Post Your Oscar Nomination Predictions Here!!

Craig S · 01-09-2005, 12:01 PM

OK, folks, Oscar season is upon us, and it's time to test our prognosticating skills. Please use this thread to post your predictions for the Oscar nominations. The Academy will announce the nominees on January 25, so you've got just over 2 weeks to get your picks in.

To keep things clean, let's use this thread for predictions only. We have a lively discussion going in this thread, so join us there to talk about all things Oscar.

I will tabulate all the picks and post an HTF consensus every week or so.

Following is the list of categories. The number in parens after each category is the maximum number of nominees for each category, Note that some categories have already been pared down to a list of eligible films. For those categories, a link to the list appears after the category name:

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role (5)
Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role (5)
Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role (5)
Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role (5)
Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year (3) - Eligible films
Achievement In Art Direction (5)
Achievement In Cinematography (5)
Achievement In Costume Design (5)
Achievement In Directing (5)
Best Documentary Feature (5) - Eligible films
Best Documentary Short Subject (3)
Achievement In Film Editing (5)
Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year (5) - Eligible films
Achievement In Makeup (3) - Eligible films
Achievement In Music - Original Score (5)
Achievement In Music - Original Song (5)
Best Motion Picture Of The Year (5)
Best Animated Short Film (5)
Best Live Action Short Film (5)
Achievement In Sound (5)
Achievement In Sound Editing (3) - Eligible films
Achievement In Visual Effects (3) - Eligible films
Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published (5)
Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen (5)

Here are some useful links for Oscar watchers:

So let's get those predictions posted! As the Oscar climate will be changing often please feel free to edit your picks up until January 27. Most importantly - have fun!

Craig S · 01-09-2005, 12:03 PM

Placeholder for consensus.

Craig S · 01-09-2005, 12:03 PM

Craig's Picks
Final cut.

After some categories I have listed a "Wild Card" entry in red. This would be the most likely "upset" entry to sneak in and grab a nomination. Consider this a "CYA"...

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Don Cheadle - Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp - Finding Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Aviator
Jamie Foxx - Ray
Paul Giamatti - Sideways
Clint Eastwood - Million Dollar Baby

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Jamie Foxx - Collateral
Morgan Freeman - Million Dollar Baby
Thomas Haden Church - Sideways
Freddie Highmore - Finding Neverland
Clive Owen - Closer
James Garner - The Notebook

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Annette Bening - Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Morena - Maria Full Of Grace
Imelda Staunton - Vera Drake
Hilary Swank - Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet - Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
Emmy Rossum - The Phantom Of The Opera

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Cate Blanchett - The Aviator
Laura Linney - Kinsey
Virginia Madsen - Sideways
Natalie Portman - Closer
Kate Winslet - Finding Neverland
Minnie Driver - The Phantom Of The Opera

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
The Incredibles
The Polar Express
Shrek 2
Shark Tale

Achievement In Art Direction
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
House Of Flying Daggers
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Terminal
The Phantom Of The Opera

Achievement In Cinematography
Dion Beebe and Paul Cameron - Collateral
Caleb Deschanel - The Passion Of The Christ
Robert Richardson - The Aviator
Tom Stern - Million Dollar Baby
Xiaoding Zhao - House Of Flying Daggers
Bruno Delbonnel - A Very Long Engagement

Achievement In Costume Design
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
House Of Flying Daggers
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Phantom Of The Opera

Achievement In Directing
Martin Scorsese - The Aviator
Clint Eastwood - Million Dollar Baby
Marc Forster - Finding Neverland
Alexander Payne - Sideways
Zhang Yimou - House Of Flying Daggers
Mike Nichols - Closer

Best Documentary Feature
Born Into Brothels
Riding Giants
The Story of the Weeping Camel
Super Size Me

Touching the Void

Best Documentary Short Subject

Achievement In Film Editing
Long Cheng - House Of Flying Daggers
Joel Cox - Million Dollar Baby
Joe D'Augustine & Sally Menke - Kill Bill, Vol. 2
Valdis Oskarsdottir - Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
Thelma Schoonmaker - The Aviator

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
House Of Flying Daggers (China)
The Sea Inside (Spain)

Achievement In Makeup
The Aviator
Hellboy
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Sea Inside

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Jan A.P. Kaczmarek - Finding Neverland
Rolfe Kent - Sideways
Michael Giacchino - The Incredibles
John Williams - The Terminal

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Glen Ballard & Alan Silvestri, "Believe" - The Polar Express
Glen Ballard & Alan Silvestri, "Hot Chocolate" - The Polar Express
Counting Crows (Adam Duritz, etc.), "Accidentally In Love" - Shrek 2
Wyclef Jean, "Million Voices" - Hotel Rwanda
Charles Hart & Andrew Lloyd Webber, "Learn To Be Lonely" - The Phantom Of The Opera

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Hotel Rwanda
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways
Ray

Best Animated Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film

Achievement In Sound
The Aviator
Collateral
Finding Neverland
The Incredibles
Ray

Achievement In Sound Editing
The Aviator
The Incredibles
Ray

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Aviator
The Day After Tomorrow
Spider-Man 2
I, Robot

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Tina Fey - Mean Girls
Paul Haggis - Million Dollar Baby
David Magee - Finding Neverland
Patrick Marber - Closer
Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor - Sideways
Jose Rivera - The Motorcycle Diaries

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Brad Bird - The Incredibles
Bill Condon - Kinsey
Charlie Kaufman - Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
John Logan - The Aviator
Keir Pearson & Terry George - Hotel Rwanda
Zach Braff - Garden State

Final Counts
The Aviator: 13
Finding Neverland: 10
Million Dollar Baby: 7
House Of Flying Daggers: 6
Sideways: 6
The Incredibles: 5
Hotel Rwanda: 4
Closer: 3
Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind: 3
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events: 3
The Phantom Of The Opera: 3
The Polar Express: 3
Ray: 3
Collateral: 2
Kinsey: 2
Shrek 2: 2
The Terminal: 2

And with one nomination apiece:

Being Julia
The Day After Tomorrow
Hellboy
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Maria Full Of Grace
Mean Girls
The Passion Of The Christ
The Sea Inside
Spider-Man 2
Vera Drake

ZacharyTait · 01-09-2005, 02:14 PM

Best Picture
Finding Neverland
Hotel Rwanda
Sideways
Million Dollar Baby
The Aviator

Best Director
Alexander Payne (Sideways)
Clint Eastwood (Million Dollar Baby)
Michael Mann (Collateral)
Marc Forster (Finding Neverland)
Martin Scorsese (The Aviator

Best Actor
Jamie Foxx (Ray)
Paul Giamatti (Sideways)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Aviator)
Don Cheadle (Hotel Rwanda)
Johnny Depp (Finding Neverland)

Best Actress
Hilary Swank (Million Dollar Baby)
Imelda Staunton (Vera Drake)
Annette Bening (Being Julia)
Kate Winslet (Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind)
Catalina Sandino Moreno (Maria Full of Grace)

Best Supporting Actor
Thomas Haden Church (Sideways)
Morgan Freeman (Million Dollar Baby)
Clive Owen (Closer)
Jamie Foxx (Collateral)
Peter Sarsgaard (Kinsey)

Best Supporting Actress
Natalie Portman (Closer)
Virginia Madsen (Sideways)
Kate Winslet (Finding Neverland)
Cate Blanchett (The Aviator)
Laura Linney (Kinsey)

Best Original Screenplay
Charlie Kaufman (Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind)
John Logan (The Aviator)
Bill Kondon (Kinsey)
Keir Pearson & Terry George (Hotel Rwanda)
Alejandro Amenabar and Mateo Gil (The Sea Inside)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor (Sideways)
Paul Haggis (Million Dollar Baby)
David Magee (Finding Neverland)
Tina Fey (Mean Girls)
Patrick Marber (Closer)

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
The Incredibles
The Polar Express
Shrek 2

Best Art Direction
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
House Of Flying Daggers
Hero
The Terminal

Best Cinematography
Dion Beebe and Paul Cameron - Collateral
Caleb Deschanel - The Passion Of The Christ
Robert Richardson - The Aviator

Tom Stern - Million Dollar Baby
Xiaoding Zhao - House Of Flying Daggers

Best Costume Design
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
House Of Flying Daggers
Hero
The Phantom Of The Opera

Best Documentary Feature
Born Into Brothels
Riding Giants
the Story of the Weeping Camel
Super Size Me
Touching the Void

Best Documentary Short Subject

Best Film Editing
Long Cheng - House Of Flying Daggers
Joel Cox - Million Dollar Baby
Jim Miller and Paul Rubell - Collateral
Valdis Oskarsdottir - Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
Thelma Schoonmaker - The Aviator

Best Foreign Language Film
House Of Flying Daggers (China)
The Sea Inside (Spain)
Cronicas (Ecuador)
Downfall (Germany)
Les Choristes (France)

Best Makeup
The Aviator
Hellboy
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Sea Inside
Kinsey

Best Original Score
Jan A.P. Kaczmarek - Finding Neverland
Rolfe Kent - Sideways
Michael Giacchino - The Incredibles
Howard Shore - The Aviator
John Williams - The Terminal

Best Original Song
Glen Ballard & Alan Silvestri, "Believe" - The Polar Express
Glen Ballard & Alan Silvestri, "Hot Chocolate" - The Polar Express
Counting Crows (Adam Duritz, etc.), "Accidentally In Love" - Shrek 2
Wyclef Jean, "Million Voices" - Hotel Rwanda
Charles Hart & Andrew Lloyd Webber, "Learn To Be Lonely" - The Phantom Of The Opera

Best Animated Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film

Best Sound
Collateral
The Aviator
The Incredibles
Lemony Snicket
Ray

Best Sound Editing
The Aviator
The Incredibles
Collateral

Best Visual Effects
The Aviator
Spider-Man 2
I, Robot

Totals

1
I, Robot
Spider-man 2
Hellboy
Les Choristes
Downfall
Cronicas
Touching the Void
SuperSize Me
The Story of the Weeping Camel
Riding Giants
Born into Brothels
Passion of the Christ
Mean Girls
Maria Full of Grace
Being Julia
Vera Drake

2
Lemony Snicket: An Unfortunate Series of Events
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera
The Terminal
Hero
Shrek 2
Ray

3
The Polar Express
The Sea Inside
Kinsey
Closer
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

4
The Incredibles
Hotel Rwanda

5
House of Flying Daggers

6
Collateral
Sideways

7
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby

14
The Aviator

Tino · 01-09-2005, 03:37 PM

Been waiting for this thread, Craig.

Predictions soon.

**HTF Ads**

Patrick Sun · 01-09-2005, 05:29 PM

I'll ruminate here shortly as well...

Best Actor:
Johnny Depp
Don Cheadle
Jamie Foxx
Leo DiCaprio
Paul Giamatti <-missed on him (Clint Eastwood)

Best Actress: (got all of them)
Hilary Swank
Annette Benning
Kate Winslet (ESotSM)
Imelda Staunton
Catalina Sandino Moreno

Best Supporting Actor:
Thomas Haden Church
Clive Owen (Closer)
Morgan Freeman (M$B)
Jamie Foxx (Collateral)
Freddie Highmore <- missed on him (Alan Alda)

Best Supporting Actress:
Kate Winslet <- missed on her (Sophie Okonedo)
Virginia Madsen
Cate Blanchette
Meryl Streep <- missed on her (Natalie Portman)
Laura Linney

Best Film:
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind <- missed (Ray)
Sideways

Best Director:
Clint Eastwood
Marc Forster <-- miss (Taylor Hackford)
Alexander Payne
Martin Scorsese
Mike Nichols <-- missed (Mike Leigh)

Best Original Screenplay:
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The Incredibles
Kinsey <-- missed (Vera Drake)
The Aviator
Ray <-- missed (Hotel Rwanda)

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Finding Neverland
Closer <-- missed (Before Sunset)
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways
The Motorcycles Diaries

Out of 8 categories, I missed 10 out of 40 spots.

Seth Paxton · 01-10-2005, 12:19 AM

I'll wait till 4 am just before they announce them.

j/k

but give me some time to think about them all

Travis_S · 01-10-2005, 01:13 AM

(Frist Update: January 11th)

Best Picture
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Ray
Sideways

Best Director
Martin Scorsese (The Aviator)
Marc Forster (Finding Neverland)
Clint Eastwood (Million Dollar Baby)
Alexander Payne (Sideways)
Zhang Yimou (House of Flying Daggers)

Best Actor
Don Cheadle (Hotel Rwanda)
Johnny Depp (Finding Neverland)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Aviator)
Jamie Foxx (Ray)
Paul Giamatti (Sideways)

Best Actress
Annette Benning (Being Julia)
Catalina Sandina Moreno (Maria Full of Grace)
Imaulda Stanton (Vera Drake)
Hillary Swank (Million Dollar Baby)
Kate Winslet (Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind)

Best Supporting Actor
Thomas Haden Church (Sideways)
Jamie Foxx (Collateral)
Morgan Freeman (Million Dollar Baby)
Freddie Highmore (Finding Neverland)
Clive Owen (Closer)

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett (The Aviator)
Larua Linney (Kinsey)
Virginia Madsen (Sideways)
Sophie Okenado (Hotel Rwanda)
Natalie Portman (Closer)