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Old 01-01-2004, 01:23 PM   #10 of 1951
Adam_S
Adam_S
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Location: Marina del Rey, CA
Join Date: Feb 2001
Local Time: 07:20 AM
Local Date: 12-02-2008
Posts: 5,066

Well I need to a see a list of films matched with directors and stars first (for next fall/winter) but the big summer/november movies mentioned so far, here's some of my thoughts.

Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - 350 million - it seems every new release of the latest book/movie, pundits predict that there'll be a huge drop because interest has dropped off. Well I predict the opposite, this'll easily be in the top three-five grossers of the year and will be the most successful Potter movie. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 100 million opening weekend. definitely the number one worldwide grosser of the year, it will come awful close to the 1 billion mark.

Shrek 2 - 230 million The trailer looks excellent, but right now I don't see this cracking much further than the 250 mark at the outside

Spider-Man 2 - 280 million Opening weekend depends on running time, I imagine. But I don't see this as quite the phenomenal success as the first. I wouldn't be surprised to see it just eek over 300 million (though I'd be happy to be surprised with a higher gross), and if so it will be declared the second 300 million failure

The Incredibles - 360 million Will probably dominate most of the christmas family season, and continue strong throughout the entirety of January 2k5. The Pixar touch, I have to predict so highly my low estimate would be 320

The Polar Express - 250 million? Hard to tell on this film how it'll play until I've seen more trailers as well as see them with an actual audience in the theatre, but I just have a feeling that this could seriously be one of the top grossers of the year, going as high as 350 million (that keeps me nice and safe with a 100 million range!). This will probably have the lowest worldwide gross of these five films with the non-US bringing in slightly less than the US gross.

Adam


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