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post #151 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Come on guys, let's get back to discussing the bunker mentality we all need to adopt. Taxes are all about politics.
post #152 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael Reuben
As opposed to what -- "estate" tax? The FICA and Medicare examples I gave should have made it clear that I was talking about "income".

I understood what you were talking about, but it didn't appear to me that you recognized what the OP was talking about, since FICA [while also a payroll tax] is totally independent of income tax.


Quote:
It also left out the AMT, which would require the sixth through ninth guys to recalculate their shares and, in many instances, pay more...

I don't really follow your logic here, but I figured the emphasis of the example given by the OP was meant to be on the 3 or 4 guys who end up paying nothing. Simply put, the more you earn, the more you get screwed, but admittedly only to a point. When you can afford the right "counsel," then perhaps things improve.

Quote:
...the tax system in this country, with its complex interaction between federal and state taxing jurisdictions, is just too sophisticated to be reduced to the type of "excellent [but necessarily over-simplified] example" set forth above.
M.

Agree and disagree. My real intent was simply to say that I liked the example given. (I have a fondness for simple and straight-forward things) I never expected everyone here to feel the same. Since you brought it up, however, I will also opine that I think the tax code is actually quite simple for the increasingly enigmatic "middle class." It's the rich and the poor among us [relatively speaking] that have options. The rest of us just get it forced down our throats.

Anyway. As you said before, this was not meant to be a tax discussion, so I digress.

John
post #153 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dennis Nicholls
Come on guys, let's get back to discussing the bunker mentality we all need to adopt. Taxes are all about politics.

Agreed!
post #154 of 432
Thread Starter 

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Perhaps in response to the economic worries, my dad gave me the unsolicited advice to sell my house. It's a new neighborhood; my house was built four years ago. I think it's complete, the last two houses under construction.

My dad expressed concern about early signs of homeowners not taking care of their property and, I infer, a general notion that I should get out while the gettin's good.

And I think back to when my parents sold the house I grew up in, during a down local economy, and their house was on the market my entire freshmen year in college.

And I wonder if he's right. Or if he's overly worried about the present economy.
post #155 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveF
Perhaps in response to the economic worries, my dad gave me the unsolicited advice to sell my house. It's a new neighborhood; my house was built four years ago. I think it's complete, the last two houses under construction.

My dad expressed concern about early signs of homeowners not taking care of their property and, I infer, a general notion that I should get out while the gettin's good.

And I think back to when my parents sold the house I grew up in, during a down local economy, and their house was on the market my entire freshmen year in college.

And I wonder if he's right. Or if he's overly worried about the present economy.

Don't know where you live Dave, but I can't think of a market where it's a good idea to sell a house these days. Although I understand what your Dad is saying, those are reasons not to buy in the first place, but not reasons to sell. I think you have to ride it out this time.

FWIW

John
post #156 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Should we change the title of this thread? The focus has somewhat shifted, no? (Not in a bad way.)

MC
post #157 of 432
Thread Starter 

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by John Dirk
Don't know where you live Dave, but I can't think of a market where it's a good idea to sell a house these days. Although I understand what your Dad is saying, those are reasons not to buy in the first place, but not reasons to sell. I think you have to ride it out this time.
I agree. My wife said it a bit differently: "I finally got things they way I want them. We can't leave now!" -- after two years of painting and landscaping and furniture shopping

In hindsight, I got a bit lucky. I bought a new build home in 2004 -- nearing the peak of the housing bubble. The neighborhood is finished and all houses sold. But in other parts of the country, I could have found myself in a partially completed wasteland, or a foreclosure ghosttown.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Micah
Should we change the title of this thread? The focus has somewhat shifted, no? (Not in a bad way.)
I bet we'll circle back to the original topic at some point.
post #158 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

One of the best comments on the situation that I've read is that if a lot of the senior investment bankers lose their jobs through their own greed and incompetence, the simple fact is that they have such vast bank balances that they can live in luxury beyond any normal person's dreams for the rest of their days and leave a legacy of offspring who can behave like rich brats without any need to work for decades to come. The people who suffer most are the ordinary Joes and Jos whose livelihoods depend on these clowns. All the store owners, the dog walkers, the cleaners, the hairdressers, etc. Plus, the bank workers on the lower rungs who simply did their job and weren't responsible for the decisions made at the top, who now will find themselves unemployed as banks get taken over or downsized.
post #159 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Micah Cohen
Should we change the title of this thread? The focus has somewhat shifted, no? (Not in a bad way.)

MC

OK - Since I'm partially responsible for the topic shift, I'll attempt a redirect.

I can't say that I'm changing my habits, other than trying to cut down on unnecessary driving, since gas is somewhat hard to find in the Southeast U.S. right now.

We also scaled back our vacation plans. Not so much for financial reasons, we really just couldn't find a decent deal on anywhere we actually wanted to go. Fuel costs have airfares [especially international] at ridiculous levels. My wife is ready to just head to Florida [again!], but we've been practically everywhere in that wonderful state already, and the allure of driving 4 hours to sit on a beach is entirely lost on me.

John
post #160 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
One of the best comments on the situation that I've read is that if a lot of the senior investment bankers lose their jobs through their own greed and incompetence, the simple fact is that they have such vast bank balances that they can live in luxury beyond any normal person's dreams for the rest of their days and leave a legacy of offspring who can behave like rich brats without any need to work for decades to come.


There's some truth there, but only for the very top people. Just below the top, although vast sums were made, they're not enough to establish dynasties. It's a young demographic, frequently with a young family and big expenses, both current and future. I live in a building and zip code heavily populated by that group, and there are a lot of spooked people in my neighborhood these days.

Quote:
Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
The people who suffer most are the ordinary Joes and Jos whose livelihoods depend on these clowns. All the store owners, the dog walkers, the cleaners, the hairdressers, etc. Plus, the bank workers on the lower rungs who simply did their job and weren't responsible for the decisions made at the top, who now will find themselves unemployed as banks get taken over or downsized.
That, unfortunately, is true. The rule-of-thumb is that every job lost on Wall Street costs three more in the rest of New York City.

M.
post #161 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

A story of an honest banker, from NRO's Mark Steyn.
Quote:
Two weeks ago, I was overseas and called my assistant back in New Hampshire to find out what was up. And, after all the tedious business stuff, she mentioned that she'd gone into our general store just before closing and was surprised to find that behind the counter, working the evening shift, was our bank manager (of one of these First National Bank of Dead Skunk Junction-type banks). "Oh," explained Shelley [name ever so slightly changed to spare her blushes]. "I went crazy with the spending, and figured I could use some extra cash to dig myself out of the hole."

At first, I was a bit unsettled by this news. When a global conglomerate such as myself is selecting a banker, it's not generally looking for one who finds herself having to supplement her income with minimum-wage check-out shifts.

But, upon reflection, after Lehman Bros, AIG, Wachovia and a week of will-they-won't-they Bailout Fever, I wish our gal's spirit was reflected a little more widely within her profession and those who regulate it. You go, girl.
post #162 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
First National Bank of Dead Skunk Junction
If they open a branch here, I'll be first in line.

BTW, in line with the original topic, what I'm currently doing (and this feels more ironic every day) is finalizing a mortgage refinancing that I started earlier this year, before everything went kabluey. Lucky for me, it's with a bank that still exists. The re-fi is only for existing indebtedness, and it switches that indebtedness from an adjustable to a fixed.

Earlier this year, I started moving parts of my retirement account out of the stock market, especially where I had gains. I wish now I'd been more aggressive about it, but there's no point in second-guessing.

M.
post #163 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael Reuben
No, it's not how our tax system works. It's one of those grossly oversimplified parables that people tell when they're lobbying for a particular change.

In truth, the tax system is so complicated that no such story could adequately capture it, and the very choice of how to construct such a story is highly loaded. Take this example: If these guys truly paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, all of them would pay something, because even the lowest earners pay FICA and Medicare. Only the highest earners earn enough for FICA to kick out, and only those whose income derives from sources other than wages escape payments for Medicare. Somehow, whenever you see one of those calculations about how the rich pay the biggest share of tax, that part of the equation is always left out.


It sounds good in the parables. In reality it doesn't happen.

However, this is not a tax debate. This thread is about the current economic crisis (if it is one, a subject about which questions have been raised). Tax-cutting or -raising diatribes are not the issue (not yet).

M.


I didn't write that, I copied the entire thing from an email.
post #164 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
If they open a branch here, I'll be first in line.
I'll bet they feature Chuck Jones cartoon characters on their checks.
post #165 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve_Tk
I didn't write that, I copied the entire thing from an email.
And I assume you copied it for some reason other than practicing your cutting and pasting skills. Generally when someone does that, they're presenting what's quoted as something worthy of discussion.

But now the discussion has moved on.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dennis Nicholls
I'll bet they feature Chuck Jones cartoon characters on their checks.
I wonder who would be a better mascot for the present state of affairs: the Road Runner or Wile Coyote? I can't escape the sneaking suspicion that, if you look closely at the bailout plan, you'll find a label that says "ACME".

M.
post #166 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

I don't know, maybe Foghorn Leghorn as Hank Paulson.....
post #167 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

And Yosemite Sam as Ben Bernanke?
post #168 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

EDIT: I think I was veering too much off topic.
post #169 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
One of the best comments on the situation that I've read is that if a lot of the senior investment bankers lose their jobs through their own greed and incompetence, the simple fact is that they have such vast bank balances that they can live in luxury beyond any normal person's dreams for the rest of their days and leave a legacy of offspring who can behave like rich brats without any need to work for decades to come.

I was reading about the British banking troubles. Some of your high-flyers are being hurt by this. At least one of them had the common decency to kill himself, unlike any of his American compatriots. Also, I read where a few of these guys are having their mansions repossessed. I haven't heard of anything like that happening over here. If I don't sound sympathetic to the plight of the "Banksters"......well, It's because I'm not. They have brought us as close to another "Great Depression" as we can get without actually falling in to it. A few more of them should be jumping in front of trains.

Quote:
The people who suffer most are the ordinary Joes and Jos whose livelihoods depend on these clowns. All the store owners, the dog walkers, the cleaners, the hairdressers, etc. Plus, the bank workers on the lower rungs who simply did their job and weren't responsible for the decisions made at the top, who now will find themselves unemployed as banks get taken over or downsized.

Yes, it's too bad that ordinary people are going to be hurt by this.
post #170 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
I was reading about the British banking troubles. Some of your high-flyers are being hurt by this. At least one of them had the common decency to kill himself, unlike any of his American compatriots.


--
H
post #171 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
And yet we hear people making these same complaints every day
Sure -- many people are selfish :shrug:
post #172 of 432
Thread Starter 

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael Reuben
There's some truth there, but only for the very top people. Just below the top, although vast sums were made, they're not enough to establish dynasties. It's a young demographic, frequently with a young family and big expenses, both current and future. I live in a building and zip code heavily populated by that group, and there are a lot of spooked people in my neighborhood these days.
I'm curious what they consider "vast sums" but still too little to alleviate worrying? Anyone who's earned $3M+ over the past few years can quit and live a middle / upper-middle lifestyle for the rest of their lives without working.


As for the "top people", what is galling is that they have no risk exposure. If making bad financial choices -- from our perspective -- nets them fabulous wealth in the short term, they will do it (everyone works to their merit function). And they earn so much money that if it all goes sour later, it doesn't matter. They have wealth enough to support their family for generations to come. They reap the benefits but do not suffer the consequences. Unlike the rest of the nation who see both benefits and the full consequences.
post #173 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

I have been working the last 2 days. No time to catch up here. But i have to say, even when it veers off topic, its still a fascinating discussion. That being said, I hope all my fellow HTFers ride it out without loss of job, or home!
post #174 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

[quote]
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveF
I'm curious what they consider "vast sums" but still too little to alleviate worrying? Anyone who's earned $3M+ over the past few years can quit and live a middle / upper-middle lifestyle for the rest of their lives without working.
I dunno. In the Manhattan of Sex and the City, which I would imagine to be the universe of an investment banker, that sum might not be enough to maintain that lifestyle beyond a couple of years. Of course that's certainly long enough to find another lucrative position. On the other hand, I think the incomes in the demographics to which Michael referred run closer to low 6 figures, just based on the 3 people I know who work on "Wall St."

One is a broker, more of an acquaintance, lives in a beautiful, if smallish 1 bedroom apt in a gated community in Brighton Beach. I'd say 40 min from work. He is mid-late 30s, has a stay at home wife and a young son. His monthly rent is ~$2500. Since they live on one income, I am guessing the rent presents no challenge. At the same time, I don't imagine he has $3M stashed anywhere.

The other, a good friend, is 30, works for a major investment bank, just married, lives directly on the river in NJ, 10 min from work (Path Train.) 1 bedroom as well, but probably higher rent. Single income as well as wifie is in school full-time. Again, he doesn't seem to be struggling (bought a BMW X5 last year...) but I don't think he is sitting on $3M either.

The 3rd, now an acquaintance, 29-30 as well, graduated from a reputable business school 2 years ago and moved into a studio in the financial district to the tune of a couple of grands a month. Works for a major investment bank as well. My only contact with her nowadays is thru a social networking site; she seems to be doing well. But not $3M well...

I believe that all these people would suffer greatly from prologued unemployment. At the same time, their annual incomes are obviously at least in the low 6 figures, which in most other parts of the country, would be a fortune. But not where they live...

--
H
post #175 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveF
I'm curious what they consider "vast sums" but still too little to alleviate worrying? Anyone who's earned $3M+ over the past few years can quit and live a middle / upper-middle lifestyle for the rest of their lives without working.
Not if they live in a pre-war apartment on the Upper East Side of Manhattan and have a couple of kids in school. (You don't want to know what those apartments cost, both to buy and for monthly charges.)

I'm not suggesting that anyone should feel sorry for someone who earned that kind of income, but I can assure you that the lifestyle accompanying it sucks up money like you wouldn't believe. I'm speaking more from observation than personal experience, but it's very close observation.

M.
post #176 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
I can assure you that the lifestyle accompanying it sucks up money like you wouldn't believe

I can well believe it, from my limited experience of the world of the filthy rich (I've a couple of college friends who are loaded and from rich families, and their spending habits are ludicrous).

However, I think we need to look at what's so expensive about their lifestyles:

(1) on moral grounds, there's a lot that's simply totally unecessary. E.g. you don't have to have your own jet, eat in only the most expensive restaurants, belong to expensive clubs, etc, to have an enjoyably lifestyle.

(2) on financial grounds, to some extent the huge costs of properties, schooling, etc, have been generated by these people themselves. In essence, they've priced everyone else out of the market by buying their exclusivity. If they now suffer as a consequence, then in many respects they've only got themselves to blame.
post #177 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
One of the best comments on the situation that I've read is that if a lot of the senior investment bankers lose their jobs through their own greed and incompetence, the simple fact is that they have such vast bank balances that they can live in luxury beyond any normal person's dreams for the rest of their days and leave a legacy of offspring who can behave like rich brats without any need to work for decades to come. The people who suffer most are the ordinary Joes and Jos whose livelihoods depend on these clowns. All the store owners, the dog walkers, the cleaners, the hairdressers, etc. Plus, the bank workers on the lower rungs who simply did their job and weren't responsible for the decisions made at the top, who now will find themselves unemployed as banks get taken over or downsized.


I found this tidbit on a political website. It is a valid counterpoint to the tired old 'corrupt greedy wallstreet' story. I won't link it and I will edit it to skim off the political partisan crap - but it certainly has more than an ounce of truth in it...

You know what bugs me most about the bailout? How everyone is afraid to point out whos at fault. But I will - it's the poor.

See -whenever the economy goes south - we rag on Wall Street. But when we do this - we conveniently forget that these are the actual people who are creating wealth and commerce. Remember - it wasn't the rich who took out crappy loans from dodgy lenders for homes they couldn't afford. It wasn't the rich defaulting on these loans, leaving us with this mess.

Nope- it was the poor who borrowed and never saved. But you can't blame them. One, because you're Satan. And two: It's not really true. It's really Congress who is guilty. They not only embraced, but enforced, this phony Robin Hood philosophy -thinking that forcing banks to give loans to meth-heads would make the world a better place. The result? We all went to hell in a three bedroom condo.

So what we have is a game of Musical mortgages - high risk borrowers buy houses they can't afford, using a sleazy lender, who then sells the mortgage to another schmuck -and when the music finally stops we're left holding the bag. But we don't have to hold it. We can make Congress pay. We can call them on their corruption, and demand accountability.

And we could also realize that no one owes you a house.
post #178 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
I can well believe it, from my limited experience of the world of the filthy rich (I've a couple of college friends who are loaded and from rich families, and their spending habits are ludicrous).

However, I think we need to look at what's so expensive about their lifestyles:

(1) on moral grounds, there's a lot that's simply totally unecessary. E.g. you don't have to have your own jet, eat in only the most expensive restaurants, belong to expensive clubs, etc, to have an enjoyably lifestyle.

(2) on financial grounds, to some extent the huge costs of properties, schooling, etc, have been generated by these people themselves. In essence, they've priced everyone else out of the market by buying their exclusivity. If they now suffer as a consequence, then in many respects they've only got themselves to blame.


I'm a 40yr old financial VP from a well known company and I have a low six digit income - right along with Holadem's observation. (though my neighbors have no idea that I earn that much and I'm not inclined to tell them) I don't own a jet, belong to any clubs, and there are NO expensive restaurants in Port Charlotte. (But I sometimes order something not on the value meal list).

I don't have $3mil in the bank either. So where is my failing "on moral grounds" that causes me to deserve financial hardship?


As per the original topic - The change my family is making are; we're reducing our discretionary spending and reducing our debt. My wife is working more hours making up for my reduced incentive pay. Even though I am earning less I am working longer and harder hours. The stress is considerable - but not in the way you might imagine. (Watching losses in your own account is hard - wondering about your job is hard - but when you are the steward of OPM the stress is multiplied in complex ways)

We have the added fun of having borrowed in summer 07 for a pool and a pontoon boat. I figured if I saved for them and paid cash I wouldn't have them until the kids were all grown up. Though we can still afford it I really am growing to hate those payments.

Another change I am making is trying to expand my business. I am looking to hire people and give my few employees raises. I want to give them a raise because their spouses are unemployed. It is not just altruism that motivates me; I don't want to replace them after they are forced to move away. I am trying to hire a few more people not just due to altruism, but also because there are very desirable people losing their jobs and I want them working for me. When things turn around I will be in very good shape. Meanwhile both of these things hurt my take-home (yes, I have hired these people direct rather than through my company - which has a hiring freeze - so their pay and benefits is deducted from my paycheck) - which is compounded by the uncertainty of my own employment and income.
post #179 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

Quote:
Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
(1) on moral grounds, there's a lot that's simply totally unecessary. E.g. you don't have to have your own jet, eat in only the most expensive restaurants, belong to expensive clubs, etc, to have an enjoyably lifestyle.

(2) on financial grounds, to some extent the huge costs of properties, schooling, etc, have been generated by these people themselves. In essence, they've priced everyone else out of the market by buying their exclusivity. If they now suffer as a consequence, then in many respects they've only got themselves to blame.
Andrew, item (1) does not apply to the people I know. They are nowhere near the stratospheric level of wealth that would allow them to own jets (for example). DaveF cited a figure of $3M received over a period of several years. Even leaving aside the taxes -- state, federal, FICA, Medicare -- that would substantially shrink that sum, it would barely cover a six-room Manhattan apartment on the Upper East Side at today's prices.

(Gasp all you want, folks. I didn't create the market.)

Now, item (2) is very much on point. The trouble is -- and maybe I'm just soft-hearted -- it's hard to blame individuals for a phenomenon that's systemic. There's no question that Wall Street money has driven the price of Manhattan real estate to insane heights over the last ten years. I've watched it happen from a privileged vantage point, because I know people who sit on the boards of various coops. But that's what happens when there's too much money sloshing around. And if you want to live here, that's what you have to pay. Otherwise you move to the 'burbs (and I know people who were forced by economics to do so and are still moaning about it years later).

A lot of the people paying those crazy prices for apartments were relatively young and committing most of what they had to buying them. (For reasons too complicated to explain, you can't buy these without putting up a lot of cash.) Then there's a big monthly carry, even with no mortgage. Add a couple of small children with private schools, and already you have a big monthly nut -- and that's without clubs, restaurants or other trappings of a wealthy lifestyle.

Again, I'm not suggesting that anyone who made that kind of money should get sympathy, just pointing our that some people who thought they'd made it big are in the process of getting a very rude awakening. And these people aren't senior enough to have golden parachutes.

M.
post #180 of 432

Re: Are you changing your behavior in response to current events?

I think a screw up this big has to be a team effort from the bottom to the top. If the government did not have laws against killing, and someone was shot in Central Park at 2:00am, who is to blame? The trigger happy mugger, or the person who died, because he should have known better and not been there, or both? With out a law I would have to say both. So in the current situation I do not blame the person who legally took out the loan or the guy who legally gave him the loan. They both saw an opportunity and took it. I am also willing to bet neither of them fully understood the long term ramifications of their actions.

To me the governments has the responsibility to protect the American people as a whole from any type of danger that will effect our way of life as a whole. This is not just attacks from other governments. To me this includes military, natural disasters, meteors (if possible), and financial attacks. Suppose a rich foreign government wanted to do a hostile takeover of wall st. I would expect the government to step in and stop it. Looking at that link from the NY times in post 41, this issue has it roots going back at least 9 years.
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