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*** Official 2003 Academy Award Winner Prediction Thread (1 Viewer)

Craig S

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OK, the nominations are out! Please use this thread to post your predictions for the Oscar winners.

Some requests for participants in this thread:
  • To keep things clean, let's use this thread for predictions only. We have a lively discussion going in the Official Discussion thread, so join us there to talk about all things Oscar.
  • If possible, please post your categories in the alphabetical order shown in this header (which is the same order they are posted on the official Oscar site, AND in my spreadsheet). It just makes it a little easier to count the picks without having to jump around your post.
  • Please be very clear about identifying which film you are picking to win each category. Some of the posts have a bit of narrative, but I can't really find a prediction in there.
  • A lot of us who don't live in LA or NY will never get a chance to see many of the nominees in the Shorts, Documentary & Foreign Language categories. Don't let that stop you from making a prediction - remember, you're not picking your personal preference, just what you think the Academy will pick. It can be fun to read the descriptions on the official Oscar site and try to choose a winner based on the Academy's history, makeup, etc.
  • That said - do try to see as many of the nominated films as possible!!
I have posted the first HTF Consensus here:

February 1, 2004: http://www.hometheaterforum.com/htfo...79#post2015079

And the final consensus, as of 6 PM CST on February 29, is here:

http://www.hometheaterforum.com/htfo...09#post2072743

For easy reference, here is the list of nominees:

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley - House Of Sand And Fog
Jude Law - Cold Mountain
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Alec Baldwin - The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Djimon Hounsou - In America
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Ken Watenabe - The Last Samurai

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider
Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give
Samantha Morton - In America
Charlize Theron - Monster
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House Of Sand And Fog
Patricia Clarkson - Pieces Of April
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River
Holly Hunter - Thirteen
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville

Achievement In Art Direction
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Cinematography
Cesar Charlone - City Of God
John Seale - Cold Mountain
Eduardo Serra - Girl With A Pearl Earring
Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Directing
Fernando Meirelles - City Of God
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River

Best Documentary Feature
Balseros
Capturing The Friedmans
The Fog Of War
My Architect: A Son’s Journey
The Weather Underground

Best Documentary Short Subject
Asylum
Chernobyl Heart
Ferry Tales

Achievement In Film Editing
City Of God
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Evil (Sweden)
The Twilight Samurai (Japan)
Twin Sisters (The Netherlands)
Zelary (Czech Republic)

Achievement In Makeup
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Danny Elfman - Big Fish
Gabriel Yared - Cold Mountain
Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo
James Horner - House Of Sand And Fog
Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Benoit Charest & Sylvain Chomet, "Belleville Rendez-Vous" - The Triplets of Belleville
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Michael McKean & Annette O'Toole, "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind
T Bone Burnett & Elvis Costello, "Scarlet Tide" - Cold Mountain
Sting, "You Will Be My Ain True Love" - Cold Mountain

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Lost In Translation
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

Best Animated Short Film
Boundin'
Destino
Gone Nutty
Harvie Krumpet
Nibbles

Best Live Action Short Film
Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)
Most (The Bridge)
Squash
(A) Torzija ([A] Torsion)
Two Soldiers

Achievement In Sound
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Sound Editing
Finding Nemo
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Shari Springer Berman & Robert Pulcini - American Splendor
Braulio Mantovani - City Of God
Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Denys Arcand - The Barbarian Invasions
Steven Knight - Dirty Pretty Things
Andrew Stanton & Bob Peterson - Finding Nemo
Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation

Final Counts

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King: 11
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World: 10
Cold Mountain: 7
Seabiscuit: 7
Mystic River: 6
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl: 5
City Of God: 4
The Last Samurai: 4
Lost In Translation: 4
Finding Nemo: 4
Girl With A Pearl Earring: 3
House Of Sand And Fog: 3
In America: 3
21 Grams: 2
A Mighty Wind: 2
American Splendor: 1
Big Fish: 1
Monster: 1
Thirteen: 1
Whale Rider: 1

Here are some useful links for Oscar watchers:So let's get those predictions posted! As the Oscar climate will be changing often please feel free to edit your picks up until the afternoon of the ceremony (Feb. 29). Most importantly - have fun!
 

Craig S

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Craig's Picks

Here we go with my picks. Some notes:
  • My predicted winners are shown in red.
  • My preferred winners are shown in italics.
  • I attend an Oscar party every year. In categories with 5 nominees, we are required to choose 2 that won't win (we get 2 points for winners, 1 point for each non-winner we get correct). These are shown in strikethrough text.
  • For the pool there we are required to predict every category, even the shorts & documentaries. These predictions are included here, and are based solely on the synopses provided on the official Oscar web site.
  • Discounting the Documentary, Foreign Language & Short categories, I have seen all the major nominees except Brother Bear.
  • I have included a brief comment after each category, hopefully to explain my odder choices.
    htf_images_smilies_smiley_wink.gif
Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley - House Of Sand And Fog
Jude Law - Cold Mountain
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River

This is now my upset special for this year. It feels like Murray is on the upswing and Penn is fading. Either could win, but like an increasing number of people I think they'll split votes and Depp will end up the surprise winner.

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Alec Baldwin - The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Djimon Hounsou - In America
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Ken Watenabe - The Last Samurai

Not much to say here - Robbins probably has this one locked up.

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider
Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give
Samantha Morton - In America
Charlize Theron - Monster
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Castle-Hughes' nomination was a wonderful surprise and injects some interest into this category. But it won't change the end result - Theron will take this with ease.

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House Of Sand And Fog
Patricia Clarkson - Pieces Of April
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River
Holly Hunter - Thirteen
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Zellweger injected some much-needed life into Cold Mountain, and is seen as being overdue. She's the front-runner, but this category often surprises and either Aghdashloo or Clarkson could end up the winner.

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville

This was Pixar's the minute Finding Nemo premiered last summer. This will be a much-deserved win for a wonderful film, and a studio that has become something of a national treasure.

Achievement In Art Direction
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Some people won't like this, but there will likely be several awards to RotK that are really awards for the whole trilogy. This will be one. Third time will be the charm for Grant Major, Dan Hennah, Alan Lee, and the talented team that brought Middle Earth to glorious life.

Achievement In Cinematography
Cesar Charlone - City Of God
John Seale - Cold Mountain
Eduardo Serra - Girl With A Pearl Earring
Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit

This is Seabiscuit's best chance at winning, and I think the Academy will reward John Schwartzman's beautiful work here.

Achievement In Costume Design
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Ngila Dickson is nominated twice here, and hopefully vote-splitting won't cost her the Oscar she so richly deserves. However, I believe that the Academy will get behind RotK and give her the "trilogy" award here.

Achievement In Directing
Fernando Meirelles - City Of God
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River

Who are we kidding? This is about as locked as it gets.

Best Documentary Feature
Balseros
Capturing The Friedmans
The Fog Of War
My Architect: A Son’s Journey
The Weather Underground

This race is between Friedmans & Fog. The Academy made up to Michael Moore last year for previous oversights, and I believe they'll do the same for Errol Morris this year.

Best Documentary Short Subject
Asylum
Chernobyl Heart
Ferry Tales

Just going by the description, Asylum sounds like the likely winner.

Achievement In Film Editing
City Of God
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

RotK is certainly in the running here, and, like Chicago last year, could benefit from a sweep. But I think the Academy will take this chance to give an award to City Of God.

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Evil (Sweden)
The Twilight Samurai (Japan)
Twin Sisters (The Netherlands)
Zelary (Czech Republic)

Barbarian seems the obvious front-runner right now.

Achievement In Makeup
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Having given this to FotR two year ago, I think the Academy may look elsewhere this time. PotC seems the obvious choice.

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Danny Elfman - Big Fish
Gabriel Yared - Cold Mountain
Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo
James Horner - House Of Sand And Fog
Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

With the GG win and Randy Newman's surprising absence, RotK is clearly the front-runner. I think the only real competition is Thomas Newman, but it won't be enough - Howard Shore will pick up his 2nd Oscar.

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Benoit Charest & Sylvain Chomet, "Belleville Rendez-Vous" - The Triplets of Belleville
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Michael McKean & Annette O'Toole, "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind
T Bone Burnett & Elvis Costello, "Scarlet Tide" - Cold Mountain
Sting, "You Will Be My Ain True Love" - Cold Mountain

Right now you have to go with "Into The West", but this category often surprises. "Kiss" or "Triplets" could take it.

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Lost In Translation
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

No surprises here. The "fantasy curse" is soon to end.

Best Animated Short Film
Boundin'
Destino
Gone Nutty
Harvie Krumpet
Nibbles

Salvador Dali & Walt Disney will prove an unbeatable combination. Roy Disney's speech should be fun... for everyone except Michael Eisner.
htf_images_smilies_biggrin.gif


Best Live Action Short Film
Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)
Most (The Bridge)
Squash
(A) Torzija ([A] Torsion)
Two Soldiers

Again, just going by the descriptions here.

Achievement In Sound
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Seabiscuit

M&C should be the front-runner here, but this category often goes to the BP winner. I think the Academy will reward M&C with Sound Editing, and give this one to RotK.

Achievement In Sound Editing
Finding Nemo
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Should be an easy win for M&C.

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

The only strike against RotK here is the two previous wins. However, I think the sheer scope of the accomplishment will win over the Academy again. Jim Rygiel & team will turn the hat trick.

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Shari Springer Berman & Robert Pulcini - American Splendor
Braulio Mantovani - City Of God
Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit

Brian Helgeland has long been the one to beat here, but I think CoG's surprise entry shakes things up a bit. It could siphon off votes from MR and throw the prize to RotK or American Splendor. At the last minute, I'm going with RotK.

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Denys Arcand - The Barbarian Invasions
Steven Knight - Dirty Pretty Things
Andrew Stanton & Bob Peterson - Finding Nemo
Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation

This race is between LiT and IA. The GG win means the advantage is with Coppola right now.

Final Counts

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King - 9
Mystic River - 2

One win each for the following films:

Asylum, The Barbarian Invasions, City Of God, Cold Mountain, Destino, Finding Nemo, The Fog Of War, Lost In Translation, Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World, Monster, Most (The Bridge), Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl, Seabiscuit
 

Edwin Pereyra

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Oct 26, 1998
Messages
3,500
Best Picture: The Return Of The King
Best Director: Peter Jackson
Best Actor: Johnny Depp
Best Actress: Charlize Theron
Best Supporting Actor: Tim Robbins
Best Supporting Actress: Rene Zellwegger
Best Original Screenplay: Lost In Translation
Best Adapted Screenplay: City of God
Best Editing: ROTK
Best Visual Effects: ROTK
Best Original Score: ROTK
Best Original Song: The Triplets of Belleville
Best Art Direction: ROTK
Best Sound: ROTK
Best Sound FX Editing: Master And Commander
Best Cinematography: Seabiscuit
Best Animated Feature: Finding Nemo
Best Makeup: ROTK
Best Costume Design: The Last Samurai
Best Foreign Language Film: The Barbarian Invasions
Best Live Action Short: Two Soldiers
Best Animated Short: Destino
Best Documentary Short: Chernobyl Heart
Best Documentary Feature: My Architect

~Edwin
 

Dana Fillhart

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Feb 8, 1999
Messages
977


Ok, so I've finally gotten around to putting my predictions in. Here they are (in order of the categories on the (2003) Nominee List at Oscar.com):


Actor in a Leading Role
Will win: Sean Penn, Mystic River

Should Win (Personal preference): Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Sean Penn, 21 Grams in place of Sean Penn, Mystic River.

Actor In a Supporting Role
Will win: Tim Robbins, Mystic River
Should Win (Personal preference): I've only seen 3 of the 5; I can't make a fair assessment.
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Unknown

Actress In a Leading Role
Will win: Charlize Theron, Monster
Should Win (Personal preference): Keisha Castle-Hughes, Whale Rider
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Scarlettt Johansson, Lost in Translation in place of Diane Keaton

Actress In a Supporting Role
Will win: Shohreh Aghdashloo, House of Sand and Fog
Should Win (Personal preference): Shohreh Aghdashloo, House of Sand and Fog
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Patricia Clarkson for The Station Agent in place of Marcia Gay Harden for Mystic River (I'd forgotten how much her character portrayal *really* irritated me -- definitely replaceable).

Animated Feature Film
Will win: Finding Nemo
Should Win (Personal preference): Finding Nemo
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Sennen Joyu (Millennium Actress) in place of Brother Bear
Comment: I think Brother Bear was somewhat of a joke, given the quality of the 2 nominated anime titles. I'm guessing the Academy either didn't see the anime titles or didn't want to have any one category predominated by non-Hollywood titles.

Art Direction
Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace.

Cinematography
Will win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Should Win (Personal preference): Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King in place of Cold Mountain

Costume Design
Will win: The Last Samurai
Should Win (Personal preference): The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace.

Directing
Will win: Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace.

Documentary Feature
Will win: Capturing the Friedmans
Should Win (Personal preference): Capturing the Friedmans
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace.

Documentary Short Subject
Will win: Asylum
Should Win (Personal preference): I have not seen any of the films, so I will abdicate.
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Unknown

Film Editing
Will win: Cidade de Deus (City of God)
Should Win (Personal preference): City of God
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): 21 Grams in place of The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (which I thought was -- yet again -- its weakest component)

Foreign Language Film
Will win: Les invasions barbares (The Barbarian Invasions)
Should Win (Personal preference): I have not seen any of the films, so I will abdicate.
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Unknown

Makeup
Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Girl with a Pearl Earring in place of Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Music (Score)
Will win: Howard Shore, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): Howard Shore, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace.

Music (Song)
Will win: Annie Lennox, "Into the West", The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): Annie Lennox, "Into the West", The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (though I must admit, "Belleville Rendez-vous" is a really, really close second.
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): While I can't come up with another, I find nominating two songs from Cold Mountain to be a problem. Also, I think "A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" is weaker than the title song of the film A Mighty Wind.

Best Picture
Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Either Cold Mountain, Big Fish or In America over Seabiscuit (a film I consider too weak for BP material)

Short (Animated)
Will win: Destino
Should Win (Personal preference): I have not seen any of the films, so I will abdicate.
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Unknown

Short (Live Action)
Will win: Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)
Should Win (Personal preference): I have not seen any of the films, so I will abdicate.
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Unknown

Sound Editing
Will win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Should Win (Personal preference): Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace (but I would've liked to see The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King in place of Finding Nemo).

Sound Mixing
Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace (though I think Kill Bill: Vol. 1 could've made it in place of Seabiscuit).

Visual Effects
Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Win (Personal preference): The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace (all three are very strong), but the fact that neither of the Matrix sequels were even considered, I think, is a shame.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Will win: Mystic River
Should Win (Personal preference): Mystic River (Yes; I think the screenplay for ROTK is probably the weakest of the 5 -- still very strong, though, but not as strong as Mystic River).
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): Big Fish in place of American Splendor (actually, anything nominated in the major categories that was adapted from existing material could've been better suited than American Splendor, even Cold Mountain -- I think it's a very weak film for Oscar consideration).

Writing (Original Screenplay)
Will win: Lost in Translation
Should Win (Personal preference): Lost in Translation
Should Have Been Nominated (if one or more were too weak): There are none too weak to replace (though I could see Kill Bill: Vol. 1 over Dirty Pretty Things).
 

ZacharyTait

Senior HTF Member
Joined
Aug 10, 2003
Messages
2,187
I'm stealing Kristian's method of predictions. :)

Best Actor - Leading Role

Will win: Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

If I picked the winner: Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Actor - Supporting Role

Will win: Tim Robbins - Mystic River

If I picked the winner: Dijimon Hounsou- In America


Best Actress - Leading Role

Will win: Charlize Theron - Monster

If I picked the winner: Charlize Theron - Monster


Best Actress - Supporting Role

Will win: Shohreh Agdashloo - House of Sand and Fog

If I picked the winner: Holly Hunter - Thirteen


Best Animated Feature Film

Will win: Finding Nemo

If I picked the winner: Finding Nemo


Best Art Direction

Will win: The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

If I picked the winner: The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King


Best Cinematography

Will win: City of God

If I picked the winner: City of God


Best Costume Design

Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Director

Will win: Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

If I picked the winner: Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Documentary - Feature Film

Will win: The Fog of War
Should win: The Fog of War

Best Documentary - Short Subject

Will win: Chernobyl Heart


Best Film Editing

Will win: City of God
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Foreign Language Film

Will win: The Barbarian Invasions

If I picked the winner: The Barbarian Invasions

Best Makeup

Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Music - Original Score

Will win: Howard Shore - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

If I picked the winner: Howard Shore - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Music - Original Song

Will win: "Into the West" - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

If I picked the winner: "Into the West" - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Picture

Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Screenplay - Adapted

Will win: Mystic River

If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Screenplay - Original

Will win: Lost in Translation

If I picked the winner: In America


Best Short Film - Animated

Will win: Destino


Best Short Film - Live Action

Will win: Two Soldiers


Best Sound Editing

Will win: Master and Commander: Far Side of the World

If I picked the winner: Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Sound Mixing

Will win: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Visual Effects

Will win: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
 

Ray Chuang

Screenwriter
Joined
Jan 26, 2002
Messages
1,056
Here are my predictions (note that some categories may not get comments from me).

Best Actor--a close race between Sean Penn and Bill Murray. If AMPAS voters can live down Penn's bad boy past image the Oscar is his to win. My choice is Bill Murray, because he has done some great work in the past that has been woefully overlooked.

Best Supporting Actor--a close race between Tim Robbins and Alec Baldwin for this Oscar. I think they'll give it to Robbins, though.

Best Actress--Charlize Theron is in the lead to win this Oscar, though some AMPAS voter may have sympathies for Diane Keaton. I think Theron will win, if only because she got the Golden Globe win.

Best Supporting Actress--Renée Zellwegger has this Oscar pretty much sewen up. :)

Animated Feature--Finding Nemo is a lock for this Oscar.

Art Direction--I wouldn't be surprised if Master and Commander wins (they did a masterful job re-creating the feel of a fighting sailing ship of the early 1800's), but I would like to see RoTK take this Oscar.

Cinematography--I think Master and Commander take this Oscar, though I really did like Seabiscuit's excellent camera work.

Costume Design--it will be a close race between Master and Commander and RoTK for this Oscar. I do hope that RoTK takes this Oscar because of all the hard work involved in doing the costumes for the three Lord of the Rings movies.

Best Director--I think Peter Jackson will win, though some AMPAS voters do like Sofia Coppola's work in Lost in Translation.

Film Editing--I think it Master and Commander will win, though there maybe some votes for Seabiscuit.

Makeup--I'd like to see RoTK win, though Pirates of the Caribbean had some excellent makeup work.

Original Score--I think Howard Shore will win this Oscar.

Original Song--"Into the West" is my choice, especially since the song just won a Golden Globe award.

Best Picture--RoTK is definitely my choice, though we may see AMPAS voters going for Mystic River and Lost in Translation.

Sound--I think Master and Commander will win this award--they captured the sounds of sea battle brilliantly. :emoji_thumbsup:

Sound Editing--I think Master and Commander also wins here. Personally, M & C's best thing was its extremely effective use of sound.

Visual Effects--RoTK is my choice to win this Oscar.

Adapted Screenplay--I think it will be a very close race between RoTK and Mystic River for this Oscar, with Mystic River winning in the end (I liked the way they translated the original book in film in Mystic River).

Original Screenplay--I think it's a lock for Lost in Translation to win this Oscar. :)
 

Travis_S

Supporting Actor
Joined
Jan 14, 2001
Messages
681
Location
St. Louis, Missouri
Real Name
Travis
Added Final Predictions - Feb. 28th

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Bill Murray - Lost in Translation

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Charlize Theron - Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
Cesar Charlone - City Of God

Achievement In Costume Design
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Directing
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Documentary Feature
Fog of War

Best Documentary Short Subject
Asylum

Achievement In Film Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)

Achievement In Makeup
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Howard Shore - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Animated Short Film
Destino

Best Live Action Short Film
Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)

Achievement In Sound
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Sound Editing
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
 

Brandon Conway

captveg
Senior HTF Member
Joined
Sep 30, 2002
Messages
9,623
Location
North Hollywood, CA
Real Name
Brandon Conway
Mystic River got 6, not 5, nominations:

Actor in a Leading Role - Sean Penn
Actor in a Supporting Role - Tim Robbins
Actress in a Supporting Role - Marcia Gay Harden
Directing
Best Picture
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

:)

My picks:

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role

Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role

Ken Watanabe - The Last Samurai

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role

Charlize Theron - Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role

Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year

Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction

Girl With A Pearl Earring

Achievement In Cinematography


Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Costume Design

The Last Samurai

Achievement In Directing

Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Documentary Feature

Capturing The Friedmans

Best Documentary Short Subject

Chernobyl Heart

Achievement In Film Editing

Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year

The Barbarian Invasions

Achievement In Makeup

Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)

Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Song)

Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, ""A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind

Best Motion Picture Of The Year

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Animated Short Film

Destino

Best Live Action Short Film

Most (The Bridge)

Achievement In Sound

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Sound Editing

Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Visual Effects

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published

Braulio Mantovani - City Of God

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen

Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
 

Chuck Mayer

Senior HTF Member
Joined
Aug 6, 2001
Messages
8,515
Location
Northern Virginia
Real Name
Chuck Mayer
Placeholder as well. Though I haven't seen nearly enough of the films, I still bet I do OK. Oscars voters can be predictable ;)

Take care,
Chuck
 

Kristian

Supporting Actor
Joined
Jun 16, 2001
Messages
945
Real Name
Kristian
Best Actor - Leading Role

Projected winner: Sean Penn - Mystic River
If I picked the winner: Bill Murray - Lost in Translation


Best Actor - Supporting Role

Projected winner: Tim Robbins - Mystic River
If I picked the winner: Ken Watanabe - The Last Samurai


Best Actress - Leading Role

Projected winner: Charlize Theron - Monster
If I picked the winner: Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider


Best Actress - Supporting Role

Projected winner: Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain
If I picked the winner: Holly Hunter - Thirteen


Best Animated Feature Film

Projected winner: Finding Nemo
If I picked the winner: Finding Nemo


Best Art Direction

Projected winner: The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
If I picked the winner: The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King


Best Cinematography

Projected winner: Seabiscuit
If I picked the winner: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World


Best Costume Design

Projected winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Director

Projected winner: Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Documentary - Feature Film

Projected winner: Capturing the Friedmans


Best Documentary - Short Subject

Projected winner: Asylum


Best Film Editing

Projected winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Foreign Language Film

Projected winner: The Barbarian Invasions


Best Makeup

Projected winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Music - Original Score

Projected winner: Howard Shore - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: Howard Shore - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Music - Original Song

Projected winner: "A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind
If I picked the winner: "Into the West" - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Picture

Projected winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Screenplay - Adapted

Projected winner: City of God
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Screenplay - Original

Projected winner: Lost in Translation
If I picked the winner: Lost in Translation


Best Short Film - Animated

Projected winner: Destino


Best Short Film - Live Action

Projected winner: Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)


Best Sound Editing

Projected winner: Finding Nemo
If I picked the winner: Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl


Best Sound Mixing

Projected winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King


Best Visual Effects

Projected winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
If I picked the winner: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
 

Colin Jacobson

Senior HTF Member
Joined
Apr 19, 2000
Messages
13,328
My picks:

Best Picture: LOTR: ROTK

Best Director: Peter Jackson

Best Actor: Bill Murray

Best Actress: Charlize Theron

Best Supp. Actor: Tim Robbins

Best Supp. Actress: Renee Zellweger

Best Orig. Screenplay: Lost in Translation

Best Adapted Screenplay: Mystic River

Best Foreign-Lang. Film: Barbarian Invasions

Best Animated Feature: Finding Nemo

Art Direction: Girl With a Pearl Earring

Cinematography: Cold Mountain

Costume Design: Last Samurai

Documentary: Capturing the Friedmans

Doc. Short: Chernobyl Heart

Editing: LOTR: ROTK

Make-up: Pirates

Score: LOTR: ROTK

Song: "Kiss at the End of the Rainbow"

Anim. Short: Nibbles

Live-Action Short: Squash

Sound: LOTR: ROTK

Sound Editing: Pirates

Visual Effects: LOTR: ROTK

Some of these are total guesses, but that's part of the fun!
 

Dome Vongvises

Senior HTF Member
Joined
May 13, 2001
Messages
8,172
* Who I predict to win

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley - House Of Sand And Fog
Jude Law - Cold Mountain
* Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Alec Baldwin - The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Djimon Hounsou - In America
* Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Ken Watenabe - The Last Samurai

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider
Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give
Samantha Morton - In America
* Charlize Theron - Monster
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House Of Sand And Fog
Patricia Clarkson - Pieces Of April
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River
Holly Hunter - Thirteen
* Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain
 

Patrick Sun

Senior HTF Member
Joined
Jun 30, 1999
Messages
39,660
* My prediction
** My personal pick

BEST PICTURE
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
** LOST IN TRANSLATION

DIRECTING
** CITY OF GOD
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
** Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION
* Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
* Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER
** Ken Watanabe - THE LAST SAMURAI

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
* Charlize Theron - MONSTER
** Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
* Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN
** Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
* FINDING NEMO
** FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
**THE LAST SAMURAI
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

CINEMATOGRAPHY
* CITY OF GOD
** CITY OF GOD

COSTUME DESIGN
** THE LAST SAMURAI
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

FILM EDITING
** CITY OF GOD
*THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MAKEUP
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
** THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SCORE)
** HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SONG)
* "Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
** "A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" - A MIGHTY WIND

SOUND
** THE LAST SAMURAI
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
* FINDING NEMO
** FINDING NEMO

VISUAL EFFECTS
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
** THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
** CITY OF GOD
* THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
* LOST IN TRANSLATION
** LOST IN TRANSLATION
 

Stevan Lay

Second Unit
Joined
Jan 5, 2000
Messages
485
Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Prediction: Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Prediction: Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Prediction: Charlize Theron - Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Prediction: Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Prediction: Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
Prediction: Grant Major - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Preferred: Jeannine Oppewall - Seabiscuit

Achievement In Cinematography
Prediction: Cesar Charlone - City Of God

Achievement In Costume Design
Prediction: Ngila Dickson & Richard Taylor - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Preferred: Judianna Makovsky - Seabiscuit

Achievement In Directing
Prediction: Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Preferred: Fernando Meirelles - City Of God

Best Documentary Feature
Prediction: Capturing The Friedmans & The Fog Of War

Achievement In Film Editing
Prediction: Daniel Rezende - City Of God

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
Prediction: The Barbarian Invasions

Achievement In Makeup
Prediction: Richard Taylor & Peter King - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Prediction: Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Prediction: Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Philippa Boyens, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
Prediction: The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Sound
Prediction: Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Sound Editing
Prediction: Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Visual Effects
Prediction: Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Prediction: Braulio Mantovani - City Of God

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Prediction: Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
 

Shawn_KE

Screenwriter
Joined
Nov 25, 2003
Messages
1,295
Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
John Seale - Cold Mountain

Achievement In Costume Design
The Last Samurai

Achievement In Directing
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Documentary Feature
Capturing The Friedmans

Best Documentary Short Subject
Asylum

Achievement In Film Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)

Achievement In Makeup
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Danny Elfman - Big Fish

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Philippa Boyens, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Animated Short Film
Harvie Krumpet

Best Live Action Short Film
Two Soldiers

Achievement In Sound
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Sound Editing
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
 

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