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Well, there is football on Saturday AND Sunday at prime movieviewing hours for the next few weeks. School is also restarting so TTT will take a nasty dive. The drop between this weekend and next (and this week and next) will be far more telling than the plunge it is taking now. Good to see...

Well, I still expect almost $300M for TTT. It is eminently watchable, and will receive enough noms to be noticed. I just don't expect the "surprise" factor, as FOTR came out of the blue for many folks. TTT is expected to be wonderful. I was mostly talking about GONY. I don't think it'll get...

This is frankly what I expected for GONY. As much interest as we have, I had one friend who's not a major moviegoer show ANY interest at all. It's between a rock (CMIYC) and a hard place (TTT), and it's making it's money now :frowning: The release date might support it's Oscar chances, but...

So numbers for the Oscar weenies, eh? CMIYC will do about $150M. Chicago will do $50M...maybe. This one is tough. I middle-of-the-road'ed it, but it could be less than $20M or more than $80M. We'll see...I don't see the public going crazy, but they just might. Gangs of New York has a...

TTT has a ceiling based on screens/capacity, and showings per day. I wonder how well it will do wrt to that. It certainly is peaking in the media/pop culture as Seth is saying. It *could* make it one more year and let ROTK coast it's way into history. That really depends on how it plays out...

The fanbase remained rock-solid, and gained quite a few members this year. The bulk of these attendees are NOT film fanatics, rather Potter-fanatics, and the first film was more than enough to assure them that COS would be great. I expect it to do rather well overall, coming in very close to...

Awwwww, Patrick, you stole my number! I was going to predict an $80+ Million weekend, and I still will. Running time hurts a little, but screens help :) We'll know in a few, Chuck

Dana, I'll play! Here are my numbers from page 1 ;) - Not as tough a call. I'll stick with $300 M, though. The new trailer will serve the film well, and it's passed HP as the film of the 4th Quarter for 2002. I do not think it could drop as low as $200M now, although $250M is a possible...

As has been said on other threads, don't judge a film's audience reaction based on one (your) audience, Tino. The audience I saw this with had a pretty good time, so ergo, I expect a big word-of-mouth hit (not really, just say neither of us are right). Some of it my play well in the South as...

I predicted SHA to have a huge weekend. You suckas should've listened. Regardless of whether any of us get the Reese "phenomenon" is irrelevant...most women do. That's her vibe. She's smart, capable, attractive without being threatening, and very talented. I fully expected this film to...

SHA will clear $25M opening weekend, and easily beat The Tuxedo. I visited my sisters in Charleston, SC this week (one is from Texas), and they are figuring out how to see it (as are their friends). Maybe not opening weekend, though. I am taking my wife on Friday. Will it be HUGE? Probably...

Everyone is ignoring Sweet Home Alabama! It will STOMP The Tuxedo. Every female (including my wife) wants to see this film, and frankly, I do too. Simple concept, but Reese sells it. Her last film made a little coin, driven by the little engine that could named Witherspoon. I expect huge...

That argument works with the folks who didn't know there were two movies after FOTR, went to see TTT anyways, and do not know there is a third and FINAL film in one year. No one will be getting fooled that can read and is somewhat spatially aware. The first time, sure. The second time... The...

Trailers/Commercials lead to exposure...exposure leads to awareness...Star Wars had more free exposure than any film before it, save TPM, thanks to E! Network, Access Hollywood, and ET. And there's nothing wrong with that. But does anyone honestly feel less people saw AOTC because they didn't...

Tino, Shoulda, coulda...won't :frowning: Just my belief that Darth will get more than the final (perfect) shot. I hope I am wrong... Take care, Chuck

I think Ep III will do II money. But certainly, not much more. Regular folks that had no interest in II won't see III either. The fans will go their usual amounts of time, so all in all, the downsizing from II to III will be compensated for by it being the very last SW film. Expect the same...

Paul, Seth, You both make very good points (or you did several hours ago). Long story short, you are both right. 1) If the audiences really thought AOTC was a great film...they'd go. 2) AOTC does have to overcome some cultural inertia other films, great or not, don't have to. Again, the...

Give Paul a prize!

AOTC is getting plenty of repeat business...from Star Wars fans. But not many others. Using the Occam's Razor theory - the simplest explanation is the most likely. IN this case, AOTC is seen by moviegoers as a whole as a one stop movie, if it is seen at all. The good news is that the fans...

I LOVE Titanic. Truly. "No fear." "Yeah, right..." Take care, Chuck :p) But that's for another thread...

I am certain that it had a higher per-screen average than Spidey for the respective Monday. However, I am more impressed by the fact that it did that on it's fifth day of release. The greater screens for Spidey don't mean much on a workday. Screens don't earn money...ticket sales do...

ET last night referenced the mistake on Fox's part, and made notice about it NOW being less than Spidey's three-day haul. But that's not REAL news... Take care, Chuck

Perfect sense, and that was my point. I just stated it poorly. ;) Overseas reaps more money than domestic anyway...and it should compared that way. Not apples and oranges, as it were :) Take care, Chuck

We are mostly talking domestic here...we go international after a while ;) SO SW numbers are $30.1M and $86M. So, the sixty less was right...in a way :D Both films should have stellar turns next weekend, AOTC obviously leading the pack. Spidey continues to amaze with it's numbers. Just...

Mad props to both, but very special recognition to Spidey. Many thought opening vs. SW was nuts, but it is competing (very strongly) where no one thought possible. I still stand by $400M for Star Wars...which should eke it by Spidey. Star Wars is critic-proof, as proven by TPM. That goes...

It is Star Wars, and it WILL DO FINE. This is just rampant speculation...have faith. I must say that Spidey making $11M on Friday was very surprising...I guess it's legs are going to be quite good. I wish both films the best ;) Take care, Chuck

Seth...uhh, yes, I did mean Memorial Day :D My mistake! Thanks for the eagle eyes... Take care, Chuck