*** Official 2003 Academy Award Winner Prediction Thread (1 Viewer)

[Dana Fillhart]

Updated my list with my predictions for ALL categories.

 

[Ray H]

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Tim Robbins, Mystic River

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Charlize Theron, Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo, House Of Sand And Fog

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
John Schwartzman, Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Directing
Peter Jackson, The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Documentary Feature
The Fog Of War

Best Documentary Short Subject
Asylum

Achievement In Film Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)

Achievement In Makeup
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Howard Shore, The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow," A Mighty Wind

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Animated Short Film
Destino

Best Live Action Short Film
(A) Torzija ([A] Torsion)

Achievement In Sound
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Sound Editing
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Gary Ross, Seabicuit

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Sofia Coppola, Lost In Translation

 

[Michael_Q]

Predicted winners in bold:


Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Ben Kingsley - House Of Sand And Fog
Jude Law - Cold Mountain
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation
Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Alec Baldwin - The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams
Djimon Hounsou - In America
Tim Robbins - Mystic River
Ken Watenabe - The Last Samurai

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider
Diane Keaton - Something’s Gotta Give
Samantha Morton - In America
Charlize Theron - Monster
Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House Of Sand And Fog
Patricia Clarkson - Pieces Of April
Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River
Holly Hunter - Thirteen
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville

Achievement In Art Direction
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Cinematography
Cesar Charlone - City Of God
John Seale - Cold Mountain
Eduardo Serra - Girl With A Pearl Earring
Russell Boyd and Sandi Sissel - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
Girl With A Pearl Earring
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Directing
Fernando Meirelles - City Of God
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation
Peter Weir - Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Clint Eastwood - Mystic River

Best Documentary Feature
Balseros
Capturing The Friedmans
The Fog Of War
My Architect: A Son’s Journey
The Weather Underground

Best Documentary Short Subject
Asylum
Chernobyl Heart
Ferry Tales

Achievement In Film Editing
City Of God
Cold Mountain
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Seabiscuit

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Evil (Sweden)
The Twilight Samurai (Japan)
Twin Sisters (The Netherlands)
Zelary (Czech Republic)

Achievement In Makeup
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Danny Elfman - Big Fish
Gabriel Yared - Cold Mountain
Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo
James Horner - House Of Sand And Fog
Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind
T Bone Burnett & Elvis Costello, "Scarlet Tide" - Cold Mountain
Benoit Charest & Sylvain Chomet, "The Triplets of Belleville" - The Triplets of Belleville
Sting, "You Will Be My Ain True Love" - Cold Mountain

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Lost In Translation
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

Best Animated Short Film
Boundin'
Destino
Gone Nutty
Harvie Krumpet
Nibbles

Best Live Action Short Film
Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)
Most (The Bridge)
Squash
(A) Torzija ([A] Torsion)
Two Soldiers

Achievement In Sound
The Last Samurai
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Sound Editing
Finding Nemo
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Shari Springer Berman & Robert Pulcini - American Splendor
Braulio Mantovani - City Of God
Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River
Gary Ross - Seabiscuit

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Denys Arcand - The Barbarian Invasions
Steven Knight - Dirty Pretty Things
Andrew Stanton & Bob Peterson - Finding Nemo
Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation

 

[ZacharyTait]

Updated my predictions to reflect three changes.

Supporting Actress: Changed it from Renee to Shohreh

Cinematography: Changed it from M&C:FSOTW to City of God.

Documentary: Changed it from Capturing the Friedmans to The Fog of War.

 

[ZacharyTait]

Update my predictions thread to reflect one change.

Actor: Changed it from Sean to Johnny.

 

[Craig S]

Made the same change in my picks.

 

[Robert Anthony]

BUMP to notify Craig of my filling in the missing categories, and change Best Song from "Triplets of Belleville" to "Into the West"

I'm totally guessing, of course, but they SOUND good

I'm holding on my initial picks. the only change (besides Into the West) I made was Zellweger to Aghdashloo and that was after a day or two of thinking about it. I WAS FIRST, SUCKAS! For awhile there I was the only one out on that limb, but I see a few of you gamblers climbed out with me.

Should be fun.

 

[Chris]

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Charlize Theron - Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Directing
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Film Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Makeup
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King .

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Philippa Boyens, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Sound
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King


Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published

Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation

At least one actor will be run off the stage for political speech that drags on (that's my other prediction)

 

[Robert Anthony]

Chris--there's actually an article over at moviecitynews.com: Joe Roth is producing the Oscars, and his main thing is "less dance numbers, way less musical--more acceptance speech"

He's aiming to play NOBODY off, and he's actually already guaranteed that Bill Murray will get to talk as long as he wants while presenting.

Watching might be more fun this year BECAUSE of the fact that the actors already all know they're free to ramble and speak out if they wish.

 

[Ray H]

Updated mine. Pretty much just changed my showier format and got rid of my stupid little comments. Biggest change was the addition of the documentary short and live action short categories and I changed my prediction for adapted screenplay to Seabiscuit.

 

[DonMac]

My predictions:

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Bill Murray - Lost In Translation

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Charlize Theron - Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Directing
Peter Jackson, The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King
(2/29 6pm EST: Changed from "Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation" now that I've finally seen LiT)

Best Documentary Feature
The Fog Of War

Best Documentary Short Subject
Chernobyl Heart

Achievement In Film Editing
Seabiscuit

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)

Achievement In Makeup
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Howard Shore - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Eugene Levy, Christopher Guest & Michael McKean, "A Kiss At The End Of The Rainbow" - A Mighty Wind

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Animated Short Film
Destino

Best Live Action Short Film
Two Soldiers

Achievement In Sound
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Sound Editing
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Jim, Kirsten & Naomi Sheridan - In America

 

[Dana Fillhart]

I changed 3 items in my list, 2 to reflect changes in opinion, 1 to correct a mistake.

I changed my prediction on Costume Design from Return of the King to The Last Samurai.

I changed my prediction on Film Editing from Return of the King to City of God

And I corrected a mistake on predicting Return of the King for Best Adapted Screenplay -- this one's almost certainly going to Mystic River (feel better now, Ernest? )

 

[Seth Paxton]

bump

I narrowed all choices to only 1, though I still have a couple boiling that I might swap. Score and Adapted remain my toughest picks.

 

[ZacharyTait]

I hope Johnny's win tonight for Best Actor at the SAG's translates into a Best Actor win next week at the Oscars. Here's hoping.....

 

[ZacharyTait]

Updated mine to reflect my picks in three categories.

Best Animated Short: Destino

Best Documentary Short Subject: Chernobyl Hearts

Best Live Action Short Film: Two Soldiers

 

[MikeRR]

OK, here's my picks:

Best Picture
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

Best Director
PETER JACKSON

Best Actor
JOHNNY DEPP

Best Actress
CHARLIZE THERON

Best Supporting Actor
TIM ROBBINS

Best Supporting Actress
SHOHREH AGHDASHLOO

Best Animated Film
FINDING NEMO

Best Art Direction
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

Best Cinematography
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD

Best Costume Design
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

Best Feature Documentary
THE FOG OF WAR

Best Documentary Short
CHERNOBYL HEART

Best Editing
CITY OF GOD

Best Foreign Language Film
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS

Best Makeup
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

Best Score
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

Best Song
"INTO THE WEST"

Best Animated Short
DESTINO

Best Live-Action Short
THE RED JACKET

Best Sound
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

Best Sound Effects Editing
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD

Best Visual Effects
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

Best Adapted Screenplay
AMERICAN SPLENDOR

Best Original Screenplay
LOST IN TRANSLATION

 

[Robert Anthony]

Changed my animated feature pick.

From "Belleville" which I thought might surprise
to "Nemo" which I thought would win anyway.

 

[Paul Chi]

I predict and really hope that Sean Penn wins for actor.

 

[Tom Ryan]

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Charlize Theron - Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Directing
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Documentary Feature
The Fog Of War

Best Documentary Short Subject
Chernobyl Heart

Achievement In Film Editing
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)

Achievement In Makeup
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Animated Short Film
Boundin'

Best Live Action Short Film
Die Rote Jacke (The Red Jacket)

Achievement In Sound
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Sound Editing
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Visual Effects
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Frances Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation

Totals:

ROTK - 8
Master & Commander - 2
Mystic River - 2
Finding Nemo - 2
Everything else - 1 or 0

These are my predictions. The ones I felt I was going most out on a limb for were Score (favorite is ROTK, but FOTR won here so I'm forced to wager the Academy will pick something else, I don't think Newman has won an Oscar yet) and Adapted Screenplay (Mystic's been the big favorite for a while, but a major ROTK sweep could pick up the award, and since I'm predicting 8 wins for ROTK that seems like a major sweep).

 

[Brian W.]

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Sean Penn - Mystic River

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Charlize Theron - Monster

Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role
Shohreh Aghdashloo - House of Sand and Fog

Best Animated Feature Film Of The Year
Finding Nemo

Achievement In Art Direction
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Cinematography
John Schwartzman - Seabiscuit

Achievement In Costume Design
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Achievement In Directing
Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Documentary Feature
The Fog Of War

Best Documentary Short Subject
Chernobyl Heart

Achievement In Film Editing
City of God

Best Foreign Language Film Of The Year
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)

Achievement In Makeup
Pirates Of The Caribbean: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Achievement In Music (Original Score)
Thomas Newman - Finding Nemo

Achievement In Music (Original Song)
Annie Lennox, Howard Shore & Fran Walsh, "Into The West" - The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Motion Picture Of The Year
The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Best Animated Short Film
Harvie Krumpet

Best Live Action Short Film
(A) Torzija [(A) Torsion]

Achievement In Sound
Pirates of the Carribean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Achievement In Sound Editing
Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Achievement In Visual Effects
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Screenplay Based On Material Previously Produced Or Published
Brian Helgeland - Mystic River

Screenplay Written Directly For The Screen
Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation