Iain Jackson
Second Unit
- Joined
- Nov 22, 2001
- Messages
- 371
Well, I guess it's time for me to look back and review my predictions from the start of the year:
I've written the figures in the order Prediction/Actual.
DareDevil: $120m/$102.5m - Not a bad prediction, if the film had better legs from its $40m start then this would probably have been spot-on.
X2: $175m/$215m - I knew it would do better than the first, but not that much better. Of course the opening made it look like this was going to be huge, but ultimately my prediction was still at least reasonable.
The Matrix Reloaded: $265m/$282m - A fairly good prediction - I did say that it could go higher but not get to $300m, which is exactly what happened.
The Matrix Reloaded: $225m/$138m - I don't think that anybody saw such a huge drop-off coming, even after Reloaded came out...
Hulk: $230m/$132m - And to think I was amongst the lower guesses...
Terminator 3: $240m/$150m - Poor marketing, I guess. This really deserved much more...
Return of the King: $305m/$350m+? - Well, it clearly seems that this WILL make more than The Two Towers... I honestly thought that the series could only lose an audience, rather than gain it...
2 Fast 2 Furious: $100m/$127m - I thought that the lack of Vin Diesel would have hurt it more. I was still right about the big opening/poor legs though...
Tomb Raider 2: $105m/$66m - I did say that this could a lot higher or lower, which it evidently did...
Charlie's Angels 2: $90m/$101m - Once again I thought this could be higher or lower... I would have been closer without the added boost that the film got towards the end of its run.
Finding Nemo: $180m/$340m - Well, I just didn't think that fish could be that interesting. I guess I was wrong...
The Core: $40m/$30m - I was so close to saying $30m originally, but I then thought that it would have a bigger opening. At least I knew it was going to bomb...
The Cat in the Hat: $210m/~$100m - A bit of a surprise, I always thought that this was the most popular of Dr. Suess' books. Then again, I didn't know the film was going to be THAT bad either...
Bad Boys 2: $160m/$139m - Not a bad guess, I think the long running time probably had something to do with its final gross...
Spy Kids 3D: $70m/$111m - For some reason I have this down as Spey Kids 2 in my prediction, but anyway... I'm surprised that it managed to gross more than the second one. I guess the 3D gimic worked well with kids...
Legally Blonde 2: $120m/$90m - I guess that Reese Witherspoon isn't quite the box office draw I thought she would be...
Dreamcatcher: $125m/$34m - Uh... yeah. Not quite right, this guess...
Pirates of the Caribbean: $130m/$305m - At the time I was judging by the awful teaser trailer. I didn't realise how entertaining this was going to be...
Bruce Almighty: $150m/$243m - I guess I didn't realise that Jim Carrey comedies could still be this huge...
Looney Tunes: Back in Action: $115m/~$21m - Hmm. I guess Looney Tunes aren't as popular as I'd guessed...
All in all, my predictions for the year weren't generally that great - at least the year before I got one or two almost exactly correct. For this year's predictions I'll have both start-of-year predictions and revised guesses as the films come out...
I've written the figures in the order Prediction/Actual.
DareDevil: $120m/$102.5m - Not a bad prediction, if the film had better legs from its $40m start then this would probably have been spot-on.
X2: $175m/$215m - I knew it would do better than the first, but not that much better. Of course the opening made it look like this was going to be huge, but ultimately my prediction was still at least reasonable.
The Matrix Reloaded: $265m/$282m - A fairly good prediction - I did say that it could go higher but not get to $300m, which is exactly what happened.
The Matrix Reloaded: $225m/$138m - I don't think that anybody saw such a huge drop-off coming, even after Reloaded came out...
Hulk: $230m/$132m - And to think I was amongst the lower guesses...
Terminator 3: $240m/$150m - Poor marketing, I guess. This really deserved much more...
Return of the King: $305m/$350m+? - Well, it clearly seems that this WILL make more than The Two Towers... I honestly thought that the series could only lose an audience, rather than gain it...
2 Fast 2 Furious: $100m/$127m - I thought that the lack of Vin Diesel would have hurt it more. I was still right about the big opening/poor legs though...
Tomb Raider 2: $105m/$66m - I did say that this could a lot higher or lower, which it evidently did...
Charlie's Angels 2: $90m/$101m - Once again I thought this could be higher or lower... I would have been closer without the added boost that the film got towards the end of its run.
Finding Nemo: $180m/$340m - Well, I just didn't think that fish could be that interesting. I guess I was wrong...
The Core: $40m/$30m - I was so close to saying $30m originally, but I then thought that it would have a bigger opening. At least I knew it was going to bomb...
The Cat in the Hat: $210m/~$100m - A bit of a surprise, I always thought that this was the most popular of Dr. Suess' books. Then again, I didn't know the film was going to be THAT bad either...
Bad Boys 2: $160m/$139m - Not a bad guess, I think the long running time probably had something to do with its final gross...
Spy Kids 3D: $70m/$111m - For some reason I have this down as Spey Kids 2 in my prediction, but anyway... I'm surprised that it managed to gross more than the second one. I guess the 3D gimic worked well with kids...
Legally Blonde 2: $120m/$90m - I guess that Reese Witherspoon isn't quite the box office draw I thought she would be...
Dreamcatcher: $125m/$34m - Uh... yeah. Not quite right, this guess...
Pirates of the Caribbean: $130m/$305m - At the time I was judging by the awful teaser trailer. I didn't realise how entertaining this was going to be...
Bruce Almighty: $150m/$243m - I guess I didn't realise that Jim Carrey comedies could still be this huge...
Looney Tunes: Back in Action: $115m/~$21m - Hmm. I guess Looney Tunes aren't as popular as I'd guessed...
All in all, my predictions for the year weren't generally that great - at least the year before I got one or two almost exactly correct. For this year's predictions I'll have both start-of-year predictions and revised guesses as the films come out...