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2010 at the Box Office - Page 10
I think box office tallies will always be the "measuring stick" because movie-going trends often change dramatically over the years. I do think theater admissions should remain part of the conversation and shouldn't be ignored. For a movie to sell as many tickets as "Avatar" and "The Dark Knight" did during the last two years is amazing considering that moviegoers have so many more outside distractions (DVD, video games, cable/satellite television, computers, etc.) than any other time in the history of the movies.
While I'm confident that we'll never see a movie sell as many tickets as either "Gone With the Wind" or "Star Wars", there will still be that select few that grab the nation by the throat and simply won't leg go. So to answer your question: yes, I think theater admissions should be counted along with box office grosses. If not for anything than for historical purposes.
As for "Star Wars" going 3D, that would definitely pad the numbers of the movies in terms of both overall domestic grosses and theater admission figures.
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Is there a serious question in that sentence?
- Tino
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Ummmm...obviously.
And as Terry noted, admissions is A way, not THE way to "count a movie's popularity" along with boxoffice grosses.
- Adam_S
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this doesn't make much sense, because GwtW like Birth of a Nation was a "two dollar" movie, it played in big and expensive theatres for a long time, I would think the majority of its admissions, including rereleases in later more expensive movie going times would be more than a $1/ticket average (gone with the wind has a total domestic gross of 198 million)
FRIDAY PM/SATURDAY AM: Analysis in the morning. Sources gave me these early Friday numbers:
Top 10 For Friday
1. Avatar (Fox) Week 6 [3,141 Theaters]
Friday $9.1M (-12%) Est Wkd $35M, Est Cume $550M
2. Legion (Sony) NEW [2,476 Theaters]
Friday $6.8M, Est Wkd $18M
3. Book of Eli (Warner Bros) Week 2 [3,111 Theaters]
Friday $5.0M (-57), Est Wkd $15M, Est Cume $60M.
4. The Tooth Fairy (Fox) NEW [3,344 Theaters]
Friday $3.8M, Est Wkd $14M
5. Lovely Bones (Paramount) Week 7 [2,571 Theaters]
Friday $2.8M, Est Wkd $9M, Est Cume $31.8M
6. Extraordinary Measures (CBS Films) NEW [2,549 Theaters]
Friday $2.1M, Est Wkd $7M
7. Sherlock Holmes (Warner Bros) Week 5 [2,670 Theaters]
Friday $1.9M, Est Wkd $6.5M, Est Cume $190.7M
8. It's Complicated (Universal) Week 5 [2,301 Theaters]
Friday $1.7M, Est Wkd $6M, Est Cume $98.4M
9. Alvin & The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel (Fox) Week 5 [2,973 Theaters]
Friday $1.4M, Est Wkd $6.5M, Est Cume $204M
10. The Blind Side (Warner Bros) Week 10 [1,932 Theaters]
Friday $1.2M, Est Wkd $4M, Est Cume $233.5M
- Jose Martinez
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Extraordinary Measures tanked.
Long shot, but still potentially possible that "Blind Slide" creeps to $250M (which is one the best ROI in the top 10)
Avatar.. yes, $35M projection, but so far, weekend after weekend, hasn't it beaten projection damn near every time?
Can anybody provide me with a link to a website that makes available the total number of admissions for movies in addition to boxoffice numbers? I have looked at boxofficemojo but have not seen a link for total number of admissions to movies.
Thanks guys
There is a drop down in the top right corner to change the year. The link I posted shows the estimated tickets sold for the top 100 films.
But let's also say as was pointed out a few pages ago, it's like apples to peanuts.
Gone With the Wind will probably always lead in total admissions. Which is fine. Then again, when GWTW was in theaters, almost nobody had a television. So, the competition for the entertainment dollar wasn't nearly as tight.
Hell, we also forget that the number of theaters in existance hasn't gone up in the last decade, it's gone down..
Where I grew up as a kid, there was a drive in and two theaters within 45 miles. Today? The nearest theater from my home down is 39 miles. The other has closed and the drive in is closed.
Even here in KC, many small theaters have basically died, and while there are still plenty of screens, it's all in meg AMC/Cinemark/Phoenix facilities.
Checking # of admissions is interesting. But I'm amazed now when a film does incredible week after week business. Factors against it happening today are INTENSE. Things that didn't exist in the past:
(1) People who wait on DVD / BD
(2) People know a film will come to cable.
(3) Piracy (unfortunately part of the equation)
(4) Cost of a screening
Avatar asked people to pay a price premium in a down economy. And it pulled it off. It pulled it off week after week after week. That is a stunning, absolutely stunning event.
You can't really compare it to Titanic (which didn't really face pressure from DVD even then) and you can't compare it to GWTW (which didn't face pressure from people who could watch TV at home)
We can acknowledge that people pay more, so it's easier to get to very high box office #s. But the fact that you get people to the box office in big numbers is still a feet.

But # admissions isn't good enough. There are simply too many variables beyond that. Ratings, social acceptance, economy, how movies are perceived. It's not only a moving target, but one moving in stops and starts, at high speeds and low speeds.
I simply don't think you can compare at all. The entertainment world Avatar faces is so vastly different from Gone With The Wind that the results cannot be measureably compared.
Which, unfortunately, doesn't prevent some people from breathlessly saying how Avatar beat such and such film(s) using ONLY raw boxoffice numbers as a basis for comparison.
Titanic might not have had to face DVD but it did face VHS. GWTW might not have had to face TV but people then just didn't sit around all day in front of the tub. They had plenty of entertainment they could go out to. Not to mention more movie selections, more theater and an item called radio that would keep people in. In many places you could also buy one ticket and watch the movie a couple times (or more) that day.
I don't know how studios or experts add this in but GWTW is still playing theaters today so I wonder if these numbers get thrown into that all-time total. I know it plays a place in Lexington each year and just this weekend a theater in Elizabethtown, of all places, showed it. I'm sure other theaters across the country continue to play it each and every year but I'm guessing these numbers aren't being thrown into the mix or tracked.
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Also, regarding ticket sales, so many of the films that have been all time box office champs had premium pricing, so figuring ticket sales is even more impossible for them, Gone with the Wind and Birth of a Nation were $2 films when films cost 0.25 and 0.10 respectively, that's a much larger ticket premium to see those films than Avatars rather paltry Imax and 3D premiums. I'd go so far as to say that Birth of a Nation's grosses weren't real and that it wasn't making all that money because the massive price increase on the ticket price. ;)
Iirc, the film that first dethroned Gone with the Wind was Sound of Music, which also had premium road show pricing, I think the first film to become all time box office champ without premium pricing was The Exorcist. Avatar has simply reintroduced an old custom, premium ticket prices for the biggest movies. ;)
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ALL TIME WORLDWIDE
| 1. | Titanic | $1,842,879,955 |
| 2. | Avatar | $1,836,143,000 |
| 3. | Return of the King | $1,119,110,941 |
http://www.eonline.com/uberblog/b163754_avatar_sinks_titanic.html?utm_source=eonline&utm_medium=rssfeeds&utm_campaign=imdb_tv-movies
Go AVATAR Go!
Edited by Jose Martinez - 1/24/10 at 1:00pm
The exact numbers will probably never be known but there are great records as to how long the film was showing and what numbers were being brought in. It's hard to tell how much is true as there were a lot of hands taking money and not reporting it. There are at least three sources that say BIRTH made around $90 million. In NYC alone it made $12 million in a 44 week run (according to one source).
Ticket prices were $2 for box seats and the rest would range from $1 to $0.25. Matinee shows were $1 for box and $0.50 to $0.25. These prices lasted for the first week and then they realized that they had a hit on their hands and prices went up to $2 for all shows, all seats except for one showing on Sunday and that would be $1 for all seats. Variety reported that $2 million had been made the first two months and the rest came after this.
Boston was the second biggest market and Louis B. Mayer bought the film for $50,000 and "turned in" a profit of $7 million. I quoted the "turned in" because profits were certainly going directly into his pockets and not everything was being turned over and completely reported since he had plans of buying the rights to the film in smaller cities so that he could continue to make the money. Reports would surface in 1937 (when DeMille went to remake the film) that Mayer had made over $20 million before starting MGM. Apparently "private" shows were being sold for upwards of $25,000.
Going by Variety, Richard Schickel and Carl Milliken (MPPDA), an estimated 200,000,000 had seen the film by 1918. The interesting thing about this, with the numbers, is that the film was still banned in two states and was still playing a "road show" type of event with higher ticket prices. WAY DOWN EAST (1920) was just opening as many people were finally getting a chance to see BIRTH at a lower, normal price tag. Some people blame the road show of WAY DOWN EAST not doing well on the fact that it was running against BIRTH at a cheaper price Ohio and Kansas didn't get to see the film until the late 20s where it was beating out the current string of films but no numbers are known here.
The film also had a successful return to NYC in 1921 where it played sold out shows for weeks. It would be re-released again to good numbers in 1925. Throughout the decade it would be trimmed but more and more revivals were being made up North where good numbers were reported. The 1930 "sound" version was released across the country and didn't make the numbers people were hoping but it still brought in an estimated $500,000. Of course, the film would continue to be played for the next three decades.
I personally feel the early numbers are a bit too high as the producers and owners were wanting to hype up the "must see movie" but at the same time they probably add up in the end when one considers how long it was playing and for how many decades. I think what's most telling is that whenever the film was banned in a city, the local theater owners would fight it in court because they knew if they needed money they could always re-release the film. These type of showing, bootleg showings in your will, happened all the time and it's doubtful anyone except the theater owner saw the money.
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When I think back to Titanic in '98, that was a huuuuuuuge cultural thing, you couldn't go anywhere without hearing about it. I just don't think Avatar compares to that, even remotely. Even stuff like The Sixth Sense and Jurassic Park I seem to remember causing more of a pop culture buzz. I dunno, maybe I'm just out on this but Avatar almost feels like the "quietest" mega-blockbuster movie I can recall.
I guess in the modern movie scape, where something like Transformers 2, which is a complete train wreck of a movie can still top $400 million, then something like Avatar, which has at least a coherent story line and even better CGI, doing $600+ mill isn't quite so shocking.
#1 "Avatar" $36.0 million ($552.8 million)
#2 "Legion" $18.2 million
#3 "The Book of Eli" $17.0 million ($62.0 million) -48%
#4 "The Tooth Fairy" $14.5 million
#5 "The Lovely Bones" $8.8 million ($31.6 million) -48%
#6 "Sherlock Holmes" $7.1 million ($191.6 million) -28%
#7 "Extraordinary Measures" $7.0 million
#8 "Alvin & the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel" $6.5 million ($204.2 million) -44%
#9 "It's Complicated" $6.2 million ($98.7 million) -24%
#10 "The Spy Next Door" $4.8 million ($18.7 million) -51%
#11 "The Blind Side" $4.5 million ($234.0 million) -19%
#12 "Up in the Air" $4.3 million ($69.7 million) -21%
Business continues to be scorching at the box office as the industry enjoyed a 6% bump over last year's numbers, as well as being up 15% from this frame in '08. 2010 looks poised to crack the $1 billion mark faster than last year's record pace. This will also be the second consecutive year that the month of January has topped the $1 billion plateau. The month has so far tallied $895.3 million, up 8% from this point last year ($826.1 million), 35% stronger than '08 ($661.4 million), a whopping 54% improvement over '07 ($579.9 million), and a 45% increase over '06 ($619.4 million).
Fox's "Avatar" continues to obliterate box office records as it became the first movie since "Titanic" to sit atop the box office for six weeks. The sci-fi epic also became the biggest domestic hit of the 2000s decade, passing the $533.3 million haul of "The Dark Knight". "Avatar" has so far pulled in $552.8 million, passing the $550 million plateau in a record-shattering 38 days of release. This time next weekend "Avatar" will have become the biggest worldwide hit in history as it will have (likely) passed the $2 billion mark globally (another industry first). Domestically, the movie will pass the $600.8 million run of "Titanic" within the next ten days to become the biggest hit in the history of the industry. Oh yeah, it's $36 million take this weekend is the biggest ever for a sixth weekend gross, as well as making "Avatar" the only movie to ever earn north of $30 million six times.
Sony's "Legion" got off to a solid start as it debuted with just over $18 million this weekend. The movie earned a sturdy $7,351 per-theater average from its 2,476 locations, which was the second best of the top 12 behind "Avatar" ($11,461 from its 3,141 theaters). With a budget of only $26 million, the movie is going to end up being a profitable venture for the studio.
WB's "The Book of Eli" has emerged as the biggest hit of the new year as it took a modest 48% dip. The movie has so far tallied $62 million and looks headed for a final domestic mark north of the century mark. Fox's "The Tooth Fairy" also opened this weekend to decent business as it pulled in $14.5 million, giving it an average of $5,464 from its 3,344 theaters. Of the 12 films headlined by star Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson, "The Tooth Fairy" makes it 10-out-of-12 of his movies that opened north of $14 million.
DreamWorks/Paramount's "The Lovely Bones" has so far earned just under $32 million and looks headed for a final tally in the neighborhood of $60 million. The film carried a production cost of $65 million. Next weekend will see WB's "Sherlock Holmes" pass the double-century mark. CBS Films' "Extraordinary Measures" received a lukewarm reception from moviegoers this weekend as it opened with $7 million, giving it a per-theater average of only $2,746 from its 2,549 locations. Fox's 'Alvin & the Chipmunks' sequel passed the $200 million plateau this weekend. Universal's "It's Complicated" is now days away from passing the century mark. Lionsgate's "The Spy Next Door" was off by 51% this week and has now earned close to $19 million. WB's "The Blind Side" is now sitting on a domestic haul of $234 million. Paramount's "Up in the Air" has now pulled in just under $70 million.
Next weekend should see "Avatar" continue its dominance as it will probably reign as the top film in the land for a seventh consecutive weekend. Still, expect solid opening marks for WB's "Edge of Darkness" (megastar Mel Gibson's return to the big screen) and Disney's romantic/comedy "When in Rome".
Not sure what you're seeing as a dud. All of the "big" holiday films have delivered pretty well...New Moon is closing in on $300 million; Alvin 2 is over $200 million; Sherlock Holmes is set to cross $200 million; 2012 took in nearly $170 million; A Christmas Carol is near $140 million; It's Complicated is going to end up well over $100 million; even The Princess and the Frog will cross $100 million after a slow start. Then there's the sleeper hit The Blind Side that's gathered up another $235 million so far. That's over $1.4 billion before you even add in Avatar and the assorted other mid-level film grosses.
The only two films I really see that performed well below expectations in the past couple of months are The Lovely Bones and The Road. Are we really so jaded these days that we're calling $100-$200 million performers "duds"?
And I'm not surprised that "Extraordinary Measures" was a true dud. The trailers really made it look like a Lifetime TV Movie. Why pay to see that in theaters?
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and IIRC, Titanic came out on VHS in march of 1999, quite a long time between December 1997 and it's home video release.
FYI Titanic came out in the UK on VHS video in October 1998, 10 months after its cinema release. It was still playing in some cinemas at the time. I would expect it came out in the US at a similar time for Christmas.
As someone who wasn't keen on Avatar I am amazed at its run though as someone said if a film like Transformers 2 can make $400... That said, it must be doing something right.
Id be curious to know what its estimated take would have been had it not been playing in 3D Imax and only in 2D. Anyone know ?
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Not sure what you're seeing as a dud. All of the "big" holiday films have delivered pretty well...New Moon is closing in on $300 million; Alvin 2 is over $200 million; Sherlock Holmes is set to cross $200 million; 2012 took in nearly $170 million; A Christmas Carol is near $140 million; It's Complicated is going to end up well over $100 million; even The Princess and the Frog will cross $100 million after a slow start. Then there's the sleeper hit The Blind Side that's gathered up another $235 million so far. That's over $1.4 billion before you even add in Avatar and the assorted other mid-level film grosses.
The only two films I really see that performed well below expectations in the past couple of months are The Lovely Bones and The Road. Are we really so jaded these days that we're calling $100-$200 million performers "duds"?
And I'm not surprised that "Extraordinary Measures" was a true dud. The trailers really made it look like a Lifetime TV Movie. Why pay to see that in theaters?
I was thinking more along the lines of movies that might have been expected to dethrone Avatar by dint of being newer releases: movies, such as "The Book of Eli", "Legion", "Sherlock Holmes" and "The Lovely Bones". In terms of money, some of those films are successful, but they are all "duds" in terms of having the box office draw and muscle to knock off Avatar. So, really, Avatar has had very little real competition this late in its run; although, maybe "Edge of Darkness" will finally do it. I watched the trailer for EoD. It looks like it could be good; although, Gibson seemed to slip in and out the accent that he was attempting to imitate.
I don't think "Edge of Darkness" or "When in Rome" will crack the $29+ million needed to take down "Avatar" next weekend (going with a 20% decline from this weekend's $36 million). But the week after next, "From Paris With Love" would need about a $24million-$25million opening to knock off "Avatar" on the weekend starting 2/5/10.
Avatar should easily ease by Titanic's worldwide gross tomorrow since it's only $2 million behind Titanic's record, and it already bested Titanic's international/foreign gross by $50 million.

"Avatar" had plenty of strong competition. It just BEAT all that competition. It's crazy that you want to diminish its success by claiming that all its competitors were "duds"...

I was thinking more along the lines of movies that might have been expected to dethrone Avatar by dint of being newer releases: movies, such as "The Book of Eli", "Legion", "Sherlock Holmes" and "The Lovely Bones". In terms of money, some of those films are successful, but they are all "duds" in terms of having the box office draw and muscle to knock off Avatar. So, really, Avatar has had very little real competition this late in its run; although, maybe "Edge of Darkness" will finally do it. I watched the trailer for EoD. It looks like it could be good; although, Gibson seemed to slip in and out the accent that he was attempting to imitate.

FYI Titanic came out in the UK on VHS video in October 1998, 10 months after its cinema release. It was still playing in some cinemas at the time. I would expect it came out in the US at a similar time for Christmas.
As someone who wasn't keen on Avatar I am amazed at its run though as someone said if a film like Transformers 2 can make $400... That said, it must be doing something right.
Id be curious to know what its estimated take would have been had it not been playing in 3D Imax and only in 2D. Anyone know ?
Sorry, but that's just crazy. The US population in 1920 was about 106 million, so this mean that essentially EVERY AMERICAN would've had to see it TWICE for that number to be correct...

The VHS release windows in the 90s weren't that dissimilar to what exists today. Big blockbuster movies like Independence Day would come out in the summer and would be available to buy for $20 or less on VHS by the following October/November in most cases.
Jurassic Park, Titanic (even that as noted above was out on video within a year), and The Phantom Menace were really the three exceptions. I think The Lion King had a bit of a longer wait as well, but that was par for the course for Disney back in those days.
But people who act like "summer release in theater-on video shelves for October" window was just invented for DVD clearly weren't around in the 90s. Even the late 80s ... I remember Batman, which was the biggest thing to hit 1989 was out on video for sale by Christmas of that same year.
Almost no one has a 3DTV today, so DVD or Blu-Ray are all pretty much irrelevant to Avatar anyway. You can't really experience it at home the way you can currently at a theater. You could have a 55 inch LCD with a booming sound system, but you're still not going to get the same kind of 3D effect at home.
Edited by Pete-D - 1/24/10 at 8:29pm
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I'm looking at it from the perspective that the expectation was that films such as "Sherlock Holmes" would knock Avatar off its perch. From strictly that point of view the film is a "dud" because it didn't have the popularity to do so. I'm not saying the film was a dud quality-wise or box office-wise. It was just a dud in relation to knocking Avatar off the throne. So what if "Sherlock Holmes" made 200 million? It still was unsuccessful at dethroning Avatar. It didn't have the muscle or the draw to knock out Avatar, so from the narrow perspective of acquiring the box office crown of #1 it was a "dud". It wasn't good enough to outcompete Avatar.
@ Patrick Sun
When I looked at the release schedule for 2010 I originally thought that Avatar would hold on to the #1 spot until "From Paris with Love"; however, I decided I can't count out Gibson's box office draw, especially if the film receives some good buzz.
Edited by Hanson - 1/25/10 at 12:11am
- 2010 at the Box Office
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