor has been nominated in both catagories they usually win the supporting award)


    "Gangs of New York" could take many awards as did "Titanic"
    The screenplay was weak, but the film was epic. (I didn't think Titianic deserved the Oscar either, there were many better films released that year (L.A. Confidental/As Good as if Gets)
     
  7. PhilipG

    PhilipG Cinematographer

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    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Ed Harris - The Hours

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    - too close to call
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours (and Moulin Rouge [​IMG] )
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Spirited Away

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Gangs Of New York

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Dion Beebe - Chicago

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago

    Achievement In Directing
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Chicago

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago

    Achievement In Sound
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
     
  8. Brandon Conway

    Brandon Conway captveg

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    Best Picture:

    Chicago
    ***Gangs of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist


    Directing:

    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    ***Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York
    Stephen Daldry - The Hourse
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist
    Pedro Almodóvar - Talk to Her


    Actor:

    Adrien Brody - The Pianist
    Nicolas Cage - Adaptation
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American
    ***Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt


    Actress:

    Salma Hayek - Frida
    ***Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago


    Supporting Actor:

    ***Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Ed Harris - The Hours
    Paul Newman - Road to Perdition
    John C. Reilly - Chicago
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can


    Supporting Actress:

    ***Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Queen Latifah - Chicago
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago


    Animated Feature Film:

    Ice Age
    ***Lilo & Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
    Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet


    Adapted Screenplay:

    About a Boy
    ***Adaptation - by Charlie Kaufman and Donald Kaufman [​IMG]
    Chicago
    The Hours
    The Pianist


    Original Screenplay:

    Far from Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    ***My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    Talk to Her
    Y Tu Mamá También


    Art Direction:

    Chicago
    Frida
    ***Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Road to Perdition


    Cinematography:

    Chicago
    Far from Heaven
    Gangs of New York
    The Pianist
    ***Road to Perdition


    Costume design:

    Chicago
    Frida
    ***Gangs of New York
    The Hours
    The Pianist


    Documentary feature:

    ***Bowling for Columbine
    Daughter from Danang
    Prisoner of Paradise
    Spellbound
    Winged Migration


    Documentary Short:

    The Collector of Bedford Street
    Mighty Times: The Legacy of Rosa Parks
    Twin Towers
    Why Can't We Be a Family Again?


    I have no comment.

    Film Editing:

    Chicago
    ***Gangs of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist


    Foreign Language Film:

    ***El Crimen del Padre Amaro
    Hero
    The Man without a Past
    Nowhere in Africa
    Zus & Zo


    Makeup:

    Frida
    The Time Machine


    Give me a fraking break! WORST.NOMINEES.EVAR. [​IMG]

    Where's Star Wars!? LOTR?! Hell, even Men in Black II?!

    Just think about this phrase - "The Academy Award Nominee 'The Time Machine'"

    This catagory should be dropped if they're gonna keep overlooking the obvious. Last year they shafted Planet of the Apes, so I guess this was to be expected this year....

    Original Score:

    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can
    Elmer Bernstein - Far from Heaven
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    ***Thomas Newman - Road to Perdition


    Original Song:

    "Burn It Blue" - Frida - Music by Elliot Goldenthal, Lyric by Julie Taymor
    "Father and Daughter" - The Wild Thornberrys Movie - Music and Lyric by Paul Simon
    ***"The Hands That Built America" - Gangs of New York - Music and Lyric by Bono, The Edge, Adam Clayton and Larry Mullen
    "I Move On" - Chicago - Music by John Kander, Lyric by Fred Ebb
    "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile - Music by Eminem, Jeff Bass and Luis Resto, Lyric by Eminem


    Animated Short Film:

    The Cathedral
    ***The ChubbChubbs!
    Das Rad
    Mike's New Car
    Mt. Head


    Live Action Short Film:

    Fait D'Hiver
    I'll Wait for the Next One... (J'Attendrai Le Suivant...)
    Inja (Dog)
    Johnny Flynton
    This Charming Man (Der Er En Yndig Mand)


    *shrugs shoulders*

    Sound:

    ***Chicago
    Gangs of New York
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Road to Perdition
    Spider-Man


    Sound Editing:

    ***The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Road to Perdition


    Visual Effects:

    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Spider-Man
    ***Star Wars Episode II Attack of the Clones
     
  9. Seth Paxton

    Seth Paxton Lead Actor

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    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt
    (still close)
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York


    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    (still close)
    Ed Harris - The Hours

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    (very close and I might change based on SAG)
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    (okay, I really don't know about this one)
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Spirited Away

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    (still close)
    Frida

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition
    (in the hunt)
    Dion Beebe - Chicago
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven

    Achievement In Costume Design
    (another close race)
    Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York


    Achievement In Directing
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York
    (if Scorsese wasn't annoited already I'd guess...)
    Rob Marshall - Chicago

    Best Documentary Feature
    Bowling For Columbine

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    (no idea)
    The Collector Of Bedford Street
    Mighty Times: The Legacy Of Rosa Parks
    Twin Towers
    Why Can't We Be A Family Again?

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Chicago
    (could make a run)
    The Hours

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    (no idea)
    El Crimen Del Padre Amaro - Mexico
    Hero - China
    The Man Without A Past - Finland
    Nowhere In Africa - Germany
    Zus & Zo - The Netherlands

    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida

    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can
    (if not the Williams upset then...)
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago
    (for voters who vote based on top 40 radio)
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago

    Best Animated Short Film
    (no idea yet)
    The Cathedral
    The Chubb-Chubbs!
    Das Rad
    Mike's New Car
    Mt. Head

    Best Live Action Short Film
    {no idea yet)
    Fait D'Hiver
    I'll Wait For The Next One
    Inja
    Johnny Flinton
    This Charming Man

    Achievement In Sound
    (close race, Chicago has Moulin Rouge "no score" effect here)
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    Minority Report (mainly because of the use of the siren sound after the "I don't hear a red ball" line, best use of sound all year)
    (gunfire can win here too)
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding (here is how they can recognize $200m writing)
    (good place to recognize FFH too)
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
     
  10. PatrickL

    PatrickL Second Unit

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    The noms in blue are the ones I predict as winners:

    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Ed Harris - The Hours
    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition
    John C. Reilly - Chicago
    Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Salma Hayek - Frida
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    Renee Zellweger - Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago
    Queen Latifah - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo And Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion Of The Cimarron
    Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet

    Achievement In Art Direction
    Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Dion Beebe - Chicago
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven
    Michael Ballhaus - Gangs Of New York
    Pawel Edelman - The Pianist
    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Pianist

    Achievement In Directing
    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her

    Best Documentary Feature
    Bowling For Columbine
    Daughter From Danang
    Prisoner Of Paradise
    Spellbound
    Winged Migration

    Achievement In Film Editing
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can
    Elmer Bernstein - Far From Heaven
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    Thomas Newman - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile
    Elliot Goldenthal & Julie Taymor, "Burn It Blue" - Frida
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago
    Paul Simon, "Father & Daughter" - The Wild Thornberries Movie

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Achievement In Sound
    Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition
    Spider-Man

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Spider-Man
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Peter Hedges, Chris & Paul Weitz - About A Boy
    Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation
    Bill Condon - Chicago
    David Hare - The Hours
    Ronald Harwood - The Pianist

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
    Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her
    Carlos & Alfonso Cuaron - Y Tu Mama Tambien
     
  11. Patrick_S

    Patrick_S Producer

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    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    Adrian Brody - The Pianist
    Nicholas Cage - Adaptation
    Michael Caine - The Quiet American
    ***Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York
    Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    Ed Harris - The Hours
    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition
    John C. Reilly - Chicago
    ****Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Salma Hayek - Frida
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours
    Diane Lane - Unfaithful
    Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
    ****Renee Zellweger - Chicago

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Julianne Moore - The Hours
    Meryl Streep - Adaptation
    ****Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago
    Queen Latifah - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    Ice Age
    Lilo And Stitch
    Spirit: Stallion Of The Cimarron
    ***Spirited Away
    Treasure Planet

    Achievement In Art Direction
    ***Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Cinematography
    Dion Beebe - Chicago
    Edward Lachman - Far From Heaven
    Michael Ballhaus - Gangs Of New York
    Pawel Edelman - The Pianist
    ***Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Costume Design
    ***Chicago
    Frida
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Pianist

    Achievement In Directing
    Rob Marshall - Chicago
    ****Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York
    Stephen Daldry - The Hours
    Roman Polanski - The Pianist
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her

    Best Documentary Feature
    ***Bowling For Columbine
    Daughter From Danang
    Prisoner Of Paradise
    Spellbound
    Winged Migration

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    The Collector Of Bedford Street
    Mighty Times: The Legacy Of Rosa Parks
    ***Twin Towers
    Why Can't We Be A Family Again?

    Achievement In Film Editing
    ***Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
    El Crimen Del Padre Amaro - Mexico
    Hero - China
    The Man Without A Past - Finland
    ***Nowhere In Africa - Germany
    Zus & Zo - The Netherlands

    Achievement In Makeup
    ***Frida
    The Time Machine

    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    John Williams - Catch Me If You Can
    ***Elmer Bernstein - Far From Heaven
    Elliot Goldenthal - Frida
    Philip Glass - The Hours
    Thomas Newman - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    ***Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York
    Eminem, "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile
    Elliot Goldenthal & Julie Taymor, "Burn It Blue" - Frida
    Kander & Ebb, "I Move On" - Chicago
    Paul Simon, "Father & Daughter" - The Wild Thornberries Movie

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    ***Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Hours
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    The Pianist

    Best Animated Short Film
    The Cathedral
    ***The Chubb-Chubbs!
    Das Rad
    Mike's New Car
    Mt. Head

    Best Live Action Short Film
    Fait D'Hiver
    ***I'll Wait For The Next One
    Inja
    Johnny Flinton
    This Charming Man

    Achievement In Sound
    ***Chicago
    Gangs Of New York
    The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Road To Perdition
    Spider-Man

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    ***The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Minority Report
    Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    ***The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
    Spider-Man
    Star Wars Episode II: Attack Of The Clones

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
    Peter Hedges, Chris & Paul Weitz - About A Boy
    ***Charlie & Donald Kaufman - Adaptation
    Bill Condon - Chicago
    David Hare - The Hours
    Ronald Harwood - The Pianist

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    Todd Haynes - Far From Heaven
    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
    ****Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    Pedro Almodovar - Talk To Her
    Carlos & Alfonso Cuaron - Y Tu Mama Tambien
     
  12. Paul Case

    Paul Case Supporting Actor

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    Place holder
     
  13. Kristian

    Kristian Supporting Actor

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    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role

    Prediction: Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt
    If I picked the winner: Daniel Day-Lewis, Gangs of New York


    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role

    Prediction: John C. Reilly, Chicago
    If I picked the winner: Christopher Walken, Catch Me If You Can
    Should've been nominated: Dennis Quaid, Far From Heaven


    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role

    Prediction: Renee Zellweger, Chicago
    If I picked the winner: Julianne Moore, Far From Heaven
    Should've been nominated: Meryl Streep, The Hours


    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role

    Prediction: Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago
    If I picked the winner: Meryl Streep, Adaptation
    Should've been nominated: Samantha Morton, Minority Report


    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year

    Prediction: Spirited Away
    If I picked the winner: Spirited Away
    Should've been nominated: Metropolis


    Achievement In Art Direction

    Prediction: Chicago
    If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Should've been nominated: Minority Report


    Achievement In Cinematography

    Prediction: Conrad Hall, Road to Perdition
    If I picked the winner: Conrad Hall, Road to Perdition
    Should've been nominated: Andrew Lesnie, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers


    Achievement In Costume Design

    Prediction: Chicago
    If I picked the winner: Gangs of New York
    Should've been nominated: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers


    Achievement In Directing

    Prediction: Rob Marshall, Chicago
    If I picked the winner: Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
    Should've been nominated: Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers


    Best Documentary Feature

    Prediction: Prisoner of Paradise
    If I picked the winner: Bowling For Columbine
    Should've been nominated: Standing in the Shadows of Motown


    Best Documentary Short Subject

    no comment


    Achievement In Film Editing

    Prediction: The Hours
    If I picked the winner: The Hours


    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year

    Prediction: El Crimen Del Padre Amaro
    Should've been nominated: Talk to Her


    Achievement In Makeup

    Prediction: Frida
    Should've been nominated: Anything but these two.


    Achievement In Music (Original Score)

    Prediction: Elliot Goldenthal, Frida
    If I picked the winner: John Williams, Catch Me If You Can
    Should've been nominated: Howard Shore, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers


    Achievement In Music (Original Song)

    Prediction: Kander & Ebb, "I Move On", Chicago
    If I picked the winner: U2, "The Hands That Built America", Gangs of New York
    Should've been nominated: Howard Shore, "Gollum's Song", The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers


    Best Motion Picture Of The Year

    Prediction: Chicago
    If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Should've been nominated: Adaptation


    Best Animated Short Film

    Prediction: Mike's New Car
    If I picked the winner: Mike's New Car


    Best Live Action Short Film

    no comment


    Achievement In Sound

    Prediction: Chicago
    If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Should've been nominated: Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones


    Achievement In Sound Editing

    Prediction: Minority Report
    If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Should've been nominated: Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones


    Achievement In Visual Effects

    Prediction: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Should've been nominated: Minority Report


    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published

    Prediction: Bill Condon, Chicago
    If I picked the winner: Charlie & Donald Kaufman, Adaptation
    Should've been nominated: Philippa Boyens, Frances Walsh, Stephen Sinclair & Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers


    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen

    Prediction: Nia Vardalos, My Big Fat Greek Wedding
    If I picked the winner: Pedro Almodovar, Talk to Her
     
  14. TerryRL

    TerryRL Producer

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    BEST PICTURE
    "Chicago"

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Martin Scorsese "Gangs of New York"

    BEST ACTOR
    Jack Nicholson "About Schmidt"

    BEST ACTRESS
    Julianne Moore "Far From Heaven"
    (Nicole Kidman will probably win next year for "Cold Mountain")

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    John C. Reilly "Chicago"

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Catherine Zeta-Jones "Chicago"

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
    "Spirited Away"

    BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
    "Hero"- China

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    "The Hours"

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    "Far From Heaven"

    BEST ART DIRECTION
    "Chicago"

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    "Far From Heaven"

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN
    "Chicago"

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
    "Bowling for Columbine"

    BEST FILM EDITING
    "Chicago"

    BEST MAKEUP
    "Frida"

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
    "Catch Me If You Can"

    BEST SONG
    "The Hands That Built America" U2

    BEST SOUND
    "Gangs of New York"

    BEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING
    "Minority Report"

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
    "The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers"
     
  15. Dana Fillhart

    Dana Fillhart Supporting Actor

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    Wow, I thought I filled this out. I guess I only filled out the nominations thread -- whatever happened to that thread? I can't find it in a search.

    Anyway, here are my predictions:

    Best Picture - Chicago
    Best Actor (Lead) - Daniel Day Lewis
    Best Actor (Supporting) - Chris Cooper
    Best Actress (Lead) - Julianne Moore
    Best Actress (Supporting) - Meryl Streep
    Best Animated Feature - Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away)
    Art Direction - Chicago
    Cinematography - Road to Perdition (I'd rather see Far From Heaven, my 2nd guess)
    Costume Design - Chicago (Frida should win)
    Directing - Rob Marshall
    Documentary (Feature) - Bowling for Columbine (I've not seen any, just going with the flow)
    Documentary (Short) - Twin Towers (same as above)
    Film Editing - The Hours
    Foreign Language Film - Nowhere in Africa (this category's rules suck)!
    Makeup - Frida (ditto!)
    Music (Score) - Far from Heaven
    Music (Song) - Bono, "The Hands that Built America"
    Short (Animated) - Katedra (The Cathedral)
    Short (Live) - (abstain)
    Sound - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Sound Editing - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Visual Effects - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
    Screenplay (Adapted) - Adaptation.
    Screenplay (Original) - Hable con Ella (Talk to Her) (Great goddess Hera, I hope Greek Wedding doesn't win this!!)

     
  16. Zack Scott

    Zack Scott Stunt Coordinator

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    Okay..here are my pciks for the winners based on traditions of the Academy...and reasoning behind it.

    Actor:
    Daniel Day Lewis - The Gangs of New York..The only redeaming thing about the film that made me sit up in my cahir when I wasn't shifting around in it. Even though it echoed De Niro. Since Jack got the award a couple of years ago and Lewis hasn't gotten it since My Left Foot I would say it would only be fair for Jack to share the wealth...I mean yeah Jack is grat but he gets nominated every time he doe a pic (except for Mars attacks which I thought he was snubbed for [​IMG] )

    Actress: Nicole Kidman - The Hours...Should have gotten it last year for Moulan Rouge and this is the academy ackowledging that she is a great actress. Renezellwigger even though she shines and steals the show in everything that she's in didn't quite steal the show in Chicago when she was sharing the screen with CZJ, Queen Latifa, or Richard Gere (Whom I thought should have been nominated too but thats another thread all together)

    Supporting actor: Don't really have a favorite in this one didn't see Adaptation (will probably rent it later on in life) But I feel that John C. Reilly-even thought he didn't move me in his preformance in Chicago-will probably get it. I have always been wrong in this category thought.

    Supporting actress: Hands Down CAthrine Zeta Jones - Chicago ...Nuff said.

    ANimated feature: This could go two ways the academy could finally recognize that animation doesn't have to be for the kids and give it to Spirited Away (my pick) or go for the kid angle and give it to Lilo and Stitch (my girlfriends pick) either way those are the only two really worthy contenders in this category. (Treasure Planet WTF????)

    Art Direction: Gangs of New York for not going digital even thought it would have cost a lot less

    Cinematograhy: Another draw I loved Road To Perdidition's Cinematography and would be wonderful to give C. Hall one more post-humous oscar but thene theres chicago with it's beautiful color and lighting both beauts and I would have no qualms if either of those two win.

    Costume design - A draw between Chicago or GONY. Historically accurate is something the academy loves and GONY supposedly has it but cicago has alot of style and clolor and va voom to it.

    DIrecting - For a career that brought us Raging Bull, The Last Temptation of Christ, Goodfellas, Mean Streets, Taxi Drive (the list goes on and I think that you know who I'm talking about) the academy will just say Thank you to good ol Marty

    Documentary - only saw one...and it wasn't nominated so I would have to go with good old Micheal Moore.

    Editing - Another tough call but I would have to go with Cicago...yeah you try to edit a musical...it's tough. Battle scenes are fun and the Lord of the Rings will get it's glory in 2004.

    Makeup - Frida or The time Machine....THere was more makeup last year than just these two...c'mon they nominated Treasure Planet for best Animated Feature for crimeny. I'll go with Frida cause I don't like to recognize pics that suck.

    Music - what no Howard Shore??? I'll have to go with road to Perdition cause Catch me if you can's music was one of only two things that I thought was wrong with the pic. (besides episode 2 was a far better johnny williams score.

    SOng - Loose Yourself is a great fricking song and I'm glad that it was nominated but It wont get it. Just like Blame Canada didn't get the oscar that it should have. C'mon Emenim sings it. He's too controversial for the academy.So my only concession...Chicago...I hate U2 and that song just din't fit with the movie at all.

    Best Picture - Can you see where I'm going here? Yes Chicago...Even though I loved The Two Tower and it's release was perfectly timed with what's going on in the world today...The lord of the Rings will be honoured with everything that it deserved next year. Chicago would be the cocession piece for giving A Beautiful Mind Best Pic last year over Moulan Rouge.

    SOund - Again Road To Perdition. Star Wars wasn't really as great with sound as Perdition was. Ben burtt is great but he's doing what he's been doing since ep.4

    SOund Editing - the Two Towers. Lots of wonderful things going on all over the place.

    Special Effect - Digital Gollum or Digital Yoda. YOda I really believed in and the lightsaber fight was great. But gollum I bought. I felt sorry for him and he moved me. Yoda entertained me. I'm going with TTT.

    Adapted Screenplay - I love About A Boy. it should win. But Chicago will probably win over all.

    Original Screenplay - My Big Fat Greek Wedding. It's only a given. GAngs of New York wasn't really original (hello speghetti western) And the other three are filler in a very dry year in hollywood. Why not give the highest grossing independant feature a break.
     
  17. Nick Sievers

    Nick Sievers Producer

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    I'll be in on this one. I'll post when I finish work.

    BTW, sorry about not posting my Predictions in your other thread Craig. Just didn't have time to update my post.
     
  18. Rain

    Rain Producer

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    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role

    Adrian Brody - The Pianist

    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role

    Paul Newman - Road To Perdition

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role

    Nicole Kidman - The Hours

    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role

    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago

    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year

    Ice Age

    Achievement In Art Direction

    Gangs Of New York

    Achievement In Cinematography

    Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Costume Design

    Gangs Of New York

    Achievement In Directing

    Rob Marshall - Chicago

    Achievement In Film Editing

    Chicago

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year

    Chicago

    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published

    Bill Condon - Chicago

    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen

    Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
     
  19. george kaplan

    george kaplan Executive Producer

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    I'll make two predictions of a sort.

    Neither Lilo & Stitch, nor Lord of the Rings will win best picture in their categories, which will piss me off yet again (see my sig [​IMG]).
     
  20. Adam_S

    Adam_S Producer

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    Adam_S
    My picks for the academy are in large red bold, my personal pics of what should win are marked by an asterix *


    Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
    *Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs Of New York


    Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
    Chris Cooper - Adaptation
    *Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

    Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
    Nicole Kidman - The Hours


    Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
    *Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
    Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago


    Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
    *Spirited Away


    Achievement In Art Direction
    *Gangs Of New York


    Achievement In Cinematography
    *Conrad Hall - Road To Perdition

    Achievement In Costume Design
    Chicago
    *Gangs Of New York

    Achievement In Directing
    *Martin Scorsese - Gangs Of New York

    Best Documentary Feature [/size][/color]
    Bowling For Columbine

    Best Documentary Short Subject
    Twin Towers


    Achievement In Film Editing
    Chicago
    *Gangs Of New York

    Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year

    Nowhere In Africa - Germany



    Achievement In Makeup
    Frida


    Achievement In Music (Original Score)
    *John Williams - Catch Me If You Can

    Achievement In Music (Original Song)
    Bono, "The Hands That Built America" - Gangs Of New York

    Best Motion Picture Of The Year
    Chicago
    *Gangs Of New York

    Best Animated Short Film
    *Mike's New Car


    Best Live Action Short Film
    Inja


    Achievement In Sound
    Chicago
    *The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Sound Editing
    *The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers

    Achievement In Visual Effects
    *The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers


    Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published


    David Hare - The Hours



    Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
    *Jay Cocks, Kenneth Lonergan & Steven Zallian - Gangs Of New York
    Nia Vardalos - My Big Fat Greek Wedding



    I deliberately spread out the actorly awards which Chicago or hours could sweep, and I think Chicago could take either art direction or costume, but most of the rest are pretty gut instinct without any input from this thread.

    right now it stands at
    5 wins for Chicago
    4 wins for Gangs of New York
    2 wins for Two Towers
    2 for the Hours
    0 for Pianist

    so you can see from those numbers that I'm probably very very wrong

    Chicago gets two major categories, GONY gets two major categoires, The Hours gets two major categories, TTT is shut out of the major eight the rest of which go to award the highly lauded (critically) Adaptation and (popular) My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

    Two Towers picks up the two technical categories, losing sound because the academy will vote that as an apology to Chicago because their original song was wretched and not awarded.

    The production categories go to a wide variety of noms, mostly to Gangs and Chicago which take art direction and song; and costume and editing respectively. The rest is a fairly rare wide spread, awarding Frida, Catch Me if YOu Can, Road to Perdition each one because Two Towers was shut out of the first two and for cinematography because Conrad Hall died, meaning he'll get the oscar he very justly deserved (and probably wouldn't have been nominated for had he not) where Two Towers was also shut out of (FOTR won all three last year btw).

    The categories essentially no one cares about, are guesses, except for Bowling for Columbine, which could very easily lose because of restrictive screening tactics from Sony on the part of Winged Migration, in which case it will likely go to Spellbound. Foreign film Nowhere in Africa has the most current buzz plus it takes place in the academy's extras special favorite time period--the holocaust. The shorts are a toss up, and a lot of people say the Chubb Chubbs because they've seen it online (I couldnt'find it) or like the title, but I'm going with the power of Pixar here. docu short is a random guess just like everyone that didn't see them is doing. Animated feature will go to Spirited Away because I think there are restrictions on voting in that category as well, and if not the title has very high awareness in LA.

    Adam
     

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