It's the Cold Mountain of this year's Oscars. Cold Mountain had quite a bit of Oscar buzz, got nominated for many of the predecessors, but it just fizzled out by the Oscars. In the end, it got 7 nominations. Like Dreamgirls, it was shut out for Best Picture, Best Director, and Screenplay. Both films each had/have two acting nominations and multiple nominations in the Best Original Song category. Heck, if Cold Mountain had one more nominated song, the two films would just about be even. The only real difference was the Cold Mountain love was predictable since it lost a lot of support in the preceding weeks. Dreamgirls' shut out of the main categories was surprising to say the least.
So here are my thoughts:
Actor - Leading
Somewhat surprising Leo was nominated for Blood Diamond. Of course, he was up for both films, and probably wasn't going to be nominated for both, but The Departed seemed to be stronger with the Oscar voters. Its strength seems to be wavering though. Everything else pretty was pretty much on target in the category. There was some talk of a Sacha Baron Cohen getting in in place of Gosling, but they were just pipe dreams.
Actor - Supporting
Biggest surprise was no Jack. I thought the Academy LOVED him! So another blow to The Departed. I also expected Brad Pitt to get in, but I guess he was never a frontrunner for the category. I'm surprised to see Wahlberg in. His Globe nomination was a pleasant surprise, but his security here always seemed a bit iffy. He was good in the movie, even if his role was small. Also interesting to see Jackie Earle Haley get in. I haven't seen Little Children, but I've heard some good notes for his performance.
Actress - Leading
Pretty much as expected.
Actress - Supporting
Breslin isn't much of a shocker, but it's interesting to see her get in.
Art Direction, Costume Design, and Cinematography
Fairly surprised to see The Prestige score two in these categories. I believe The Illusionist, the other period magician movie, was getting more support with the guilds.
Directing
I expected Eastwood to get in since the Little Miss Sunshine team seemed to be a weakspot with the DGA lineup. But since Dreamgirls got eliminated, it's nice to see Greengrass get in for United 93. Though I'm a little disappointed Alfonso Cuaron or Guillermo Del Toro didn't get in as well/instead.
Foreign Language Film
Probably as big a shocker as the Dreamgirls one - no Volver!
Makeup
Click?! WTF?!
Original Score and Song
The Score category seemed to be fairly unpredictable in my opinion (I think I got 2 of my predicted right). For some reason, I didn't expect 3 songs from Dreamgirls to make it either.
Best Picture
Again, no Dreamgirls is a shocker. I guess Letters was seemed like a predictable replacement, but I was thinking it'd replace Little Miss Sunshine.
Screenplay
Nice to see Children of Men get in. While I loved the movie, it had a pretty bad marketing campaign with very little Oscar support from Universal so not much was expected. Also surprised to see Borat get in. With original, it's nice to see Pan's Labyrinth get in. Also, I didn't expect to see Letters from Iwo Jima.
Looks like the Best Picture race is still wide open. Personally, I'm rooting for the Departed.
So here are my thoughts:
Actor - Leading
Somewhat surprising Leo was nominated for Blood Diamond. Of course, he was up for both films, and probably wasn't going to be nominated for both, but The Departed seemed to be stronger with the Oscar voters. Its strength seems to be wavering though. Everything else pretty was pretty much on target in the category. There was some talk of a Sacha Baron Cohen getting in in place of Gosling, but they were just pipe dreams.
Actor - Supporting
Biggest surprise was no Jack. I thought the Academy LOVED him! So another blow to The Departed. I also expected Brad Pitt to get in, but I guess he was never a frontrunner for the category. I'm surprised to see Wahlberg in. His Globe nomination was a pleasant surprise, but his security here always seemed a bit iffy. He was good in the movie, even if his role was small. Also interesting to see Jackie Earle Haley get in. I haven't seen Little Children, but I've heard some good notes for his performance.
Actress - Leading
Pretty much as expected.
Actress - Supporting
Breslin isn't much of a shocker, but it's interesting to see her get in.
Art Direction, Costume Design, and Cinematography
Fairly surprised to see The Prestige score two in these categories. I believe The Illusionist, the other period magician movie, was getting more support with the guilds.
Directing
I expected Eastwood to get in since the Little Miss Sunshine team seemed to be a weakspot with the DGA lineup. But since Dreamgirls got eliminated, it's nice to see Greengrass get in for United 93. Though I'm a little disappointed Alfonso Cuaron or Guillermo Del Toro didn't get in as well/instead.
Foreign Language Film
Probably as big a shocker as the Dreamgirls one - no Volver!
Makeup
Click?! WTF?!
Original Score and Song
The Score category seemed to be fairly unpredictable in my opinion (I think I got 2 of my predicted right). For some reason, I didn't expect 3 songs from Dreamgirls to make it either.
Best Picture
Again, no Dreamgirls is a shocker. I guess Letters was seemed like a predictable replacement, but I was thinking it'd replace Little Miss Sunshine.
Screenplay
Nice to see Children of Men get in. While I loved the movie, it had a pretty bad marketing campaign with very little Oscar support from Universal so not much was expected. Also surprised to see Borat get in. With original, it's nice to see Pan's Labyrinth get in. Also, I didn't expect to see Letters from Iwo Jima.
Looks like the Best Picture race is still wide open. Personally, I'm rooting for the Departed.