Oscars Predictions Thread (1 Viewer)

Best Motion Picture of the Year: The Departed
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role: Leonardo DiCaprio for Blood Diamond
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role: Helen Mirren for The Queen
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role: Mark Wahlberg for The Departed
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role: Adriana Barraza for Babel
Best Achievement in Directing: Martin Scorsese for The Departed
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen: Babel
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published: The Departed
Best Achievement in Cinematography: The Illusionist
Best Achievement in Editing: The Departed
Best Achievement in Art Direction: Pan's Labyrinth
Best Achievement in Costume Design: Dreamgirls
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score: Pan's Labyrinth
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song: Cars, "Our Town"
Best Achievement in Makeup: Apocalypto
Best Achievement in Sound: Flags of Our Fathers
Best Achievement in Sound Editing: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Best Achievement in Visual Effects: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year: Cars
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year: Pan's Labyrinth
Best Short Film, Animated: The Little Matchgirl

It's early and I'll probably change this many times, but here goes:

Best Motion Picture of the Year: Little Miss Sunshine
Best Actor: Peter O'Toole for Venus
Best Actress: Helen Mirren for The Queen
Best Actor in a Supporting Role: Eddie Murphy for Dreamgirls
Best Actress in a Supporting Role: Jennifer Hudson for Dreamgirls
Best Directing: Martin Scorsese for The Departed
Best Writing, Original Screenplay: Little Miss Sunshine
Best Writing, Adapted Screenplay: The Departed
Best Cinematography: Children of Men
Best Editing: Babel
Best Art Direction: Pan's Labyrinth
Best Costume Design: The Devil Wears Prada
Best Music, Original Score: The Queen
Best Music Original Song: Dreamgirls, "Listen"
Best Makeup: Pan's Labyrinth
Best Sound: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Best Sound Editing: Dreamgirls
Best Visual Effects: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Best Animated Feature: Cars
Best Foreign Language Film: The Lives of Others
Best Short Film, Animated: The Little Matchgirl
Best short film, live action: West Bank Story
Best Short film, documentary: Two Hands

My guesses:

BEST PICTURE
The Departed

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio - BLOOD DIAMOND

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Eddie Murphy - DREAMGIRLS
Mark Wahlberg - THE DEPARTED


BEST ACTRESS
Helen Mirren - THE QUEEN

ART DIRECTION
Pan's Labyrinth - Eugenio Caballero, Pilar Revuelta
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Rick Heinrichs, Cheryl A Carasik

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Children of Men - Emmanuel Lubeski
Pan's Labyrinth - Guillermo Navarro

COSTUME DESIGN
Dreamgirls - Sharen Davis
Marie Antoinette - Milena Canonero
The Queen - Consolata Boyle

BEST DIRECTOR
Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu - BABEL
Martin Scorsese - THE DEPARTED


BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Mexico - PAN'S LABYRINTH

MAKEUP
Pan's Labyrinth - David Marti and Montse Ribe

SOUND EDITING
Flags of Our Fathers - Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Christopher Boyes, George Watters II

VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson, Allen Hall


BEST WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
CHILDREN OF MEN - Alfonso Cuaron, Timothy J. Sexton, David Arata, Mark Fergus, Hawk Ostby
THE DEPARTED - William Monahan


BEST WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BABEL - Guillermo Arriaga
LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA - Iris Yamashita, Paul Haggis
LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE - Michael Arndt
PAN'S LABYRINTH - Guillermo del Toro
(Tough one!)

These picks are for who I think will win, not who I think should win:

BEST PICTURE
Little Miss Sunshine

BEST ACTOR
Forest Whitaker - LAST KING OF SCOTLAND

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Eddie Murphy - DREAMGIRLS

BEST ACTRESS
Helen Mirren - THE QUEEN

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Jennifer Hudson - DREAMGIRLS

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
CARS - John Lassetar

ART DIRECTION
Dreamgirls - John Mayer, Nancy Haigh

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Children of Men - Emmanuel Lubeski

COSTUME DESIGN
Marie Antoinette - Milena Canonero

BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese - THE DEPARTED

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
An Inconvenient Truth

EDITING
United 93 - Clare Douglas, Christopher Rouse, Richard Pearson

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Mexico - PAN'S LABYRINTH

MAKEUP
Pan's Labyrinth - David Marti and Montse Ribe

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
Alexandre Desplat - THE QUEEN

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"Listen" - Dreamgirls

SOUND EDITING
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Christopher Boyes, George Watters II

SOUND MIXING
Dreamgirls - Michael Minkler, Bob Beemer, Willie Burton

VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson, Allen Hall

BEST WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
THE DEPARTED - William Monahan

BEST WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE - Michael Arndt

--------------
ANIMATED SHORT FILM
The Little Matchgirl

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Two Hands

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Eramos Pocos (One Too Many)

.

--
H

A mix of predictions and what I'd like to see win -


BEST PICTURE
Babel
The Departed
Letters from Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio - BLOOD DIAMOND
Ryan Gosling - HALF NELSON
Peter O'Toole - VENUS
Will Smith - PUSUIT OF HAPPYNESS
Forest Whitaker - LAST KING OF SCOTLAND

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Alan Arkin - LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
Jackie Earle Haley - LITTLE CHILDREN
Djimon Honsou - BLOOD DIAMOND
Eddie Murphy - DREAMGIRLS
Mark Wahlberg - THE DEPARTED

BEST ACTRESS
Penélope Cruz - VOLVER
Judi Dench - NOTES ON A SCANDAL
Helen Mirren - THE QUEEN
Meryl Streep - DEVIL WEARS PRADA
Kate WINSLET - LITTLE CHILDREN

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Adrianna Baraza - BABEL
Cate Blanchett - NOTES ON A SCANDAL
Abigail Breslin - LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
Jennifer Hudson - DREAMGIRLS
Rinko Kikuchi - BABEL

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
CARS - John Lassetar
HAPPY FEET - George Miller
MONSTER HOUSE - Gil Kenan

ART DIRECTION
Dreamgirls - John Mayer, Nancy Haigh
The Good Shepherd - Jeannie Oppewaal, Gretchen Rau, Leslie E. Rollins
Pan's Labyrinth - Eugenio Caballero, Pilar Revuelta
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Rick Heinrichs, Cheryl A Carasik
The Prestige - Nathan Crowley, Julie Ochipinti

CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Black Dahlia - Vilmos Zsigmond
Children of Men - Emmanuel Lubeski
The Illusionist - Dick Pope
Pan's Labyrinth - Guillermo Navarro
The Prestige - Wally Pfister

COSTUME DESIGN
Curse of the Golden Flower - Yee Chung Man
The Devil Wears Prada - Patricia Field
Dreamgirls - Sharen Davis
Marie Antoinette - Milena Canonero
The Queen - Consolata Boyle

BEST DIRECTOR
Clint Eastwood - LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
Stephen Frears - THE QUEEN
Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu - BABEL
Paul Greengrass - UNITED 93
Martin Scorsese - THE DEPARTED

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Deliver us from Evil
An Inconvenient Truth
Iraq in Fragments
Jesus Camp
My Country, My Country

EDITING
Babel - Stephen Mirrione, Douglas Crise
Blood Diamond - Steven Rosenblum
Children of Men - Alex Rodriguez, Alfonso Cuarón
The Departed - Thelma Schoonmaker
United 93 - Clare Douglas, Christopher Rouse, Richard Pearson

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Denmark - AFTER THE WEDDING
Algeria - DAYS OF GLORY
Germany - LIVES OF OTHERS
Mexico - PAN'S LABYRINTH
Canada - WATER

MAKEUP
Apocalypto - Aldo Signoretti, Vittorio Sodano
Click - Kazuhiro Tsuji and Bill Corso
Pan's Labyrinth - David Marti and Montse Ribe

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
Gustavo Santaolalla - BABEL
Thomas Newman - The GOOD GERMAN
Philip Glass - NOTES ON A SCANDAL
Javier Navarette - PAN'S LABYRINTH
Alexandre Desplat - THE QUEEN

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"I need to Wake up" - An Inconvenient Truth
"Listen" - Dreamgirls
"Love You I Do" - Dreamgirls
"Our Town" - Cars
"Patience" - Dreamgirls

SOUND EDITING
Apocalypto - Sean McCormack, Kami Asgar
Blood Diamond - Lon Bender
Flags of Our Fathers - Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman
Letters from Iwo Jima - Alan robert Murray
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Christopher Boyes, George Watters II

SOUND MIXING
Apocalypto - Kevin O' Connell, Greg P. Russell, Fernando Camara
Blood Diamond - Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer, Ivan Sharrock
Dreamgirls - Michael Minkler, Bob Beemer, Willie Burton
Flags of Our Fathers - John Reitz, Dave Campbell, Gregg Rudloff, Walt Martin
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Paul Massey, Christopher Boyes, Lee Orloff

VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson, Allen Hall
Poseidon - Boyd Shermis, Kim Libreri, Chaz Jarrett, John Frazier
Superman Returns - Mark Stetson, Neil Corbould, Richard R. Hoover, Jon Thum

BEST WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BORAT - Sacha Baron Cohen, Anthony Hines, Peter Baynham, Dan Mazer
CHILDREN OF MEN - Alfonso Cuaron, Timothy J. Sexton, David Arata, Mark Fergus, Hawk Ostby
THE DEPARTED - William Monahan
LITTLE CHILDREN - Todd Field, Tom Perrotta
NOTES ON A SCANDAL - Patrick Marber

BEST WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BABEL - Guillermo Arriaga
LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA - Iris Yamashita, Paul Haggis
LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE - Michael Arndt
PAN'S LABYRINTH - Guillermo del Toro
THE QUEEN - Peter Morgan

--------------
ANIMATED SHORT FILM
The Danish Poet
Lifted
The Little Matchgirl
Maestro
No Time for Nuts

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
The Blood of Yingzhou District
Recycled Life
Rehearsing a Dream
Two Hands

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Binta and the Great Idea (Binta y la gran idea)
Eramos Pocos (One Too Many)
Helmer & Son
The Saviour
West Bank Story

(If Pan's Labyrinth had been nominated Best Picture that would have been my choice ahead of The Departed.)

Kind of last minute here (about to dash off to our annual Oscar party), but here we go. It is a VERY tough year. Sure, there are several locks, but there are many more that could go to 2, 3 or 4 of the nominees. Should be an interesting night. I expect surprises!!

BEST PICTURE
Little Miss Sunshine

BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese, The Departed

BEST ACTOR
Peter O'Toole, Venus

BEST ACTRESS
Helen Mirren, The Queen

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Monster House

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
Pan's Labyrinth

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
An Inconvenient Truth

BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)
Children Of Men

BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)
Little Miss Sunshine

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
The Little Match Girl

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM
Binta And The Great Idea

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Two Hands

BEST ART DIRECTION
Pan's Labyrinth

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Children of Men

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Marie Antoinette

BEST FILM EDITING
United 93

BEST MAKEUP
Pan's Labyrinth

BEST SCORE
Pan's Labyrinth

BEST SONG
"Our Town", Cars

BEST SOUND (EDITING)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

BEST SOUND (MIXING)
Dreamgirls

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Placeholder

Oh, what the heck - I'm in. Placeholder.

Best Motion Picture of the Year: Letters from Iwo Jima
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role: Forrest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role: Helen Mirren for The Queen
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role: Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
Best Achievement in Directing: Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen: Letters from Iwo Jima
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published: The Departed
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year: Cars
Best Documentary Feature: An Inconvenient Truth

That's all I'm doing.

They're not going to give it to Jennifer Hudson. I'm having a hard time accepting this -- but come Oscar night I won't be yelling in shock about the LMS up-set.

BEST PICTURE
"The Departed"

BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese "The Departed"

BEST ACTOR
Forrest Whitaker "The Last King of Scotland"

BEST ACTRESS
Helen Mirren "The Queen"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alan Arkin "Little Miss Sunshine"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Hudson "Dreamgirls"

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
"Happy Feet"

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
"Pan's Labyrinth"

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
"An Inconvenient Truth"

BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)
"The Departed"

BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)
"The Queen"

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
"The Little Matchgirl"

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM
"Helmer & Son"

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
"Recycled Life"

BEST ART DIRECTION
"Pan's Labyrinth"

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
"Children of Men"

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
"Dreamgirls"

BEST FILM EDITING
"Children of Men"

BEST MAKEUP
"Pan's Labyrinth"

BEST SCORE
"Pan's Labyrinth"

BEST SONG
"Listen" from "Dreamgirls"

BEST SOUND (EDITING)
"Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"

BEST SOUND (MIXING)
"Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
"Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"

Best Picture
Little Miss Sunshine

Director
Paul Greengrass, United 93

Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine

Actress in a Supporting Role
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine

Animated Feature Film
Cars

Art Direction
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Film Editing
United 93

Makeup
Click

Music (Song)
Cars

Sound Editing
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Sound Mixing
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Visual Effects
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Writing (Original Screenplay)
Little Miss Sunshine

Note: I only vote for movies I have seen. As of 1/25 I have seen 6/58 nominated films. Sad, I know, but I'll keep updating as I see more.

place holder - I want to have a say too, although I have not seen a lot of the nominated films

I see here and elsewhere people's predictions are often wildly different. Can't recall the last time it was so wide open.

Here are my predictions:

BEST PICTURE
Little Miss Sunshine

BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese, The Departed

BEST ACTOR
Forrest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland

BEST ACTRESS
Helen Mirren, The Queen

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Happy Feet

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
The Lives of Others

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
An Inconvenient Truth

BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)
The Departed

BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)
Little Miss Sunshine

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
The Little Match Girl

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM
West Bank Story

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Recycled Life

BEST ART DIRECTION
Pan's Labyrinth

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Children of Men

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Dreamgirls

BEST FILM EDITING
Babel

BEST MAKEUP
Pan's Labyrinth

BEST SCORE
The Queen

BEST SONG
"Listen," Dreamgirls

BEST SOUND (EDITING)
Letters from Iwo Jima

BEST SOUND (MIXING)
Dreamgirls

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

The surest sign that I'm going to be very, very wrong is that Oscars (moreso than other awards) usually split the awards between a few big films, usually with the year's favorite making a sweep. I don't predict a sweep, therefor I'm expecting to be surprised...

BEST PICTURE
The Departed

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio - BLOOD DIAMOND

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Eddie Murphy - DREAMGIRLS

BEST ACTRESS
Helen Mirren - THE QUEEN

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Jennifer Hudson - DREAMGIRLS

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
HAPPY FEET - George Miller

ART DIRECTION
Dreamgirls - John Mayer, Nancy Haigh

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Children of Men - Emmanuel Lubeski

COSTUME DESIGN
The Queen - Consolata Boyle

BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese - THE DEPARTED

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Jesus Camp

EDITING
United 93 - Clare Douglas, Christopher Rouse, Richard Pearson

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Mexico - PAN'S LABYRINTH

MAKEUP
Pan's Labyrinth - David Marti and Montse Ribe

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
Alexandre Desplat - THE QUEEN

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"Love You I Do" - Dreamgirls

SOUND EDITING
Apocalypto - Sean McCormack, Kami Asgar

SOUND MIXING
Dreamgirls - Michael Minkler, Bob Beemer, Willie Burton

VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson, Allen Hall

BEST WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
THE DEPARTED - William Monahan

BEST WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE - Michael Arndt

wow I haven't updated this in a long time. I've been thinking Departed since about a week after nominations. Now I think Little Miss Sunshine will win, and only pick up one other trophy. it'll be a very odd year with much wealth spread.

Adam

Total Correct: (in bold)
12 out of 24


BEST PICTURE
The Departed

BEST ACTOR
Forest Whitaker - LAST KING OF SCOTLAND

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Eddie Murphy - DREAMGIRLS

BEST ACTRESS
Helen Mirren - THE QUEEN

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Jennifer Hudson - DREAMGIRLS

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
CARS - John Lassetar

ART DIRECTION
Dreamgirls - John Mayer, Nancy Haigh

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Children of Men - Emmanuel Lubeski

COSTUME DESIGN
Marie Antoinette - Milena Canonero

BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese - THE DEPARTED

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
An Inconvenient Truth

EDITING
United 93 - Clare Douglas, Christopher Rouse, Richard Pearson

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Mexico - PAN'S LABYRINTH

MAKEUP
Pan's Labyrinth - David Marti and Montse Ribe

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
Alexandre Desplat - THE QUEEN

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"Listen" - Dreamgirls

SOUND EDITING
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Christopher Boyes, George Watters II

SOUND MIXING
Dreamgirls - Michael Minkler, Bob Beemer, Willie Burton

VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson, Allen Hall

BEST WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Departed - William Monahan

BEST WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Little Miss Sunshine - Michael Arndt

ANIMATED SHORT FILM
The Little Matchgirl

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Two Hands

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Eramos Pocos (One Too Many)

Predictions locked in on Saturday, Feb 24th at 1:30PM

I really liked Ryan Gosling in Half Nelson. He has some pretty tough competition this year, but I'm glad he was at least nominated! Check it out if you haven't.