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- Dec 21, 2002
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- Jake Lipson
I don’t think Fauci is wrong.
I agree. I meant more that it would be nice if he was because everyone would love to be back to normal sooner. I didn't mean to imply that I actually think he is. But that underscores the issue that Disney faces with Black Widow. Assuming that Fauci is correct, then moving Black Widow to February where The Eternals is now wouldn't really make much difference in terms of its box office potential. That would simply be delaying the inevitable soft numbers that Tenet is currently generating.
Based on Fauci's timetable, the earliest possible date when we're back to normal and Black Widow could make its normal amount of money would be November 2021. That assumes everything goes perfectly between now and then, which is not a reasonable assumption. As you've noted both here and in the Soul thread, I'm not sure that it makes much sense for Disney to hold onto the film (and their entire subsequent MCU slate) for that long. Kicking it back three more months won't do it.
That's the challenge they are facing from a scheduling standpoint.