Is there hope for TiVo? Yes. But probably not as a hardware company/service provider. The hope for TiVo lies in licensing their software to others.
I have the SA8300HD DVR. If it is getting good reviews compared to the Motorola box, I shudder to think that what is like because the SA sucks. There isn't a day that goes by the I don't pine for my 3 TiVo series 2s. But the fact is I have two, 2-tuner SA8300HDs recording tons of mostly HD content every week for a fraction of what a single series 3 would cost. So I put up with the clunky interface.
My cable company (Adelphia) was recently absorbed by Comcast. Word is that we're switching over to Motorola boxes with modified TiVo software this summer. OTOH the TiVo reps at CES mentioned that they are working to port their software to the SA hardware as well, in part to make it easier to sell to other cable providers, so there's a chance I can keep my (not bad) hardware and get some much-improved software. (The SA at least supports HDMI-1, the Motorola only does DVI) Supposedly some of the other cable providers who are losing market share to satellite can see the advantage of replacing their crappy home-brew DVR software with a proven crowd-pleaser.
Anything has to be better than the current software. When Comcast converted all the Adelphia customers in my service area to the same channel line-up they offer in the rest of the country, I had to manually cancel and re-enter all of my "standing" recordings. (I won't dignify their crude "repeat recording" function with the name "Season Ticket", because it doesn't come close.) In all the years I owned TiVos I never had to manually fix my recordings because Adelphia rearranged their channel map. The box automatically remapped all the changes based on the information provided by Adelphia. Pity Comcast's box couldn't do the same with their own service.
Meanwhile I've heard that DirecTV may bite the bullet and come crawling back to TiVo. The reaction to their DVR has been horrible. The software is junk and the hardware isn't so good, either. My parents live with my brother-in-law and sister in a sprawling house a few miles from me. My folks each have a DirecTiVo - my dad's in their bedroom, a Christmas present the year they moved in, my mom's in her sitting room - her birthday present the following year. My sister got my brother-in-law a DirecTV DVR for his birthday last March. By that time they were no longer offering the TiVo units. The difference is night and day. I think its been replaced under warranty twice and it is still subject to random weirdnesses that never seem to afflict the TiVo.
I don't know if there's any truth to that rumor, but I know a lot of pissed off DirecTV customers who
hope there is, and I'm sure some stockholders would like to know if what the company saved by switching is worth the customer-satisfaction hit they've taken. (Assuming the "savings" haven't been totally absorbed by what they're paying programmers to fix their lousy software, field techs to reinstall their hardware and losses from customers who have just had enough. Whatever they were paying TiVo was probably cheap by comparison.)
Regards,
Joe