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2009 at the Box Office - Page 34

post #991 of 1466
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveB View Post

Wow, those were some expensive tickets! 

Quote:
Originally Posted by TerryRL View Post



Doh!  My bad.  That should say 900 million.  I did fix it though.  Thanks for pointing that out.
 

You think that's bad, wait until you see the new concession food prices!



While I've enjoyed all three IA films, I think they really need to come up with a new plot for the next one.  We've done the "long, perilous journey" thing for all three films.
post #992 of 1466
sorry if this has been asked before, i haven't been following the last few weekends closely, but how does this 6th Harry Potter compared to the 1-5? i feel like it's not doing as well =P. it was pretty "slow" imho =). not as much action as 1-5.
post #993 of 1466
Thread Starter 
Jedi, read this...

http://boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?view=daily&id=vs-harrypotter.htm


Malcolm, one of the rumored plots for the fourth movie is bringing the core group of characters to the "modern times" via being frozen for millions of years.  Fox is toying with a handful of ideas for the next movie and this is just one of them (rumor has it).
post #994 of 1466
Thread Starter 
From Nikki Finke's site...

FINALLY, A FILM FOR FLYOVER COUNTRY: 'G.I. Joe' Doesn't Tank! Opens To $22M Today For Possible $55M Domestic And $35M Foreign Weekend; 'Julie & Julia' Counter-Programs Successfully For $20M Wkd

FRIDAY PM UPDATE: With a big pricetag of $175 million, and bad buzz preceding it, G.I. Joe seemed certain to tank. All that time, Paramount's claims that the movie worked fell on deaf ears. Not until the pic came on tracking with incredibly high awareness among males. Now, despite all the sniping and snarking, it looks to open for a $55M North American weekend after earning $22M today from a huge release into 4,007 theaters. That would be a great result if the film weren't so expensive. But added to box office grosses will be other revenue streams. "This property will sell 100's of millions of dollars of toys that we get a royalty in," a Paramount exec reminds me. "And given the action, this will be a huge seller on DVD."  G.I. Joe also opened day and date in 75% of its foreign territories. Although I've heard reports from rival studios that ticket sales were "disappointing" in Australia (where the pic opened #2 to the Sony romantic comedy Ugly Truth), early numbers from Asia are said to be "huge". One projection for overseas grosses this weekend is $35M -- despite what is sure to be some Anti-American military sentiment in, say, parts of Europe. (C'mon, this movie is called G.I. Joe!) But in the U.S., the studio expects the film to do best in so-called flyover country -- with blue-collar moviegoers in the Midwest, South, and West where the common complaint is that liberal elite Hollywood doesn't make movies for their "God, guns, and country" tastes. Indeed, this pic's strength is that it doesn't suffer from any moral ambiguity: there are good guys, bad guys, and nothing inbetween. "With this domestic opening, and the early international results, the film should be on its way to $300 million worldwide," a Paramount exec predicted to me tonight.
post #995 of 1466
i was actually pretty pumped to see GI Joe after the initial trailers.  but after seeing the extended Train scene clip at apple.com.... now not so much. 
post #996 of 1466
Quote:
Originally Posted by EricW View Post

i was actually pretty pumped to see GI Joe after the initial trailers.  but after seeing the extended Train scene clip at apple.com.... now not so much. 

Yeah, that trailer turned me off, too.  The CGI looked really cheap and cheezy.
post #997 of 1466
Thread Starter 
Friday Estimates

#1 "G.I. Joe" $22.3 million
#2 "Julie & Julia" $6.5 million
#3 "G-Force" $3.0 million ($79.3 million) 48% Friday-to-Friday drop
#4 "Funny People" $2.6 million ($35.2 million) 70% Friday-to-Friday drop (Ouch!)
#5 "Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince" $2.5 million ($267.5 million) 53% Friday-to-Friday drop
#6 "The Ugly Truth" $2.2 million ($64.3 million) 50% Friday-to-Friday drop
#7 "A Perfect Getaway" $2.1 million
#8 "Aliens in the Attic" $1.3 million ($13.6 million) 55% Friday-to-Friday drop
#9 "(500) Days of Summer" $1.2 million ($9.8 million) 37% Friday-to-Friday increase
#10 "Orphan" $1.2 million ($32.3 million) 52% Friday-to-Friday drop
#11 "The Hangover" $1.0 million ($259.6 million) 35% Friday-to-Friday drop
#12 "Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen" $960K ($391.7 million) 33% Friday-to-Friday drop
post #998 of 1466
According to Deadline Hollywood, "G.I. Joe" dropped 18% on Saturday. Never a good sign.

Edit: that should be "16%", not 18.
Edited by Shawn.F - 8/9/2009 at 04:13 pm GMT
post #999 of 1466
^ I'm certainly no expert but couldn't that drop be explained by the fanbase getting out there and seeing it on the first day and then just the 'normal' people checking it out on Saturday?
post #1000 of 1466
HP6 could pass Up! next weekend to be the second biggest grosser of the year.


1 G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra     Par.     $56,200,000    
2 Julie & Julia     Sony     $20,100,000    
3 G-Force     BV     $9,804,000     $86,116,000    
4 Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince     WB $273,800,000
5 Funny People     Uni.     $7,866,000      $40,417,000
6 The Ugly Truth     Sony     $7,000,000     $69,088,000
7 A Perfect Getaway     Uni.     $5,765,000
8 Aliens in the Attic     Fox     $4,000,000    $16,293,000    
9 Orphan     WB     $3,730,000 $34,822,000    
10 (500) Days of Summer     FoxS     $3,725,000     $12,343,000
11 The Hangover     WB     $3,400,000         $262,010,000
12 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen     P/DW     $3,000,000    $393,701,000
post #1001 of 1466
Thread Starter 
Weekend Estimates

#1 "G.I. Joe" $56.2 million
#2 "Julie & Julia" $20.1 million
#3 "G-Force" $9.8 million ($86.1 million) -44%
#4 "Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince" $8.9 million ($273.8 million) -50%
#5 "Funny People" $7.9 million ($40.4 million) -65%
#6 "The Ugly Truth" $7.0 million ($69.1 million) -47%
#7 "A Perfect Getaway" $5.8 million
#8 "Aliens in the Attic" $4.0 million ($16.3 million) -50%
#9 "Orphan" $3.7 million ($34.8 million) -50%
#10 "(500) Days of Summer" $3.7 million ($12.3 million) +34%
#11 "The Hangover" $3.4 million ($262.0 million) -35%
#12 "Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen" $3.0 million ($393.7 million) -36%

The top 12 movies earned $133.5 million at the box office this weekend causing business to go up 17% compared this period compared to last year, but down about 5% compared to this frame in '07.  While this summer's overall revenue is down about 1% compared to last year's, 2009's year-to-date domestic gross now stands at whopping $6.689 billion, representing a 6% bump from last year ($6.285 billion), up 7% compared to '07 ($6.234 billion), 14% stronger than '06 ($5.845 billion), and an impressive 21% increase over '05 ($5.518 billion).  For the year, ticket sales continue to be well ahead of the paces set during each of the last five years.

Paramount's "G.I. Joe" earned the fourth biggest August opening mark history, pulling in just over $56 million. The $56.2 million haul came in behind "The Bourne Ultimatum" ($69.3 million), "Rush Hour 2" ($67.4 million), and "Signs" ($60.1 million).  This also represents only the fourth time ever that a movie has debuted north of the $50 million plateau during the August frame.  The huge opening gave director Stephen Sommers the second biggest launch of his career, trailing the $68.1 million opening of "The Mummy Returns" back in 2001 (in today's market that tally would be $86.5 million).  "G.I. Joe" earned a stellar $14,025 average from its massive 4,007 theaters.

While "G.I. Joe" was met with largely negative reviews, the movie did earn a grade of B+ from exit polling, indicating that the $175 million budgeted action flick could end up with a decent (but not spectacular) run in theaters.  Globally, the movie opened just north of $100 million.  With Hasbro's (who served as a producer on the film) toy line doing very well, as well as the expected solid DVD-Blu-ray sales, the studio should come away with a pretty decent profit on their investment.  The studio was a bit disturbed by the film's Friday-to-Saturday dip of 18%, but the "suits" are still talking sequel for either 2011 or 2012.

Sony's "Julie & Julia" got off to a great start as it pulled in just over $20 million, giving director Nora Ephron the second biggest debut of her career behind the $20.13 launch of "Bewitched" four years ago.  For two-time Oscar-winner Meryl Streep, this marks the second $20 million-plus debut out of her last three films.  The movie earned solid reviews and received an A grade from exit polling, indicating a leggy run for this one in the weeks to come.  The flick earned a solid per-theater average of $8,539 from its 2,354 locations. 

Disney's "G-Force" has so far tallied $86.1 million.  WB's "Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince" is currently sitting on a domestic haul of about $274 million.  Universal/Sony's "Funny People" took a disastrous 65% tumble this weekend and has so far pulled in $40.4 million.  A final domestic haul of $60-$65 million is now expected.  Sony's "The Ugly Truth" has earned just shy of $70 million. 

Universal's "A Perfect Getaway" went largely ignored by moviegoers as it earned $5.6 million this weekend.  The movie earned an average of only $2,670 from its 2,159 theaters.  Fox's "Aliens in the Attic" has now tallied $16.3 million.  WB's "Orphan" has nearly earned $35 million.  Fox Searchlight's "(500) Days of Summer" saw a 34% increase in business this week as it entered 551 more theaters, bringing its total to 817 total locations.  WB's blockbuster "The Hangover" has so far tallied $262 million.  DreamWorks/Paramount's "Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen" rounds out the top 12 as it has now tallied just under $394 million.

Next weekend will see five films enter the marketplace.  Sony's "District 9", New Line/WB's "The Time Traveler's Wife", Summit's "Bandslam", Paramount Vantage's "The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard", and Disney's "Ponyo" will all hit theaters.  "District 9" is the early favorite to challenge "G.I. Joe" for the top spot, but Summit is hoping that "Bandslam" makes noise, especially with the 'New Moon' (the "Twilight" sequel) trailer exclusively attached to all prints of the movie.  Overall, next weekend should be a good one for the studios.
post #1002 of 1466
Quote:
Fox Searchlight's "(500) Days of Summer" saw a 34% increase in business this week...

 


Tell that to the theater in my area, I saw it on Friday and I was the only person in the room.
post #1003 of 1466
finally saw HP6on IMAX. so booooring =(. i wonder how it compares box office-wise to 1-5
post #1004 of 1466
 "finally saw HP6on IMAX. so booooring =(. i wonder how it compares box office-wise to 1-5"

It's surpassed Prisoner Of Azkaban, the lowest earner of the lot (worldwide), and is heading toward Chamber Of Secrets.
post #1005 of 1466
Yeah, Harry Potter 6 will probably 'only' make $300 million in the U.S. alone. Numbers like that won't exactly make the studio stop production on the seventh/eighth movies.
post #1006 of 1466
Originally I was one of G.I. Joe's biggest naysayers, but I saw it last night and loved it.  I'm definitely hoping it meets Paramount's expectations so we can get a few more movies in this franchise. 
post #1007 of 1466
anybody have any theories on how much of a Friday to Saturday drop Inglourious [sic] Basterds [sic] will have next weekend?  I'm thinking a minimum of a 50% Friday to Saturday Drop, and maybe as high as 70%
post #1008 of 1466
Quote:
Originally Posted by Adam_S View Post

anybody have any theories on how much of a Friday to Saturday drop Inglourious [sic] Basterds [sic] will have next weekend?  I'm thinking a minimum of a 50% Friday to Saturday Drop, and maybe as high as 70%
 


I think you're going to have wait for the second weekend for the drop that you seem to be rooting for. It's got one of the most famous people on the planet in an action movie about killing Nazis. It won't make Transformers money but it'll do pretty good in its opening weekend. Then word of mouth about how it's 'weird' or long will sink its second weekend.
post #1009 of 1466
Thread Starter 
From the Box Office Guru site...

Leading a parade of five new releases, and grossing more than the other four combined, the sci-fi flick District 9 commanded a spectacular opening day tally collecting an estimated $14M in its first day. The Sony release was backed by terrific reviews, slick marketing, and hot advance buzz delivering an explosive first-day take for a non-franchise pic without stars. For the weekend, the three-day gross may reach $35-38M making it one of the best August debuts ever.

The romantic drama The Time Traveler's Wife bowed in second to an estimated $7.5M for Warner Bros. and should finish the frame with $20-23M. The Rachel McAdams-Eric Bana love story will be in a tight race with the sophomore weekend of G.I. Joe for second place over the entire weekend period.
 

Paramount's R-rated comedy The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard debuted with an estimated $2M on Friday and will bring in $5-6M for the session. Disney's Miyazaki animated film Ponyo bowed to an estimated $1.2M in its first day on Friday heading for a $3-4M weekend. Faring worst among the new titles was the teen comedy Bandslam which grossed just under $1M on Friday for Summit which will lead to a $2-3M weekend.
 

Among holdovers, Friday-to-Friday declines were a steep 68% for G.I. Joe, 45% for Julie & Julia, and 33% for G-Force.

post #1010 of 1466
Thread Starter 
Friday Estimates

#1 "District 9" $14.2 million
#2 "The Time Traveler's Wife" $7.7 million
#3 "G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra" $7.2 million ($83.4 million) 68% Friday-to-Friday drop (whoa)
#4 "Julie & Julia" $3.6 million ($34.9 million) 44% Friday-to-Friday drop
#5 "G-Force" $2.1 million ($94.2 million) 31% Friday-to-Friday drop
#6 "The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard" $2.0 million
#7 "The Ugly Truth" $1.5 million ($74.5 million) 35% Friday-to-Friday drop
#8 "Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince" $1.4 million ($280.2 million) 45% Friday-to-Friday drop
#9 "Ponyo" $1.2 million
#10 "Funny People" $943K ($45.8 million) 64% Friday-to-Friday drop (yikes)
#11 "(500) Days of Summer" $935K ($15.9 million) 21% Friday-to-Friday drop
#12 "A Perfect Getaway" $896K ($9.6 million) 57% Friday-to-Friday drop

Edited by TerryRL - 8/16/2009 at 06:10 pm GMT
post #1011 of 1466
I'm not rooting for Inglourious [sic] Basterds [sic] to fail, but I made the mistake of reading the script and I think audiences are expecting something a hell of a lot different than what they'll get.  On the other hand, from spoilers I've read it sounds like some of the ending has been changed for the better, and in a way that audiences will probably love (more so than the original ending, imo) so I'm not quite as pessimistic as I was the other day when I posted that.
post #1012 of 1466
Thread Starter 
Weekend Estimates

#1 "District 9" $37.0 million
#2 "G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra" $22.5 million ($98.8 million) -59%
#3 "The Time Traveler's Wife" $19.2 million
#4 "Julie & Julia" $12.4 million ($43.7 million) -38%
#5 "G-Force" $6.9 million ($99.0 million) -30%
#6 "The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard" $5.4 million
#7 "Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince" $5.2 million ($283.9 million) -42%
#8 "The Ugly Truth" $4.5 million ($77.5 million) -33%
#9 "Ponyo" $3.5 million
#10 "(500) Days of Summer" $3.025 million ($18.0 million) -19%
#11 "Funny People" $3.023 million ($47.9 million) -62%
#12 "A Perfect Getaway" $2.8 million ($11.5 million) -53%

Moviegoers spent more than $125 million on the top 12 films this weekend as business was up 12% compared to this frame last year, as well as being 10% stronger than this period in '07.  This year's massive year-to-date tally now stands at $6.905 billion, marking a 6% improvement over both last year ($6.487 billion) and '07 ($6.460 billion), up 14% over '06 ($6.041 billion), and 21% stronger than '05 ($5.698 billion).  Next weekend will see this year pass the $7 billion mark in total ticket sales, snagging yet another speed record for '09.  An estimated 961 million tickets have been sold thus far, representing the strongest year of ticket sales since 2004. 

Sony's "District 9" blew away industry expectations and took the top spot at the box office this weekend with a much better-than-expected haul of $37 million, marking the 12th best August opening in history.  The movie marks the impressive debut of director Neil Blomkamp, as well as giving Oscar-winning producer Peter Jackson yet another big hit genre film to add to his impressive resume.  With a cost of only $30 million, this one is going to end up being hugely profitable as it will more than likely end its domestic run well north of the century mark.  The sci-fi actioner earned a stellar per-theater average of $12,135 from its 3,049 locations, which was easily the best of the top 12.  Armed with fantastic reviews, as well as an impressive A grade from exit polling, look for this one to be a big late summer hit.

After a nearly 70% Friday-to-Friday dip, Paramount's "G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra" rebounded on Saturday and Sunday to claim the #2 slot this weekend (giving it a 59% decline for the weekend), indicating that the film is doing very good business with the family demo.  The action flick has now tallied nearly $99 million and will become the fourth consecutive $100 million-plus domestic performer for director Stephen Sommers.  A final haul in the neighborhood of $160-$170 million is now expected, which would make this the second biggest hit for Sommers (behind "The Mummy Returns").

New Line/WB's "The Time Traveler's Wife" got off to a good start as it pulled in just over $19 million, giving it a solid average of $6,427 from its 2,988 theaters, which was the second best of the top 12.  Next weekend's tally will determine how far this one will go at the box office.

Sony's "Julie & Julia" was off by only 33% this weekend (the third best hold of the top 12) and has so far tallied just under $44 million.  With Oscar buzz being generated by two-time winner Meryl Streep, look for this one to have a very leggy run in theaters.  A final tally north of the $75 million is now expected.

Disney's "G-Force" had the best hold of the top 12 as it lost only 30% of its business from last week.  The movie is now sitting on a domestic haul of $99 million.  During the next couple of days, the movie will become the 17th film of the year to pass the century mark.

Paramount Vantage's "The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard" received a lukewarm reception from moviegoers this weekend as it took in close to $5.4 million, giving it only a per-theater average of $2,911 from its 1,838 locations.  This one will more than likely fade quickly from theaters.

WB's "Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince" has now taken in just under $284 million.  Sony's "The Ugly Truth" is now sitting on a cume of $77.5 million.  Disney's "Ponyo" got off to a so-so start as it took in $3.5 million, giving it an average of $3,782 from its 927 theaters.  Fox Searchlight's indie hit "(500) Days of Summer" has now earned about $18 million.  Universal/Sony's "Funny People" continues its fast fade as it was off by 62% this weekend, marking the worst hold of the top 12.  The dramedy has now pulled in close to $48 million and looks headed for a final haul in the area of $55 million, making it one of the summer's biggest box office disappointments (especially it cost more than $75 million to make).  Universal's "A Perfect Getaway" rounds out the top 12 as it has now scored $11.5 million.  A final tally of about $15 million is expected.  Summit's "Bandslam" failed to make it in the top 12, even armed with a new trailer for the 'Twilight' sequel attached, as only managed a $2.3 million opening, giving it a pathetic average of $1.061 from its 2,121 theaters.

Next weekend will see the releases of the Weinstein's "Inglorious Bastards", WB's "Shorts", Fox's "Post Grad", and Disney's "X Games 3D: The Movie".  "Inglorious Bastards", which is the latest from Oscar-winner Quentin Tarantino, is expected to top the box office next weekend.  The film stars box office heavyweight Brad Pitt, who has seen six of his last eight films turn into big studio hits, five of which topped the century mark.  'Bastards' boasts a budget of $70 million ($20 of which going to Pitt and $5 mil going to Tarantino), marking the most expensive movie of Tarantino's career as a director.  The two 'Kill Bill' movies cost a combined $60 million to produce.
post #1013 of 1466
 Pretty impressive box office this summer considering I don't think the selection of movies was very good. Last summer had a stronger line up of movies, but the recession this year I think actually help box office because going to the movies is a cheap alternative of getting out of the house versus vacation/concert/sporting event. 
post #1014 of 1466
I head gi joe cost like 175 million. so it making 160-170 is probably not good.
not considering the world wide box office for it.
Jacob
post #1015 of 1466
Terry, any word on the looming showdown between two successful horror franchises on August 28?

Most horror boards are anxiously awaiting the results of that weekend, so I'm very curious to know what the tracking it looking like for Halloween II and The Final Destination.

There seems to be more of a favorable reaction to FD 4 whenever I see the trailers in theaters, but I take that with a grain of salt.
post #1016 of 1466
Thread Starter 
I kept thinking that one of the movies would move out of that date, but I give H2 the edge in a head-to-head match-up.
post #1017 of 1466
Don't forget "The Final Destination" is a 3D film, so that will have some advantage with higher admission prices at 3D screenings.
post #1018 of 1466
Quote:
Originally Posted by TerryRL View Post

I kept thinking that one of the movies would move out of that date, but I give H2 the edge in a head-to-head match-up.
 


You know way more about it than me but I think The Final Destination is going to blow Halloween II out of the water because it's in 3-D and because Halloween II has a nearly non-existant ad campaign. Meanwhile, I've seen trailers and TV ads for The Final Destination for weeks.
post #1019 of 1466
ponyo didn't get any ad space either. no1 knows what it is!!! lol.

oh well!!!! =(.
post #1020 of 1466
Perhaps "Ponyo" should have been 3D CGI with a talking sloth...Wow!...
Quote:
from Studio Briefing:

Defying all odds -- and the performance history of similar films -- Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs has now earned more than $600 million overseas, the most ever earned by an animated film abroad, the Los Angeles Times observed today (Tuesday). In some markets, it noted, it has become the biggest-grossing film since 1997's Titanic.

Plus over $190M domestic, puts it over $800M worldwide.  I think "Ice Age 4" is now a sure bet. 
Edited by Malcolm R - 8/20/09 at 1:00am
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