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2019 At The Box Office

Discussion in 'Movies' started by Tino, Dec 23, 2018.

  1. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    I also think it's likely that Disney goosed Dumbo's numbers by offering double features with Aladdin. They've done this on a number of occasions in the past.

    That seems odd only because Endgame is so long that the idea of double featuring it with anything else is odd.

    Sold together as a double feature or separately? That would be a strange double bill since they are from competing studios.
     
  2. Wayne_j

    Wayne_j Cinematographer

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    Double feature or at least it always has been in the past. I didn't see the movie there. I have seen movies from different studios in the same double feature there before though.
     
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  3. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Hmm. Interesting. I wonder how they divide up the monies from that to different studios.
     
  4. Message #564 of 948 May 26, 2019
    Last edited: May 26, 2019
    benbess

    benbess Producer

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    "....Disney’s live-action “Aladdin,” with Will Smith as the blue genie, brought in around $86.1 million domestically from Friday through Sunday, according to the studio. Disney says it expects the North American total for the long Memorial Day weekend, Friday through Monday, to reach $105 million, exceeding analysts’ expectations.

    That is a strong showing for a movie that cost a reported $183 million to make, particularly given the additional $121 million the studio says the movie made overseas through Sunday.

    “Aladdin” is the latest in Disney’s series of live-action remakes of its animated classics. The previous entry, Tim Burton’s “Dumbo,” earned $45 million in North America in its opening weekend in March...."

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/26/movies/aladdin-box-office.html?action=click&module=Latest&pgtype=Homepage

    So already over $200m, which is much better than Dumbo's first weekend.

    And so far Aladdin gets an "A" audience Cinemascore....

    https://www.cinemascore.com/
     
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  5. Malcolm R

    Malcolm R Executive Producer

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    That's what I thought, as the first show does not start until nearly 8:30. With any previews and any sort of intermission between the two, Endgame won't end until around 2am.
     
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  6. Adam Lenhardt

    Adam Lenhardt Director

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    The Malta Drive-In had the Aladdin/Endgame pairing, but literally every other drive-in had the Aladdin/Detective Pikachu ending. I considered going to that, but Endgame didn't start until 11 PM, which means we wouldn't have left the drive-in until 2:00 AM. And then it's a half-hour drive back to Albany.

    The Jericho Drive-In initially announced an Aladdin/Shazam pairing, and I would have gone to see that. But my friend had no interest in the Pokemon movie.
     
  7. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    4-Day Estimates

    1 N Aladdin (2019) BV $112,700,000 - 4,476 - $25,179 $112,700,000 $183 1
    2 1 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum LG/S $31,000,000 -45.4% 3,850 - $8,052 $107,638,941 - 2
    3 2 Avengers: Endgame BV $22,300,000 -25.6% 3,810 -410 $5,853 $803,631,736 $356 5
    4 3 Pokemon Detective Pikachu WB $17,275,000 -31.2% 3,824 -424 $4,518 $120,097,622 $150 3
    5 N Brightburn SGem $9,500,000 - 2,607 - $3,644 $9,500,000 $6 1
    6 N Booksmart UAR $8,690,000 - 2,505 - $3,469 $8,690,000 - 1
    7 4 A Dog's Journey Uni. $5,520,000 -31.3% 3,279 +12 $1,683 $16,350,535 - 2
    8 5 The Hustle UAR $4,787,554 -22.0% 2,377 -700 $2,014 $30,812,523 - 3
    9 6 The Intruder (2019) SGem $2,925,000 -27.2% 1,612 -619 $1,815 $32,590,541 $8 4
    10 7 Long Shot LG/S $2,100,000 -37.2% 1,354 -756 $1,551 $29,228,097 - 4
    11 18 Dumbo (2019) BV $1,332,000 +330.6% 346 -69 $3,850 $112,987,413 $170 9
    12 8 The Sun Is Also a Star WB $1,030,000 -59.0% 2,073 - $497 $4,516,824 - 2
    13 9 Poms STX $850,000 -61.0% 911 -1,839 $933 $12,393,111 - 3
    14 10 Uglydolls STX $810,000 -54.5% 1,090 -940 $743 $18,850,142 $45 4
    15 20 Biggest Little Farm Neon $648,591 +134.6% 180 +135 $3,603 $1,178,529 - 3
    16 12 The Curse of La Llorona WB (NL) $575,000 -35.4% 359 -292 $1,602 $53,925,225 $9 6
    17 11 Breakthrough Fox $478,000 -55.8% 551 -824 $868 $39,946,247 $14 6
    18 21 The White Crow SPC $450,996 +94.9% 356 +220 $1,267 $1,275,343 - 5
    19 13 Captain Marvel BV $446,000 -39.4% 300 -426 $1,487 $425,868,352 - 12
    20 15 Shazam! WB (NL) $353,000 -46.6% 283 -253 $1,247 $138,588,556 $100 8

    Www.boxofficemojo.com
     
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  8. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    I did my bit to push Endgame over $800 million by tossing in another $7.07 for a discounted before noon screening today.

    Considering Disney's marketing for Aladdin was relatively lax by their standards leading up to the release, I'm surprised by the strength of its opening, which can be attributed to residual affection for the original as much as anything Disney did. It will be interesting to see how it holds from here.
     
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  9. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    Looks like a domestic final of about $250 million.
     
  10. Wayne_j

    Wayne_j Cinematographer

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    Early tracking for the Lion King is over $200 million opening.
     
  11. Message #571 of 948 May 27, 2019
    Last edited: May 28, 2019
    Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Aladdin should have next week to itself in terms of no major new family-oriented competition, since both Godzilla and Rocketman are targeting more adults. June 7 will see The Secret Life of Pets 2 take a big bite out of it, and then on June 21 Disney provides its own competition with Toy Story 4. It will be all but dead by the time Lion King arrives, unless they pull a drive-in double feature stunt with the two of them.

    On another note, I have emailed and tweeted at Box Office Mojo multiple times over the past few weeks to politely suggest that they add the new Aladdin film to their Live-Action Musicals chart because, well, it is one and therefore should be counted as such. But so far they haven't done this.

    https://www.boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=musical.htm
     
  12. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    Box office guru analysis.

    THIS WEEKEND The Disney juggernaut continued its amazing run with their latest animated-turned-into-live-action tentpole, Aladdin, which opened to an estimated $112.7M across the 4-day Memorial Day Weekend frame. That's the fifth highest grossing Memorial Day Weekend ever, but the highest for a non-sequel. Reviews were mixed but audiences loved what they saw, giving the film an A Cinemascore which should lead to a bright future ahead. Internationally it added $121M across the traditional 3-day weekend period. While Dumbo didn't live up to the usual Disney standards, Aladdin has already matched that film's entire domestic box office run.

    Last weekend's champ fell a reasonable 45% (comparing 3-day to 4-day weekend grosses) as John Wick: Chapter 3 took in an estimated $31M bringing its cume up to $107.6M. In 11 days Chapter 3 has already outgrossed both previous films in the series. Look for a final total in the $150M range.

    Continuing its historic run, Avengers: Endgame slipped 25% to an estimated $22.3M, bringing its gargantuan total up to $803.6M, only the second film in history to cross the $800M mark domestically. Currently it stands nearly $130M behind Star Wars: The Force Awakens for the top spot on the all-time domestic charts, but only $111M behind Avatar for #1 on the all-time worldwide charts. It'll be a race to the finish to take down Avatar but it wouldn't surprise me if Disney pulled out all the stops to get there.

    Pokemon Detective Pikachu landed in fourth place this weekend with an estimated $17.3M, bringing its total up to $120M. In another week it should pass Lara Croft: Tomb Raider to become the highest grossing film based on a video game.

    A couple of newcomers took the next two spots. Sony's horror entry Brightburn opened in 2,607 theaters to an estimated $9.5M over the long holiday weekend, for a per screen average of $3,644. Reviews were mixed but a CinemaScore of a C+ does not bode well for any sort of long term future for the fright flick. Still, on a $6M budget, it'll at least make its money back. Following just behind was the critically acclaimed Booksmart which took in an estimated $8.7M from 2,505 theaters for a per screen average of $3,469. Easily the best reviewed film of the year so far, Booksmart may have been better served by a fall or winter release as it got lost in the summer blockbuster crowd. A CinemaScore of a B+ is decent, but not great, which is not a great indicator for future box office success.

    Www.boxofficeguru.com
     
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  13. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    And you know Disney will do exactly that.
     
  14. Message #574 of 948 May 28, 2019
    Last edited: May 28, 2019
    Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Does Disney care that much? Even though Fox released Avatar, it's Disney's now, and they will be releasing the sequels as a major franchise alternating with Star Wars in the December window. Yes, it's a nice headline if Endgame becomes #1, but in a sense Disney is competing with itself, so they're on top regardless. Endgame has been wildly profitable whether or not it beats Avatar, so I think people on the internet (myself included) might be more invested in this than Disney is.

    I happen to think that Endgame is a much better film than Avatar, so it would be nice to have it on top just because I think it's better. But it ultimately doesn't matter because both of them had enormously successful runs either way.

    Plus, what happens if Disney decides to put out Avatar back in theaters in 3D for a while in the run-up to the release of the first sequel? I know re-releases are not common these days, but considering Avatar's status as a movie that is a huge big-screen 3D spectacle, there might well be money in doing that. If Endgame takes the record by a narrow margin, it's very possible that a hypothetical re-release of Avatar could just take it back in a couple of years.
     
  15. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    Charting with Dan for this week:

     
  16. Tino

    Tino Executive Producer
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    Aladdin actual 4 day is $116 million.

    Very impressive considering the “bad” buzz. More proof that general audiences don’t give a shit about internet crap.
     
  17. Wayne_j

    Wayne_j Cinematographer

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    The A Cinema Score and high approval numbers by verified ticket buyers on Rotten Tomatoes is proof enough that the vast majority of people who actually go and see the movie like it.
     
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  18. Malcolm R

    Malcolm R Executive Producer

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    Thursday previews:

    Godzilla 2 $6.3 million
    Rocketman $2.3 million
    Ma $1.4 million
     
  19. Jake Lipson

    Jake Lipson Lead Actor

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    I saw Rocketman two weeks ago at a paid sneak preview, but never saw box office grosses reported for it. I assumed Paramount's intention was to roll that money into its opening gross. So I gotta wonder whether Rocketman actually made $2.3 million last night or if this also includes the preview numbers from two weeks ago.
     
  20. Malcolm R

    Malcolm R Executive Producer

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    Good question. I'm not sure if they count those in the Thursday preview numbers, but I know they do count it toward the first weekend's gross.

    EDIT: Actually, @Jake Lipson, they do count all the previews together, per BOMojo. Actual number for last night was $1.75M:

     
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