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2019 At The Box Office

Discussion in 'Movies' started by Tino, Dec 23, 2018.

  1. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Good job @Tino with your $850m prediction.

    Now the next question is: how high can it go before they close it? Obviously, it is winding down since the Blu-ray is out, but it's still playing at the second run theater I never go to on the other side of town.

    $860m would be nice and even, but that might be out of reach now. Of course it doesn't matter since it's already wildly profitable.
     
  2. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Charting with Dan for this week covering Labor Day weekend and a larger summer wrap-up:

     
  3. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    Top 20


    1 N It: Chapter Two WB (NL) $91,000,000 - 4,570 - $19,912 $91,000,000 - 1
    2 1 Angel has Fallen LGF $6,000,000 -49.1% 3,229 -107 $1,858 $53,460,501 $40 3
    3 2 Good Boys Uni. $5,390,000 -43.3% 3,193 -265 $1,688 $66,849,700 $20 4
    4 3 The Lion King (2019) BV $4,193,000 -39.4% 2,610 -580 $1,607 $529,106,439 $260 8
    5 6 Overcomer Affirm $3,750,000 -33.8% 2,153 +326 $1,742 $24,706,163 $5 3
    6 4 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Uni. $3,720,000 -42.4% 2,299 -673 $1,618 $164,252,145 $200 6
    7 12 The Peanut Butter Falcon RAtt. $2,276,430 -24.6% 1,310 +61 $1,738 $12,282,689 - 5
    8 7 Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark LGF $2,275,000 -54.5% 2,101 -646 $1,083 $62,100,734 $25 5
    9 5 Ready or Not FoxS $2,229,000 -62.3% 2,350 -648 $949 $25,630,688 $6 3
    10 11 Dora and the Lost City of Gold Par. $2,170,000 -47.1% 1,788 -689 $1,214 $54,159,150 $49 5
    11 10 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Sony $2,155,000 -47.7% 1,402 -591 $1,537 $134,357,282 $90 7
    12 9 The Angry Birds Movie 2 Sony $1,625,000 -61.7% 1,854 -1,457 $876 $38,002,894 $65 4
    13 8 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony $1,230,000 -71.4% 1,433 -1,729 $858 $388,112,846 $160 10
    14 27 Brittany Runs a Marathon Amazon $1,036,186 +149.2% 230 +182 $4,505 $1,902,218 - 3
    15 13 47 Meters Down: Uncaged ENTMP $845,000 -65.2% 975 -1,249 $867 $21,006,740 $12 4
    16 15 Don't Let Go OTL $800,000 -65.8% 922 - $868 $4,300,680 $5 2
    17 N Chhichhore FIP $575,000 - 195 - $2,949 $575,000 - 1
    18 14 Toy Story 4 BV $541,000 -77.3% 640 -2,075 $845 $431,804,269 - 12
    19 19 [email protected] Caen PNT $480,000 -56.3% 371 - $1,294 $2,081,041 - 2
    20 17 The Art of Racing in the Rain Fox $479,000 -63.9% 740 -735 $647 $25,229,078 - 5

    Understandable drop for IT.
     
  4. steve jaros

    steve jaros Supporting Actor

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    Nice start for IT 2.

    Warner's looks to dominate the tweener time between now and the holiday season. I think I2 and The Joker will pull in at least $600m DOM together.
     
  5. Message #885 of 949 Sep 9, 2019
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2019
    Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Charting with Dan for this week covering the opening of It Chapter 2. Other notables: Good Boys has now outgrossed Dark Phoenix domestically (!) and The Lion King has spent its eighth weekend in the top five, which was one more weekend than the original spent in the top five in 1994.

     
  6. steve jaros

    steve jaros Supporting Actor

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    The new TLK is about at the same DOM box office as well. In its original 1994 run, TLK made $312m, which translates in to about $540m today. Right now, the 2019 TLK is at $530m DOM box office.
     
  7. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    Analysis from www.boxofficeguru.com

    THIS WEEKEND The second and final installment of the Pennywise saga rocketed to first place, but with less bite than its predecessor. Warner Bros. scored a number one debut with It: Chapter Twowhich took in an estimated $91M this weekend from 4,570 locations for a sizzling $19,912 average.

    The weekend after Labor Day is historically one of the slowest of the entire year. Having said that, the studio chose it for their horror entry It two years ago and walked away with a gigantic summer-like $123.4M launch which was by far the biggest of all-time for the month of September and for the horror genre. The new sequel was hoping to come close to capturing that same audience, but instead came in 26% below.

    But this is still the second largest opening weekend of all-time for this month, and for the horror genre overall. Becoming a profitable venture should not be a problem for Chapter Two which accounted for 74% of all ticket sales in the top ten this weekend.

    Reviews for the new R-rated chapter were decent enough for a horror sequel, but not as strong as they were for the first film. There was less of a pop culture punch the second time around. A good B+ grade from CinemaScore shows that fans are generally happy with what they got. Studio data showed the crowd to be 53% male and 67% over 25.

    The overseas roll-out was wider this time with a total of 75 markets launching this weekend. All together they were on fire with $94M making the total global opening weekend a terrific $185M.

    After back to back rounds on top, the Lionsgate action sequel Angel Has Fallen dropped to the runnerup spot with an estimated $6M, down 49%, for $53.5M to date. Universal's hit comedy Good Boys followed with an estimated $5.4M, off 43%, with a solid $66.9M overall.

    Disney's summer juggernaut The Lion King was still in the top five in its eighth weekend with an estimated $4.2M dipping 39%. The colossal smash has now climbed up to $529.1M domestic, $1.07 billion overseas, and $1.6 billion worldwide.

    The faith-based film Overcomer was down 34% to an estimated $3.8M giving Sony $24.7M to date. Breaking $700M worldwide was the spinoff sensation Hobbs and Shaw which banked an estimated $3.7M domestic this weekend, down 42%. New totals for Universal are now $164.3M from North America, $555.5M from overseas, and $719.8M worldwide.
     
  8. Malcolm R

    Malcolm R Executive Producer

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    Hobbs & Shaw is now firmly into profitable territory, off a production budget of $200m and using the 3X rule of thumb.

    Domestically, it's passed all the F&F films that did not feature Dwayne Johnson's "Hobbs" character (he was introduced in Fast Five, which seemed to turbo-charge the franchise, so to speak :D). Worldwide, it has passed all films in the franchise except the three most recent F&F entries.

    So, perhaps to the chagrin of Vin Diesel, it seems to legitimize the popularity of the Hobbs character.
     
  9. steve jaros

    steve jaros Supporting Actor

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    In fairness to Vin, though, they had not just The Rock, but also Jason Statham and Idris Elba, legit leading men all, in the mix to pull it off.

    So Vin could look at it as "they needed all three of those guys to fill my jock", LOL.
     
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  10. Josh Steinberg

    Josh Steinberg Executive Producer
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    Vin can think whatever he wants, but I only started getting interested in the F&F franchise because The Rock joined it.
     
  11. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    But neither Statham or Elba could open a film.
    People go to see a film because It stars The Rock. Not so with Elba and Statham ( and I like them both).
     
  12. Josh Steinberg

    Josh Steinberg Executive Producer
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    Statham can probably open a film within a limited wheelhouse. People probably won’t pay to dollar to see his Shakespeare but the right action vehicle could do well for him.
     
  13. Malcolm R

    Malcolm R Executive Producer

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    He did well with The Meg last year. That's his biggest hit outside the F&F franchise.
     
  14. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    People went to see The Meg for the giant shark, not Statham. He’s a capable action star and very likable but nowhere near Rock status.
    Barely

    What the biggest hit he’s had where he was the main star (not counting The Meg where the Shark was)?

    And not knocking him, just saying very few action stars can open a film. Not sure if he’s one of them.
     
  15. Josh Steinberg

    Josh Steinberg Executive Producer
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    What about those string of films in the 2000s like Crank?

    I see him as being a guy who can reliably open lower budgeted action pictures, like Keanu in John Wick. I don’t see him making $100 million opening weekend, but being the kind of guy who can be a reliable performer with his brand of action.
     
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  16. Message #896 of 949 Sep 13, 2019
    Last edited: Sep 13, 2019
    steve jaros

    steve jaros Supporting Actor

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    True, but among action fans he is very well known and liked. I mean, how many actors or actresses can open a $100m opening weekend movie? IMO, few if any. Movies that do that well usually have technology or characters as the true star (e.g., Marvel movies, Jurassic Park movies, Disney remakes of classic animations movies, Star Wars movies not named "Solo", It 2, etc.).

    Last month, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood featured two of the most A-list actors there are, Pitt and DiCaprio, and it opened to $40m DOM. And it is a success. So doing what Keenu and Statham do is no small beans, they are IMO genuine "movie stars". Keenu Reaves has an estimated net worth of $350 million. So he's had a pretty good career.
     
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  17. Colin Jacobson

    Colin Jacobson Lead Actor

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    Outside of "Meg" and "Hobbs", the highest-grossing flick in which Statham played the lead is 2005's "Transporter 2". $43m US, $85m total WW.

    "Crank" only made $42m WW. Profitable because it cost $12m, but not exactly a blockbuster.

    Statham's biggest hits are those where he's part of a franchise or a supporting character...
     
  18. Robert Crawford

    Robert Crawford Moderator
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    I don't think he's much of a box office draw based on the movies in which he's the lead actor.
     
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  19. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    My point exactly.
     
  20. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Per Box Office Mojo, Disney closed off box office tracking for Endgame yesterday after 140 days. Its final day in release was Thursday, September 12.

    Domestic Total Gross: $858,373,000

    Total Lifetime Grosses
    Domestic: $858,373,000 30.7%
    + Foreign: $1,937,901,401 69.3%
    = Worldwide: $2,796,274,401

    https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=marvel2019.htm
     
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