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2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

#151
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

I'm glad I've been able to raise some debate about Mr Phelps, and interesting to see the contrasting viewpoints. The fact remains that for the last thirty or so years, there have been individual swimmers capable of gaining medals across several official race distances. You simply don't find this in other sports [the nearest is probably someone like Carl Lewis, but even he didn't get near Phelps's total]. Sorry, but this indicates that in terms of determining differences between individuals, these races are too similar. The statistics clearly show that this can't be gainsaid. To give an analogy - suppose you claim that skills A, B and C are totally different and you devise tests A, B and C to test them, and you then find that the same people who are good at test A are also equally good at tests B and C. This means that skills A, B and C are strongly related, not different, as originally claimed. Now if Mr P had, for example, won golds in both sprint and endurance events, that would be radically different, because this is something very much rarer.

None of this robs Mr P of his rightful place as a great sportsman and swimmer. To reiterate - he is a superb swimmer, one of the best of all time, and a great shining example to the sport (and I mean that sincerely). All it does is question whether the swimming authorities should have quite as many races. But 'greatest Olympian' implies something truly special, beyond a tally of how many medals have been won (and certainly beyond winning races four years apart in events proven to be very similar) and also, beyond being simply the best in your sport. And I think over the years, there have been several Olympians who have been more inspirational or special and who have transcended simply being good at their particular sport. Inevitably, we will each have our own views on this. FWIW, my vote would be for Bob Beaman. For me, that single jump represents all that can be inspirational and memorable when someone is prepared to stretch themselves beyond what experts and authority figures have said should be possible. Perhaps the shock and awe of that jump has faded now, but placed in the context of the time, it was sensational. But certainly, it transcended the sport of long jumping, and became symbolic of something more. Others might with good reason choose Jessie Owens, not only for his achievements, but also for accomplishing these at the 1936 Berlin Olympics, thereby neatly undermining all the propaganda about Aryan physical supremacy.


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No offense Andrew, and I know you and I go round and round on this (so I accept the barbs thrown my way). However, when your first, last and basically only comments in this thread are either critical of American athletes or critical of American fans whom you automatically assume are USA-centric (which in this case couldn't be further from the truth), then in all honesty you should probably look to your own biases before criticizing mine.
Jeff, let's bury the hatchet, shall we? If I've been going on too much about a Brit viewpoint, then apologies. I sincerely believe it helps us all occasionally to see how others see us. But if I've overdone this, then, just to repeat, my apologies.
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#152
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve_Tk
Carlo, that list is wrong.

Phelps this year has won gold in;

400m IM
200m Freestyle
200m Butterfly
4x100m Freestyle relay
4x200m Freestyle relay

He has not swam in the 100m Fly, 200m IM, 4x100m medley relay yet. Think the 200m IM is tonight.

I'm pretty sure the numbers for 2004 are off also. Carlo, you have him winning 8 golds in 2004, which would have beaten Spitz back then. Something is fishy there.
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#153
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Correction (on my part):

Michael Phelps - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In 2004, Phelps won 6 golds, 2 bronze.

Gold in:
400m IM
100m Butterfly
200m Buttterfly
200m IM
4x200m free relay
4x100m medley relay

Bronze in:
200m free
4x100m free relay

"Jee-sus, it's like Iwo Jima out there" - Roger Sterling on "Mad Men"
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#154
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Where would we be without wiki?

List of multiple Olympic gold medalists - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

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Since more medals are available in some sports than others, this list is not a definitive comparison among athletes specializing in different disciplines.

BTW the top three on that list are:

1. Michael Phelps (USA) Swimming (2004-2008)
2. Larissa Latynina (USSR) Gymnastics (1956-1964) (won more medals in total than Michael Phelps, so far!)
3. Paavo Lurmi (Finland) Athletics (1920-1928) (various races from 1500m to 8000m cross country.)
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#155
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeff Gatie
Looks like the State Media in China has one of the female gymnasts aging three years in a mere 9 months:

State-media story fuels questions on Chinese gymnast’s age - BostonHerald.com

Will the wonders of Communism ever cease?
None of which will put Western corporations (and governments!) off whoring themselves out to that hideous regime in their breathless race to those 1.3 billion untapped consumers. Ah... the wonders of unbridled capitalism

(I can't help it Jeff ;-) )

--
H
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#156
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

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Originally Posted by Holadem
None of which will put Western corporations (and governments!) off whoring themselves out to that hideous regime in their breathless race to those 1.3 billion untapped consumers. Ah... the wonders of unbridled capitalism

(I can't help it Jeff ;-) )

--
H

At last we agree on something political. The single worst thing for the US in the last 20 years isn't terrorism, it isn't run away immigration, it's whoring ourselves out to a nation that is the antithesis of freedom. If I held the switch, I'd turn off trade with China right now.
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#157
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Copies of China's forging of old newspaper articles here (to change the ages of the children to 16):

David Flumenbaum: Scandal of the Ages: Documents Reveal Underage Chinese Gymnast

"Scientists are saying the future is going to be far more futuristic than they originally predicted." -Krysta Now

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#158
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

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Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
To give an analogy - suppose you claim that skills A, B and C are totally different and you devise tests A, B and C to test them, and you then find that the same people who are good at test A are also equally good at tests B and C. This means that skills A, B and C are strongly related, not different, as originally claimed.

Good post Andrew, but I'm not sure I follow this.

I compete in triathlons which involve swimming (skill A), cycling (skill B) and running (skill C). If I am equally good in all three events (of which I am certainly not), this does not mean they are strongly related. It means I trained extremely hard in all 3 disciplines. For sure they are related in that they are all endurance events, but that is hardly a strong relationship. I can assure you they are vastly different, especially the swimming.

To see what I mean, ride your bike for 10K at a brisk pace. Once you've finished, immediately attempt to run.

My first time I just about fell flat on my face. Not because of exhaustion, but because my muscles were so focused on performing a specific task at a high intensity. When I "asked" my legs to perform the next task (the run) they replied "are you f'ing kidding me???" : )

It was only through training that I got my legs to (begrudgingly) agree.

I do agree with you on the sprint vs. endurance events. Swimming a 200m sprint is hard enough, but a grueling 1500m is a completely different beast.
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#159
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

The IOC is too spineless to do anything about the age issue. They've said the only proof they'll accept is the athlete's passport, a document easily forged by small time crooks, let alone a major national government.

Sad, but the Olympics are mostly about politics and money (endorsements) these days, rather than fair competition.

Uncle Joe: I'll never marry you, Selma Plout!  You may as well take off that wedding dress and put it back in your Hopeless Chest!

--Petticoat Junction--

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#160
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve_Tk
Carlo, that list is wrong.

Phelps this year has won gold in;

400m IM
200m Freestyle
200m Butterfly
4x100m Freestyle relay
4x200m Freestyle relay

He has not swam in the 100m Fly, 200m IM, 4x100m medley relay yet. Think the 200m IM is tonight.

There is a huge difference between the 200m Freestyle and the 400m IM. Saying that these races are all too similar and that they shouldn't be valued as highly is a suspect argument. Why haven't we seen something like Phelps much more often then? I also think some are undervaluing just how different these distances are in swimming.

Note: I quoted the post by Steve just so some of what Phelps won would be readily available not because I was responding to that post.
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#161
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Malcolm R
The IOC is too spineless to do anything about the age issue. They've said the only proof they'll accept is the athlete's passport, a document easily forged by small time crooks, let alone a major national government.

Sad, but the Olympics are mostly about politics and money (endorsements) these days, rather than fair competition.
Absolutely.

1) Is the IOC going to call China and it's 1.3B citizens liars for the sake of the obvious? No. Their official paperwork is more than enough reasonable doubt. These are the most popular games in some time, buoyed largely by the Chinese populace. They will be treated with kid's gloves.

2) The time to do this was BEFORE a Gold Medal was bestowed. And are they going to publicly remove a Gold Medal from a 13 year old girl and her 14-16 year old friends because of something their government did? Who wants to take the Gold Medal from the 13 year old on national TV? Hands?

3) The IOC couldn't resolve the Hamm fiasco of 2004. They resorted to asking him to give the medal back when they didn't have a leg to stand on (you couldn't score the routines based on videos back then - that would open a HUGE can of worms). They basically punted to an athlete and asked him to ignore the rules of his own sport. So there is no way they get this right.
Hey buddy...did you just see a real bright light?
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#162
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

So what is up with this scoring? I know that it is very USA-centric, but the NBC commentators are really perplexed by the scoring. Are other commentators, CBC for example, also questioning it?
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#163
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

It's not over yet, but it's blatantly obvious that the U.S. gymnasts are being hosed by the judges tonight.
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#164
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Well, they did quite all right by the end of things...
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#165
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

I know there was a sizable gulf between Chinese Bronze place finisher Yilin Yang and Russian Ksenia Semenova, but Ksenia's floor routine was far and away my favorite in the all around competition. Not only was the music more fun, she looked like she was having more fun too. Just a great entertaining performance.

After the iffy scoring on the balance beam, what a nailbiter of a conclusion. Glad to see NBC show Shawn Johnson being sportmanlike with her top two Chinese competitors. The Americans come off looking very arrogant and standoffish with most of their coverage.
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#166
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

The scoring on the vault and the uneven bars was atrocious.
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#167
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
I can assure you they are vastly different, especially the swimming.
I know - my father-in-law was on the British triathlon team (seniors section) - he did a respectable performance in a couple of world championships and then permanently lost some of his vision through dehydration having over-exerted himself in training. Why anyone wants to do the sport is beyond me. I'll stick to golf.

Quote:
So what is up with this scoring? I know that it is very USA-centric, but the NBC commentators are really perplexed by the scoring. Are other commentators, CBC for example, also questioning it?
The BBC commentators have also noted the complicated scoring.

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Saying that these races are all too similar and that they shouldn't be valued as highly is a suspect argument. Why haven't we seen something like Phelps much more often then?
But we have! Not necessarily beating the world record, but nonetheless, there's a high correlation between performance in the two events, which means they are too similar. And as I said, my beef (and a lot of other peoples') isn't with Phelps's swimming performances, which are superb. It's the tag 'the greatest Olympian' that sticks in the craw. Now if Phelps goes on to do the same performance at another two Olympics, or becomes a great spokesman for the sport, that view may change. But at the moment he's simply a superb exponent at his specialised sport. His performance hasn't transcended into something more.

Quote:
None of which will put Western corporations (and governments!) off whoring themselves out to that hideous regime in their breathless race to those 1.3 billion untapped consumers. Ah... the wonders of unbridled capitalism
The point of the Olympics is that they should transcend politics. I'm not keen on a great many countries' political regimes (including China's), but if we're going to start taking the moral high ground, then quite which country is immune from criticism? Certainly not the UK, Greece, Australia, USA or Spain, to name the next and previous four hosts. Let's concentrate on the sport, eh, folks?
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#168
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

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Originally Posted by Michael_K_Sr
It's not over yet, but it's blatantly obvious that the U.S. gymnasts are being hosed by the judges tonight.

That is what I was thinking, and I know Tim Dagget wanted to say the judges are favoring the Chinese, but couldn't.

But glad to see Luiken and Johnson finish 1-2, and put an end to the Chinese dominance.

Quote:
Originally Posted by andrew markworthy
I'm not keen on a great many countries' political regimes (including China's), but if we're going to start taking the moral high ground, then quite which country is immune from criticism? Certainly not the UK, Greece, Australia, USA or Spain, to name the next and previous four hosts. Let's concentrate on the sport, eh, folks?

I agree with that. I would say more, but it's against HTF rules, so I won't go any further. This Pandora's box should be sealed shut.
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#169
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Why haven't we seen something like Phelps much more often then?

Michael Phelps is physically perfect for swimming. As the media have been pointing out, he has a long v-shaped torso, wide wing span, big hands and feet, etc. Someone so genetically perfect doesn't come along that often.

Another genetically gifted athlete is Lance Armstrong due to his slow heart rate and larger than average lung capacity. He is physically perfect for endurance cycling.

Athletes like these will tend to dominate in their sports.
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#170
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

I see Andrew's point regarding the medal count in swimming. The event to medal opportunity is very high. But we can't begrudge Phelps for taking advantage of it. Take for example beach volleyball. They play many matches for the chance at one medal. If they want more medals, they should take up swimming.

Or, perhaps they should run swimming like gymnastics. For the overall they compete in four events for one medal in the overalls. But then they do have individual medals for each event there too.

So, if I had an super athlete that had the ability to play any sport and they wanted advice on what sport to compete in, I would say swimming. The effort to medal count opportunity ratio is very high.

Then again, I would tell them to play baseball where the effort to cash count is also very high and you can spend your cash much more easily and over a longer period of time than with a pile of Olympic gold.

\"and no one seems to understand the glory of guitar, when out of tune, the off timing, the singers who can't sing, - the beauty of flaw!\"

"I apologize if there is anyone in this room I have not offended" - Brahms

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#171
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Marianne
Michael Phelps is physically perfect for swimming. As the media have been pointing out, he has a long v-shaped torso, wide wing span, big hands and feet, etc. Someone so genetically perfect doesn't come along that often.

Another genetically gifted athlete is Lance Armstrong due to his slow heart rate and larger than average lung capacity. He is physically perfect for endurance cycling.

Athletes like these will tend to dominate in their sports.


Although that's true, I won't be surprised when they come up positive for some special pharmaceutical enhancements.

\"and no one seems to understand the glory of guitar, when out of tune, the off timing, the singers who can't sing, - the beauty of flaw!\"

"I apologize if there is anyone in this room I have not offended" - Brahms

My Band - The Bailout Plan

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#172
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

If it really were that easy to "pile on the gold" due to the nature of swimming events in the Olympics, then all of the top gold medal winners would be swimmers. But only one (Spitz) is up there (of the four that Phelps won).

Why? Because no matter how many chances you get to medal: you still have to beat the best in the world at whatever you're trying to medal at. Plus, Phelps is an oddity in swimming so many events, whereas you see that there are many who only swim a select few races because they're the best at it, and they're conserving energy. Michael's got to beat them all at each one he swims in, often within an hour of swimming another event!

So regardless of how many chances he has to medal (which admittedly are more than other events) he still has to take on and beat the best in the world.

And yes, while physically he might be "built for the sport" - you can't be genetically groomed for competitive fire, mental toughness, and desire to be the best. You can genetically engineer someone even better than Phelps but if that person doesn't have the mental fortitude and desire that Phelps has, it won't make a lick of difference.
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#173
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkMel
Although that's true, I won't be surprised when they come up positive for some special pharmaceutical enhancements.


Michael Phelps is one of 12 athletes who volunteered for a program of "super testing", in which they are scrutinized more than any other athletes in the history of sport. They take blood and urine after every race, it undergoes extensive testing above and beyond what is required by the IOC, and the samples are held for 8 years so that future testing technology can come into play. Either he's not doping, or he's got some stuff that was engineered to be undetectable for 8 years into the future. You decide.
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#174
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carlo Medina
And yes, while physically he might be "built for the sport" - you can't be genetically groomed for competitive fire, mental toughness, and desire to be the best. You can genetically engineer someone even better than Phelps but if that person doesn't have the mental fortitude and desire that Phelps has, it won't make a lick of difference.

But if you are "built for the sport" and have the mental and competitive desire and work ethic, then you will be unbeatable. The combination of these attributes is what sets Michael Phelps (and Lance Armstrong) apart.
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#175
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeff Gatie
Michael Phelps is one of only 20 athletes who volunteered for a program of "super testing", in which they are scrutinized more than any other athletes in the history of sport. They take blood and urine after every race, it undergoes extensive testing above and beyond what is required by the IOC, and the samples are held for 8 years so that future testing technology can come into play. Either he's not doping, or he's got some stuff that was engineered to be undetectable for 8 years into the future. You decide.

Well some other swimmer (or coach) did say that he thought Phelps was from 60 years in the future, where he's only an average swimmer, but he's come back in time to mop up, so that would fit in nicely with his theory

Quote:
Originally Posted by Marianne
But if you are "built for the sport" and have the mental and competitive desire and work ethic, then you will be unbeatable. The combination of these attributes is what sets Michael Phelps (and Lance Armstrong) apart.
That may be true, but I still wouldn't hold that against him. Because the confluence of such things: genetic gifts plus heart and desire, is so rare. That's called a once in a generation athlete. Michael Jordan had inordinately large hands for his size and had a great vertical, but no one begrudges him that. Ted Williams had the visual acuity to see the baseball seams clearly on a 90mph fastball and the hand-eye coordination to match. A lot of other "greatest" athletes over history were probably built for their sports but went unrecognized because sports science wasn't where it is now to recognize such things.
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#176
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

More on the "super testing" program the US is conducting:

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The program is limited to 12 American athletes, including Gay; record-setting swimming superstars Michael Phelps and Dara Torres; and Allyson Felix, two-time 200 meter world champion. The US Anti-Doping Agency sought the biggest names in track and field, swimming, and cycling to volunteer.

The program involves two weeks of blood and urine testing to establish a body chemistry baseline. After the baseline has been set, athletes are subject to any number of unannounced blood and urine tests. USADA chief executive officer Travis Tygart described the program as the most advanced and comprehensive in the world.


Officials say Games may never be clean - The Boston Globe
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#177
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carlo Medina
That may be true, but I still wouldn't hold that against him. Because the confluence of such things: genetic gifts plus heart and desire, is so rare. That's called a once in a generation athlete.

That was my point and I wasn't holding it against him!
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#178
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

One of the things that irritates me about the Olympics is the obsession of the "us against them" attitude that the media likes to portray. The other thing is that if a particular athlete doesn't get the medal he is "supposed" to get, he is almost portrayed as a loser. It will be interesting to see how Michael Phelps will be portrayed if he doen't get eight gold medals or break Mark Spitz's record of seven golds. Will the press deem him a "loser"? I hope not because he has performed remarkably at these Olympics.

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#179
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by DavidJ
So what is up with this scoring? I know that it is very USA-centric, but the NBC commentators are really perplexed by the scoring. Are other commentators, CBC for example, also questioning it?
The CBC commentators also thought the scores were quite low for certain athletes' routines.

Uncle Joe: I'll never marry you, Selma Plout!  You may as well take off that wedding dress and put it back in your Hopeless Chest!

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#180
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Re: 2008 Summer Olympics - Beijing, China

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeff Gatie
Michael Phelps is one of 12 athletes who volunteered for a program of "super testing", in which they are scrutinized more than any other athletes in the history of sport. They take blood and urine after every race, it undergoes extensive testing above and beyond what is required by the IOC, and the samples are held for 8 years so that future testing technology can come into play. Either he's not doping, or he's got some stuff that was engineered to be undetectable for 8 years into the future. You decide.

I just said I wouldn't be surprised. Many so called clean athletes have come up positive years later. I like the idea of "super testing" and I hope it does work to reduce doping. What's really needed is a biological passport where the athlete values are tracked from the beginning of their career. There you would be able to see any abnormalities. Although even those can be explained away.

Pharmaceutical companies should also be required to put markers in their products that would show clearly the elevated values are a result of their product and not some physiological abnormality.

I follow and have raced cycling - one of the most tested sports and those guys seemed to be able to get products that were undetectable until just recently. That or they recently just developed tests for them. There are those that are still doping and just not getting caught.

Also there are products (EPO) that some do not have the confidence in the testing. This is where false positives will show up too often. Now lets say you have sample that tests positive for the A sample and negative for the B sample. Would you be willing to risk marking the athlete positive? When the test itself isn't sure.


I am/was a huge fan of Lance Armstrong. I will not be surprised if it comes out that he was doping. Although in his case he had the cash to have the best doctors and products to avoid detection. Where as with the Olympians I don't know where they'd get their cash flow from since these doping regimes are very costly and out of reach for many.

Although it also seems quite unbelievable all of the WRs being broken. Could is just be the new suits? The pool depth? The new lane lines? Maybe.


So for now let's celebrate these spectacular performances and leave it at that. Although in the back of my mind........

\"and no one seems to understand the glory of guitar, when out of tune, the off timing, the singers who can't sing, - the beauty of flaw!\"

"I apologize if there is anyone in this room I have not offended" - Brahms

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