OK, let's have it: How do you think the NFL season is going to shake up this year? Who's going to the Super Bowl? Who's going into the toilet bowl? Of course, if the last few years have taught us anything about the NFL, it's that guesses are about as accurate as predictions. So here are my completely valueless predictions: Super Bowl: Rams over Raiders. I kind of want to pick the Steelers, but I just don't believe in Kordell Stewart. Mike Martz's system is too strong and his personnel are just too good, and the batches of fast young defenders they've drafted the last few years are going to pay off big time. The Raiders are going to turn their last opportunity to go through that championship window into a glorious season followed by a humiliating defeat in San Diego. MVP: Marshall Faulk, Rams. Barring injury, I just can't see any reason to pick anyone but Faulk or Warner. Flip a coin. Defensive Player of the Year: LaVar Arrington, Redskins. He's the linebacker of Marvin Lewis' dreams, and playing next to Armstead and Trotter will only help. He'll get some MVP consideration, too. Coach of the Year: Boy, I want so bad to say Steve Spurrier. But it's going to be Tony Dungy. Rookie of the Year: Antwaan Randle El, Steelers. I've loved this guy since he was a sophomore, and he lights up the field like Deion used to. Dallas' Roy Williams and the Giants' Jeremy Shockey will also excel from the start, and both will make the Pro Bowl. Sleeper teams: Washington will challenge for the NFC East. Cleveland will win double-digit games behind Tim Couch. The Colts, Chargers, and Saints will all rebound from substandard seasons to challenge for playoff spots. Snoozer teams: The Bears can't duplicate last year's magic--or luck. Dallas still has no quarterback and problems with receivers, and their owner needs to hire an actual coach, not a figurehead. Baltimore has taken too many hits. The Bengals' three half-quarterbacks don't make a whole. The Lions and Panthers are just in total disarray, despite each team having a young quarterback with a great future. Best divisional race: As usual, the AFC East, where the last-place team will finish above .500. Worst divisional race: The NFC North, which is looking at a down year. Big stories: Steve Spurrier's offense works better down the stretch than at the beginning of the season--but the Redskins are carried by their defense. Randy Moss has a down season. Jon Gruden's Gulf Coast offense is one of the best in the league--but the Bucs' defense has an off year. Donovan McNabb may be better than Randall Cunningham ever was. Tim Couch emerges as a legitimate franchise quarterback. The Patriots weren't exactly a fluke last year, but they're also not exactly Super Bowl material now. Houston should never have messed with David Carr's mechanics. Michael Vick is amazing, but Warrick Dunn isn't. Eddie George is rushing champ. Jeremy Shockey leads the Giants in receptions. AFC NORTH: Pittsburgh (12-4), Cleveland (10-6), Baltimore (6-10), Cincinnati (5-11) AFC SOUTH: Indianapolis (11-5), Tennessee (10-6), Jacksonville (4-12), Houston (3-13) AFC EAST: Miami (11-5), New England (10-6), Buffalo (9-7), New York (9-7) AFC WEST: Oakland (12-4), Denver (10-6), San Diego (9-7), Kansas City (5-11) NFC NORTH: Green Bay (10-6), Minnesota (8-8), Chicago (5-11), Detroit (3-13) NFC SOUTH: Tampa Bay (10-6), New Orleans (10-6), Atlanta (7-9), Carolina (2-14) NFC EAST: Philadelphia (11-5), Washington (9-7), New York (8-8), Dallas (3-13) NFC WEST: St Louis (14-2), San Francisco (12-4), Seattle (7-9), Arizona (2-14) OK, sports fans, rip me a new one.