Predict-o-matic NFL picks:

Discussion in 'Archived Threads 2001-2004' started by Dave Poehlman, Sep 18, 2002.

  1. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    I was bored here at work and made a spreadsheet that looks at each team's offensive and defensive ranking and weighs them against their opponent's offensive and defensive ranking.

    It calculates who is better suited to win. I'd thought I'd post the results here just for fun to see how accurate it is.

    This weeks winners, according to the "Predict-O-Matic" are going to be:

    Carolina Panthers
    Tennessee Titans
    Philadelphia Eagles
    Indianapolis Colts
    New England Patriots
    Miami Dolphins
    New Orleans Saints*
    New York Giants
    Buffalo Bills
    San Diego Chargers
    Green Bay Packers
    Washington Redskins*
    Atlanta Falcons*
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers*

    (*the Predict-o-matic says this will be a close game)
     
  2. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    I'm working on adding to the formula to take into consideration if a team has been on a losing streak, playing at home, and how tough their past opponents have been (which can skew their ranking).
     
  3. Howard Williams

    Howard Williams Supporting Actor

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    Dave, does your "Predict-o-matic" pick the winner on the field or does it include the point spread? Just curious.
     
  4. RobertR

    RobertR Lead Actor

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  5. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    It just picks the winner on the field. I am in a "survivor" pool here at work where you have to pick a team that will win each week, but you can't pick the same team twice. If your team loses, you're out.
    So, I was just breezing over stats this week and decided to plug 'em into a spreadsheet and one thing lead to another.
    It'll be interesting to see how accurate it is this weekend.
    Does anyone know where you can download raw NFL stats?
    (**disclaimer: the Predict-O-Matic™ is not intended as an aide to promote the despicable practice of gambling.) [​IMG]
     
  6. Ross Williams

    Ross Williams Supporting Actor

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    Make sure this thread is bumped back up on Tuesday, I wanna see how it did. I'm in a pool right now, and I could use some help.
     
  7. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    [​IMG] Again Ross, I am not responsible for any monies lost on bets based on the Predict-O-Matic™. It is intended for entertainment value only. [​IMG]
     
  8. Ross Williams

    Ross Williams Supporting Actor

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    Oh, I wouldn't blame you. (Not publicly at least.) But I've had a horrible time of it so far this year. Normally I'm pretty good at picking winners, but of course the first time I put some money down on it, I'm 5th from last out of 70 people.
     
  9. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    Well, well, well! The Predict-O-Matic™ is at a pretty solid 10 out of 13 correct! And the games it did miss were pretty close.

    It's leaning slightly towards Tampa tonight... sorry, St Louis fans.
     
  10. Howard Williams

    Howard Williams Supporting Actor

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    My daughter was 5 out 6 yesterday with the spread. She was a perfect 5 out 5 with the spread when choosing a team but she is 0 for 1 when picking the over/under.
    She gave me:
    SD -1.5 [​IMG]
    Phil -9 [​IMG]
    49'ers -9 [​IMG]
    Miami -6 [​IMG]
    Atl -6 [​IMG]
    Atl over 43 [​IMG]
    BTW, she likes St Louis and under tonight.
     
  11. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    The Predict-O-Matic™ went 11 and 3 last week. Here's it's picks for week 4:

    Carolina Panthers
    Buffalo Bills**
    Cleveland Browns
    St. Louis Rams
    Philadelphia Eagles
    Miami Dolphins
    New Orleans Saints
    Jacksonville Jaguars
    New York Giants
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    New England Patriots
    Oakland Raiders
    Minnesota Vikings
    Denver Broncos

    (** this game was a dead heat, the Predict-O-Matic™ picked the Bills strictly due to home field advantage)
     
  12. John Thomas

    John Thomas Cinematographer

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    I went 11-3 last week too! And I'm not a multbillion dollar machine of futuristic technology. [​IMG]
     
  13. Seth Paxton

    Seth Paxton Lead Actor

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  14. John Thomas

    John Thomas Cinematographer

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    "More human than human" is my motto. [​IMG]
     
  15. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    Yeowch! The Predict-O-Matic™ had some processing problems last week, apparently. 5 for 9! I've got an electrician coming over to install clean power to it tonight. I'll get this weeks picks up tomorrow.
     
  16. Dave Poehlman

    Dave Poehlman Producer

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    Alright, after a few calibration adjustments to the Predict-O-Matic™, here are the week 5 predictions:
    Code:
     [S]Arizona Cardinals@[u]Carolina Panthers[/u][/S]
     Cincinnati Bengals@[u]Indianapolis Colts[/u]
     [S][u]New England Patriots[/u]@Miami Dolphins[/S]
     [u]New York Giants[/u]@Dallas Cowboys
     [u]Oakland Raiders[/u]@Buffalo Bills
     Pittsburgh Steelers@[u]New Orleans Saints[/u]
     [u]Tampa Bay Buccaneers[/u]@Atlanta Falcons
     [S]Washington Redskins@[u]Tennessee Titans[/u][/S]
     [u]Kansas City Chiefs[/u]@New York Jets
     San Diego Chargers@[u]Denver Broncos[/u]
     [S][u]Philadelphia Eagles[/u]@Jacksonville Jaguars
     [u]St. Louis Rams[/u]@San Francisco 49ers
     Baltimore Ravens@[u]Cleveland Browns[/u][/S]
     [u]Green Bay Packers[/u]@Chicago Bears
     
     

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