The D+ window doesn’t help, but the films are failing because Disney keeps missing the boat with respect to storytelling and generating interest. They saturated the market with substandard product right when the superhero genre was about to experience a regression and allowed executives to...
With a couple of soft weeks at the box office and underperforming blockbusters, the I think the audience is primed. I would bet money on the over for $120M/5 days, much less $90M.
That "not opening in China" is a pretty big deal. Avatar is making pretty mad money there, so that is a pretty huge leg up. Nonetheless, if/when Avatar climbs up to #4 on the list, that'll be an unbelievable feat for Big Jim. It'll be interesting to see how Avatar 3 does, since it could be...
Tino, that'd be my guess as well. It's a relatively long few weeks until Ant-Man 2, so I agree that $600M domestic and $2B global sound about right. Still, they're in the black, proof of concept validated, technology improvements achieved, and ready to move forward with the real success.