Hurricane Ivan (2 Viewers)

[Scott Dautel]

Here is a Map of 2004 Hurricanes to date

Here is the position data for Hurricane Charlie
Here is the position data for Hurricane Ivan
Here is a printable blank tracking map (PDF format)

Scott

 

[Kirk Gunn]

9th lowest pressure on record:

As of 8 AM EDT, the central pressure in Ivan was down to 919 millibars or 27.14 inches for a time, as recorded by reconnaissance aircraft, then came back up to 921 millibars (27.20 inches). The 919 millibar central pressure ties with the 9th lowest central pressure ever found in an Atlantic basin hurricane;


To follow up on Eric's request, it would be very impressive to see a radar loop of the Atlantic Basin for the past month+ as all these storms developed and barreled through.

 

[Rob Lutter]

Let me illustrate just how fucked I am...

 

[Malcolm R]

The NHC doesn't release a summary of storm tracks until after the season ends November 30.

But to date, Ivan is following very closely in Charley's footsteps. One of my local weather stations has a tracker with all the recent storms (but I can't figure out how to link it). Ivan and Charley overlap each other exactly so far, though the NHC forecast keeps moving Ivan east, so now it's running right up the peninsula per Rob's graphic above.

Joe Bastardi at Accuweather.com predicted on Tuesday that Ivan would strengthen to a C5 with a pressure of 920 mb. Hopefully his analysis wasn't too conservative.

 

[James St]

Here's Charley



Ivan's path and projections

 

[Michael Caicedo]

Hurricane Tracker. Here you go:
http://html.wftv.com/sh/idi/weather/...netracker.html

 

[Rob Lutter]

Except notice that Charley wasn't a Cat 4 storm till it almost got to land... this sucker aleady is a Cat 5! Cuba looks like it's getting off the worst in this... it's gonna go right through Havana once again

 

[James St]

Jamaicans are shitting themselves far more then Cubans right now.

 

[Brian Perry]

Malcolm,

Is there a URL to the image in your first post? It looks so cool right now...

 

[Malcolm R]

Brian,

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/sat_m...r/isvrcuba.jpg

 

[Lew Crippen]

Morning Edition, this morning said that 90% of the homes on Jamaica had either been destroyed or damaged.

 

[James St]

They must have really jumped the gun on this story since Ivan hasn't hit Jamaica yet. Did you mean Grenada?

 

[Lew Crippen]

Probably--I was waking up when I heard the story. :b

 

[Rob Lutter]

I heard it was Aruba.

 

[Nathan*W]

Aruba, Jamaica -

Ooh, I'm gonna take ya...

 

[nolesrule]

The correct answer is....

Grenada.


The track projection keeps shifting at every update, and right now it's back on a Charley-like Florida landfall, although it's aiming at a wider section of Cuba.

 

[Todd Hochard]

Grenada-

It's not looking so good.

If I were in Jamaica, I'd find a good hole near the top of a hill, on the leeward side.

Am I the first? Let's call it "Ivan the Terrible."

 

[Malcolm R]

And that picture from Grenada was damage from only approximately 110-120 MPH winds.

NOAA also has some very cool satellite photos, such as this HD one (rather large, so linked only):

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...904-1245zb.jpg

 

[Brian Perry]

That picture is unreal!

 

[Craig S]

Of course, as the forecasters readily admit, they are not really good at forecasting storm intensity.