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Thanks. That was the first answer I came up with and it just didn;t feel right that 2.5% of the time it would take all 40 picks to get the specific item so I talked myself out of it. The other answer however seemed even more outlandish Oh well, just goes to show what happens when you...

At one time I used to be decent math and basic statistics, but 40 years have diminished my reasoning power and it's driving me crazy that I can't figure out why my answer makes no sense. Basically the art of the unlucky. A bag full of 40 different numbers picked one at a time and the drawn...