Oscars Predictions Thread

Discussion in 'Movies' started by PaulP, Jan 23, 2007.

  1. Nathan V

    Nathan V Supporting Actor

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    These will be the winners:

    The Departed
    Martin Scorsese
    Forest
    Mirren
    Murphy
    Hudson

    Original: LMS
    Adapted: Departed

    Animated: Cars
    Foreign: Pan's

    Art: Pan's
    Costume: D-girls
    FX: Pirates
    Makeup: Pan's
    Cinematography: Children of Men

    Doc: Inconvenient

    These I'm not quite so sure about:

    Editing: Babel
    Score: Queen
    Song: "Listen..."
    Sound mixing: D-girls
    Sound editing: Letters

    I strongly feel the supporting roles should both be going to other actors. In my book, Rinko deserves to walk away with it. Thelma also deserves to walk away with editing, but Mirrione is no slouch, and Thelma won in '04. Lubeczki (sp) deserves the hell out of his award, as does Monohan. Babel may walk away empty-handed, or with only one award. LMS may end with nothing but screenplay, and Dreamgirls with only 2, after all is said and done. One thing we know, there won't be a sweep this year.

    This is Marty's day. I feel it. I really feel it. I say director without question AND picture, if only by a nose. Yeah.

    Regards,
    Nathan
     
  2. Jan H

    Jan H Cinematographer

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    Not that it's terribly important, but I have a strange feeling that Pan's Labyrinth will win the most total Oscars (5).
     
  3. Lord Dalek

    Lord Dalek Cinematographer

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    Talk about impossible to call for Best Picture...

    I'm leaning towards Little Miss Sunshine since it does have the advantage.
     
  4. Patrick_S

    Patrick_S Producer
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    Ok here are my guesses.

    Best Motion Picture of the Year: Babel
    I would prefer Little Mrs. Sunshine but Babel is the type of movie the Academy likes to pick.

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role: Forest Whitaker
    I think Gosling’s performance is far more deserving of the award but Whitaker will get the nod. It’s not that Whitaker’s performance is not good it’s just that the role is fairly easy one when compared to Gosling’s. Whitaker’s over the top performance is reminiscent of Washington’s from Training Day.

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role: Helen Mirren.
    She is the one I would have voted for also.

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role: Eddie Murphy.
    The Academy just loves comic actors when they play a dramatic role.
    I would vote for Alan Arkin who gave a wonderful performance.

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role: Jennifer Hudson
    I would have voted for Adrian Barraza.

    Best Achievement in Directing: Martin Scorsese.
    You might as well just call this a lifetime achievement award although I would not be surprised if Eastwood wins his third Directorial award.

    Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen: Little Mrs. Sunshine

    Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published: Children of Men

    Best Achievement in Cinematography: Children of Men

    Best Achievement in Editing: United 93

    Best Achievement in Art Direction: Pan's Labyrinth

    Best Achievement in Costume Design: Dreamgirls

    Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score: Pan's Labyrinth

    Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song: "Listen", Dreamgirls
    Best Achievement in Makeup: Apocalypto

    Best Achievement in Sound: Pirates

    Best Achievement in Sound Editing: Flags

    Best Achievement in Visual Effects: Pirates

    Best Animated Feature Film of the Year: Cars

    Best Foreign Language Film of the Year: Pan's Labyrinth

    Best Short Film, Animated: The Little Matchgirl

    Best Short Film: Binta

    Best Doc: Inconvenient Truth

    Best Doc, Short: Leon Fleisher
     
  5. Tim Glover

    Tim Glover Lead Actor

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    [​IMG] Children of Men is my Oscar Winner for Best Picture of 2006. [​IMG]

    My Predictions (not necessarily who I think should win, but who probably will)

    BEST PICTURE
    Babel
    The Departed
    Letters from Iwo Jima
    Little Miss Sunshine
    The Queen

    close one here...could go to The Departed as well.

    BEST ACTOR
    Leonardo DiCaprio - BLOOD DIAMOND
    Ryan Gosling - HALF NELSON
    Peter O'Toole - VENUS
    Will Smith - PUSUIT OF HAPPYNESS
    Forest Whitaker - LAST KING OF SCOTLAND


    DiCaprio is also very deserving...

    BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
    Alan Arkin - LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
    Jackie Earle Haley - LITTLE CHILDREN
    Djimon Honsou - BLOOD DIAMOND
    Eddie Murphy - DREAMGIRLS
    Mark Wahlberg - THE DEPARTED


    Wahlberg was fantastic but was his role big enough?

    BEST ACTRESS
    Penélope Cruz - VOLVER
    Judi Dench - NOTES ON A SCANDAL
    Helen Mirren - THE QUEEN
    Meryl Streep - DEVIL WEARS PRADA
    Kate WINSLET - LITTLE CHILDREN

    Mirren was THE Queen.

    BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
    Adrianna Baraza - BABEL
    Cate Blanchett - NOTES ON A SCANDAL
    Abigail Breslin - LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
    Jennifer Hudson - DREAMGIRLS
    Rinko Kikuchi - BABEL

    Hudson is the favorite but would love for Abigail to bring it home.

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
    CARS - John Lassetar
    HAPPY FEET - George Miller
    MONSTER HOUSE - Gil Kenan

    Pixar's streak might get broken here.

    ART DIRECTION
    Dreamgirls - John Mayer, Nancy Haigh
    The Good Shepherd - Jeannie Oppewaal, Gretchen Rau, Leslie E. Rollins
    Pan's Labyrinth - Eugenio Caballero, Pilar Revuelta
    Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Rick Heinrichs, Cheryl A Carasik
    The Prestige - Nathan Crowley, Julie Ochipinti



    CINEMATOGRAPHY
    The Black Dahlia - Vilmos Zsigmond
    Children of Men - Emmanuel Lubeski
    The Illusionist - Dick Pope
    Pan's Labyrinth - Guillermo Navarro
    The Prestige - Wally Pfister


    Seems like most here are picking Children Of Men...I hope I'm wrong.

    COSTUME DESIGN
    Curse of the Golden Flower - Yee Chung Man
    The Devil Wears Prada - Patricia Field
    Dreamgirls - Sharen Davis
    Marie Antoinette - Milena Canonero
    The Queen - Consolata Boyle

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Clint Eastwood - LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
    Stephen Frears - THE QUEEN
    Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu - BABEL
    Paul Greengrass - UNITED 93
    Martin Scorsese - THE DEPARTED

    Scorsese is certainly due but I think Eastwood's dual picture feat of Flags & Letters cannot be denied.

    DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
    Deliver us from Evil
    An Inconvenient Truth
    Iraq in Fragments
    Jesus Camp
    My Country, My Country

    EDITING
    Babel - Stephen Mirrione, Douglas Crise
    Blood Diamond - Steven Rosenblum
    Children of Men - Alex Rodriguez, Alfonso Cuarón
    The Departed - Thelma Schoonmaker
    United 93 - Clare Douglas, Christopher Rouse, Richard Pearson

    One of the many strengths for United 93...Children of Men also a strong contender. Tough choice here as all were excellent

    BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
    Denmark - AFTER THE WEDDING
    Algeria - DAYS OF GLORY
    Germany - LIVES OF OTHERS
    Mexico - PAN'S LABYRINTH
    Canada - WATER

    MAKEUP
    Apocalypto - Aldo Signoretti, Vittorio Sodano
    Click - Kazuhiro Tsuji and Bill Corso
    Pan's Labyrinth - David Marti and Montse Ribe

    MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
    Gustavo Santaolalla - BABEL
    Thomas Newman - The GOOD GERMAN
    Philip Glass - NOTES ON A SCANDAL
    Javier Navarette - PAN'S LABYRINTH
    Alexandre Desplat - THE QUEEN

    SOUND EDITING
    Apocalypto - Sean McCormack, Kami Asgar
    Blood Diamond - Lon Bender
    Flags of Our Fathers - Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman
    Letters from Iwo Jima - Alan robert Murray
    Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Christopher Boyes, George Watters II

    Personally, Apocalypto was the best here but it won't win.

    SOUND MIXING
    Apocalypto - Kevin O' Connell, Greg P. Russell, Fernando Camara
    Blood Diamond - Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer, Ivan Sharrock
    Dreamgirls - Michael Minkler, Bob Beemer, Willie Burton
    Flags of Our Fathers - John Reitz, Dave Campbell, Gregg Rudloff, Walt Martin
    Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - Paul Massey, Christopher Boyes, Lee Orloff

    Read comment above

    VISUAL EFFECTS
    Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson, Allen HallPoseidon - Boyd Shermis, Kim Libreri, Chaz Jarrett, John Frazier
    Superman Returns - Mark Stetson, Neil Corbould, Richard R. Hoover, Jon Thum

    Pirates in an easy one.

    BEST WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    BORAT - Sacha Baron Cohen, Anthony Hines, Peter Baynham, Dan Mazer
    CHILDREN OF MEN - Alfonso Cuaron, Timothy J. Sexton, David Arata, Mark Fergus, Hawk Ostby
    THE DEPARTED - William Monahan
    LITTLE CHILDREN - Todd Field, Tom Perrotta
    NOTES ON A SCANDAL - Patrick Marber

    Children of Men was brilliantly written...Another tough call as all were great.

    BEST WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    BABEL - Guillermo Arriaga
    LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA - Iris Yamashita, Paul Haggis
    LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE - Michael Arndt
    PAN'S LABYRINTH - Guillermo del Toro
    THE QUEEN - Peter Morgan

    If it's for the most clever & original, then it's Miss Sunshines.

    [​IMG]
    --------------
     
  6. Seth Paxton

    Seth Paxton Lead Actor

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    Well bitterness comes from decades of "WHAT? BRAVEHEART SUCKED!" followed by "WHAT? TITANTIC SUCKED!" followed by "WHAT? CHICAGO SUCKED!"

    It gets old, I get frustrated and out comes the pre-emptive strike of sarcasm, what can I say. I do think there were some valid points in there, but they are the same ones that any person who doesn't hate the Oscars eventually has to make every single year.

    I haven't been to the discussion thread but I can already imagine.



    In regards to this thread, did anyone guess that Pan wouldn't win Foreign?

    9 correct

    Best Motion Picture of the Year: The Departed
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role: Whitaker
    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role: Helen Mirren
    Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role: Alan Arkin
    Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen: Sunshine
    Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published: Departed
    Best Achievement in Art Direction: Pan's Labyrinth
    Best Achievement in Visual Effects: Pirates
    Best Doc: Inconvenient Truth

    15 incorrect (brutal)

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role: Adriana Barraza
    Best Achievement in Directing: Eastwood
    Best Achievement in Cinematography: Children of Men
    Best Achievement in Editing: United 93
    Best Achievement in Costume Design: Dreamgirls
    Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score: Pan's Labyrinth
    Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song: "Listen", Dreamgirls
    Best Achievement in Makeup: Apocalypto
    Best Achievement in Sound: Pirates
    Best Achievement in Sound Editing: Flags
    Best Animated Feature Film of the Year: Cars
    Best Foreign Language Film of the Year: Pan's Labyrinth
    Best Short Film, Animated: The Little Matchgirl
    Best Short Film: Binta
    Best Doc, Short: Leon Fleisher
     
  7. Tim Glover

    Tim Glover Lead Actor

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    I thouht Pans' was a shoe-in for Foreign Film. Especially after winning before that for Makeup, Art Direction & Cinematography.

    Children of Men got NADA. Really upsets me. [​IMG]....
     
  8. Tim Glover

    Tim Glover Lead Actor

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    I didn't make predictions for all the categories but got these right:

    11 Corrrect [​IMG]
    Best Actor-Forrest Whitaker
    Best Actress-Helen Mirren
    Best Supporting Actor-Alan Arkin
    Best Supporting Actress-Jennifer Hudson
    Best Animated Feature-Happy Feet
    Best Original Screenplay-Little Miss Sunshine
    Art Direction-Pan's Labrynth
    Best Original Score-Babel
    Best Makeup-Pan's Labrynth
    Visual Effects-Pirates Dead Man's Chest
    Documentary Feature-Inconvienant Truth

    Missed 9:
    Best Picture-had Little Miss Sunshine
    Best Director-picked Eastwood
    Sound Effects Mixing-picked Pirates DMC
    Sound Effects Editing-picked Flags of our Fathers
    Best Writing_Adapted Screenplay-picked Children of Men
    Editing-picked United 93
    Costume Design-picked Dreamgirls
    Foreign Language Film-picked Pan's Labrynth
    Cinematography-picked The Illusionist
     
  9. Jason Harbaugh

    Jason Harbaugh Cinematographer

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    12 right this year. Got all of the big ones except Supporting Actor. (didn't see that one by a mile) The little awards were all over the place this year and I can't believe Pan's lost. Overall I'm happy with most of the winners. Glad Scorsese had his golden boy. [​IMG]
     
  10. Craig S

    Craig S Producer
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    Got 12 myself, and I'm happy with that this year.
     
  11. David Williams

    David Williams Cinematographer

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    There's gonna be a lot of renewed talk today of whether or not Norbit cost Eddie Murphy his shot at Oscar. I haven't seen Little Miss Sunshine, so I won't comment on whether or not Alan Arkin was deserving of the award, but it was quite the shocking upset.
     
  12. Brian.L

    Brian.L Supporting Actor

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    13/21 attempted picks, not so great. Disappointed to see Children of Men get totally shut out.
     
  13. ChrisBEA

    ChrisBEA Screenwriter

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  14. Tino

    Tino Lead Actor
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    11/24.

    My worst year ever.[​IMG]
     
  15. Tino

    Tino Lead Actor
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    Don't you mean 11?[​IMG]
     
  16. Tino

    Tino Lead Actor
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    Anyone do better than 12 right in this prediction thread?

    We have to crown a winner?[​IMG]

    And to be fair, you had to make 24 picks.
     
  17. Tino

    Tino Lead Actor
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    12/21 actually.[​IMG]

    Just trying to find the winner.
     
  18. Tino

    Tino Lead Actor
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    Umm...11[​IMG]
     
  19. Steve Christou

    Steve Christou Long Member

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    I think I got 13 correct. Better than usual for me. [​IMG]

    Pan's Labyrinth not winning Best Foreign Film was a shocker I thought that was one of the few I'd definitely get right.
     
  20. Tino

    Tino Lead Actor
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    13/21. Very good Steve. You should have just taken guesses in the other categories. It could have been a decisive victory.[​IMG]
     

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