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2009 at the Box Office - Page 19

post #541 of 1466
5/19/09 at 2:43pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

i think trek will still do well, but its gonna drop a lot from here on out. too many good things coming out. i forget, did iron man have anything following it the few weeks it came out?
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post #542 of 1466
5/19/09 at 3:50pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shane D
i think trek will still do well, but its gonna drop a lot from here on out. too many good things coming out. i forget, did iron man have anything following it the few weeks it came out?
I think it was Speed Racer and maybe the Chronicles Of Narnia sequel for the next two weeks (both of which didn't do spectacular) but then Memorial Day had Indy IV (which was the thrid biggest hit of the year).
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post #543 of 1466
5/19/09 at 3:52pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tino
I believe it will do much better that BB. I think that made about $200 million right? I think Trek has a shot at $250-$300 million.
I meant the legs, not the gross. Clearly, it'll outgross BB. I think upper 200's is likely for Trek.
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post #544 of 1466
5/19/09 at 4:12pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

"The only reasons to see this structurally messy, poorly directed flick are the spectacular effects, which overwhelm the plot, and the charismatic performance of soon to be Hollywood star Aussie Sam Worthington who steals every scene he is in."

In contrast to Star Trek, Terminator 4 has been getting less than rave reviews, currently 24% on the tomatometer. I wonder if it'll effect it's opening weekend? I'll stick to my $50m to $60m opening weekend prediction.
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post #545 of 1466
5/19/09 at 4:42pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve Christou
"The only reasons to see this structurally messy, poorly directed flick are the spectacular effects, which overwhelm the plot, and the charismatic performance of soon to be Hollywood star Aussie Sam Worthington who steals every scene he is in."

In contrast to Star Trek, Terminator 4 has been getting less than rave reviews, currently 24% on the tomatometer. I wonder if it'll effect it's opening weekend? I'll stick to my $50m to $60m opening weekend prediction.

I wonder though is the Star Trek plot really that much better than the "structurally messy" T4?

Does John Connor get marooned on Alaska where he finds Arnold Schwarzenneger has been waiting 25 years to save him from an ice creature for instance?

Or is Trek getting a pass because "well the story isn't the greatest, but gosh darnit, we sure do love the new younger, more colorful style ... and besides the last two Trek movies were sleeping aids" aspect that even some reviewers admit out right in their review?

I'm not a fan of McG, but I do wonder if there is a double standard being leveled against Terminator 4 here. Guess we'll find out this weekend.
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post #546 of 1466
5/19/09 at 4:54pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

it would not surprise me if there is some biased against mcg as a director. same thing happened with tim story.

Jacob
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post #547 of 1466
5/19/09 at 5:13pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBat
it would not surprise me if there is some biased against mcg as a director. same thing happened with tim story.

Jacob

No, those movies were just awful. No one cared who Tim Story was.
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post #548 of 1466
5/19/09 at 5:15pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Well we'll be checking T4 out for ourselves pretty soon and we'll see what McQ sorry McJ... Mc..Gee? has done with this prequel to T1.

Speaking of Star Trek, UK critics have gone gaga over the film, one guy saying it's "the outstanding prequel of all time", another claiming he was sobbing with pure pleasure! Another goes the film will be "leaving you shaking your head in disbelief that a Star Trek film could be this good." A bit over the top innit?

I mean I liked it a lot but it's like my 6th favourite Star Trek film. Can't wait for the dvd though.
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post #549 of 1466
5/19/09 at 5:38pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuck Mayer
I meant the legs, not the gross. Clearly, it'll outgross BB. I think upper 200's is likely for Trek.
ahh...gotcha.
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post #550 of 1466
5/19/09 at 5:42pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zack Gibbs
No, those movies were just awful. No one cared who Tim Story was.
Exxactly, although Surfer was a bit of an improvement.
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post #551 of 1466
5/20/09 at 12:11pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

i also read that 30min. of 'character moments' were cut to be reinstated for Blu-Ray release. that doesn't bode well =(. reminds me of incredible hulk... which we still haven't seen that extended cut yet.
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post #552 of 1466
5/20/09 at 12:57pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

the ee of fantastic four 1 was much better. I would recommend checking it out.

Jacob
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post #553 of 1466
5/20/09 at 5:04pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

i agree about FF jacob, that's how i watched it, i never saw the theatrical cut. unfortunately it's not out on BD yet. the BD now is theatrical cut.
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post #554 of 1466
5/20/09 at 5:32pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

the ee is on dvd only.

Jacob
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post #555 of 1466
5/21/09 at 9:35am
Thread Starter 

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Given the strong legs of "Star Trek", Paramount execs now believe the movie has a very real shot at ultimately topping the $300 million domestic mark. The studio expects the movie to have passed the double-century mark by this time next week. The movie is also doing solid business overseas which could translate in a final worldwide haul north of the $500 million mark.
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post #556 of 1466
5/21/09 at 3:40pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by TerryRL
Given the strong legs of "Star Trek", Paramount execs now believe the movie has a very real shot at ultimately topping the $300 million domestic mark. The studio expects the movie to have passed the double-century mark by this time next week. The movie is also doing solid business overseas which could translate in a final worldwide haul north of the $500 million mark.
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post #557 of 1466
5/21/09 at 9:54pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Excellent!
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post #558 of 1466
5/22/09 at 9:42am

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

that's pretty spectacular for a trek movie, that well... doesn't really resemble a traditional trek movie.

i'm going to peg terminator salvation@70mil (seems to be an "average" big movie opening weekend these days) and night2@40mil for the people who are late to t4 viewings.

what's the term for that again? when u can't buy tix to the original film u wanted to watch but buy tix for another just because u're already there at the theater?
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post #559 of 1466
5/22/09 at 9:45am

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

SOL ?
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post #560 of 1466
5/22/09 at 10:09am

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Sloppy Seconds.
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post #561 of 1466
5/22/09 at 12:32pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

BoxOfficeMojo has the Thursday gross for "Terminator: Salvation" at $13.4 million.
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post #562 of 1466
5/22/09 at 4:05pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Not bad for a thursday, but looking at some of the reviews here I don't think word of mouth is going to help this one in the long run.

I was looking back at last years big releases, and it still boggles the mind how much The Dark Knight grossed on on it's first day - $67m... $67m IN ONE DAY! A film opens with $67m over the entire weekend and the studio people are jumping with joy "yay we've got a huge hit here!" , imagine doing that much on your opening day?! Incredible.

What film this year has a chance of doing that kind of business? Harry Potter? Transformers 2 has a good chance at passing $100m in it's first weekend, unless filmgoers have started getting bored of robots after T4. But Transformers has the added attraction of Foxy young Megan.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/c...8-07-18&p=.htm
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post #563 of 1466
5/22/09 at 6:15pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve Christou
What film this year has a chance of doing that kind of business? Harry Potter? Transformers 2 has a good chance at passing $100m in it's first weekend, unless filmgoers have started getting bored of robots after T4. But Transformers has the added attraction of Foxy young Megan.

Daily Box Office for Friday, July 18, 2008


My bet is on Avatar.
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post #564 of 1466
5/22/09 at 6:41pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

HP might. TF2 absolutely will break the $100M weekend barrier.
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post #565 of 1466
5/23/09 at 7:01am

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

TF2 will open to more than 150 million I think.

HP6 will probably have an 80s-90s opening, that's a high end estimate imo.

Is Avatar going to be only 3D? If so, it'll probably be severely limited by the quantity of 3D screens
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post #566 of 1466
5/23/09 at 7:11am

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Avatar really isn't a pre-existing franchise either so that explosive of a start would be virtually impossible, James Cameron or not.

Transformers 2 will probably topple even The Dark Knight's opening weekend, as lame as I think that movie probably will end up being.
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post #567 of 1466
5/23/09 at 10:28am

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

$15.1m friday gross for Terminator Salvation ($28.5m since thursday).

$14.9m opening friday for Night at the Museum 2.

It doesn't look like the huge weekend some were predicting.


The Numbers - Movie Box Office Data, Film Stars, Idle Speculation
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post #568 of 1466
5/23/09 at 11:31am
Thread Starter 

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Friday Estimates

#1 "Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian" $15.3 million
#2 "Terminator Salvation" $14.8 million ($28.2 million)
#3 "Angels & Demons" $6.1 million ($66.2 million) 63% Friday-to-Friday drop
#4 "Star Trek" $5.8 million ($167.4 million) 51% Friday-to-Friday drop
#5 "Dance Flick" $3.9 million
#6 "X-Men Origins: Wolverine" $2.1 million ($157.4 million) 50% Friday-to-Friday drop
#7 "Ghosts of Girlfriends Past" $1.1 million ($43.2 million) 48% Friday-to-Friday drop
#8 "Obsessed" $575K ($64.5 million) 62% Friday-to-Friday drop
#9 "Monsters vs. Aliens" $280K ($191.9 million) 52% Friday-to-Friday drop
#10 "17 Again" $270K ($59.6 million) 72% Friday-to-Friday drop

While both 'Night at the Museum' and 'Terminator' got off to great starts, the two films will come in below their tracking data. Regardless of that, the two movies are going to have impressive opening weekend numbers. Both are looking at four-day tallies in the area of $65. 'Terminator' should have a five-day mark in the neighborhood of $75-$80 million.
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post #569 of 1466
5/23/09 at 1:17pm

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by TerryRL
Given the strong legs of "Star Trek", Paramount execs now believe the movie has a very real shot at ultimately topping the $300 million domestic mark. The studio expects the movie to have passed the double-century mark by this time next week. The movie is also doing solid business overseas which could translate in a final worldwide haul north of the $500 million mark.

I'm sorry to say that I contributed twice to helping this movie towards that goal. Unfortunately, the success of this film ensures that a new series of thoughtlessly constructed STAR TREK movies is now a certainty.
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post #570 of 1466
5/23/09 at 1:36pm
Thread Starter 

Re: 2009 at the Box Office

Quote:
Originally Posted by Edwin-S
I'm sorry to say that I contributed twice to helping this movie towards that goal. Unfortunately, the success of this film ensures that a new series of thoughtlessly constructed STAR TREK movies is now a certainty.

Sadly, you might be right, especially with "talk" from the makers of the film that using Kirk "Prime" (Shatner) and Khan in the sequel are real possibilities. In my opinion, I think Abrams and co. should go in another direction. The Borg as the villains in the next movie has also been discussed.

The reboot flick has gone way above studio expectations and given that Abrams and his team will have up to $200 million to play with next time, you'd have to expect the studio to want to go "safe" in terms of the plot. I do hope this won't be the case though.
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