The official 83rd Academy Awards Nomination and Predictions Thread (1 Viewer)

[Patrick Sun]

I'm basically going chalk on my Oscar picks:


Picture
The King’s Speech


Director
David Fincher/The Social Network


Actor
Colin Firth/The King’s Speech


Actress
Natalie Portman/Black Swan


Supporting Actor
Christian Bale/The Fighter


Supporting Actress
Melissa Leo/The Fighter


Screenplay, Adapted
Aaron Sorkin/The Social Network


Screenplay, Original
David Seidler/The King’s Speech


Animated
Toy Story 3


Foreign Film
Incendies/Canada


Music (Score)
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross/The Social Network


Music (Song)
We Belong Together/Toy Story 3


Editing
The Social Network


Sound Mixing
Inception


Sound Editing
Inception


Visual Effects
Inception


Cinematography
Roger Deakins/True Grit


Art Direction
Alice In Wonderland


Costume Design
Alice in Wonderland


Makeup
The Wolfman


Animated Short:
Day & Night


Live Action Short
Na Wewe


Documentary
Inside Job


Documentary Short
Strangers No More

 

[TravisR]

I'd list what I think will win (not necessarily what I think should win) but it would look like I just copy and pasted Patrick's post.


I don't know if Reznor and Ross will win the original score award though. Personally, I thought it was the best score that I've heard this year but I think Zimmer or Desplat will win. Also, I think that Hailee Steinfeld might beat out Melissa Leo for Best Supporting Actress.

 

[Brandon Conway]

Alright, here are my final predictions:


Picture: The King's Speech

Director: Hooper, The King's Speech

Actor: Firth, The King's Speech

Actress: Portman, Black Swan

Supporting Actor: Rush, The King's Speech

Supporting Actress: Steinfeld, True Grit

Original Screenplay: Seidler, The King's Speech

Adapted Screenplay: Sorkin, The Social Network

Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

Foreign Language Film: Biutiful

Cinematography: Deakins, True Grit

Editing: Anwar, The King's Speech

Art Direction: Stewart/Farr, The King's Speech

Costume Design: Beavan, The King's Speech

Makeup: Baker/Elsey, The Wolfman

Score: Rezner/Ross, The Social Network

Song: Newman, "We Belong Together", Toy Story 3

Sound Mixing: Hamblin/Jensen/Midgley, The King's Speech

Sound Editing: King, Inception

Visual Effects: Corbould/Lockley/Bebb/Franklin, Inception

Documentary Feature: Inside Man

Documentary Short: Strangers No More

Animated Short: Day & Night

Live Action Short: The Confession


Totals (outside of short films):


The King's Speech: 9

Inception: 2

The Social Network: 2

Toy Story 3: 2

True Grit: 2

Biutiful: 1

Black Swan: 1

Inside Man: 1

The Wolfman: 1


The King Speech's peak at the time of final voting is gonna put it over the top in a strong way.

 

[Mark Booth]

[SIZE= 14px]Here are my predictions for tonight (hopefully, in pretty close to the order they will be awarded):[/SIZE]



[SIZE= 14px]Actress in a Supporting Role: Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit)[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Writing (Original Screenplay): The King's Speech[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Writing (Adapted Screenplay): The Social Network[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Animated Feature Film: Toy Story 3[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Short Film (Animated): Day & Night[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Art Direction: Alice in Wonderland[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Costume Design: Alice In Wonderland[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Makeup: The Wolfman[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Cinematography: True Grit[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Short Film (Live Action): Na Wewe[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Actor in a Supporting Role: Geoffrey Rush (The King's Speech)[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Documentary (Feature): Inside Job[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Documentary (Short Subject): Killing in the Name[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Visual Effects: Inception[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Sound Editing: Inception[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Sound Mixing: The Social Network[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Film Editing: The Social Network[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Music (Original Score): The Social Network[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Music (Original Song): We Belong Together (from "Toy Story 3")[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Foreign Language Film: Incendies[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Directing: David Fincher (The Social Network)[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Actress in a Leading Role: Natalie Portman (Black Swan)[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Actor in a Leading Role: Colin Firth (The King's Speech)[/SIZE]

[SIZE= 14px]Best Picture: The Social Network[/SIZE]


Mark

 

[Adam_S]

predictions





Best Picture
Winner: The King's Speech
Alternate: The Social Network

Best Director
Winner: Tom Hooper
Alternate: David Fincher

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Winner: Colin Firth
Alternate: lmao

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Winner: Natalie Portman
Alternate: Annette Bening

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Winner: Christian Bale
Alternate: Geoffrey Rush

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Winner: Melissa Leo
Alternate: hailee Steinfeld

Best Original Screenplay
Winner: King's Speech
Alternate: Inception

Best Adapted Screenplay
Winner: The Social Network
Alternate: Winter's Bone

Best Animated Feature
Winner: Toy Story 3
Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon

Best Documentary Feature
Winner: Inside Job
Alternate: Exit Through the Gift Shop

Best Foreign Language Film
Winner: In a Better World
Alternate: Biutiful

Best Original Score
Winner: The King's Speech
Alternate: The Social Network

Best Original Song
Winner: I see the Light
Alternate: We Belong Together

Best Cinematography
Winner: True Grit
Alternate: Inception

Best Art Direction
Winner: Alice in Wonderland
Alternate: the King's Speech

Best Costume Design
Winner: Alice in Wonderland
Alternate: The King's Speech

Best Makeup
Winner: Barney's Version
Alternate: The Wolfman

Best Film Editing
Winner: The King's Speech
Alternate: The Social Network

Best Sound Mixing
Winner: Inception
Alternate: The King's Speech

Best Sound Editing
Winner: Inception
Alternate: True Grit

Best Visual Effects
Winner: Inception
Alternate: Alice in Wonderland

Best Documentary Short Subject
Winner: Poster Girl
Alternate: Strangers No More

Best Short Film (Animated)
Winner: Day & Night
Alternate: Madagascar diary

Best Short Film (Live Action)
Winner: Wish 143
Alternate: Na Wewe

 

[Mark Booth]

Of all my picks, the two I'm rooting for the most are Hailee Steinfeld for Actress in a Supporting Role and The Social Network for Best Picture.


It is my not so humble opinion that Hailee Steinfeld delivered the best female performance of the year. She should really have been nominated for best actress, not supporting role. And in that category, I would have still picked her over Natalie Portman.


Side note: If the self-promoting Melissa Leo beats out Hailee Steinfeld, I might be tempted to shut the broadcast off right then!


The King's Speech was a good movie, no doubt, but not a great one in my opinion. It has no rewatchability factor. And as a collector of movies, rewatchability factor is high on my list of attributes.


The Social Network, on the other hand, is highly entertaining even after multiple viewings. Snappy dialog, excellent score, and fantastic visuals. It truly was the best movie of 2010.


Mark

 

[Mark Booth]

In case it hasn't already been mentioned, AMPAS has provided a nice printable PDF ballot so you can play along at home:


http://a.oscar.go.com/media/2011/pdf/oscar_ballot_2011.pdf


Mark

 

[Tino]

Here are my picks:


Picture: The Kings Speech

Director: Tom Hooper

Actor: Colin Firth

Actress: Natalie Portman

Supporting Actor: Christian Bale

Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo

Editing: The Kings Speech

Original Screenplay: The Kings Speech

Adapted Screenplay: The Social Network

Score: The Social Network

Visual Effects: Inception

Sound: Inception

Sound Editing: Inception

Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

Original Song: Toy Story 3

Art Direction: Alice In Wonderland

Costume Design: Alice In Wonderland

Cinematography: True Grit

Foreign Language Film: Biutiful

Documentary Feature: Inside Job

Documentary Short: Killing In The Name

Animated Short: The Gruffalo

Makeup: The Wolfman

Live Action Short Film: The Confession


Would LOVE to see True Grit grab some upsets. Especially Halee for support actress.

 

[TonyD]

Let's see. Actor - Jeff Bridges suppoerting - Rush Actress - Portman supporting - Adams Animated - Toy Story 3 Dir - Fincher Doc - Gift Shop Original score - Social Net Original Song - We Belong Together Picture - Social Network Adapted Screenplay - Social Network Original Screenplay - King's Speech

 

[Adam Lenhardt]

My picks: who I think should win, not necessarily who I think will win.


Best Picture: "Inceptionhttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=Inception&ToDate=20111231" Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers Actor in a Leading Role: Colin Firthhttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...rth&Class=%&FromDate=19150101&ToDate=20111231 in "The King's Speech" Actress in a Leading Role: Jennifer Lawrence in "Winter's Bonehttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...S01&TITLESearch=Winter's Bone&ToDate=20111231" Actor in a Supporting Role: John Hawkeshttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...kes&Class=%&FromDate=19150101&ToDate=20111231 in "Winter's Bone" Actress in a Supporting Role: Hailee Steinfeld in "True Grithttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=True Grit&ToDate=20111231" Directing: "True Grithttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=True Grit&ToDate=20111231" Joel Coen and Ethan Coen Writing (Adapted Screenplay): "Winter's Bonehttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...S01&TITLESearch=Winter's Bone&ToDate=20111231" Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini Writing (Original Screenplay): "The King's Speechhttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...TITLESearch=The King's Speech&ToDate=20111231" Screenplay by David Seidler Animated Feature Film: "The Illusionist" Sylvain Chomethttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...met&Class=%&FromDate=19150101&ToDate=20111231 Art Direction: "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1"
Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan Cinematography: "True Grithttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=True Grit&ToDate=20111231" Roger Deakins Costume Design: "True Grithttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=True Grit&ToDate=20111231" Mary Zophres Documentary (Feature): No Opinion Documentary (Short Subject): No Opinion Film Editing: No Opinion Foreign Language Film: No Opinion Makeup: "The Wolfman" Rick Baker and Dave Elsey Music (Original Score): "Inceptionhttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=Inception&ToDate=20111231" Hans Zimmer Music (Original Song): "If I Rise" from "127 Hourshttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=127 Hours&ToDate=20111231"
Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong Short Film (Animated) & Short Film (Live Action): No Opinion Sound Editing: "Unstoppablehttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...EWS01&TITLESearch=Unstoppable&ToDate=20111231" Mark P. Stoeckinger Sound Mixing: "Inceptionhttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=Inception&ToDate=20111231" Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick Visual Effects: "Inceptionhttp://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps...VIEWS01&TITLESearch=Inception&ToDate=20111231" Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb

 

[Adam Lenhardt]

I'm a big fan of Wally Pfister, but Roger Deakins got robbed.

 

[WillG]

Glad to see Pfister get the win. If only for the fact he's one of the few who still shoots in Panavision

 

[Adam Lenhardt]

I'm torn between thinking Kirk Douglas was an absolute hoot, and being appalled by the disrespect he showed the Supporting Actress nominees.

 

[WillG]

I'm torn between thinking Kirk Douglas was an absolute hoot, and being appalled by the disrespect he showed the Supporting Actress nominees

I kind of thought the whole thing was kind of douche chilling. Not because of Douglas's speech issues, but the Melissa Leo speech seemed pretty bad to me. It looked like Douglas was being whisked offstage at one point. Franco and Hathaway didn't seem to know what to make of the whole thing. It all seemed kind of awkward.

 

[Marshall Alsup]

I'm very happy for Reznor. I thought his score was fantastic.

 

[Patrick Sun]

My penchant for guessing no more than 1 of 4 of the shorts/docs categories correctly has been broken by getting 2 docs categories right, and 2 shorts wrong, so yay for me.

 

[Adam Lenhardt]

"We Belong Together" was probably my least favorite of the Best Song nominees, but it was worth it for Newman's speech.

 

[Adam Lenhardt]

I still detest the decision in recent years to have a famous performer sing over the In Memorium slideshow. It should be about the deceased, not Celine Dion. I also don't like the implication that Lena Horne's death was more important than everyone else combined.


I do applaud the decision to not use the audience audio over the slideshow, however. It always seemed in poor taste to see the audience rate the dead with their applause.

 

[Patrick Sun]

Hmm, went 19/24 (if I did my tabulations correctly).


Cinematography was a toss-up, and I like Deakins work more.


Director should not have been a toss-up, but I'm truly surprised Fincher didn't get this one.


Missed on the Foreign film (always a guess), and 2 of the Shorts categories.

 

[Tina_H_V]

That was my final tally as well, Patrick.