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  1. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    But once it is unstuck, we can still use it like any normal thread, correct? It just won't be at the top of the page unless someone posts in it? Thanks for the heads up, but it seems to me that whether it is sticky or not doesn't seem to matter much.
  2. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    For me -- since I don't have any home theater setup to speak of, just a TV with stereo sound and a fairly standard Blu-ray player -- the theater experience beats what I can get in my home no matter what. However, for the last few years, my local Cinemark always letterboxes 2.35:1 films. So it...
  3. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Well yeah, some films only play two weeks. But a Netflix film can play more than two weeks if the demand is there, as evidenced by the almost-12-week run of Roma at my theater (which by the way is not in LA or NYC.) They're not going to pull the film after two weeks if it is doing good...
  4. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    This is absolutely false. My local arthouse opened Roma on December 14 and is closing it this Thursday. It has run consecutively that entire time, including one week in 70mm. It's been here 11 weeks so far and will be 12 by the time it closes. But you wouldn't have any reason to know that...
  5. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I can guess. They probably don't want to admit that a film they made is actually having success in the theatrical market. A model where you pay $10 to a theater to screen their movie doesn't mean as much to them as having you pay $10 a month for access to their streaming platform, which is...
  6. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    This is a situation where Netflix's aversion to numbers is actually hindering their cause. Netflix could have said, "We put Roma into this many theaters and it stayed in them for this long and it made this much money." Providing this data would prove indisputably the scope of its theatrical...
  7. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    And yet Academy members don't have to go see films in a theater because they get screener discs in the mail. Just saying.
  8. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Except that Farrelly is a producer on the film. Therefore, the Green Book win does give him an Oscar because Best Picture is presented to the film's producers. He also got one for the screenplay, on which he was a co-writer.
  9. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I suspect that the clip montage was already complete by the time he passed. So I would expect they will put him in next year, which would be fine with me.
  10. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    My theory that Spike Lee is upset about losing to Green Book does not require me to have seen Green Book. Like I said, I suspect it's that film that irritates him, not a loss to a film. And now, I'm bowing out of this particular discussion.
  11. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Even if the rumors about Bryan Singer were nonexistent, he would not have been thanked. He was fired off that production after disappearing from the set. His replacement, Dexter Fletcher, did not shoot enough of the film in order to qualify for official directing credit because there is a DGA...
  12. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I wonder if Spike is upset that he was beat in general, or that he was beat by Green Book specifically. As in: if another film that wasn't Green Book or BlacKkKlansman had won Best Picture, would he have tried to leave before the speeches were done? I haven't seen Green Book and I still have...
  13. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I'm not going to change my predictions I posted last month. It's so crazy I don't really know anymore if those will hold or not. But it's going to be interesting to watch without having too many locks. Also: Anne Hathaway posted a photo of herself and James Franco from their hosting gig on...
  14. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I really loved Isle of Dogs. It would actually be my pick for Animated Feature personally (not that I didn't also love Spider-verse -- just that Isle meant more to me.) I would be happy if it won Score. But Desplat already has at least one Oscar, maybe two (I forget how many times he has...
  15. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    It's nominated, so I'm not saying you're wrong here, because the nomination in itself proves that other people found the score more memorable than I did. But I really liked BlacKkKlansman and don't remember the score making a huge impression on me. (Of course, I only saw the movie once, but...
  16. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    THR has two more of their "brutally honest" ballots up now. #2 is from a female member of the sound branch. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/lists/2019-brutally-honest-oscar-ballot-2-cooper-perfect-green-book-offensive-1188021/item/best-picture-brutally-honest-oscars-ballot-21-1188031 #3 is...
  17. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Yes, but probably Academy voters did see it with their screeners. The Academy has honored work in low-grossing films before. Still Alice had only made $7.9 million before the ceremony in which Julianne Moore won Best Actress for it. This year, Glenn Close is going to win with The Wife, which...
  18. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    This year is crazy for sure. Things have changed so much over the last few weeks that I'm not sure my predictions that I posted at the end of January are even still my current predictions. At this point, I think the only 100% locks where they might as well engrave the thing early are Glenn...
  19. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Except that Kendrick Lamar chose not to do it and no one else involved with the song wanted to replace him. That's not on the Academy. Bold emphasis in the above quote added by me...
  20. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Somehow, I expect that whatever scheduling prohibits him from being there was probably in place before the nominations were announced. This isn't something that a performer would miss lightly.
  21. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    You know, I don't think we can blame the Academy, or the producers, for this one. It sounds like it was Lamar's choice that he couldn't rearrange his schedule and do it. I'm sure this is a loss to the telecast and not something the Academy wanted -- this is one of the songs they wanted to keep...
  22. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I love those Brutally Honest ballots and look forward to them every year. Wow.
  23. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Good to know. That makes sense. Thanks.
  24. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I don't know if this has been reported somewhere, but ABC was promoting in between sitcoms tonight that Queen and Adam Lambert will open the show. Queen I understand because Bohemian Rhapsody, but why Adam Lambert? Does he normally perform with them now? Or does the network just want another...
  25. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Unfortunately, Whoppi's not hosting. The reason she's off The View is because she's recovering from pneumonia. https://tvline.com/2019/02/20/whoopi-goldberg-oscars-host-2019-surprise/ I love Whoopi and it would be great for her to host again, but if that was hosting, there would be no reason...
  26. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Glad to hear this. I'm looking forward to seeing it. Agreed. Plus, The Guilty (from Denmark) would actually get my vote if it had made it past the shortlist, which it should have. And The Cakemaker (from Germany) is excellent as well. That's saying something, indeed. I felt like...
  27. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    You're right, although that's a depressing thought. If they want an example of what the show shouldn't be, the fiasco that this year has been from the get-go provides one. Maybe they'll take notice. Probably they won't. Even though they have restored all the categories, I feel like I'm ready...
  28. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Yep. Also, Infinity War works extraordinarily well because it is the culmination of 18 previous films. It requires you to have a strong foundational knowledge of most of those movies and doesn't make any attempt to work for people who aren't already on board the Marvel train. This was...
  29. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    Lucky you. That is not opening here until next Friday, March 1, so it's literally impossible for me to complete those categories prior to the ceremony. Please do let us know how it is.
  30. Jake Lipson

    The Official 2019 Oscars Nomination Announcements Discussions & Predictions Thread

    I don't know the exact ethnic breakdown for everyone who worked on Fruitvale Station and Creed. However, Coogler does work with a lot of the same collaborators from film to film, so yeah, I would guess that there was a fair amount of black representation on those films. You seem to be implying...
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