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2019 At The Box Office

Discussion in 'Movies' started by Tino, Dec 23, 2018.

  1. Adam Lenhardt

    Adam Lenhardt Director

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    Yes, the Capital Region has a large South Asian population. Usually the largest multiplex has at least one screen dedicated to a Bollywood picture or another Hindi film at any given time.
     
  2. Message #122 of 163 Mar 3, 2019
    Last edited: Mar 3, 2019
    Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Producer

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    Those two examples are on the more extreme end of original-to-sequel gaps, and I think there are other reasons that they didn't perform to huge numbers aside from the gap. But even something with a less significant gap, like Avatar, might still be too long considering how fast sequels get pumped out now.

    Just for a little bit of perspective, in the span of time between Spectre and Bond 25, we will have gotten the entire Star Wars sequel trilogy, plus Rogue One and Solo. Of course, Bond will likely always have some kind of audience, but it does speak to the changing nature of how we consume entertainment and how the business model in Hollywood relies on sequels more and more every year.

    For Avatar, which had only one enormous hit movie before its dormancy, it's hard to tell how that will be responded to, but I'm personally more curious to find out about that than I am about the actual content of the sequel (although I was underwhelmed by Avatar in the first place.)
     
  3. Message #123 of 163 Mar 4, 2019
    Last edited: Mar 4, 2019
    Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Producer

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    A little bit of interesting business happened on the 2018 box office chart this weekend.

    As we've discussed before, industry practice is to count the entire box office run of a film toward the yearly chart in which the film opened. The point of this as I understand it is to not penalize films that open later in the year for opening later in the year. So for example, the $620 million that The Last Jedi made is all counted toward its total on the 2017 chart, even though it made a good chunk of its money in calendar year 2018.

    This doesn't mean sites like Box Office Mojo don't also have detailed records showing when exactly films made their money, but counting totals all on the chart for the year in which they open sort of evens things out for films that are end-of-year releases and therefore didn't have enough time within its release year to rack up grosses similar to films that played earlier in the year and ran their course.

    So....all that being said....with this weekend's grosses added in (and assuming the weekend actuals hold up to Fox's estimates), Bohemian Rhapsody crossed $214 million, which makes it the 10th highest-grossing film that was released in 2018.

    This bumps Solo out of the 2018 top ten.

    If you had told me a year ago that Bohemian Rhapsody was going to make more money than Solo, I would have thought you were crazy. But there it is, folks.

    https://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?yr=2018&p=.htm

    Also, Disney was able to get Ralph Breaks the Internet over the $200 million threshold which is good enough for 14th place for the year.
     
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  4. Wayne_j

    Wayne_j Cinematographer

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    This Box Office show that I watch weekly provided excellent analysis on why Green Book performed so well in China this weekend.

     
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  5. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Producer

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    Funnily enough, I was just headed in here to post the same thing. That's fascinating. Dan always provides great context for the numbers on that show and this is no exception.
     
  6. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    Top 20 courtesy www.boxofficemojo.com


    1 N Captain Marvel BV $153,000,000 - 4,310 - $35,499 $153,000,000 - 1
    2 1 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Uni. $14,696,000 -51.1% 4,042 -244 $3,636 $119,662,125 $129 3
    3 2 Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral LGF $12,050,000 -55.5% 2,442 - $4,934 $45,879,810 - 2
    4 4 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part WB $3,825,000 -42.0% 2,930 -528 $1,305 $97,109,961 - 5
    5 3 Alita: Battle Angel Fox $3,200,000 -55.7% 2,374 -722 $1,348 $78,346,064 $170 4
    6 6 Green Book Uni. $2,488,000 -45.6% 2,097 -544 $1,186 $80,140,871 $23 17
    7 7 Isn't It Romantic WB (NL) $2,410,000 -46.6% 2,223 -1,102 $1,084 $44,154,720 - 4
    8 5 Fighting with My Family MGM $2,188,868 -53.0% 2,455 -400 $892 $18,656,958 - 4
    9 8 Greta Focus $2,161,000 -51.8% 2,417 +6 $894 $8,252,735 - 2
    10 15 Apollo 11 Neon $1,301,000 -19.0% 405 +285 $3,212 $3,780,952 - 2
    11 9 What Men Want Par. $1,200,000 -56.6% 1,062 -956 $1,130 $51,997,160 $20 5
    12 12 The Upside STX $1,020,000 -49.3% 1,010 -597 $1,010 $104,540,031 $37.5 9
    13 10 Happy Death Day 2U Uni. $859,000 -65.0% 1,098 -1,233 $782 $26,785,645 $9 4
    14 13 A Star is Born (2018) WB $744,000 -59.9% 810 -425 $919 $214,532,255 $36 23
    15 11 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $650,000 -69.8% 824 -1,580 $789 $188,791,684 $90 13
    16 N Badla Relbig. $614,328 - 94 - $6,535 $614,328 - 1
    17 16 Run the Race RAtt. $607,745 -53.7% 753 -322 $807 $5,241,994 - 3
    18 14 Cold Pursuit LG/S $520,000 -68.6% 823 -942 $632 $31,121,970 - 5
    19 N The Kid (2019) LGF $505,000 - 268 - $1,884 $505,000 - 1
    20 18 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $370,000 -61.5% 386 -453 $959 $215,228,036 $52 19
     
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  7. Sean Bryan

    Sean Bryan Sean Bryan

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    https://deadline.com/2019/03/captain-marvel-opening-weekend-box-office-breaks-records-1202571905/

    “EARLY MONDAY AM UPDATE:
    Disney has yet to release their morning figures, but rivals are figuring that Captain Marvel came in with a $154M opening after a $39M Sunday. Together with her overseas take of $302M –the 5th best overseas debut of all-time–global debut for the Disney pic stands at $456M. By the end of its first week (or less), film finance executives are saying that Captain Marvel will hit $650M global and pass break-even in its theatrical cycle based off combined net production and global marketing costs of $300m. Final domestic B.O. should be north of $400M. Final global, if the film is front-loaded would be around $750M-$800M, with a shot at $1 billion.”
     
  8. Colin Jacobson

    Colin Jacobson Lead Actor

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    Any thoughts on what kind of legs "Captain Marvel" will have? I suspect they'll be good - maybe not :"Wonder Woman" good, but I think it'll hold up well over the next few weeks, especially since it has no genre competition until early April...
     
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  9. Josh Steinberg

    Josh Steinberg Executive Producer
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    I think it'll do fine. I think it was a good but not great entry into the MCU, and that might dampen enthusiasm for multiple viewings from Marvel fans that might go more than once. I'm also not sure if the film is broad enough to be sought out by people interested in being part of the cultural moment, but who don't care about Marvel movies - I think Black Panther was a broad enough story that wasn't like inside baseball to people new to Marvel. But a lot of what makes Captain Marvel enjoyable is its connections to other Marvel films, and I'm not sure how well it would play with a general audience that hadn't seen any of the previous films.

    I think they'll win their second weekend, and have healthy grosses between now and when Infinity War opens. But I'm not sure that it's going to do have the legs that Black Panther did.

    I'm very curious to see what the second weekend does!
     
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  10. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Producer

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    Good analysis on Charting with Dan:

     
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  11. Robert Crawford

    Robert Crawford Moderator
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    I think females are going to drive this box office to better results than you think, as most of them probably liked this film a lot more than you did. Also, I suspect young men and boys to see this film multiple times. Some old ones too as I'm seeing it for the third time on Wednesday.:)
     
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  12. Josh Steinberg

    Josh Steinberg Executive Producer
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    I think that’s pretty awesome. I’m hoping to see it again this week if time permits. I thought the script could have been better but I enjoyed the characters and the cast and want it to do well.
     
  13. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    I think it will do about $400 million domestically.
     
  14. Malcolm R

    Malcolm R Executive Producer

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    BO Mojo says the audience was still primarily male, 55% vs. 45% female. I think the only comic film that has had a majority female audience on opening weekend was Wonder Woman (52%), though CM is among those with the smallest gender split.
     
  15. Robert Crawford

    Robert Crawford Moderator
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    To me, 45% female is a lot for a comic film. I'm hoping with word of mouth that percentage grows even larger.
     
  16. Jeff Adkins

    Jeff Adkins Cinematographer

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    Box Office Pro is currently projecting an opening weekend of $75-90 million for Detective Pikachu. I think the film looks like fun, but wow...I wasn't expecting it will open anywhere near those numbers!
     
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  17. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Producer

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    Tracking is often unreliable, especially this far out. I'm not saying I expect it to do poorly, but I'm not sure what basis they have to predict that at this particular point in time.
     
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  18. Malcolm R

    Malcolm R Executive Producer

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    I have to admit, I have zero interest in anything related to Pokemon or Pikachu, but I saw a trailer for this somewhere that I thought looked very funny.
     
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  19. Colin Jacobson

    Colin Jacobson Lead Actor

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    I'm on the fence. I'll see it, but I think the idea seems more entertaining than the film itself based on the trailer.

    Of course, trailers mean little, but I fear it won't be as clever as the premise promises...
     
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  20. TravisR

    TravisR Studio Mogul

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    It's Snakes On A Plane for 2019.
     

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