Okay, apart from the initial launch releases, how would all of this pan out if all parties dug in their heels? We've got Fox, Disney and Sony with Blu-ray, and Universal with HD DVD. Paramount is going to release equally for both formats. WB is releasing for both formats, but more for HD DVD (at least initially); for simplicity, I'll assume WB releases 100% on HD DVD and 50% on Blu-ray. The Dreamworks situation is not clear (they went with Universal for home video, but now they have been bought by Paramount), so I won't count them for either side. How does all translate in the current film scene? 1. Mainstream list For reference, let's look at the latest DVD bestselling list on Video Business: 1.Wedding Crashers (NL/WB) 2.The Cave (Sony) 3.The 40-Year-Old Virgin (Uni) 4.The Gospel (Sony) 5.American Pie Presents: Band Camp (Uni) 6.Into The Blue (Sony) 7.Four Brothers (Par) 8.Mr. & Mrs. Smith (Fox) 9.Fantastic Four (Fox) 10.The Exorcism Of Emily Rose (Sony) 11.Star Wars: Revenge Of The Sith (Fox) 12.The Island (DW/Uni) 13.The Brothers Grimm (BV) 14.Serenity (Uni) 15.War Of The Worlds (DW/UNI) 16.Family Guy-Vol. 3 (Fox) 17.March of the Penguins (WB) 18.Dark Water (BV) 19.Cinderella Man (Uni) 20.Madagascar (DW/Uni) HD DVD American Pie Presents: Band Camp Cinderella Man Four Brothers March of the Penguins Serenity The 40-Year-Old Virgin Wedding Crashers Blu-ray Dark Water Family Guy-Vol. 3 Fantastic Four Four Brothers Into The Blue March of the Penguins Mr. & Mrs. Smith Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith The Brothers Grimm The Cave The Exorcism of Emily Rose The Gospel As you see, I've struck Wedding Crashers from the BD list, but kept March of the Penguins. There'll be complaints at the inclusion of Sith in the BD list, but that is where it would belong if the current release scheme were already established. That is seven titles available on HD DVD versus 12 on Blu-ray Disc. 2. Cinephile list For this purpose, I've used the search engine at rogerebert.com and have searched for the films released in 2005 and which he gave 4 stars to: Batman Begins (WB) Bee Season (Fox) The Best of Youth (Miramax) Brokeback Mountain (Focus) Broken Flowers (Focus) Capote (Sony) The Constant Gardener (Focus) Crash (Lions Gate) Downfall (Sony) Good Night, and Good Luck (Warner) Grizzly Man (Lions Gate) Junebug (Sony) King Kong (Universal) Last Days (HBO) Me and You and Everyone We Know (Sony) Millions (Fox) Munich (Dreamworks/Universal) Murderball (Think Film) No Direction Home: Bob Dylan (Paramount) North Country (Warner) Oldboy (Tartan) Oscar Short Subject Nominees (Apollo Cinema) Pride & Prejudice (Focus) Proof (Miramax) Saraband (Sony) Sin City (Miramax) Syriana (Warner) Turtles Can Fly (MGM) The Two of Us (Paramount) The Upside of Anger (New Line) Yes (Sony) HD DVD Batman Begins Brokeback Mountain Broken Flowers The Constant Gardener Good Night, and Good Luck King Kong Last Days No Direction Home: Bob Dylan North Country Pride & Prejudice Syriana The Two of Us The Upside of Anger I have removed all titles for which no studio allegiance is known. Also I've deleted the IMAX presentation of The Polar Express. Blu-ray Batman Begins Bee Season The Best of Youth Capote Crash Downfall Grizzly Man Junebug Last Days Me and You and Everyone We Know Millions No Direction Home: Bob Dylan Proof Saraband Sin City Syriana Turtles Can Fly The Two of Us Yes Here it would be 13 titles on HD DVD, and 19 on Blu-ray.