I would not have been surprised to see someone like Isabelle Huppert or Frances McDormand win. I just nominated Emily Watson on a whim and certainly didn't expect her in the finals. I do think it is very much the luck of the match-up draw that eliminated some people early, though. . ...
Helen Mirren Kate Winslet
I have actually seen those 2, as well as "Afterglow", "McCabe", "Finding Neverland", "I'm With Lucy", "Heaven can Wait", "Dragonheart", "Power", "Fahrenheit 451" and "Shampoo" now that I reminded myself with her filmography! Hadn't realized I'd seen that many...