[Ronald Epstein]

With thanks to HTF member Adam S

Best Picture
'Atonement'
'Juno'
'Michael Clayton'
'No Country for Old Men'
'There Will Be Blood'

Best Director
Julian Schnabel, 'The Diving Bell and the Butterfly'
Jason Reitman, 'Juno'
Tony Gilroy, 'Michael Clayton'
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, 'No Country for Old Men'
Paul Thomas Anderson, 'There Will Be Blood'

Best Actor
George Clooney, 'Michael Clayton'
Daniel Day-Lewis, 'There Will Be Blood'
Johnny Depp, 'Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street'
Tommy Lee Jones, 'In the Valley of Elah'
Viggo Mortensen, 'Eastern Promises'

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, 'Elizabeth: The Golden Age'
Julie Christie, 'Away From Her'
Marillon Cotillard, 'La Vie en Rose'
Laura Linney, 'The Savages'
Ellen Page, 'Juno'

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, 'The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford'
Javier Barden, 'No Country for Old Men'
Phililp Seymour Hoffman, 'Charlie Wilson's War'
Hal Holbrook, 'Into the Wild'
Tom Wilkinson, 'Michael Clayton'

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, 'I'm Not There'
Ruby Dee, 'American Gangster'
Saiorse Ronan, 'Atonement'
Amy Ryan, 'Gone Baby Gone'
Tilda Swinton, 'Michael Clayton'

Best Foreign Film
'Beaufort' (Israel)
'Counterfeiters' (Austria)
'Katyn' (Poland)
'Mongol' (Kazakhstan)
'12' (Russia)

Best Original Screenplay
Diablo Cody, 'Juno'
Nancy Oliver, 'Lars and the Real Girl'
Tony Gilroy, 'Michael Clayton'
Brad Bird, 'Ratatouille'
Tamara Jenkins, 'The Savages'

Best Adapted Screenplay
Christopher Hampton, 'Atonement'
Sarah Polley, 'Away From Her'
Ronald Harwood, 'The Diving Bell and the Butterfly'
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, 'No Country for Old Men'
Paul Thomas Anderson, 'There Will Be Blood'

Best Animated Feature Film
'Persepolis'
'Ratatouille'
'Surf's Up'

Best Art Direction
'American Gangster'
'Atonement'
'The Golden Compass'
'Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street'
'There Will Be Blood'

Best Cinematography
'The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford'
'Atonement'
'The Diving Bell and the Butterfly'
'No Country for Old Men'
'There Will Be Blood'

Best Makeup
'La Vie en Rose'
'Norbit'
'Pirates of the Caribbean'

Best Original Score
'Atonement'
'Kite Runner'
'Michael Clayton'
'Ratatouille'
'3:10 to Yuma'

Best Original Song
'Falling Slowly - Once'
'Happy Working Song - Enchanted'
'Raise it Up - August Rush'
'So Close - Enchanted'
'That's How You Know - Enchanted'

Best Animated Short Film
'I met the Walrus'
'Madame Tutli Putli'
'My Love'
'Peter and the Wolf'

Best Live Action Short
'At Night'
'Il Supplente'
'Le Mozart de Pickpockets'
'Tanghi Argentini'
'Tonto Woman'

Best Film Editing
'The Bourne Ultimatum'
'The Diving Bell and the Butterfly'
'Into the Wild'
'No Country for Old Men'
'There Will Be Blood'

Best Sound Editing
'Bourne Ultimatum'
'No Country for Old Men'
'Ratatouille'
'There Will be Blood'
'Transformers'

Best Sound Mixing
'Bourne Ultimatum'
'No Country for Old Men'
'Ratatouille'
'3:10 to Yuma'
'Transformers'

Best Visual Effects
'The Golden Compass'
'Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End'
'Transformers'

[JonZ]

My picks for who'll win......

Best film
Atonement
No Country Old Men
(I can see Atonement winning. Though I havetn seen it yet, it seems like the type of film that can and has been picked before)


Leading actor
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
(This is a sure thing)



Supporting actor
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
(I think Javier will win, but you never know)


Director
No Country For Old Men - Joel Coen/Ethan Coen
There Will Be Blood - Paul Thomas Anderson
(Gut tells me PTA will win this)


Original screenplay
Juno - Diablo Cody
The Lives of Others - Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck
Michael Clayton - Tony Gilroy
(Prob Michael Clayton. I thought the film was just good, not great)


Adapted screenplay
Atonement - Christopher Hampton
No Country for Old Men - Joel Coen/Ethan Coen
There Will Be Blood - Paul Thomas Anderson


Animated film
Ratatouille

[Chuck Mayer]

There are films I like on the nom list, but it's tough to generate any real enthusiasm this year. Even to guess at winners. Without the director nod, I have trouble seeing Atonement beat No Country, though I could see dark horse Michael Clayton walking away with some wins.

And does the Academy love George Clooney or what?

[Brandon Conway]

Congratulations to Ruby Dee for a Best Supporting Actress nomination for her work in American Gangster! A great surprise, and very well deserving!

[DavidPla]

Quote:

Originally Posted by Adam_S

Into the Wild snubbed across the big categories. Woohoo.

But it's so great that Hal Holbrook is nominated. What a fantastic performance.

[Patrick Sun]

Just my quick thoughts:

Atonement's BP chances are dead in the water with no Editing nomination. But Joe Wright got jobbed out of a Director's nomination (I'd put him in over Jason Reitman). It's looking like a 2-horse race between No Country for Old Men and There Will Be Blood for BP, director, adapted screenplay. (but I think No Country for Old Men sweeps all 3, maybe PTA gets best director, but doubtful).

DDL is a shoo-in for Best Actor (though it looks like Emile Hirsch got snubbed over Tommy Lee Jones).

Javier Bardem is a shoo-in for Best Supporting Actor

Julie Christie and Marion Cotillard are the 2 frontrunning Best Actress noms (Angelina Jolie got snubbed).

Amy Ryan and Tilda Swinton are the frontrunners for Best Supporting Actress noms.

[Brandon Conway]

Quote:

Originally Posted by Patrick Sun

Atonement's BP chances are dead in the water with no Editing nomination. But Joe Wright got jobbed out of a Director's nomination (I'd put him in over Jason Reitman).

Agreed. Not only does it have no editing nom, but I believe only two films have won BP without a directing nom (Grand Hotel, Driving Miss Daisy), so it's a VERY long shot.

I'm surprised Wright got snubbed and Reitman got a nomination. I was expecting Penn or Wright. I would be surprised at Gilroy's nom if it wasn't for the DGA.

[Michael Reuben]

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonZ

(I can see Atonement winning. Though I havetn seen it yet, it seems like the type of film that can and has been picked before)

Your view may change once you've seen it. It's the kind of film that gets nominated but doesn't win.

M.

[Marc Colella]

Great to see PTA get his nominations.

DDL is a lock.

Glad Sarah Polley got a nomination.

I feel sorry for Gordon Pinsent. He's been snubbed at every award and I think he was even better than Julie Christie in Away From Her.

[Adam_S]

the funny thing about Atonement, There Will be Blood and No Country for Old Men is that they all have third acts that turn people off a movie they were pretty passionate about watching the first two parts of it. which makes the race interesting for Juno and Michael Clayton.

I don't think Atonement is totally dead, but it is pretty much dead. on the other hand. Rules, like that a BP winner must have an editing nomination, are made to be broken.

Julian Shnable could very well become the first director to win without a best picture nomination. though I imagine the coen brothers may very well be awarded a career oscar or PTA could be acknowledged. but if the academy sees the film, few voters will be able to not vote for him. Highly likely to win editing as well.

Best Actor is a foregone conclusion for Day Lewis (unless there's major backlash...)
as is best Supporting Actor (can't imagine a backlash against Bardem)
Cate Blanchett is probably walking away easy with the Supporting actress trophy, though anyone could legitimately win this
Leading actress, it's Julie Christie's to lose

Ratatouille will probably win Animated film easily, no Spirited Away situation this year for persepolis.

Atonement will probably win best score

Elizabeth best costume design.

I don't think any other category is especially predictable.