Dana Fillhart
Supporting Actor
- Joined
- Feb 8, 1999
- Messages
- 977
Well, I figured that before any of these films comes out, I should start this thread and try my hand once again at guesstimating the domestic grosses for the upcoming blockbusters. So without further ado, here we go:
1. Attack of the Clones - $380 million. Despite the certainty of being far superior to its predecessor, I don't think this one will do as well this time around -- partly because of Joe Q's jaded expectations caused by TPM, and partly because DVD has become the prime home video format of choice and a LOT of those who don't want a second letdown will take this route.
2. The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers - $300 million. Okay, Tino, is this prediction more in line? Seriously, I think that this go-round will equal the previous film: Those who won't see this one because they were not impressed with the first one will be a minority, although there will be new folk who might not want to see it because they hadn't seen the first one. The movie promises to be more dramatic and more epic (if that's possible) than the first, so this should bring even more repeat business from fans than the previous.
3. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets - $275 million. This is the one sequel that will probably suffer the most from the Jaded-Joe Q factor. Combined with a weaker (but still enjoyable) plot, I believe this one won't make the $300 million mark.
4. Spiderman - $200 million. So many factors are affecting my predictions on this one, but I think that, if it passes the fan muster, or if it has a Mummy-like feel for Joe Q to "appreciate", it could break $200 million. I don't see it doing anything close to $300 million, though.
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There are a couple other movies coming out this year that may affect the list: The Sum of All Fears (May 31st), Minority Report (June 21st), Scooby Doo (June 14th)...just kidding on that last one
It looks like this year promises to be another recordbreaker for Hollywood. Regardless of box office revenues, though, the movie fan sure has a lot to be happy for this year!
1. Attack of the Clones - $380 million. Despite the certainty of being far superior to its predecessor, I don't think this one will do as well this time around -- partly because of Joe Q's jaded expectations caused by TPM, and partly because DVD has become the prime home video format of choice and a LOT of those who don't want a second letdown will take this route.
2. The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers - $300 million. Okay, Tino, is this prediction more in line? Seriously, I think that this go-round will equal the previous film: Those who won't see this one because they were not impressed with the first one will be a minority, although there will be new folk who might not want to see it because they hadn't seen the first one. The movie promises to be more dramatic and more epic (if that's possible) than the first, so this should bring even more repeat business from fans than the previous.
3. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets - $275 million. This is the one sequel that will probably suffer the most from the Jaded-Joe Q factor. Combined with a weaker (but still enjoyable) plot, I believe this one won't make the $300 million mark.
4. Spiderman - $200 million. So many factors are affecting my predictions on this one, but I think that, if it passes the fan muster, or if it has a Mummy-like feel for Joe Q to "appreciate", it could break $200 million. I don't see it doing anything close to $300 million, though.
--
There are a couple other movies coming out this year that may affect the list: The Sum of All Fears (May 31st), Minority Report (June 21st), Scooby Doo (June 14th)...just kidding on that last one
It looks like this year promises to be another recordbreaker for Hollywood. Regardless of box office revenues, though, the movie fan sure has a lot to be happy for this year!