Posted February 24 2007 - 05:49 PM
| Originally Posted by Dave_P. |
Please explain to me the meaning of the following excerpt:
"getting the message across that Blu-ray should be the HD disc format of choice"
That's what I gathered from it.
Exactly my thoughts.
| Why wouldn't you want studios to release on both and see what the people choose (I guess for the bluray diehards they know if all studios released on both that hd dvd would "win" so they must try and suport no-choice style tactics) rather than force a format on someone? To act like you don't want format neutrality to me comes off as a person being worried they made the wrong choice and that they need the other side to be crushed to put their mind at ease...that or the people who get so giddy and act like their format of choice is their child are well, 12 years old and haven't hit any form of maturity yet and feel the need to try and rag on others because they bought something different. Lame either way. |
I find everything after the first question mark extremely interesting, given everything before it.
The major assumption here, that given perfectly equal libraries HD-DVD would win, is a significant reach.
It's a reach for 3 reasons.
1. The PS3.
2. The PC market.
3. The size difference.
The PS3 and PC markets will ensure that BR player and discs rapidly ramp up in production, with costs decreasing significantly faster than HD-DVD. The price advantage HD-DVD currently holds will be completely negated in a very fast amount of time.
The PC market will go BR simply because of the size difference. When you're trying to back up files, 50 gigabytes of space is far prefereable to 30 gigabytes of space. Especially if you're talking half-terra to terrabyte sized drives, the time/cost/space savings is significant. HD-DVD can't win the PC side over once everything's ramped up.
The size difference is equally important, because HD-DVD's going to need to spread stuff across many discs like DVD does, while BR can contain more per disc, meaning a BR title will end up cheaper than a HD-DVD title in time, due to fewer discs. It also means significantly more difference for enthusiats as it's less shelf space, and it means more extra features for enthusiats.
HD-DVD's only advantage is price, but that advantage exists only for the present time when the installed base of HDTV's remains low. By the time the HDTV installed base is at a significant number, PS3 and PC production will have ramped BR below HD-DVD's price. At that point, HD-DVD has no other feature that is superior to BR, and is on the downside of being the less familiar format due to BR penetration from PS3 and PC's.
Under the very, very, best of circumstances, HD-DVD still has an uphill battle because of the above. As such, proclaiming HD-DVD winning under the best of circumstances is still an extreme reach because HD-DVD can't ramp up as fast, nor does it have a prayer of capturing the PC market, and it's still gotta fight with space issues.
For the record, the only Player I own is an HD-DVD Player. But I can see the writing on the wall, and I've stopped buying HD-DVD's and am going to purchase a BR.