Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl Ben Kingsley - House Of Sand And Fog Jude Law - Cold Mountain Bill Murray - Lost In Translation Sean Penn - Mystic River
Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role Alec Baldwin - The Cooler Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams Djimon Hounsou - In America Tim Robbins - Mystic River Ken Watenabe - The Last Samurai
Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give Samantha Morton - In America Charlize Theron - Monster Naomi Watts - 21 Grams
Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role Shohreh Aghdashloo - House Of Sand And Fog Patricia Clarkson - Pieces Of April Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River Holly Hunter - Thirteen Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain
Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year Brother Bear Finding Nemo The Triplets of Belleville
Achievement In Art Direction Girl With A Pearl Earring The Last Samurai The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Seabiscuit
Achievement In Cinematography Cesar Charlone - City Of God John Seale - Cold Mountain Eduardo Serra - Girl With A Pearl Earring Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit
Achievement In Costume Design Girl With A Pearl Earring The Last Samurai The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Seabiscuit
Achievement In Directing Fernando Meirelles - City Of God Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Clint Eastwood - Mystic River
Best Documentary Feature Balseros Capturing The Friedmans The Fog Of War My Architect: A Son’s Journey The Weather Underground
Best Documentary Short Subject Asylum Chernobyl Heart Ferry Tales
Achievement In Film Editing City Of God Cold Mountain The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Seabiscuit
Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year The Barbarian Invasions (Canada) Evil (Sweden) The Twilight Samurai (Japan) Twin Sisters (The Netherlands) Zelary (Czech Republic)
Achievement In Makeup The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Achievement In Music (Original Score) Danny Elfman - Big Fish Gabriel Yared - Cold Mountain Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo James Horner - House Of Sand And Fog Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Achievement In Music (Original Song) Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind T Bone Burnett & Elvis Costello, "Scarlet Tide" - Cold Mountain Benoit Charest & Sylvain Chomet, "The Triplets of Belleville" - The Triplets of Belleville Sting, "You Will Be My Ain True Love" - Cold Mountain
Best Motion Picture Of The Year The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Lost In Translation Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Mystic River Seabiscuit
Best Animated Short Film Boundin' Destino Gone Nutty Harvie Krumpet Nibbles
Best Live Action Short Film Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket) Most (The Bridge) Squash (A) Torzija ([A] Torsion) Two Soldiers
Achievement In Sound The Last Samurai The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl Seabiscuit
Achievement In Sound Editing Finding Nemo Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Achievement In Visual Effects The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published Shari Springer Berman & Robert Pulcini - American Splendor Braulio Mantovani - City Of God Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King Brian Helgeland - Mystic River Gary Ross - Seabiscuit
Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen Denys Arcand - The Barbarian Invasions Steven Knight - Dirty Pretty Things Andrew Stanton & Bob Peterson - Finding Nemo Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
BUMP to notify Craig of my filling in the missing categories, and change Best Song from "Triplets of Belleville" to "Into the West"
I'm totally guessing, of course, but they SOUND good
I'm holding on my initial picks. the only change (besides Into the West) I made was Zellweger to Aghdashloo and that was after a day or two of thinking about it. I WAS FIRST, SUCKAS! For awhile there I was the only one out on that limb, but I see a few of you gamblers climbed out with me.
Chris--there's actually an article over at moviecitynews.com: Joe Roth is producing the Oscars, and his main thing is "less dance numbers, way less musical--more acceptance speech"
He's aiming to play NOBODY off, and he's actually already guaranteed that Bill Murray will get to talk as long as he wants while presenting.
Watching might be more fun this year BECAUSE of the fact that the actors already all know they're free to ramble and speak out if they wish.
Updated mine. Pretty much just changed my showier format and got rid of my stupid little comments. Biggest change was the addition of the documentary short and live action short categories and I changed my prediction for adapted screenplay to Seabiscuit.
Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role Charlize Theron - Monster
Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain
Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year Finding Nemo
Achievement In Art Direction The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Achievement In Cinematography John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit
Achievement In Costume Design The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Achievement In Directing Peter Jackson, The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King (2/29 6pm EST: Changed from "Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation" now that I've finally seen LiT)
Best Documentary Feature The Fog Of War
Best Documentary Short Subject Chernobyl Heart
Achievement In Film Editing Seabiscuit
Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Achievement In Makeup Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Achievement In Music (Original Score) Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Achievement In Music (Original Song) Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind
Best Motion Picture Of The Year The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Best Animated Short Film Destino
Best Live Action Short Film Two Soldiers
Achievement In Sound The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Achievement In Sound Editing Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Achievement In Visual Effects The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published Brian Helgeland - Mystic River
Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America
I changed 3 items in my list, 2 to reflect changes in opinion, 1 to correct a mistake.
I changed my prediction on Costume Design from Return of the King to The Last Samurai.
I changed my prediction on Film Editing from Return of the King to City of God
And I corrected a mistake on predicting Return of the King for Best Adapted Screenplay -- this one's almost certainly going to Mystic River (feel better now, Ernest? )
Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role Sean Penn - Mystic River
Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role Charlize Theron - Monster
Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain
Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year Finding Nemo
Achievement In Art Direction The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Achievement In Cinematography John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit
Achievement In Costume Design The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Achievement In Directing Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Best Documentary Feature The Fog Of War
Best Documentary Short Subject Chernobyl Heart
Achievement In Film Editing The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Achievement In Makeup Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Achievement In Music (Original Score) Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo
Achievement In Music (Original Song) Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Best Motion Picture Of The Year The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Best Animated Short Film Boundin'
Best Live Action Short Film Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)
Achievement In Sound Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Achievement In Sound Editing Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Achievement In Visual Effects The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
These are my predictions. The ones I felt I was going most out on a limb for were Score (favorite is ROTK, but FOTR won here so I'm forced to wager the Academy will pick something else, I don't think Newman has won an Oscar yet) and Adapted Screenplay (Mystic's been the big favorite for a while, but a major ROTK sweep could pick up the award, and since I'm predicting 8 wins for ROTK that seems like a major sweep).