We tried to warn Paramount of this waaaaaayyyy back in March. But did they listen? Nooooo. And they got exactly what they deserved. Silly us for thinking common sense might trump studio logic. :rolleyes: Though I don't think any of us expected that it would be a generic Jennifer Lopez flick...
I'm not sure the MovieCash counts at all toward the gross. When I used mine, my stub indicated it was a "FREE" ticket. To me, that implies that $0.00 was credited toward TTT for my ticket.
I would think abuse of the MC would be rampant, but perhaps participating theaters have to provide...
I was surprised that most films saw an increase from Wednesday to Thursday. Myself, I had to go back to work, but there must be a lot of people that have time off.
That said, does it mean anything that "Catch Me If You Can" was the only film in the Top 10 that experienced a decrease from Wed...
Hmmmm. I was going to predict $200M by the New Year, but didn't want to get laughed at by all the conservative TTT prognosticators in this thread. Though perhaps I should revise my original $330M total upward? :D
I still haven't seen it BTW, so there's 4-5 more admissions it has yet to take...
My original predictions from April 9, 2002:
With the exception of Spider-Man, (yikes!) I think I've earned a passing grade for box office prognostication this year. :D I'll stick with my TTT prediction as well, for the reasons originally stated. I think many of you are being far too...
Where is all this confidence coming from for "Catch Me If You Can"? I don't hear anyone talking about it outside this forum. And the trailer was awful, IMO.
Hanks is still somewhat of a draw, but Spielberg and DiCaprio have had a spotty track record the past few years.
Are there any formulae out there to calculate a given film's potential maximum gross, or are there too many variables? i.e., given the number of screens, are there standard averages for number of seats at each screen and ticket prices to figure out a potential maximum?
At any rate, grosses...
Last year, the second weekend of HP was also Thanksgiving Weekend, so that blunted the second weekend drop-off somewhat and enhanced it's big 3rd weekend decline.
I think it could still be a horse race for #1. Potter will likely be stronger over the weekend with kids and could easily make-up the $5M Friday difference.
Top ten estimates from BOMojo: [list=1]Sweet Home Alabama $37.5MThe Tuxedo $15.1MBarbershop $10.1MMy Big Fat Greek Wedding $9.8MThe Banger Sisters $5.4MThe Four Feathers $3.6MOne Hour Photo $3MBallistic $2.7MSigns $2.3MSwimfan $1.5M[/list=1]