Re: Speculation for Warner Bros. 85th Anniversary Celebration
RobertGr, the article you keep citing has almost no relevance to you being ‘correct’ about WB re: classics, as you triumphantly declared in post #254; it is an analyst’s projection for the entire “packaged media” industry in 2008. For all we know, Warner could be flying high, and other studios feeling the heat.The analyst refers to HDM and a specific move by Wal-Mart as affecting DVD revenues. (Why is Wal-Mart reducing floor space for DVD? Because of the lack of classic releases? Really?) Somehow from that you’ve extrapolated that WB’s classics plan for 2008 not matching your ambition is the sole cause of an industry-wide depressed market which vindicates you. Besides: “Studios that have relied heavily on deeply discounted catalog sales will be negatively impacted in 2008.” Is a DVD dump bin in Wal-Mart where you would typically find a deeply discounted Torchy Blane or Philo Vance box set? Does “heavily relying on…catalog sales” really sound like WB to you? They’re releasing a Batman movie, a Star Wars movie and a Harry Potter movie in 2008. I think they're relying on those releases rather than a box set headlined by Warren William. Not to mention the classics we're talking about make up a very small part of the "catalog" the analyst is referring to.
You’ve declared with certainty that the drop in revenue is due to a lack of releases. So the ensuing logic, as has already been pointed out, is that if WB just released 200 classics last year their revenue would be higher. That’s right, everything released brings in money. Then how about 300 releases? 400? I suppose if they released 500 classics the Time Warner board would be lighting their cohibas with collectible $100,000 bills. They could release every film in their library. Their revenue would be up! Who cares about profitability?
So to sum up, it’s not a softening DVD market leading to fewer releases, it's fewer releases leading to a softening DVD market???? Other than a reduced slate of classics, there are apparently no other factors at work in the decline of DVD sales last year and this year. None. And if there are, it is still the release of 50 titles here or there that is the overriding factor in a billion dollar revenue decline. I’m sorry, but you have a few too many unprovable suppositions to be so steadfastly declaring what you keep declaring.





