Paul_Scott
Senior HTF Member
- Joined
- Jul 19, 2002
- Messages
- 6,545
i would take one further gamble by waiving all licensing fees to Warner and Universal and Paramount for the next 18 months- as long as they remained HD DVD exclusive for that time period.
i really think, if Warner hadn't already gone out and announced cross platform support, that with upcoming releases like the Potter films, the Matrix movies, Batman, King Kong, Bourne, and the Superman movies- it would have been enough heavyweights that they would have easily countered the "we have more studio support" pitch of Bd- and that, coupled with the lower hardware buy-in costs, and the general satisfaction and enthusiasm of the first users, would have made it supremely difficult for Bd to catch up (as a movie platform) going into the first Christmas season.
i still think HD DVD has a strong advantage at the moment, and that Bd needs a near flawless roll-out at this point- but i think the whole 'war' could have been all but wrapped up by this time next year
That isn't to say that Sony would have flipped- i don't think that would have happened for at least 3-5 years- but everyone besides Sony/MGM would have and HD DVDs would be outselling comparable Bd releases 2 to 1, at least.
-had Warner and the two others just held out longer.
i really think, if Warner hadn't already gone out and announced cross platform support, that with upcoming releases like the Potter films, the Matrix movies, Batman, King Kong, Bourne, and the Superman movies- it would have been enough heavyweights that they would have easily countered the "we have more studio support" pitch of Bd- and that, coupled with the lower hardware buy-in costs, and the general satisfaction and enthusiasm of the first users, would have made it supremely difficult for Bd to catch up (as a movie platform) going into the first Christmas season.
i still think HD DVD has a strong advantage at the moment, and that Bd needs a near flawless roll-out at this point- but i think the whole 'war' could have been all but wrapped up by this time next year
That isn't to say that Sony would have flipped- i don't think that would have happened for at least 3-5 years- but everyone besides Sony/MGM would have and HD DVDs would be outselling comparable Bd releases 2 to 1, at least.
-had Warner and the two others just held out longer.