MikeEckman
Screenwriter
- Joined
- Jan 11, 2001
- Messages
- 1,085
I find this all fascinating, but there is still one point that these companies are still overlooking. I'll quote Bill Hunt.
As he said, the upgrade from VHS to DVD was a no brainer, but it still took a good 4 years or so before it REALLY took off. DVD came out in March 1997. I didn't get my first player til spring 2000, and even then DVD still was still "new" to a majority of the general population.
What Im getting at here is when DVD2 (or whatever its going to be called) comes out, there is going to be MUCH less demand by the general mass to want to upgrade. Add to that the million dollar question that your typical consumer is going to ask "Why should I upgrade?" and the fact that so many people are just now building their DVD library, I seriously think it is going to take a LONG time for a demand for a DVD2 will exist.
I personally think that even if one unified DVD2 came out, it would stay a niche product much longer than DVD did, but if there's going to be two, it will be even longer.
As he said, the upgrade from VHS to DVD was a no brainer, but it still took a good 4 years or so before it REALLY took off. DVD came out in March 1997. I didn't get my first player til spring 2000, and even then DVD still was still "new" to a majority of the general population.
What Im getting at here is when DVD2 (or whatever its going to be called) comes out, there is going to be MUCH less demand by the general mass to want to upgrade. Add to that the million dollar question that your typical consumer is going to ask "Why should I upgrade?" and the fact that so many people are just now building their DVD library, I seriously think it is going to take a LONG time for a demand for a DVD2 will exist.
I personally think that even if one unified DVD2 came out, it would stay a niche product much longer than DVD did, but if there's going to be two, it will be even longer.