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Re: *** Official 2008 Oscars Nominations List and Forum Discussion Thread
the funny thing about Atonement, There Will be Blood and No Country for Old Men is that they all have third acts that turn people off a movie they were pretty passionate about watching the first two parts of it. which makes the race interesting for Juno and Michael Clayton.
I don't think Atonement is totally dead, but it is pretty much dead. on the other hand. Rules, like that a BP winner must have an editing nomination, are made to be broken.
Julian Shnable could very well become the first director to win without a best picture nomination. though I imagine the coen brothers may very well be awarded a career oscar or PTA could be acknowledged. but if the academy sees the film, few voters will be able to not vote for him. Highly likely to win editing as well.
Best Actor is a foregone conclusion for Day Lewis (unless there's major backlash...)
as is best Supporting Actor (can't imagine a backlash against Bardem)
Cate Blanchett is probably walking away easy with the Supporting actress trophy, though anyone could legitimately win this
Leading actress, it's Julie Christie's to lose
Ratatouille will probably win Animated film easily, no Spirited Away situation this year for persepolis.
Atonement will probably win best score
Elizabeth best costume design.
I don't think any other category is especially predictable.
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