Quote:
| The peak can not be predicted perfectly, it can only be seen in the rear view mirror, by which time it will be too late to do anything. Hubbert's 1956 prediction of an early 70s peak for lower 48 states held up quite well, and I see no reason why the methodology shouldn't work for the world as well. |
The problem with oil is not that it is so expensive, the problem was that it was so cheap for so long. Inflation adjusted, even $50 bbl oil is actually pretty reasonable. $12 bbl oil back even a few years ago was simply ludicrously low, and it made people think that was actually the norm.
Now that oil prices have risen, the peak oil folks have some more ammunition.
Thanks for the authors, yes, I am familiar with their works. One of the mutual funds I track is the Sprott Energy Fund, which relies heavily on the theory of peak oil.


