2008 at the Box Office - Page 5

streeter · 01-05-2008, 01:13 PM

Terry, what do you think Legend, Alvin and National Treasure 2 will end up with?
Alvin's been out for a few weeks now, and I'm STILL baffled at how much it has brought in. (that said, I'm very happy that it's doing so well)

TerryRL · 01-05-2008, 02:33 PM

At this point I'd be surprised if "I Am Legend" doesn't make at least $250 million (the third Will Smith flick to earn this kind of coin). The Chipmunks looks like it'll be topping out in the neighborhood of $220 million, with NT2 earning in the area of $210-$220. All three films are also earning big bucks overseas. Worldwide the three flicks look headed for a combined global take of more than $1.3 billion.

Execs at Disney, Fox, and WB are overjoyed because all three films performed way above their respective studio's expectations. WB was expecting about a $150 million haul for 'Legend'. The same can be said for Disney with NT2, but they really didn't expect it to out-distance the first one ($173 million), while Fox was simply hoping to recoup their $60 million budget with 'Alvin'.

As soon as the strike is over, Disney and Fox will commission writers for a third NT adventure and a 'Chipmunks' sequel. WB is currently "exploring options" for a possible follow-up to 'Legend', but I doubt this will happen simply because Will Smith is the main reason the film works to begin with. Good luck expecting a sequel to perform this well without him.

At the end of the day, these three movies are why '07 had such a strong finish and also why '08 will have such a strong beginning.

conedude13 · 01-05-2008, 04:11 PM

I'm going to have to hear a lot of good things about cloverfield when it comes out in order for me to see it in the theater, other wise i have no plans as of now to watch it.

Anyone have any inside scoop if the monster is Godzilla or not?

TerryRL · 01-05-2008, 04:23 PM

Friday Estimates

#1 "National Treasure: Book of Secrets" $6.4 million ($157.2 million) 48% Friday-to-Friday drop
#2 "Juno" $5.21 million ($41.0 million) 56% Friday-to-Friday increase
#3 "I Am Legend" $5.20 million ($217.5 million) 44% Friday-to-Friday drop
#3 "One Missed Call" $5.20 million
#5 "Alvin & the Chipmunks" $4.6 million ($165.4 million) 55% Friday-to-Friday drop
#6 "P.S. I Love You" $2.7 million ($34.0 million) 13% Friday-to-Friday drop
#7 "Charlie Wilson's War" $2.6 million ($47.0 million) 35% Friday-to-Friday drop
#8 "The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep" $1.9 million ($26.5 million) 41% Friday-to-Friday drop
#9 "Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street" $1.8 million ($34.8 million) 34% Friday-to-Friday drop
#10 "Atonement" $1.5 million ($15.6 million) 60% Friday-to-Friday increase
#11 "Alien vs. Predator: Requiem" $1.4 million ($34.0 million) 59% Friday-to-Friday drop
#12 "The Great Debaters" $1.3 million ($19.1 million) 34% Friday-to-Friday drop

While 'National Treasure', "I Am Legend", and the 'Chipmunks' continue their winning ways at the box office, the real story is the indie hit "Juno" turning into a mainstream sensation. As posted earlier, this one is clearly on its way to becoming Fox Searchlight's first $100 million-plus earner.

"P.S. I Love You" continues to show very strong legs, while both "Charlie Wilson's War" and 'Sweeney Todd' continue to have decent, but far from spectacular, box office runs. "Atonement" has proving to be an indie darling in the art-house theaters. The AVP sequel is sinking like a stone and "The Great Debaters" has to be seen as a bit of a disappointment at this point. It'll probably have a much stronger run on home video.

Oscar hopeful "There Will Be Blood" continues to dazzle in limited play as it has so far earned a stellar $839K from only 51 theaters.

Jose Martinez · 01-05-2008, 07:50 PM

So when is There Will Be Blood going wide? I don't see any release schedule showing it wide in the near future. It's one of two 2007 films I'm still waiting to see.

TerryRL · 01-05-2008, 10:38 PM

I believe "There Will Be Blood" won't be going wide (about 1,100 theaters) until sometime next month.

Greg Layton · 01-06-2008, 01:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TerryRL

I believe "There Will Be Blood" won't be going wide (about 1,100 theaters) until sometime next month.

I'm sure going to miss living in Chicago. I hope Grand Rapids is considered a big enough market to eventually get the releases that only expand to a 1,000 or so screens. I'd hate to have to drive across the state of Michigan (or back to Chicago) to see this movie, but if I have to I will.

TerryRL · 01-06-2008, 10:25 AM

Releases by the major studios in '08...

DISNEY
"Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour" 2/1/08
"Step Up 2 the Streets" 2/14/08
"College Road Trip" 3/7/08
"The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian" 5/16/08
"Wall-E" 6/27/08
"South of the Border" 8/1/08
"Tim Burton's The Nightmare Before Christmas in 3-D" (2008 re-issue) 10/24/08
"Bolt" 11/26/08
"Bedtime Stories" 12/25/08

DREAMWORKS (thru Paramount)
"The Ruins" 4/4/08
"Kung Fu Panda" 6/6/08
"Tropic Thunder" 7/11/08
"Eagle Eye" 8/8/08
"Madagascar: The Great Crate Escape" 11/7/08
"Revolutionary Road" 12/19/08
"Master of Time and Space" TBD

FOX
"27 Dresses" 1/18/08
"Meet the Spartans" 1/25/08
"Jumper" 2/14/08
"Horton Hears a Who" 3/14/08
"Shutter" 3/21/08
"Nim's Island" 4/4/08
"The Rocker" 4/18/08
"The List" 4/25/08
"What Happens in Vegas" 5/16/08
"Starship Dave" 5/30/08
"The Happening" 6/13/08
"Space Chimps" 7/18/08
"The X-Files 2" 7/25/08
"Dragonball" 8/15/08
"Babylon A.D." 8/29/08
"City of Ember" 10/10/08
"The Day the Earth Stood Still" 12/12/08
"Marley and Me" 12/19/08

LIONSGATE
"Rambo" 1/25/08
"The Eye" 2/1/08
"Witless Protection" 2/22/08
"The Bank Job" 3/7/08
"Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns" 3/21/08
"College" 4/11/08
"Forbidden Kingdom" 4/18/08
"Midnight Meat Train" 5/16/08
"Religulous" 6/20/08
"Punisher: War Zone" 9/12/08
"My Best Friend's Girl" 9/19/08
"Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail" 10/17/08
"Saw V" 10/24/08

MGM
"Charlie Bartlett" 2/22/08
"Superhero Movie" (with Weinstein Co.) 3/28/08
"Henry Poole Is Here" 4/4/08
Untitled Ice Cube Family Comedy 7/25/08
"Trailer Trash" 8/22/08
"Clive Barker Presents: Hellraiser" (with Weinstein Co.) 9/5/08
"Soul Men" (with Weinstein Co.) 10/10/08
"Scanners" 10/17/08
"Motel Hell" 10/31/08
"Bond 22" (thru Sony) 11/7/08
"Fame" 12/25/08
"The Poughkeepsie Tapes Holiday" TBD

NEW LINE CINEMA
"Over Her Dead Body" 2/1/08
"Be Kind, Rewind" 2/22/08
"Semi-Pro" 2/29/08
"Pride & Glory" 3/14/08
"Inkheart" 3/19/08
"Harold & Kumar Escape from Guantanamo" 4/25/08
"Sex & the City" 5/30/08
"He's Just Not That Into You" 8/1/08
"Journey 3D" 8/8/08
"Four Christmases" 11/14/08
"The Time Traveler's Wife" TBD

PARAMOUNT
"Cloverfield" 1/18/08
"The Spiderwick Chronicles" 2/15/08
"Drillbit Taylor" 3/21/08
"Stop Loss" 3/28/08
"Iron Man" 5/2/08
"Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull" (with Lucasfilm) 5/22/08
"The Love Guru" 6/20/08
"Case 39" 8/22/08
"Nowhereland" 9/26/08
"The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" 11/26/08
"Star Trek XI" 12/25/08

SONY
"First Sunday" 1/11/08
"Untraceable" 1/25/08
"Vantage Point" 2/22/08
"The Other Boleyn Girl" 2/29/08
"21" 3/28/08
"Prom Night" 4/11/08
"88 Minutes" 4/18/08
"Made of Honor" 5/2/08
"You Don't Mess with the Zohan" 6/6/08
"Hancock" 7/2/08
"Step Brothers" 7/25/08
"The Pineapple Express" 8/8/08
"The International" 8/15/08
"I Know What Boys Like" 8/22/08
"Passengers" 9/5/08
"Lakeview Terrace" 9/19/08
"Nick and Norah's Infinite Playlist" 10/3/08
"Quarantine" 10/17/08
"Bond 22" 11/7/08
"Seven Pounds" 12/12/08

UNIVERSAL
"The Pirates Who Don't Do Anything" 1/11/08
"Welcome Home Roscoe Jenkins" 2/8/08
"Definitely, Maybe" 2/14/08
"Doomsday" 3/14/08
"Wild Child" 4/4/08
"Leatherheads" 4/4/08
"Baby Mama" 4/18/08
"Forgetting Sarah Marshall" 5/30/08
"The Incredible Hulk" 6/13/08
"Wanted" 6/27/08
"HB II" (a.k.a. "Hellboy 2: The Golden Army") 7/11/08
"Mamma Mia!" 7/18/08
"The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor" 8/1/08
"Death Race" 9/26/08
"The Express" 10/10/08
"The Tale of Despereaux" 12/19/08

WB
"Fool's Gold" 2/8/08
"10,000 B.C." 3/7/08
"Speed Racer" 5/9/08
"Get Smart" 6/20/08
"The Dark Knight" 7/18/08
"The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants 2" 8/8/08
"Nights in Rodanthe" 9/12/08
"RockNRolla" 10/3/08
"Body of Lies" 10/10/08
"Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince" 11/21/08
"Yes Man" 12/19/08
"Trick 'r Treat" TBD
"Spring Breakdown" TBD
"Mama's Boy" TBD

Chuck Mayer · 01-06-2008, 10:41 AM

Of that whole list, WB has two of the three I am currently most interested in:
The Dark Knight
Body of Lies

With The Curious Case of Benjamin Button being the third.

Looks to be a pretty promising year, with a stronger summer I hope.

Malcolm R · 01-06-2008, 05:22 PM

Is "The X-Files 2" really going to be ready for July? It seems like it was just announced that a script had been completed.

TerryRL · 01-06-2008, 06:33 PM

Weekend Estimates

#1 "National Treasure: Book of Secrets" $20.2 million ($171.0 million) -45%
#2 "I Am Legend" $16.4 million ($228.7 million) -40%
#3 "Juno" $16.2 million ($52.0 million) +53%
#4 "Alvin & the Chipmunks" $16.0 million ($176.7 million) -45%
#5 "One Missed Call" $13.5 million
#6 "Charlie Wilson's War" $8.2 million ($52.6 million) -32%
#7 "P.S. I Love You" $8.0 million ($39.4 million) -14%
#8 "The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep" $6.3 million ($30.9 million) -31%
#9 "Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street" $5.4 million ($38.5 million) -34%
#10 "Atonement" $5.1 million ($19.2 million) +64%

The industry earned the biggest first-weekend haul ever for the month of January as business was up an impressive 21% compared to this frame in '07. Compared to '06, business was up 18%. The top twelve movies pulled in nearly $124 million, which is up from the previous record mark of $120.2 million held by t