Patrick Sun
Senior HTF Member
- Joined
- Jun 30, 1999
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Wow, I've seen nearly everything nominated, except for the docs and shorts, and I haven't seen "45 Years" for Charlotte Rampling's performance.
Colin Jacobson said:Maybe Dano and Cusack canceled each other out?
If memory serves, he's only been nominated for Pulp Fiction, Inglourious Basterds and Django Unchained.Kevin Lamb said:Is this the first time a Tarantino screenplay has ever NOT been nominated?
Well it has two chances this year. The Revenant was also NOT nominated for a screenplay Oscar.Colin Jacobson said:Thinking of the possibility "MM:FR" will win BP, I looked to see the last time a movie won BP but didn't get a nom for Best Screenplay - "Titanic" was the last one.
Usually the BP winner also gets one of the 2 Screenplay awards, and it's exceedingly rare the BP goes to a movie not even nominated for Screenplay.
I stopped poking around after going back 20 years. Anyone know of other BP winners that weren't nominated for Best Screenplay?
TravisR said:If memory serves, he's only been nominated for Pulp Fiction, Inglourious Basterds and Django Unchained.
Back to back directing wins have happened twice in Oscar history.Brandon Conway said:So, my take on how this will likely shake out:
I really think you have two short-list pairings of potential Picture winners:
- The box office successes with lots of nominations: The Revenant, Mad Max: Fury Road
- The socially important dramas: The Big Short, Spotlight
Those are the four that can win Picture. All have director and editing noms.
The Revenant should be in the lead now because it counts all major branches as part of its nominations - Directors, Actors, Writers, Technicians. But I wonder if Birdman's win just last year and its general bleakness hurts it just enough to let The Big Short or Spotlight take it away. Also, it may get other bias because of Birdman - no director has won in back to back years since Mankiewicz in 1949-50. No cinematographer has EVER won three times in a row.
And then there's Mad Max, which is propped up by the Director and Technical people. But those that love it LOVE it, and could perhaps push it over the top.
If it wasn't for The Revenant and Mad Max's support from the Technical side of the Academy I'd say The Martian has an Argo-like chance. But I just can't see it building any momentum unless, like Affleck, Scott wins the DGA. But the lack of editing nom hurts it big time.
I'm going with Miller winning director (because back-to-back wins just don't happen), with one of the other three (probably Spotlight) winning Picture.
Yeah.... 65 and 75 years ago. Not exactly common.Tino said:Back to back directing wins have happened twice in Oscar history.
Like most people outside the industry.Patrick Sun said:Wow, I've seen nearly everything nominated, except for the docs and shorts, and I haven't seen "45 Years" for Charlotte Rampling's performance.
I was just responding to your comment that they don't happen. I think it will this year.Brandon Conway said:Yeah.... 65 and 75 years ago. Not exactly common.
ROOM was nominated. THE ROOM is a midnight cult film, notorious for its ineptitude in all departments.Ronald Epstein said:Happy THE ROOM got a nod for Best Picture. Very powerful film.
I'd be open to hearing what performances they feel are on par with the folks that are nominated. The problem isn't with the Oscars, it's with Hollywood and the roles that they hire minority actors for.Patrick Sun said:Folks claming for the 2nd year in a row, all white nominees in the acting categories.
Tino said:I think that the simple reason Josh is that not enough members saw, or perhaps wanted to see, The Walk.